Copyright © 2013 Knight Sac Media. All rights reserved.http://www.siliconinvestor.com/subject.aspx?subjectid=6674 If you accept the twin thesis that shorts are easier to identify than longs and that good technical analysis is a vital part of a successful short or put, then this thread is for you. The months of June and July 1996 have made many of us aware that markets not only go up... Stocks go down ultim...http://www.siliconinvestor.com/images/Logo380x132.pnghttp://www.siliconinvestor.com/subject.aspx?subjectid=667438013210Johnny CanuckHaven’t: Paul Schatz By Matt Nesto | Breakout – 14 hours ago It didn't take much to bring beleaguered gold traders back from the brink. Jitters in Japan and fear over the Fed have stoked a reversal in gold that follows a seven month, 25% slump. While the most widely traded metal is still only about $25 away from ...http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=289128375/24/2013 2:14:21 AMJohnny CanuckNikkei's U-turn may not be the big trigger for a Wall Street pullback By | MarketWatch – 2 hours 48 minutes ago The 7.3% freefall for the Nikkei Stock Average on Thursday must have been terrifying to watch, let alone read about. It was the worst one-day fall since the country suffered its most powerful earthquake e...http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=289112375/23/2013 11:44:57 AMJohnny CanuckQuick comments tonight. Most of the indices look to continue to new highs. Only the DOW transport is flashing a caution signal but not a sell signal. Time to tighten stops at least. There has still been no opportunity to get in,but traders should be protecting profits and not looking to initiate new positions. Gold t...http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=289083945/22/2013 2:53:30 AMJohnny CanuckApril inflation well under forecast, BoC range Reuters 8:42 AM, E.T. | May 17, 2013 Cheaper gasoline and cars helped Canada's annual inflation rate fall dramatically in April to 0.4 percent from 1.0 percent in March -- its lowest rate since 0.1 percent in October 2009, below expectations and well outside the Ba...http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=289014915/17/2013 9:23:39 PMJohnny CanuckCentral banks looking for an exit strategy Brady Yauch, BNN.ca 1:45 PM, E.T. | May 17, 2013 Best of BNN, Economy The day of reckoning is inching closer for monetary policymakers the world over. While central banks have largely been applauded for their bold action in the wake of the financial crisis and subsequent gl...http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=289014885/17/2013 9:20:16 PMJohnny CanuckI am away on business the next 3 weeks so I will only be sporadically posting on SI. We are essentially entering the summer doldrums. The economic numbers will drive the market till the start of the next earnings season. Note that deflation fears are starting to kick in as Canada posted an inflation rate that is clos...http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=289014835/17/2013 9:17:10 PMJohnny CanuckYahoo Board to Meet Sunday to Consider $1.1 Billion, All-Cash Deal to Acquire Tumblr May 17, 2013 at 4:55 pm PT Share on FacebookinShareSharePrint 1368822133000-yahoo-invite-1305171623_4_3_rx404_c534x401 According to sources close to the situation, the Yahoo board plans to meet Sunday night to decide whether to appro...http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=289014355/17/2013 8:52:17 PMJohnny CanuckForget Apple. Google’s Going to $1,000, Says Pro By Lawrence Lewitinn | Talking Numbers – 14 hours ago.. . Google is at an all-time high as it breaks through the $900 level. That leaves the question: Will it suffer the same fate as Apple or will it hit $1,000? It’s official: Google has replaced Apple as America’s ...http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288975105/16/2013 5:13:14 AMJohnny CanuckOnly slightly above average volume on an up day on the SP500. It is not as positive as I would like, but it is positive. For now the trend is your friend and the trend is up. [graphic] Same comment on the DOW. [graphic] DOW transports also moving higher bu the volume dropped dramatic over yesterday. This is a nega...http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288973555/15/2013 11:15:59 PMJohnny CanuckBubble in Safety Assets Forming: Seth Masters By Bernice Napach | Daily Ticker – 4 hours ago The Dow (^DJI) and S&P 500 (^GSPC) closed at new record highs Tuesday, leaving both major market indexes up 15% year-to-date, outperforming most other asset classes. Investors clearly are favoring stocks over other asset cla...http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288961555/15/2013 1:54:15 PMFUBHOGermany can't stop euro zone from sinking into longest recession... Now in longest recession ever... [graphic] Eurozone