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Humble1 and Swing Trading Friends
An SI Board Since October 2009
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Emcee:  humble1 Type:  Moderated
Welcome from Humble1

I want to thank Silicon Investor for this site.

Nothing said or done here by me or anyone should be construed as trading or investment advice! I am not certified or qualified as an analyst or a financial adviser. I am a private trader who tries to make money swing trading the daily SPX bars and selected equities, with help from friends.

H1&STF is for discussions about Time and Price for use in swing trading the SPX and selected equities. I consider gold and silver coins a valuable long term holding to be accumulated during sharp sell offs. All charts and discussions concerning gold and silver are welcomed.

Your posts and comments are encouraged. Whether bull or bear, they will be appreciated. Swing trading means trading in both directions.

Absolutely no foul language, or faux foul language and related acronyms, of any kind.

Good Luck!

Fortuna Cornucopia





H1 Motto: In Utraque Fortuna Paratus


Astro Section

“Millionaires don't use Astrology, billionaires do.” - J.P. Morgan

"As above ...




"... so below."


Some Merriman dates from his free site:

Shorter-term, we are focused on the transits unfolding April 7-18. These include the new moon in Aries on April 15, the same day that Mercury turns direct, and one day before heliocentric Mercury enters Sagittarius (April 16-27). The next two days will also find Saturn turning retrograde and the Sun conjunct Uranus for the last time in Aries. We would like to think that things will cool down, become more calm and mature, now that Mercury is about to end its retrograde trickery, but these transits suggest that will not be the case just yet. In fact, matters may not slow down and rhetoric may not return to a semblance of respect, until the mid-term elections are over, because Mars will enter a central time band that involves three passages in a square aspect to Uranus, due to the retrograde of Mars. This Mars/Uranus climate of chaos may extend from May 16 through September 18.

There is some hope for peace and relaxation too this summer, for Jupiter will complete its final two passages of a trine to Neptune on May 25 and August 19. It is a very strange spring and summer season, with cross currents between the psychotic chaos of Mars square Uranus, and the peaceful, gentle nature of Jupiter trine Neptune. I suspect stock markets will reflect these contradictory dynamics in kind, with a major cycle trough first, followed by another powerful rally into late summer, early fall – and then the show may be over.

Chart Gallery
















For our long term real estate portfolio. Position taken in 17.50 area. Will add ~18.00:




Accumulating for our PM porfolio:




JUNK!







Perspective Gallery

A Cup of Tea

Nan-in, a Japanese master during the Meiji era (1868-1912), received a university professor who came to inquire about Zen. Nan-in served tea. He poured his visitor's cup full, and then kept on pouring. The professor watched the overflow until he no longer could restrain himself. "It is overfull. No more will go in!" "Like this cup," Nan-in said, "you are full of your own opinions and speculations. How can I show you Zen unless you first empty your cup?"

te esse hominem memento; mortalem te esse. memento mori. respice post te. nam mors indecepta!




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

The H1 Case For SPX 3000: Eight Good Hits

(Use your own charts to identify these key turns. At one point, a major ewaver identified 1344 as the peak of Wave 1 off of 666. There are always several valid counts in play, according to H1 Wave Theory. When they overlap, or confluence, an inflection point which produces an acceptable risk/reward trade is likely. SPX 1422 also works as a Wave1 high, breaking no H1-Wave rules. Rounding is within one point.)

1. Fibo Extension

1074 <-> .328 <-> 1810 <.618-> 3000

2. Equal Waves

1074 -> 2134 = 917

2083 + 917 = 3000

3. Wave 5 = Wave1

666 -> 1344 = 678

2322 + 678 = 3000

4. Measured Move

1158 + 921 = 2079

2079 + 921 = 3000

5. Fibo 1.618

442 -> 1553 = 1111

1111 x 1.618 = 1798

1202 + 1798 = 3000

6. Root Phi Extension

2401 -> 2872 -> 3000

7. Wave 5 = .618 x Wave 1

666 -> 1422 = 756

756 x .618 = 467

2533 + 467 = 3000

8. Wave 5 = Wave 1

1810 -> 2194 = 384

2116 + 384 = 3000

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

"2018: Sell in May? Maybe no way!" (tm:h1): Astro, Seasonals, Lindsay Pattern, Ganniversaries, Spiral Calendar Hit, Long Range Fibo Hit (1929 + 89), Kress 36 Year Cycle, 9 Year Kress, Puetz 2FMW (9/25) after SE (8/11)

"Maybe up, up, and away until the autumnal equinox." (tm: h1)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

H1 Pattern Recognition Bulletin

Whether you call it a pennant, a coil, or a triangle: this pattern is a classic and a beauty. It has been written about since the 1930's. I am using the 3/27/17 low of the parabola at 2322 as the starting point. It projects to SPX 3000, an H1 Confluence Target that I have been posting about using my own system. Other starting points will produce higher targets, but there is no reason to think about those until we see how SPX acts at 3000. Anything higher will have to be supported by seasonals, confluences, etc.

So, first things first. The first thing is SPX 3000!

investopedia.com




Dates on the watchlist. As always, chart pattern and price target confirmation are needed to make a trade.

