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Humble1 and Swing Trading Friends
An SI Board Since October 2009
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Welcome from Humble1

I want to thank Silicon Investor for this site.

Nothing said or done here by me or anyone should be construed as trading or investment advice! I am not certified or qualified as an analyst or a financial adviser. I am a private trader who tries to make money swing trading the daily SPX bars and selected equities, with help from friends.

H1&STF is for discussions about Time and Price for use in swing trading the SPX and selected equities. I consider gold and silver coins a valuable long term holding to be accumulated during sharp sell offs. All charts and discussions concerning gold and silver are welcomed.

Your posts and comments are encouraged. Whether bull or bear, they will be appreciated. Swing trading means trading in both directions.

Absolutely no foul language, or faux foul language and related acronyms, of any kind.

Good Luck!


"As above ...



... so below."


Astro Section:

Mars/Saturn

This is an issue we covered greatly in the Forecast 2017 Book and last week’s special webinar. The inauguration of President Trump on January 20, 2017, at noon, occurred under a Mars/Saturn square at 23-24° of Sagittarius and Pisces (mutable signs). Mars is the god of war, and Saturn is resistance. Together, they are known as the planets of geopolitical tensions and possible military confrontations. Since it is an inauguration chart, it is in effect for the next four years. This Mars/Saturn squared made a grand square with the USA natal Mars/Neptune square at 20-22° of Gemini and Virgo, the other two mutable signs. Mars in a nation’s chart reflects its capacity for war and aggression. So immediately, we see the greater than usual prospects of a war during this administration’s first term. But with whom?

The current government of Iran was “born” April 1, 1979. On that day, Mars was at 25° Pisces and Neptune at 20° Sagittarius – within orb of the same mutable sign degrees as the 2017 inauguration chart and the USA natal chart. Once again, we see Mars highlighted, and forming a grand square to the USA chart. As if that isn’t enough, president Trump’s natal chart shows he was born under a lunar eclipse at 21-22° of Gemini-Sagittarius, the same mutable degrees. But wait! The solar eclipse of August 21, 2017, cuts across the center of the United States and is conjunct Mars in the skies – AND it falls on Donald Trump’s natal Mars/Ascendant conjunction in 26-29° of Leo. - Ray Merriman


Interesting Upcoming Dates Which May Confluence With H1 Timing

We will now keep in mind what happened as Venus squared Saturn on Friday, January 27 +/- 1 day, because that aspect will occur again, but much stronger, on April 8 and April 21, a period during which Saturn turns retrograde (April 5) and Venus turns direct (April 15). Not only is the Venus/Saturn square a strong geocosmic correlation to reversals in financial markets, but both Saturn and Venus stationary are even stronger.

However, even before that, we have another powerful time band of strong geocosmic signatures – maybe more powerful than that of April 5-21 – that takes place around the solar eclipse conjunct Neptune on February 27-28. As stated in last week’s column, “After that (February 6-11, a Jupiter period), it gets very interesting, as the strongest time band of geocosmic signatures of the year begins February 22, lasting through April 21. This period kicks off with a powerful solar eclipse (south node eclipse) on February 27, which is usually more challenging than the north node eclipses, right in the middle of Mars conjoining Uranus and making a T-square with Jupiter and Pluto…. this is symbolic of a major eruption or disruption in world affairs, and it may also coincide with the same dynamic in Mother Nature. This is not the best time to take risks where potential danger is concerned.” Although it is too early to make a confident call as to what the markets will be doing then, it is my bias that equities would be making new highs as record monies pour into retirement accounts – and then into mutual funds headed for stocks – ahead of the time when baby boomers will be forced to start IRS withdrawals in mid-2017. Besides, a solar eclipse conjunct Neptune in Pisces, with Mars and Uranus also in opposition to Jupiter, is the perfect symbolism for “irrational exuberance,” a collective psychological state of mind that nearly always accompanies important crests in world equity markets. - Ray Merriman

2/27/17 and 4/21/17

The strongest time band of geocosmic signatures begins February 22, lasting through April 21. This period kicks off with a powerful solar eclipse (south node eclipse) on February 27, which is usually more challenging than the north node eclipses, right in the middle of Mars conjoining Uranus and making a T-square with Jupiter and Pluto. Given that Mr. Trump is such a Uranian-type of individual, it will be most interesting to see if he (or other Uranian-like individuals) can remain under control then. If not, this is symbolic of a major eruption or disruption in world affairs, and it may also coincide with the same dynamic in Mother Nature. This is not the best time to take risks where potential danger is concerned. - Ray Merriman

2/17/17

On 2/17/17 expansive and exuberant Jupiter cardinal squared 2/11/16 Venus (money). If price and pattern confirm, this could be a short term pivot.

