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Politics : View from the Center and Left

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To: JohnM who wrote (206858)11/3/2012 9:06:00 PM
From: Dale Baker  Read Replies (2) of 503047
 
We went through the no power thing several times and then caved in for the cost of the generator. It's hard to justify for just a few days per year but the emotional toll of those days is very high, as you know, and it's a very long-lived asset for any house if outages are at all common.

As for Ohio - I am sticking to the hope that the actual vote margin will be 4-5% such that all these suppression efforts just get swamped. But we won't know until 72 hours or so from now. FWIW, if Obama loses OH and keeps NH he still gets in if the rest of the firewall holds and he takes CO, or he slips by in VA or FL. Lots of different paths for him and only a couple for Romney.

Ohio polls:

RCP Average10/23 - 11/1----49.346.4Obama +2.9
Rasmussen Reports11/1 - 11/1750 LV4.04949Tie
NBC/WSJ/Marist10/31 - 11/1971 LV3.15145Obama +6
CNN/Opinion Research10/30 - 11/1796 LV3.55047Obama +3
WeAskAmerica10/30 - 11/11649 LV2.65046Obama +4
Ohio Poll/Univ of Cin.10/25 - 10/301182 LV2.94846Obama +2
SurveyUSA10/26 - 10/29603 LV4.14845Obama +3
Gravis Marketing10/27 - 10/27730 LV3.65049Obama +1
PPP (D)10/26 - 10/28718 LV3.75147Obama +4
CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac10/23 - 10/281110 LV3.05045Obama +5
Purple Strategies10/23 - 10/25600 LV4.04644Obama +2
ARG10/23 - 10/25600 LV4.04947Obama +2
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