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Pastimes : Nigerian Scam Baiting - Let's Discuss the Modalities

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From: S. maltophilia6/21/2012 2:47:22 PM
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Are Nigerian scammers crazy e-mails actually very clever? An analysis from Microsoft Research suggests that Nigerian scammers need to sound as ridiculous as possible, so that only the most gullible will reply to them.......

news.cnet.com

The Microsoft research paper:

Why do Nigerian Scammers Say They are from Nigeria?
Cormac Herley
Microsoft Research
One Microsoft Way
Redmond, WA, USA
cormac@microsoft.com
ABSTRACT
False positives cause many promising detection technologies
to be unworkable in practice. Attackers, we
show, face this problem too. In deciding who to attack
true positives are targets successfully attacked, while
false positives are those that are attacked but yield
nothing.
This allows us to view the attacker’s problem as a
binary classification. The most profitable strategy requires
accurately distinguishing viable from non-viable
users, and balancing the relative costs of true and false
positives. We show that as victim density decreases the
fraction of viable users than can be profitably attacked
drops dramatically. For example, a 10× reduction in
density can produce a 1000× reduction in the number......

research.microsoft.com
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