Technology Stocks | Astea(ATEA) Meltdown! 23 to 8 in 1 day!


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To: teri pham who wrote (70)9/23/1996 1:46:00 PM
From: john j. cernickey   of 418
 
Teri, with regards to if they're working on something new, the only
thing I can help out with here is from the June 30th 10k, "The
Company plans to introduce a sales force automation application,
PowerSales, in 1996, under a license agreement from a third party."

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To: john j. cernickey who wrote (71)9/23/1996 7:20:00 PM
From: Antony Ip   of 418
 
Like I said before, I do not know the industry but when the company isn't emphasising a product as much as it's others, and where revenue takes a huge drop, it is from these and maybe some other actions which prompt my "speculation" of Dispatch growing out of favor.
But I think that the company seems to be doing the right thing by acquring these two companies for the products. The revenue stream from the two companies certainly weren't strong and didn't add much if any "positive" to the overall worth of the company by pure numbers.
So with the price now in the high 5s, not much good news is needed to "reassure" the shaken public that ATEA is here to stay. "Perhaps a better quarter during the winter season.

Antony

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To: Antony Ip who wrote (73)9/23/1996 7:26:00 PM
From: seth thomas   of 418
 
Antony - your points make some sense. Good reasoning.

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To: seth thomas who wrote (74)9/24/1996 9:44:00 AM
From: Antony Ip   of 418
 
Do you know of any interesting stocks that would be worth looking into?

Thank You.

Antony

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To: Antony Ip who wrote (73)9/25/1996 7:30:00 AM
From: john j. cernickey   of 418
 
I really feel that they're not deemphasizing Dispatch I as much as
they are trying to create an awareness and attention to them
having the capability of catering to the whole spectrum of end users.

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To: john j. cernickey who wrote (76)9/25/1996 1:06:00 PM
From: Antony Ip   of 418
 
Yes, this is the most likely case but it still is drawing attention
away from their core revenue product to their newer products. While
this is a good strategy ( in my thinking ) I think it will still have it's short term drop in revenue effect.

Antony

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To: Antony Ip who wrote (77)9/25/1996 4:30:00 PM
From: john j. cernickey   of 418
 
Well the stocks down again today. IMO it's just alot of cleaning
house before EOQ. One ray of hope: a 10,000 share block buy @ the
very end of the day. At least it shows that some big boy thinks
this is a diamond in the rough too. Hang tight y'all!

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To: john j. cernickey who wrote (78)9/25/1996 7:08:00 PM
From: Antony Ip   of 418
 
Well I'm currently not in ATEA right now. My thinking is that even
after their quarter report, the market is not going to make a sharp
rebound. If the report shows fundemental increases in their new
product lines and perhaps decreases in G&A, I might make the jump
in. But the price is very cheap especially if ATEA will remain a
dominant player in the business. If so, the stock may go back up to
it's "23" level fairly quickly.

Antony

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To: john j. cernickey who wrote (78)9/25/1996 7:20:00 PM
From: Deborah Ouellette   of 418
 
To All:

I bought ATEA @ $8 and some change back at the time of the "meltdown" and it was purely a speculative buy. However, I also thought Astea was a sound company with good prospects in the 12-18 month outlook. The prior quarter earnings were diluted by acquisition related charges, and therefore the stock seem oversold at the time.

With the stock now trading in the $5 range, I don't know whether to dollar cost average or just sit tight and wait for some type of earnings announcement from the company ...

I would like to know what other ATEA investors are doing at this time ...?

Thanks,

Deb

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To: Deborah Ouellette who wrote (80)9/26/1996 7:39:00 AM
From: john j. cernickey   of 418
 
My feelings are that:1)the company officers are not dumping their
stock. They own an aweful lot of it., 2)the company has good
(sometimes referred to as brilliant) management, 3)the book
value @ this point is very high relative to the price of the stock,
4)as of 9/15/96 there were about 57,000 shares shorted (I mean how low
does shorty think this stock is going to go(up pressure to cover)).
5)the company has some pretty hefty sized customers to sell reoccuring
services to, and 6)they've recently made a big committment to overseas
expansion.

I believe the stock is dowm on what is commonly referred to as the
cockroach theory. If there's one bad quarter, there's bound to be more.
But conversely, sh_t happens. I can't believe ATEA would come out with
the notion that last quarter's loss was attributable to nothing more
than a couple of big Ks that weren't closed and than it turning out to
be something else. When it comes to peoples money, people don't fool
around. Plus as I said, the insiders are still holding tight, despite
last quarter's loss. That's the way I see it and these are only my
opinions.

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