Copyright © 2013 Knight Sac Media. All rights reserved.http://www.siliconinvestor.com/subject.aspx?subjectid=36817Exotic thoughts. http://www.siliconinvestor.com/images/Logo380x132.pnghttp://www.siliconinvestor.com/subject.aspx?subjectid=3681738013210ahhahaPolitical foibles as well as OPEC nonsense are the result of a primary bear market That's BS. Paul Johnson: Sometimes “even bad luck deserts a lost cause.” Events have material causes just like elections have material results. Nixon, who some ways was a great as well as awful Prez—fantastically forward-looking r...http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=289027985/18/2013 11:38:26 PMzardozreduxYes: That’s the great debate over whether the previous generational secular bull market started in December of 1974 or August 1982. No: Political foibles as well as OPEC nonsense are the result of a primary bear market that began independent of and prior to political events. Whether or not it is rooted in human biol...http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=289026055/18/2013 7:55:18 PMahhahaI saw a screen ad on a Yahoo page, "You can stop climate change". The idea is to plant trees and other CO2 absorbers. What happens? The increased number of trees raises the ground temperature by absorbing the solar constant, holding the heat better than bare ground, and more slowly allows the heat back into the atmosph...http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=289024895/18/2013 6:11:16 PMahhahaThe '73 - '74 bear had little to do with Der Nyx's political foibles. It had everything to do with FED and OPEC. FED pumped the economy out of the 1970 recession, a recession not brought as usually claimed by the guns and butter consumptive excesses of the late '60s, but rather because FED had pursued their newly inve...http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=289024425/18/2013 5:19:32 PMahhahaGold and ET flow. Gold stocks are being bought on balance. It works like this. A gold stock is in a consolidation and its ET flow is rising. Suddenly the bullion market drops like a rock, $20. Down goes the price of the gold stock but its ET flow moves sideways. Then the bullion market consolidates and ET flow in ...http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=289015775/17/2013 10:33:44 PMzardozreduxhttp://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=289015635/17/2013 10:21:21 PMzardozreduxThis confuses the media into believing gold is rising because of inflation when actually it's rising because of deflation which will be resolved in the future when in desperation the hapless central bank inadvertently creates hyperinflation. I agree, but eventually, not tomorrow or Monday.http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=289015615/17/2013 10:20:45 PMcmg1,666 closing print or exactly 1,000 points higher than the "generational" lows of 2009.http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=289014255/17/2013 8:46:46 PMzardozreduxInterestingly, the 1973-4 stock bear market began began nearly on the day Prez Nixon was inaugurated. A two year bear market ensued. He resigned in August 1974 merely 22 months after landslide victory. The stock market bottomed the following December. Politics are an effect of financial markets. As long as the sto...http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=289013905/17/2013 8:28:27 PMcmghttp://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=289013865/17/2013 8:25:11 PMzardozreduxAlso, one has to keep it simple. That's key. Almost no one understands that. You don't have to know very many things to make money but there are multiple ways to lose money. Successful investing is so much easier and, at the same time, so much harder than random plungers-J6P--think...and for different reasons than ...http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=289013815/17/2013 8:19:44 PMBrasco Onehttp://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=289013435/17/2013 7:51:57 PMThe Barracuda™http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=289008565/17/2013 3:32:03 PMLhn5IRS chief defends targeting of groups as 'obnoxious,' not illegalBernie Becker and Peter Schroeder - 05/17/13 12:23 PM ET Miller pushed back on Republicans who said the IRS was targeting conservatives, calling that a “loaded” statement.