Strategies & Market Trends
Humble1 and Swing Trading Friends
An SI Board Since October 2009
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Welcome from Humble1

I want to thank Silicon Investor for this site.

Nothing said or done here by me or anyone should be construed as trading or investment advice! I am not certified or qualified as an analyst or a financial adviser. I am a private trader who tries to make money swing trading the daily SPX bars and selected equities, with help from friends.

H1&STF is for discussions about Time and Price for use in swing trading the SPX and selected equities. I consider gold and silver coins a valuable long term holding to be accumulated during sharp sell offs. All charts and discussions concerning gold and silver are welcomed.

Your posts and comments are encouraged. Whether bull or bear, they will be appreciated. Swing trading means trading in both directions.

Absolutely no foul language, or faux foul language and related acronyms, of any kind.

Good Luck!

Fortuna Cornucopia

H1 Motto: In Utraque Fortuna Paratus

Astro Section

"As above ...

"... so below."

Some Merriman dates from his free site:

Shorter-term, we are focused on the transits unfolding April 7-18. These include the new moon in Aries on April 15, the same day that Mercury turns direct, and one day before heliocentric Mercury enters Sagittarius (April 16-27). The next two days will also find Saturn turning retrograde and the Sun conjunct Uranus for the last time in Aries. We would like to think that things will cool down, become more calm and mature, now that Mercury is about to end its retrograde trickery, but these transits suggest that will not be the case just yet. In fact, matters may not slow down and rhetoric may not return to a semblance of respect, until the mid-term elections are over, because Mars will enter a central time band that involves three passages in a square aspect to Uranus, due to the retrograde of Mars. This Mars/Uranus climate of chaos may extend from May 16 through September 18.

There is some hope for peace and relaxation too this summer, for Jupiter will complete its final two passages of a trine to Neptune on May 25 and August 19. It is a very strange spring and summer season, with cross currents between the psychotic chaos of Mars square Uranus, and the peaceful, gentle nature of Jupiter trine Neptune. I suspect stock markets will reflect these contradictory dynamics in kind, with a major cycle trough first, followed by another powerful rally into late summer, early fall – and then the show may be over.

Ray Merriman might be spot on about the "powerful rally into the late summer, early fall- and then the show might be over." See the chart just above. This might be my fave scenario.

Chart Gallery


Perspective Gallery

A Cup of Tea

Nan-in, a Japanese master during the Meiji era (1868-1912), received a university professor who came to inquire about Zen. Nan-in served tea. He poured his visitor's cup full, and then kept on pouring. The professor watched the overflow until he no longer could restrain himself. "It is overfull. No more will go in!" "Like this cup," Nan-in said, "you are full of your own opinions and speculations. How can I show you Zen unless you first empty your cup?"

te esse hominem memento; mortalem te esse. memento mori. respice post te. nam mors indecepta!


The Mars c Pluto AstroBeast Strikes on 4/26-4/27

We now have a 90 c-day High-High-High? set-up which targets 4/26 from the 1/27 Time High (the Saturday after the Hobson close on 1/26) : 1/27 -> 3/13 = 45. 3/13 + 45 = 4/26/18.

4/26/18 is the 8 year cycle from the 2010 key high. It is the 1.272 (root/phi) extension of the 3/1/17->1/26/18 331 c-day Time Segment, which defined the parabolic blow-off. It also happens to be a direct hit on an aspect known as The Beast, Mars c Pluto.

There is a Price/Time nexus which just happens to hit right into this window:

Look at the Trend Line from 3/1/17->1/26/18. It defined the parabolic into the 2873 high. That Trend Line hits SPX 3000 right in the 4/26-4/27 window! And it would make a beautiful "W" pattern, too.


The H1 Case For SPX 3000

(Use your own charts to identify these key turns. At one point, a major ewaver identified 1344 as the peak of Wave 1 off of 666. Rounding is within one point.)

1. Fibo Extension

1074 <-> .328 <-> 1810 <.618-> 3000

2. Equal Waves

1074 -> 2134 = 917

2083 + 917 = 3000

3. Wave 5 = Wave1

666 -> 1344 = 678

2322 + 678 = 3000

4. Measured Move

1158 + 921 = 2079

2079 + 921 = 3000

5. Fibo 1.618

442 -> 1553 = 1111

1111 x 1.618 = 1798

1202 + 1798 = 3000

6. Root Phi Extension

2401 -> 2872 -> 3000


"2018: Sell in May? Maybe no way!" (tm:h1): Astro, Seasonals, Lindsay Pattern, Ganniversaries, Spiral Calendar Hit, Long Range Fibo Hit (1929 + 89), Kress 36 Year Cycle, 9 Year Kress, Puetz 2 FMW (9/25) after SE (8/11)

"Maybe up, up, and away until the autumnal equinox." (tm: h1)

Ray Merriman might be spot on about the "powerful rally into the late summer, early fall- and then the show might be over." See the chart just above. This might be my fave scenario.
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ReplyMessage PreviewFromPosted
28613from an email friend: "the clxers+www and BRAIN ZERO crowd were bisected, thumble15 hours ago
28612 SPY 25y chart... chart continues to be on track... [graphic]sylvester8011 AM
28611When volume returns(as in today), that's when the large drops occur. Again,candlestickit11 AM
28610Those are beauties!! The bulls are a blast to catch, the smaller ones are the becodfish2310 AM
28609Almost Daily Grants follows this. I am amused that so far QT is running at an aedward miller9 AM
28608Running Of The Bulls (bull red fish that is!) At our awesome local pier into thumble14 AM
28607What I See Looks like a Hammer on improved volume that tested the 50 and closedhumble12 AM
28606Yield Curve Worries? (right in the sweet spot) [graphic]humble12 AM
28605Tightening: How Serious? Where is QT? $ 100 billion is a rounding error in a $2humble11 AM
28604(2) topped within the wave two zone. They do that 73% of the time so no surprisPOKERSAMyesterday
28603I concur re the SOX . I've targets stepping down to that 900 area. So firsFintasyesterday
28602just banned "my email friend". flood control and off topic. temp ban.humble1yesterday
28601won't matter if the market goes up now; they're stopped out. email frienhumble1yesterday
28600That is hilarious. You would think the clxers would get a clue after so many bePOKERSAMyesterday
28599NYSE A/D [graphic]humble1yesterday
28598Sox with a incredible H&S top, see ya at 900 going to lead the naz into thecandlestickityesterday
28597c/s: scary. huge amount. big spike on the 2yt.humble1yesterday
28596from email friend: "had to do one more. the 'subs' have been whipsahumble1yesterday
28595Going to be close to $300B in treasury auctions next week. Many issues have inccandlestickityesterday
28594c/s: excellent bond chart there. thank you.humble1yesterday
28593The bond bull market officially end next week when the almost 40 year downtrend candlestickityesterday
28592At this point, it's all about option expiration and pinning prices. Theycandlestickityesterday
28591Buyback Window Starting To Open This GS chart is from 2015, but it is very closhumble1yesterday
28590from an email friend: "once again: whipsawed and whiplashed and horse whipphumble1yesterday
28589correction: s/b autumnal equinox. the major sell would be right on 9/21, opex. ohumble1yesterday
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