GDP, to Q1 2013 Photograph: /Eurostat The eurozone has slumped into its longest recession ever, after economic activity across the region fell for the sixth quarter in a row. Economic output acr...http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288959595/15/2013 12:48:33 PMThe Jack of HeartsFor the next 10 years, the CBO shaved its cumulative deficit forecast by $618 billion, to $6.34 trillion. wowhttp://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288952465/15/2013 9:14:22 AMFUBHORed Jahncke: The Federal Revenue Surge Won't Last Large capital gains were taken as the low tax rates enacted by Bush neared their expiration date. online.wsj.com  OPINION May 13, 2013 By RED JAHNCKE There were many happy faces in Washington on Friday with the Treasury Department's announcement of robust tax rev...http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288949875/15/2013 1:59:58 AMJohnny CanuckCLMT seeing some heavy selling that is not quite yet showing up in the price portion of the chart just yet. It could potentially test the $32 level.Despite CLMT raising the distribution it looks like they missed on revenue last quarter. The differential between their production cost and the price of their forward sold ...http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288948455/14/2013 11:42:33 PMJohnny CanuckGood to keep in mind that they can still overspend despite the best of intentions.http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288948405/14/2013 11:39:26 PMJohnny Canuck SP500 moving to new hihg on news that the American market represents value based on historical metrics given the improvement on earnings. We have not seen the majority of analysts raising earnings quite just yet. We are seeing a increase in volume which is a positive. [graphic] Same comment on the DOW. [g...http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288948165/14/2013 11:19:41 PMFUBHOKeep in mind there are still four and a half months left in the US government's fiscal year. They have a tendency to underestimate deficit almost every time.http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288948145/14/2013 11:12:36 PMJohnny CanuckRising revenues shrink U.S. deficit by $203B Reuters 3:14 PM, E.T. | May 14, 2013 The U.S. budget deficit is shrinking considerably more quickly than previously thought and revenue growth will outpace spending increases over the next two years, the Congressional Budget Office said on Tuesday. The non-partisan budge...http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288947955/14/2013 10:53:19 PMJohnny CanuckThe off-shoring of refining Brady Yauch, BNN.ca 11:47 AM, E.T. | May 14, 2013 Energy & Resources Tags: International Energy Agency (IEA) A A Share on email Follow this While the off-shoring of manufacturing and other blue-collar jobs has long been a part of the transformation of developed economies, the Interna...http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288947945/14/2013 10:52:00 PMJohnny CanuckBlackBerry unveils mid-tier phone, extends BBM Euan Rocha, Reuters 9:50 AM, E.T. | May 14, 2013 Canadian, Technology Tags: BlackBerry A A Share on email Follow this Extended Coverage Watch: BlackBerry CEO Unveils Q5 Smartphone BlackBerry CEO Thorsten Heins unveils a new smartphone. BlackBerry (BB-T 15.55 -0.49 -3...http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288947935/14/2013 10:50:41 PMJohnny CanuckBanks, CMHC to feel housing slowdown: Morningstar Brady Yauch, BNN.ca 2:53 PM, E.T. | May 14, 2013 Canadian, Financials, Real Estate Another day and another bearish report on the Canadian housing market – this time from analysts at Morningstar, the Chicago-based research group. The analysts warn that if housing p...http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288947855/14/2013 10:49:11 PMThe Jack of Heartshttp://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288944635/14/2013 7:24:45 PMJohnny Canucktesting one two three testing one two three This is a test message to see if I can post messages again.http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288944605/14/2013 7:23:40 PMJohnny CanuckSP500 finally seeing some consolidation days after a extended run. Next week is option expiration so expire anything to happen. [graphic] Same comment on the DOW. [graphic] DOW transports remain on a buy signal unless it breaks the old high. http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288907355/13/2013 3:03:50 AMJohnny CanuckChina may not over take United States this century after all: [graphic]Message 28889620http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288905145/12/2013 10:00:45 PMJohnny CanuckAs regular readers know, I am holding deep in the money naked puts on Intel Stock at put strikes up to $26. These date back to last year before Intel