Update: The pattern (the inside day with a strong close) suggests that this date was a quick pause in the advance. This is not unusual when there are several cycles which confluence on a date. - Humble1


WarAstro:

The inauguration of President Trump on January 20, 2017, at noon, occurred under a Mars/Saturn square at 23-24° of Sagittarius and Pisces (mutable signs). Mars is the god of war, and Saturn is resistance. Together, they are known as the planets of geopolitical tensions and possible military confrontations. Since it is an inauguration chart, it is in effect for the next four years. This Mars/Saturn squared made a grand square with the USA natal Mars/Neptune square at 20-22° of Gemini and Virgo, the other two mutable signs. Mars in a nation’s chart reflects its capacity for war and aggression. So immediately, we see the greater than usual prospects of a war during this administration’s first term. But with whom?

The current government of Iran was “born” April 1, 1979. On that day, Mars was at 25° Pisces and Neptune at 20° Sagittarius – within orb of the same mutable sign degrees as the 2017 inauguration chart and the USA natal chart. Once again, we see Mars highlighted, and forming a grand square to the USA chart. As if that isn’t enough, president Trump’s natal chart shows he was born under a lunar eclipse at 21-22° of Gemini-Sagittarius, the same mutable degrees. But wait! The solar eclipse of August 21, 2017, cuts across the center of the United States and is conjunct Mars in the skies – AND it falls on Donald Trump’s natal Mars/Ascendant conjunction in 26-29° of Leo.

It is a lot of charts with a lot of Mars highlights. It doesn’t have to result in war, or course. But both Mr. Trump and the leadership of Iran would be wise to understand that neither party is going to back down. If tensions and a spirit of combativeness increase, it could easily come to a boiling point, and then military action is a strong possibility. The only entities that benefit from that are the producers of war machinery and black market profiteers who play one side against the other. - Ray Merriman new.mmacycles.com









A Cup of Tea

Nan-in, a Japanese master during the Meiji era (1868-1912), received a university professor who came to inquire about Zen. Nan-in served tea. He poured his visitor's cup full, and then kept on pouring. The professor watched the overflow until he no longer could restrain himself. "It is overfull. No more will go in!" "Like this cup," Nan-in said, "you are full of your own opinions and speculations. How can I show you Zen unless you first empty your cup?"


Bubble Watch:










Price Targets: SPX 2459 and SPX 2706

SPX 2459 Possible Price/Time: 2/27; 3/3; 3/13

1. 2/27/17: 649 P/T Triangle

5/20/15 -> 2/27/17 = 649 C-days

1810 + 649 = 2459

2. 3/3/17: 39 C-Day Cycles

11/4/16 -> 12/13/16 = 39

2083 -> 2277 = 194

1/23/17 -> 3/3/17 = 39

2265 (1/23/17 close) + 194 = 2459

3. 3/13/17: 49 C-Day Cycles

6/27/16 -> 8/15/16 = 49

1991 -> 2193 = 202

1/23/17 + 49 = 3/13/17

2257 (1/23 low) + 202 = 2459

All three have Astro support.


No Congress of the United States ever assembled, on surveying the State of the Union, has met with a more pleasant prospect than that which appears at the present time.”
- Calvin Coolidge, December 4, 1928

“There can be little argument that the American economy as it stands at the beginning of a new century has never exhibited so remarkable a prosperity for at least the majority of Americans.”
- Alan Greenspan, January 30, 2000

“We believe the effect of the troubles in the subprime sector on the broader housing market will be limited and we do not expect significant spillovers from the subprime market to the rest of the economy or to the financial system.”
- Ben Bernanke, May 17, 2007

“Investors haven’t been this optimistic on the global economy since 2011... A full 23 percent of investors expect an outright ‘boom,’ according to a survey released Tuesday by Bank of America Merrill Lynch... ‘The U.S. economy is not only humming on all cylinders, but in our view the optimism associated with a clean sweep by the Republicans in Washington is likely to create a self-fulfilling period of strong markets and at least the potential for strong growth.’ The optimism comes amid forecasts global growth will pick up and as Donald Trump promises to cut taxes, boost fiscal spending and loosen regulations in moves that could boost corporate earnings. ‘Macro optimism is surging,’ wrote the team.”
- Bloomberg, February 14, 2017


4/14/17: The Sheeple Must Be Sheared or My Best Guess For The Dome of Doom's Left Wall Top

Venus goes direct in Pisces on 4/14/17. This date could be the first big high. 2/27, the Solar Eclipse+, is still on the radar as a spikette along the way higher.

