As you know, I have a simple philosophy: sell on new lows. |
There are two reasons for this:
1) Many people do this. It's a self-fulfilling prophecy. I try to do it quicker.
2) If I know something is a fundamental value and it breaks to new lows, the selling is irrational by definition and I don't want to be in the way of irrational selling. Better to wait for the buyers to show where they are willing to step up and give support.
I suffered for several years trying to be stubborn in the face of irrational selling and all it got me was a lot of 50% haircuts on stocks that had already been too cheap. One of the biggest lessons I've learned was that PE 8 stocks can become PE 4 stocks and stay that way for a long time. AT&T's long-distance business is getting close to trading for 1X EBITDA, yet everyone looks at it like this big albatross around T's neck. Maybe in the future I'll get the long-distance biz for free. All we need is another $15 billion in lost market cap.
That said, I love your rhetorical questions. Why do you think AT&T is getting hit?