Stock collapsed. The recent rise in the stock has a lot of investors confused. Short interest is growing and the put to class ratio shows more investors are bearish than ...http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288905065/12/2013 9:50:13 PMJohnny Canuck Long-Awaited Patent Ruling Yields Few Answers May 10, 2013 at 5:07 pm PT A federal appeals court on Friday offered its long-awaited view on when a piece of software can be patented. The upshot: seven opinions, totaling more than 120 pages, and no clear answer. While a majority of the 10-judge panel of the U...http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288890185/11/2013 4:45:49 PMJohnny Canuck How Is Facebook Home Really Doing? May 10, 2013 at 11:26 am PT It has been a month since Facebook released Home, the company’s take on a socialized operating system built atop Android. And at a press event this week, Facebook talked about how the app has done in its first weeks on the market. The verdict thus far?...http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288877865/10/2013 7:39:08 PMjohnlwYou're welcome. Your original post caught my eye as I have followed them off and on over the years. Until my last visit to their website I wasn't aware that they had such a presence in the international wheat belts. Good for expansion I guess, tougher to keep track of versus staying in North America from an investor v...http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288866675/10/2013 11:02:48 AME_K_Sjohnlw - Excellent report on the AG outlook. Thank you for the post. One thing Ag Growth was mentioning is their International sales are looking promising especially in Russia. It's still a small percentage of the total but growing. I will post those numbers once I read their most recent figures. I believe it's le...http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288865955/10/2013 10:38:33 AMjohnlwAFN (AGGZF) results out yesterday. Here is their outlook: Outlook U.S. farmers may plant 97.3 million acres of corn in 2013, the highest level since 1936, and harvest an all-time record crop of over 14 billion bushels, according to the USDA's March 2013 Prospective Plantings report and its 2013 Agricultural Out...http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288864085/10/2013 9:32:21 AMJohnny Canuck 10:13AM Wholesale inventories rise 0.4% in March by Steve Goldstein WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) -- Wholesale inventories grew 0.4% in March, while wholesale sales tumbled 1.6%, the Commerce Department said Thursday. The monthly sales drop was the largest since March 2009. The ratio of inventories to sales grew to 1.21...http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288861835/10/2013 3:29:43 AMJohnny Canuck 10:45AM Natural-gas prices fall on rise in supply ( NGM13 ) by Myra P. Saefong SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) -- Natural-gas futures , after the U.S. Energy Information Administration reported an 88 billion cubic foot increase in U.S. inventories for the week ended May 3. Analysts polled by Platts forecasted a climb b...http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288861825/10/2013 3:28:36 AMJohnny Canuck 08:01PM Japan's current-account surplus widens in March by Michael Kitchen LOS ANGELES (MarketWatch) -- Japan's current-account surplus expanded almost twofold in March from February as the trade deficit shrank on the back of a falling yen, the Ministry of Finance reported Friday. The March current account was 1.25...http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288861815/10/2013 3:26:25 AMJohnny CanuckMay 9, 2013, 12:11 p.m. EDT 93% of financial advisers had PTSD after 2008 Study finds emotional fallout had lasting impact on decision making Stories You Might Like Forget Buffett, this investor made me rich for life Dow 15,000? Try 116,200 House passes bill to prioritize debt payments By Quentin Fottre...http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288861775/10/2013 3:22:30 AMJohnny CanuckDear Subscriber, As regular readers of my website know I have been using the Weekly Initial Unemployment Insurance Claims for market timing. This system has proven itself over the past 3 decades. Today's numbers seemed to catch analysts off guard which was strange considering the overall trajectory of unemployment. ...http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288861735/10/2013 3:14:47 AMJohnny CanuckGot a consolidation day today on the SP500 which is healthy and expected. As long as the old high is not broken the intermediate up trend will continue. [graphic] Same comment on the DOW. [graphic] DOW transports also on a consolidation day. As long as the previous high is not broken there is nothing to worry abou...http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288861435/10/2013 