… Read more: thehill.com  Obnoxious not illegal? I can't even think of an ap...http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=289004445/17/2013 1:04:42 PMdvdw©http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288999255/17/2013 9:48:02 AMzardozreduxOK. So no technical analysis or sentiment indicators work. Even if there is a system that describes markets' behaviors correctly, e.g., Elliott Wave, any are no use since they are rear-view-mirrored, tell you what you already know, and use won't provide correct interpretation(s) anyway. OTOH, ET flow told you the ge...http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288998705/17/2013 9:26:11 AMahhahaNothing is "in" the markets. Otherwise, the market wouldn't be always instantaneously correcting, for what would it be correcting except its previous "in" error,thereby showing what was "in" wasn't. We have this problem in physics. What's the easiest way to get from point A to point B? Because of the nature of the un...http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288995855/17/2013 12:33:45 AMzardozredux"Really?" Yes, really. Long bond about where it was at year beginning. Everyone's bro says bond bull over; also, arguing even on TV about "what happens when Fed stops". Presumably such wide-spread talk is already in the market(s). Rising yields create big headwinds for soaring stocks from Nov 15 low, but when is the...http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288993845/16/2013 9:32:02 PMzardozreduxThank you. You're a pronounced MB INTJ and I enjoy your board discussions. Provocative/give-and-take provide continued learning experience.http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288993655/16/2013 9:24:14 PMahhaha2. It changes sikology entirely to wait for a confirmed bottom and then move in. POG can't be known in advance. You pick a spot, put your dough down, and take a chance. 3. My phrase re-work works better for my own psychology. Your psychology is more valuable than your stash of gold. 4. Is this one of those time...http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288993635/16/2013 9:23:12 PMahhahaPossible faulty memory since I didn't look up. I have a good memory and recall pretty much everything I've ever read or heard. We all have that ability. The difference is in pulling it out of yourself if you need it. One can do it by training the mind to concentrate. Then everything sticks to you, unfortunately. You c...http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288993285/16/2013 8:54:55 PMzardozredux2. It changes sikology entirely to wait for a confirmed bottom and then move in. 3. My phrase re-work works better for my own psychology. 4. Is this one of those times IYO? 5. a.Fed huffs and puffs trailing and b.seeks to manipulate. The perception that it does creates it own reality. ...15bps from here a lon...http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288993045/16/2013 8:40:27 PMahhaha1. No capitulation = wrong move. As soon as you think the bottom is in post-slam, it isn't. Sounds like our old zardoz who last posted on the GPM in '09. 2. Easy to scale in so wait for capitulation. Didn't I say that? You never knew my background, not that it matters. Big boyz buy the downsize because their trader...http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288992495/16/2013 8:00:42 PMzardozreduxYes. I commented to gf last year I couldn't remember how I found your board. Thanks for the reminder; had forgotten those remarks. I think I added that "ET flow has no predictive value. The market goes where it goes". Possible faulty memory since I didn't look up. ...The GPM folks were filled with dogmas unshakea...http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288991575/16/2013 7:00:36 PMzardozredux1. No capitulation = wrong move. As soon as you think the bottom is in post-slam, it isn't. 2. Easy to scale in so wait for capitulation. 3. Yes. Well bought is well sold. 4. Only good if willing to hold for a long time. 5. Everyone and his brother-in-law talks inflation as is 1920s Weimar. Exists in pockets, ...http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288991365/16/2013 6:51:04 PMahhahaI have a solution for Dell. Improve the PC. Give up the silly, unfounded myth that smart-X can replace the PC. Sooner or later the public will discover this. They haven't so far because we have a damnable baboon in the WH who keeps Lil Guy poor, and therefore, keeps small biz out of growth. Growth can't be handled with...http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288987965/16/2013 4:09:24 PMLhn5http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288982665/16/2013 12:53:18 PMahhahaCooperman is taking a long position in gold miners through the ETF, GDX. This is a wrong move. Why? Not because anyone knows where gold is going but because the buy is buying on the downside. Gold or GDX hasn't shown it has established a bottom. Cooperman's traders could only counter, "our size and visibility requires...http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288982615/16/2013 12:52:17 PMahhaha They already succeeded in achieving what he wanted them to ? How's that? Babs needed the IRS to tyrannically implement ACA since it can't be implemented otherwise. The IRS fumbled his ball, and opened the door to the reality of the calamity of any attempt of putting the onerous provisions, actually not slated until ...http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288981035/16/2013 