It's the way of the world: The Sheeple must be fleeced. By Friday the 14th of April most of the herd should be in the shearing bins, with the rest coming in as the Dome of Doom develops. No one will be able to stop the stampede.

The H1 4/14/17 Confluence Sheet (tm) has five good cycle hits on it. More later on those.



Now for some Lindsay/Carlson perspective:

"As often noted, the first step in a Lindsay forecast is determining the long-term intervals; 15yr (15yr-15yr, 11mo) for highs and 12yr (12yr, 2mo-12yr, 8mo) for lows. Counting a 12yr interval from point B of Lindsay’s Long Cycle on 3/7/05 forecasts a significant low in the period May-November 2017. However, the 1/3/17 Market Update laid out a forecast for a significant high (using both a 15yr interval and Basic Movements) in the period April-August 2017."

(Thanks to Berniel who linked this Ed Carlson quote from his free blog.)





My outlook for the year fits snugly into this overlay of the intervals. 4/14, and maybe 4/21, are on my radar for the first key high(s). I have a fascinating date in May for a spike low with a re-test on a specific date in June.


Of the three SPX 2459 Price/Timers, 3/3/17 is my favorite because it has a perfect Yin/Yang cycle hit using:

Yin: 11/4/16 + 39 = 12/13/16 + 24 = 1/6/17

Yang: 1/30/16 + 24 = 1/23/17 + 39 = 3/3/17

A benign wage-increase jobs report on 3/3, plus the Astro, would make for an ideal context.


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ReplyMessage PreviewFromPosted
25481lovely "h1 outside day hammer" on lever date 2/23! what a beauty. a gahumble1an hour ago
25480JP: Be one with The Force! [graphic]humble12 hours ago
25479H1: Much of my technical work is saying it's time for a correction. It looJohn P2 hours ago
25478what to make of the several interesting high pivot dates? luckily, i have pricehumble13 hours ago
25477Today's action brings back to mind The 3/8/17 Parabola. 2/23/17 is a pit stohumble14 hours ago
25476little stop runner below 2 day lows. an outside day up would be might powerful jhumble16 hours ago
25475The Sheeple: Baaa ... Baaa [graphic]humble17 hours ago
25474fomc will hike rates "fairly soon." what does that mean? here's whhumble19 hours ago
25473this morning bloomberg featured that high-profile oft-quoted permabear from canahumble18 AM
25472tight range over night. so calm. inviting more sheeple in. new highs made almosthumble12 AM
25471NDR Crowd Sentiment Poll [graphic]humble1yesterday
25470an inside day; a consolidation day in this amazing uptrend. the sites and feeds humble1yesterday
25469Of the three SPX 2459 Price/Timers, 3/3/17 is my favorite because it has a perfehumble1yesterday
25468SPX 2459 Possible Price/Time: 2/27; 3/3; 3/13 1. 2/27/17: 649 P/T Triangle 5/humble1yesterday
25467Bubble Talk From Kashkari: Sounds Like The Bar Is High usnews.com Kashkari sahumble1yesterday
25466eerily quiet everywhere i look! celebrations? confetti? balloons? clapping abouthumble1Tuesday
25465next important h1 date = 2/27/17. which, among other things, happens to be the hhumble1Tuesday
25464spg: need to see how high we go before thinking about how low. last high, or re-humble1Tuesday
25463Hi H1 Great calls H1. Do you have any targets to the downside this year ? Tsolar_power_guyTuesday
25462jp: good points. the etf's are going to make panicking a lot easier when thehumble1Monday
25461thanks berniel; that's very interesting, especially the 15 year and 12 year humble1Monday
25460seattletechnicaladvisors.combernielMonday
25459What is pretty fascinating is the absolute dearth of IPO's, if this were theJohn PMonday
25458What if we start the 55-day parabola on 1/12/17 and use 12/30/16 as the first Lohumble1Monday
254574/14/17: The Sheeple Must Be Sheared or My Best Guess For The Left Wall Top [grhumble1Monday
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