Strategies & Market Trends | BUY AND SELL SIGNALS, AND OTHER MARKET PERSPECTIVES


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To: Challo Jeregy who wrote (32331)5/17/2012 10:00:15 PM
From: GROUND ZERO™   of 50444
 
LOL!!! Yikes!!!

GZ

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To: sandeep who wrote (32334)5/17/2012 10:08:50 PM
From: GROUND ZERO™   of 50444
 
Hmmm, so now they switched roles... and directions... that's a simple and logical explanation...

GZ

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To: Challo Jeregy who wrote (32329)5/17/2012 10:12:13 PM
From: GROUND ZERO™   of 50444
 
You're probably right... and if so, then we should see gold soar back to its previous highs very rapidly...

GZ

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To: Davy Crockett who wrote (32327)5/17/2012 10:12:57 PM
From: GROUND ZERO™   of 50444
 
Just do an online search, you might find something there...

GZ

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To: GROUND ZERO™ who wrote (32336)5/17/2012 11:11:09 PM
From: Oblivious   of 50444
 
Bank runs equal buying gold and $USDs.

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To: FCom777 who wrote (32309)5/17/2012 11:41:47 PM
From: Hawkmoon   of 50444
 
Well.. JPM's "bet" was basically one where they were "long" the economy and overall market. They were "taking the action" of all those Bearish speculators buying CDS insurance.

So if their bet was basically one where they predicting "inflation" and economic improvement. IF they are forced to unwind those positions in an illiquid market, it will send the opposite signal, and may require the Fed to step in and act to create that liquidity themselves.

I suspect that JPM was undertaking these derivative bets at the behest of the Fed, but this is something the Fed could never admit. Why else would JPM go out on such a limb to write CDS policies, unless there was the implicit agreement that the Fed would backstop them for providing that liquidity?

There is too much at stake for the Fed to not step in and help JPM to unwind some of that exposure. But how they go about is remains a mystery. They have to be sure it's done very quietly.

If they don't, then the Fed has just surrendered to the forces of Deflation.. and we know where that is going to lead us.. 2008, Part 2..

Hawk

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To: Hawkmoon who wrote (32344)5/17/2012 11:46:37 PM
From: The Reaper   of 50444
 
This the sequel to AIG. Who knows who else has done the same thing.

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To: Challo Jeregy who wrote (32329)5/17/2012 11:52:35 PM
From: Hawkmoon1 Recommendation   of 50444
 
Hmm.. it would currently be in JPM's interest to see gold rise, as this would reflect inflationary pressures, not deflation.

If I were a Hedgie, I would be shorting gold in order to put upward pressure on the USD, which would pressure the US equity indices, which would make it more difficult for JPM to get out of their CDS "short" positions (long the economy and markets).

If a Hedgie really wants to put the screws to JPM, they need to create a deflationary panic. And that's going to push the Fed to act sooner than later, IMO.

Hawk

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To: The Reaper who wrote (32345)5/17/2012 11:57:05 PM
From: Hawkmoon   of 50444
 
This the sequel to AIG.

Yep.. essentially correct, IMO.

Except this time we have the added pressure of a potential collapse of the EU and the Euro..

Hawk

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To: GROUND ZERO™ who wrote (32342)5/18/2012 12:39:47 AM
From: robert b furman2 Recommendations   of 50444
 
Hi GZ,

Tommorrow we reverse - if not then by next week we explode:


stockcharts.com 


stockcharts.com 

If at the close tomorrow we are lower it will put stock to many - most sell puts for the money - few sell puts to buy stock cheap.

If we close down friday -many will be forced to buy and they'll blow the stock out monday/tuesday.

Could be a great but opportunity.

If we go up big - then next week must confirm 3-5 days later or we go down again to a new low.

Not a big deal but we sweat out the players.

This is pretty ugly and it is good value.

Stretch a bit and accumulate.

Bob

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