* 5/29 Bradley + Full Moon

* 7/13

1. Cardinal Solar Eclipse

2. Venus/Saturn Trine

3. 5/3 + 71 = .382 X (2/11/16->8/15/16) = 1810 -> 2194 = 2116 -> 3000


4. 1st Possible Touch of SPX 3000

5. LHH: 5/29 -> 7/13 -> 8/27

* 7/25 (and 7/27)

1. LLH 2/9 -> 5/3 -> 7/25

2. LLH 4/2 -> 5/29 -> 7/25

3. Phi Tri: 3/13 -> 5/3 -> 7/25 = 134/83 = 1.618

4. Ve op Nep

5. Me -> direct

6. Total Lunar Eclipse on 7/27 (Puetz Window includes 7/25; 1/26 analogue)

* 8/19/18:

1. Fibo Time Extension


331 x .618 = 205

3/1/17 + 331 -> 1/26/18 + 205 = 8/19/18

2. See RM Astro Re: Neptune trine Jupiter


3. Fibo Wave 5 = 1.618 x Wave 1:

2/11/16 -> 6/8/16 = 118 (initial thrust)

118 x 1.618 = 191

2/9/18 + 191 = 8/19/18

4. OPEX = 8/17/18

* 8/27: 2018 Panic#2 Scenario

More on this fascinating scenario as Time and Price unfold. I have four good hits on it as a Second Half HIGH. Pattern must confirm.

* 9/18/18: Developing as high pivot if 8/27 pattern does not confirm.

* 9/1/19: Final SPX 666 Bull Market High

1. Metonic Cycle from 9/1/00 secondary high to 3/24/00

2. 3/6/09 -> 5/2/11 -> 10/4/11 :: .618 :: 1/27/18 -> 5/3/18 -> 9/1/19

3. Venus/Virgo Trine Jupiter/Capricorn

4. Econ cycles call for 2020 recession. Bernanke says wile e. coyote off the cliff in 2020:

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-06-07/bernanke-says-u-s-economy-faces-wile-e-coyote-moment-in-2020

5. Seasonals








* September opex: mentioned earlier

Price/Time/Astro: 8/2/18

1.618 X the time span of the 3/27/17->1/26/18 trend line (which defined the parabolic surge from 2322 to 2872) hits on 8/2/18 the M/U square, an Arch Crawford favorite.


Coreopsis Floridana: On Parade

(our state wildflower)





Rudbeckia Hirta in full bloom here!



Helianthus Annuus, having a fine year



Agelaius Phoeniceus, ubiquitous, having a splendid summer


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ReplyMessage PreviewFromPosted
28956impressive hammer on a high anxiety day with angry trade-war talk dominating thehumble1yesterday
28955They are! But when you make money like that, you get away with a lot!sandeeplast Friday
28954Both statements are silly. ThanksPOKERSAMlast Friday
28953 Comments from 2 legendary investors : Warren Buffett said: “I realised that AdvocatusDiabolilast Friday
289522801 was the end of wave (A) of [2]. I expected (C) of [2] to at least hit that POKERSAMlast Friday
28951On the lead dog RUT, I can see three waves up with embedded fivers from the 4/2 humble1last Friday
28950The Panic of 2018 Sentiment is starting to heat up on aaii, naaim, ndr crowd, ahumble1last Friday
28949slightly hawkish fomc may have been bullish. why? there is light at the end of thumble1last Thursday
28948(still) leading the charge. but the rsi and macd are stretched to the upside. thhumble1last Wednesday
28947My fav chart about to show a massive reversal down here below 2782(ES).[graphic]candlestickitlast Tuesday
28946HMMM. It looks like no one knows or cares. Based on my examination of it I thinPOKERSAMlast Tuesday
28945Speaking of CLX, does anyone know what it is predicting at the present time?POKERSAMlast Tuesday
28944I continue to be amazed at the absolute worthlessness of clx. How anyone could POKERSAMlast Tuesday
28943Corporate Cash (also keep in mind that free cash flow is enormous, at records lhumble1last Tuesday
28942US Equity Weights: Just Starting To Get Excited [graphic]humble1last Tuesday
28941 I only took that long trade just as Sep became front month. Fully expect 2745 tcandlestickitlast Monday
28940Here's another way to view the SPX using a 4 vb. As you look at it you shoulFintaslast Monday
28939this is about the federal reserve. blabbermouths bullard and kashkari must be wihumble1last Monday
28938Candlestick: Glad you have returned to your previous view. ME? I like to keep iFintaslast Monday
28937 Did not add to longs on the break above. Looking for a bull trap above 2784. Clcandlestickitlast Monday
28936This would be a BIG and a BULLISH FOMC surprise indeed. I have no clue if this ghumble1last Monday
28935I suppose the best evidence this is right is the guy who says there is no way itPOKERSAMlast Sunday
28934Nothing has changed... these trend lines have enclosed ALL 25yr of SPY... and wesylvester80June 9
28933No doubt. Look at the huge one leading up to 2872 top. Straight up.POKERSAMJune 9
28932 Officially LONG ES at 2760(sep) this morning will add at 2745 or break above 2candlestickitJune 8
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