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From: Keith Feral5/21/2012 11:04:45 AM
   of 13213
 
BAC getting bids worth $1.5 to $2 billion for non US wealth mgmt operation. Asset sales will continue to help improve capital for BAC this year as they get on track with Basel 3 guidelines by the end of the year.

I wouldn't be shocked if JPM didn't throw up a big asset sale to offset the loss from CIO office. They could sell something for a couple billion that wasn't considered to be core assets. Like to see them dump some of their commodity related businesses. Warehousing metals in London is hardly a core banking activity.

They need to demonstrate the flexibility of their Fortress balance sheet to generate gains to offset losses, especially when the gains are nowhere close to the function of banks making loans.

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From: Keith Feral5/21/2012 11:43:09 AM
   of 13213
 
WDC boosted their buyback program by $1.5 billion today, which last for 5 years. I wouldn't be surprised to see them use it up much sooner, and extend this buyback program after June results.

They also changed their listing from NYSE to Nasdaq, which probably suits them better. Really like to see them come out with a nice dividend this quarter. They have the revenues and EPS to generate $18 billion a year in revenues with $11 in EPS.

New buybacks could retire another 35 to 45 million shares. That's really not the biggest priority for them since they are limited to 260 million shares already. They need a dividend to demonstrate their vastly improved revenues structure since they bought Hitachi's disk drive division last quarter.

If they initiated a 25% payout ratio like STX did back in January this June, that would be at least a $2 dividend. With or without the dividend, the accelerated growth in revenues and EPS still make the stock a good entry point again near $36.

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From: Keith Feral5/21/2012 12:09:41 PM
1 Recommendation   of 13213
 
JPM call premiums still look too high. June $32 calls selling for $2. If they can get those premiums closer to $1.50, the stock might find a bottom somewhere close to $32. That's good for almost a 3.75% yield at $32.

Just a little more embarrassment for JPM tomorrow with the Senate inquisition could set the floor for JPM.

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To: Keith Feral who wrote (8904)5/21/2012 3:06:00 PM
From: Oblivious1 Recommendation   of 13213
 
Bought CX today.

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To: Oblivious who wrote (8905)5/21/2012 4:01:16 PM
From: Brasco One   of 13213
 
not bad buy.

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To: Brasco One who wrote (8906)5/21/2012 4:27:19 PM
From: Oblivious   of 13213
 
Construction is picking up in Florida.

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From: ecrire5/21/2012 8:53:24 PM
   of 13213
 
Today's low volume rally not much help to Financials.
DFS is an exception and did well.

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To: Keith Feral who wrote (8904)5/21/2012 8:54:38 PM
From: Oblivious   of 13213
 
Asia all green of course!

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To: Oblivious who wrote (8909)5/21/2012 9:41:52 PM
From: Keith Feral   of 13213
 
DOW futes are pretty flat, no real direction yet. But, 10 year yields are back to 1.76%.

I think the most important test for the market this week will be getting through the Treasury auctions. If yields roll over after the auction, we could easily retest the 1.70 level or make new lows and the market is going to take another beating. If the yield pushes past 1.80% this week into the end of the month, I think the 1.70% double bottom low will stand.

Not selling or buying much for right now. Just keeping cash high for right now. Plenty of time to get more defensive or aggressive - it's all up to the 10 year from here. I'd love to see the dollar index start climbing with the 10 year yield.

My bigger concern that the pullback in the market is another pullback in the dollar. That simply brings back all the inflation that was just eliminated from energy prices. I'll give it the benefit of a dead cat bounce for a couple days, but anything beyond $95 for WTI prices would probably motivate me to start selling again.

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To: Keith Feral who wrote (8910)5/21/2012 9:48:31 PM
From: Oblivious   of 13213
 
I think the housing bottom is in. Hence the CX purchase.

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