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 Strategies & Market Trends | BUY AND SELL SIGNALS, AND OTHER MARKET PERSPECTIVES

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To: GROUND ZERO™ who wrote (31043)4/19/2012 3:55:07 PM
From: architect*2 Recommendations   of 50435
 
Carl's lows in 2003, 2009, 1970, 1975 make sense, but in 1954, 1958, 1962, 196, 1978, 1986, 1991, 1994, 1998
the lows Carl notes in these years looks more like tops. In many years what Carl has noted as a cycle low is actually the near the high for the four year cycle.

After 1982, no significant cycle low occurred until 2003. I don't disagree with the four year business cycle. IMO, This chart shows the bull market from 1960 - 2012 clearer than Carl's chart.
stockcharts.com 

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To: Davy Crockett who wrote (31044)4/19/2012 4:01:25 PM
From: GROUND ZERO™   of 50435
 
Maybe the party is over for a while...

GZ

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To: architect* who wrote (31045)4/19/2012 4:02:39 PM
From: GROUND ZERO™   of 50435
 
Wow, that's some chart!!!

GZ

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To: GROUND ZERO™ who wrote (31046)4/19/2012 4:05:57 PM
From: penthouse mike   of 50435
 
GZ,

Are you holding your S&P short over night? Thanks for posting your trades all day.

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To: penthouse mike who wrote (31048)4/19/2012 4:17:27 PM
From: GROUND ZERO™   of 50435
 
Yes, definitely, staying short for the duration, it could turn up tomorrow or continue much lower, I have no clue, I'm just riding the wave for what it gives me, besides, my model is still short so why fight the tape... you're most welcome...

GZ

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To: GROUND ZERO™ who wrote (31049)4/19/2012 4:24:22 PM
From: Wayners   of 50435
 
This bear flag is just about over. 3 failed attempts to rally out of the flag, all failures and now the 5 dma has rolled over...once that lower flag line breaks and confirms, it's going to be a serious breakdown.

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To: Wayners who wrote (31050)4/19/2012 5:08:51 PM
From: GROUND ZERO™   of 50435
 
I agree, I think this market may be in some trouble near term, at least...

GZ

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To: GROUND ZERO™ who wrote (31051)4/19/2012 9:14:54 PM
From: TFF   of 50435
 
There was some serious weakness in DB this morning. The SPX broke down soon after. Canary in the coal mine?

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To: TFF who wrote (31052)4/19/2012 10:47:18 PM
From: GROUND ZERO™   of 50435
 
I think reality is setting into these markets, there are serious problems with Spain and Italy, just to start with, and I don't know how tough that road will get before that problem is resolved, if ever... Italy is the 6th largest economy in the world, it won't be easy for they to recover so quickly... and the unemployment rate in Spain is 25% and among the younger population the unemployment rate is 50%, if they're not buying our products, then how can our companies do well? I don't think we're completely immune to the effects on their economies...

GZ

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To: GROUND ZERO™ who wrote (31053)4/19/2012 10:48:38 PM
From: Oblivious   of 50435
 
France may be down graded by Moody.

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