Gold & Gold Stock Analysis
An SI Board Since August 2003
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29471 524 0 XAU
Emcee:  Andrew Type:  Moderated

Gold Indexes have broken out to new highs for this bull market in Gold and Gold shares.


I was surprised by the accuracy of my original roadmap which I've left below. Using simple TA I predicted the Gold price almost to the dollar and to a fairly close time frame well in advance.

I'd like to add a disclaimer at this time.

I post here for fun and to create discussion about Technical Analysis. Under no circumstances should anyone take anything I post as investment advice since it isn't. I started the thread for discussion and that is all.

Further I have no control over other posters claims they make regarding the markets and individual stocks since this is an open forum and only posts of abusive or repeatedly foolish nature would ever cause me to ban someone.

Happy trading to all : )


From my original post of 08/16/2003

Next stop 385

Technical analysis is IMO very much of an if this then that science/art. My take on the next year or so.

1 - a decisive break out of this triangle takes gold to 385 - 390 in the next few weeks/month (mid Sept)

2 - gold then comes back to 365ish area and gets support on lower trend line (early-mid Oct)

3 - next move up pushes gold to the decade plus resistance at 420 (mid Dec-early Jan)

4 - a quick retrace to 385 - 390 (mid-late Jan)

5 - price turns upward once again and smashes 420 with a move similar to the break through 330 (Somtime in Feb)

Target 450 - 500 (Sometime next year)

I could be wrong depends on whether gold breaks downward out of triangle. WTFDIK?

Discussion is to include all producers from junior to senior, including non producing juniors with REAL deposits.

I would like to see posts with analysis on gold stocks with an emphasis on quality and leverage to gold price.

Analysis including fundamental and technical and everything inbetween <GG>

Discussion may include explorers but there are other threads for touting and pumping of penny stock drill plays.

I would also like to have discussion of other factors which may effect the gold market, eg. economic trends ,political issues , the state of the major markets. If it effects gold or gold stocks please post it.

Daily Gold[w,a]dacayyay[pd20,2!b200][vc60][iLa12,26,9!Lh14,3]&pref=G

Weekly Gold[w,a]wacayyay[pd20,2!b40][vc60][iLa12,26,9!Lh14,3]&pref=G
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ReplyMessage PreviewFromRecsPosted
29471Long term shareholders of miners should be thanking the Fed for easy monetary poJohn Vosilla1October 3
29470A big ouch for gold bulls today, down $22 bucks and below the psychological resiRiskmgmt1October 3
29469I am sticking with what I do best. As long as the cap rates or nice equity goJohn Vosilla-October 2
29468As good a guess as any as it doesn't seem the media is being fed this talkinJohn Vosilla-October 2
29467Gold is a tough one to figure out. Goes up when logically it should go down and Riskmgmt-October 1
29466Glad to hear it. I have quite a lot of those 2017 calls, so for me, it needs to Tommaso-October 1
29465I SUSPECT it is due to last day of month being FIRST NOTICE DAY in spot futures IngotWeTrust-September 30
29464I suspect that the oil and gold take down are to pressure Russia. The take down The Barracudaâ„¢-September 30
29463A lot of stops taken out yet again today. Incredible the fall in some miners chJohn Vosilla1September 30
29462Insiders are buying NGD. theglobeandmail.comcarranza2-July 9
29461If we don't post then the machines combing the boards for sentiment lose theTheSlowLane3June 20
29460I can understand that. However, now TA is starting to favor the bulls, it's Riskmgmt-June 20
29459I think that the problem may be that those of us who carefully follow what the cTommaso5June 19
29458Wow. Gold up $44 and no posts on this thread. How times have changed. Taking outRiskmgmt-June 19
29457Good way to leverage confidence in gold: seekingalpha.comTommaso-May 2
29456With employment getting stronger and the slack in the economy getting smaller, tCharles2185-May 2
29455Thank you. FWIW an advisor my brother trusts has SAND as a buy under $6.Peter Dierks-April 18
29454SSL ... siliconinvestor.comkidl-April 15
29453Sandstorm has since retrenched to below $6. I still have a nice profit despite aPeter Dierks-April 15
29452Gold Trims Weekly Loss as Decline Below $1,300 May Spur Demand. DETAILSTyrion-March 28
29451Congrats! Nice to tie into a gooder, eh? Cheers!IngotWeTrust-March 18
29450Sandstorm (SAND) has gotten over $6.50. I have a nice profit in it. It is not rePeter Dierks-March 18
29449Gold Mining stocks have in the past enjoyed a very powerful slingshot effect wheTommaso-March 13
29448Maybe the long-awaited total destruction of people shorting gold is about to assTommaso-March 12
29447It is already at the 200 dma, also about same price as at the declining trend liJohn Vosilla-February 14
29446I suspect the nsa monitors everything just in case but I doubt there is much theMadharry-February 14
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