1:42:38 AMJohnny CanuckBCE profit climbs on wireless, media growth Alastair Sharp, Reuters 10:00 AM, E.T. | May 9, 2013 Watch: Latest From BCE, Astral Hearings Watch: Latest From BCE, Astral Hearings Paul Bagnell reports from the CRTC hearings into BCE's proposed bid to buy Astral Media. BCE Inc. (BCE-T 47.65 -0.27 -0.56%), Canada's bigges...http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288859535/9/2013 11:21:23 PMJohnny CanuckLoonie could fall by 10% over the next year: TD Brady Yauch, BNN.ca 11:28 AM, E.T. | May 9, 2013 The loonie's recent march back to parity with the U.S. dollar is not sustainable, according to TD economists. A combination of a slowing Canadian economy, an interest rate hike that is still more than a year out, softeni...http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288859465/9/2013 11:16:39 PMJohnny CanuckProfitable Ideas Each Market Day LAST UPDATE:05/08/13 05:49 PM ET SP-500 has been climbing the top Bollinger band for the last 4-days, in a stable uptrend that began after a 4-day consolidation pattern. There was a 5-day rally at a similar angle of attack into that range, suggesting we're looking at a measured move th...http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288852735/9/2013 4:54:54 PMJohnny CanuckCalumet Specialty Products Partners Increases Sales but Misses Estimates on Earnings By Seth Jayson | More Articles May 8, 2013 | Comments (0) Calumet Specialty Products Partners (Nasdaq: CLMT ) reported earnings on May 8. Here are the numbers you need to know. The 10-second takeaway For the quarter ended Marc...http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288850375/9/2013 3:31:38 PMJohnny CanuckOptions expiration next week. Part of the markets continued rise and low volume may be due to traders squaring their options position this week.http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288850025/9/2013 3:21:57 PMJohnny CanuckSpeaking of the 1987 crash I had not heard that Martin Zwieg has passed away earlier this year. >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> Martin Zweig, Who Predicted 1987 Market Crash, Dies at 70 By Tomoko Yamazaki - 2013-02-19T16:23:10Z Martin E. Zweig, who predicted the 1987 stock market crash and whose newsletters influenced U....http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288849545/9/2013 3:06:10 PMJohnny CanuckPaulson I view like Elaine Garzarelli. They made one great call and are trying to make a career of it. Roubini I think is intending to be reactionary. At least I agree with his underlying premises. I just don't agree with the depth of the effect he is predicting. I remember talking to a friend that teaches at a unive...http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288849375/9/2013 3:01:42 PMJohnny CanuckThe World’s Richest Moms By Nicole Goodkind | Daily Ticker – 3 hours ago It's fair to say that many women walk a thin line when it comes to balancing a career with children and family. The difficulties can be immense and the struggle constant. Some women sacrifice their ability to climb the corporate ladder so that ...http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288848615/9/2013 2:41:27 PMJohnny CanuckThe World’s Richest Moms By Nicole Goodkind | Daily Ticker – 3 hours ago Email Recommend Tweet Print It's fair to say that many women walk a thin line when it comes to balancing a career with children and family. The difficulties can be immense and the struggle constant. Some women sacrifice their ability t...http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288848495/9/2013 2:37:59 PMThe Jack of Heartshttp://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288843085/9/2013 10:55:24 AMThe Jack of HeartsWhen I was last in China.. the joke was '' what is the national bird of China ?.. the crane.. " it also seems to be the municipal bird of Toronto...http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288843035/9/2013 10:53:53 AMThe Jack of Heartsspin (or what they left out is interesting) FORTUNE -- Recently the famously gloomy economist Nouriel Roubini has been talking up stocks. He says the Federal Reserve is pumping up the U.S. market and that the weak global economy will require it to do so for the next two years. That's an opportunity for anyone who has...http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288842965/9/2013 10:50:36 AMJohnny CanuckDruckenmiller Says Long Commodities Rally Ending on China By Saijel Kishan & Joshua Fineman - May 8, 2013 12:24 PM PT Facebook Share Tweet LinkedIn Google +1 0 Comments Print QUEUEQ Stanley Druckenmiller, the billionaire hedge-fund manager who returned an average of 30 percent a year from 1986 through 2010, said the l...http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288838345/9/2013 3:28:47 AM