11:58:23 AMLhn5Well he can offord to be 'angry' at the IRS now. They already succeeded in achieving what he wanted them to.http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288978815/16/2013 10:49:36 AMahhahaThe Baboon is only angry because his control scheme through the IRS was discovered. I fully expect that soon enough he'll be throwing dirt so don't stand near his gilded cage. ps. All connections to the WH have been broken a la Benghazi. In the final analysis it will be discovered that no one is responsible and no one...http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288978335/16/2013 10:30:55 AMahhahaGovernments can't stop virtual currencies. They can make them more valuable though.http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288974205/16/2013 12:45:08 AMDMaAFeds seize Mt Gox assets: That hands-off stance may have started to change this week when the feds took action against Mt. Gox, the world’s leading Bitcoin exchange. Many people use Dwolla, a PayPal-like payment network, to send dollars to their Mt. Gox accounts. They then use those dollars to buy Bitcoins. On Tue...http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288968555/15/2013 6:09:33 PMahhahaSewing the seeds in the collective unconscious : (Briefings) Apple back hovering near its session low at 429.11 The next area of technical interest is at 425 which marks the 50% retracement of the April-May advance.http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288961345/15/2013 1:44:11 PMsixty2ndshttp://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288948025/14/2013 11:00:54 PMahhahaDon't be too hard on him. He's a closet conservative and he's plenty smart --- not in the predictable SV way. I have an idea how he can make FB very profitable, but I think he can figure it out on his own.http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288947915/14/2013 10:50:16 PMsixty2ndsWrt the Trade Portfolio I've been in buy....err...bought n holding mode for months. Went to Cash in #1 Sons 529 2 weeks ago. The plan is to stack the cash in that one. There is not enough time left to recover from a swan dive. #2 Son has more time so it is stay the course.http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288947845/14/2013 10:48:39 PMKailuaBoyThat's great! I feel honored. We must be the three amigos. I'm quite sure you started the May 14th thing among these three amigos. I don't know why but I don't like Zuck too much. He's always got that deer in the headlights look or that "I can't believe I'm here, I mean I just stole a website" look about him. ...http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288944055/14/2013 6:57:20 PMdvdw©Happiest B Day wishes to you, your a special man! I thank you often from afar for the things learned here. Best always!http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288943685/14/2013 6:38:32 PMahhahaAnd by the way, for the record, Tepper's alleged buy of the AAPL position had to take place on a short covering rally which I remember in detail, or he bought it on the way down. In either case that's not how you play this game. You don't buy into short covering because it always corrects and mostly to yet a new low, a...http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288942925/14/2013 6:02:07 PMahhahaTepper said he bought a small position in AAPL under 400. ET flow says there's an even chance that price will go to 400 assuming the flow state doesn't meaningfully change. The worst thing anyone can do is reveal their market moves. That's especially true for pros including money managers. It's also true when it come...http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288942535/14/2013 5:48:49 PMLhn5http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288942385/14/2013 5:43:07 PMahhahahttp://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288941725/14/2013 5:20:27 PMDMaAhttp://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288940655/14/2013 4:22:06 PMKailuaBoyhttp://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288940615/14/2013 4:19:59 PMahhahahttp://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288939665/14/2013 3:52:43 PMLhn5http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288938455/14/2013 3:07:12 PMahhaha$200 tgt on TSLA? What would happen to TSLA if gasoline dropped to $1.80/gal? Babs would increase the subsidy?http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288937975/14/2013 2:51:11 PMahhahaIt's an auspicious day! Mark Zuckerburg, the strange one, and ME, share a Bday today.http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288937755/14/2013 2:45:00 PMahhahaUpdate: TSLA ET flow over the last hour in TSLA has had its second order divergence amplitude drop to zero. That means that short interest is very rapidly declining. The end is near! http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsg.aspx?msgid=288935155/14/2013 1:23:24 PM