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From: russet4/26/2012 11:35:42 PM
   of 4331
 
UK economy in double-dip recession

25 April 2012 Last updated at 07:30 ET


bbc.co.uk 

The UK economy has returned to recession, after shrinking by 0.2% in the first three months of 2012.


A sharp fall in construction output was behind the surprise contraction, the Office for National Statistics said.

A recession is defined as two consecutive quarters of contraction. The economy shrank by 0.3% in the fourth quarter of 2011.

Wednesday's figure is an early estimate and is subject to at least two further revisions in the coming months. It is compiled using 40% of the data gathered for later revisions.

The UK economy was last in recession in 2009.

The ONS said output of the production industries decreased by 0.4%, construction decreased by 3%. Output of the services sector, which includes retail, increased by 0.1%, after falling a month earlier.

These figures are slightly worse than many expected, but the fact that the UK is now technically back in recession should not detract from the underlying reality, which is very much as predicted.

The UK economy has been bumping along the bottom for more than a year and is still struggling to gain momentum.

Many have questioned the dire numbers for the construction sector, which accounts for less than 7% of the economy, but has done much to pull the GDP figure into negative territory.

The sharp fall in output from the production sector is also at odds with recent business surveys (though manufacturing has not fallen as the sector overall).

However, this preliminary figure is consistent with the message coming from official and private data - that the UK was once again relying heavily on services and consumption by households. That suggests the recovery will continue to be weak, though whether we will see further quarters of negative growth is very much an open question.

It added that a fall in government spending had contributed to the particularly large fall in the construction sector.
"The huge cuts to public spending - 25% in public sector housing and 24% in public non-housing and with a further 10% cuts to both anticipated for 2013 - have left a hole too big for other sectors to fill," said Judy Lowe, deputy chairman of industry body CITB-ConstructionSkills, said.

The first estimate of GDP for the last three months of 2011 showed a contraction of 0.2%, which was later revised to a contraction of 0.3%

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From: russet4/26/2012 11:38:35 PM
   of 4331
 
Europe faces Japan syndrome as credit demand implodes


By Ambrose Evans-Pritchard EconomicsLast updated: April 25th, 2012

blogs.telegraph.co.uk 



Europe could be facing a Lost Decade like Japan's


Europe (minus Germany) looks more like post-bubble Japan each month.

The long-feared credit crunch has mutated instead into a collapse in DEMAND for loans. Households and firms are comatose, or scared stiff, in a string of countries.


Chart by Jeffries International. Click for full document


Demand for housing loans fell 70pc in Portugal, 44pc in Italy, and 42pc in the Netherlands in the first quarter of 2012. Enterprise loans fell 38pc in Italy. The survey took place in late March and early April, and therefore includes the second of Mario Draghi’s €1 trillion liquidity infusion (LTRO).

The ECB said net demand for loans had fallen "to a significantly lower level than had been expected in the fourth quarter of 2011, with the decline driven in particular by a further sharp drop in financing needs for fixed investment." Demand fell 43pc for household loans, and 30pc for non-bank firms.

Mr Draghi told MEPs today that his three-year loans had at least averted a horrendous crunch. "Our LTROs have been quite timely and successful. I think buying time is not a minor achievement." He is certainly right about that. The mess he inherited from the Merkel/Sarkozy expropriations of bondholders in Greece, and the Trichet/Stark tightening of monetary policy was calamitous.

This slump in loan demand is more or less what happened during Japan’s Lost Decade as Mr and Mrs Watanabe shunned debt. Zero interest rates did nothing. The Bank of Japan was "pushing on a string" (though it never really launched bond purchases with any serious determination).

It is true that banks have slowed the pace of credit tightening, but they are nevertheless still tightening. "A banking crisis remains very much in play for much of the region," said David Owen from Jefferies Fixed Income.

The credit squeeze is entirely predictable – and was widely predicted – given that banks must raise their core Tier 1 capital ratios to 9pc by July to meet EU rules, or face nationalisation. (The pro-cyclical folly of this beggars belief: by all means impose higher buffers, but not during a recession, and not by letting banks slash their balance sheets. The US at least forced its banks to raise capital, an entirely different policy since it does not lead to a lending crunch.)

The IMF said last week that Europe’s banks would slash their balance sheets by €2 trillion – or 7pc – by next year. This amounts to an economic shock. The Fund said deleveraging on this scale at a time of sharp fiscal tightening risks a "bad equilibrium".

Indeed it does. It ensures hell for countries containing 200m people, or more. Judging by the rise of Sinn Fein, the Dutch Freedom Party, the Dutch Socialist Party (hard-Left), France’s Front National, and some true fire-breathers in Greece, they victims will not readily put up with this.

Julian Callow from Barclays Capital said there is no almost no historical precedent for the sort of deleveraging under way in the EMU periphery. Credit rose from 100pc of GDP to over 200pc in Ireland, Greece, Portugal, and Spain in the EMU boom. "This is far higher than in Japan during the 1980s. It is hard to find an historical parallel or any insight from economic theory for where we are going," he said.

Mr Callow said Spanish houses are only halfway through their correction and are likely to fall another 20pc before clearing the overhang of stock. The shock for banks will be ugly. The Bank of Spain said yesterday that mortgages fell 49.6pc in February from a year ago.

Mr Draghi called for a "Growth compact" today – but so did Chancellor Merkel, illustrating how meaningless such rhetoric can be. Mr Draghi’s plea is a cop out. The proper policy mix for Euroland – in as much as it is possible to devise policy for such a menagerie – is a moderate pace of fiscal tightening (much slower than now), offset by monetary stimulus a l’outrance. That means cutting rates to the zero-bound (0.5pc) and launching fully fledged QE until the M3 money collapse in Club Med is halted, and M3 for the whole eurozone is growing at 5pc.

And no, the LTRO is not QE. It does not shift the risk onto the balance sheet of the central bank. It does not work through the quantity money mechanism (or at least, not efficiently). It concentrates the risk on the books of private banks, many of them engaged in a Hail Mary gamble on redemption by buying Spanish and Italian bonds with ECB money.

Or one analyst said, the LTRO lets northern banks dump their bond holdings onto Club Med banks. The renationalisation of the eurozone financial system goes a step further.

The LTRO "carry trade" is already revealing the sting in its tail in any case since the banks are by now underwater on a lot of bonds. What happens if and when they need to sell those bonds to cover debts falling due over the next year?

Until the ECB conducts monetary policy with proper energy, calls for "Growth Compacts" from governments amount to humbug. The ECB needs to do its own work.

We all know why it will not do so: because Hayekian romantics at the Bundesbank hold sway, and none of the other governors dare say boo. Live with the consequences.

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From: russet4/26/2012 11:40:21 PM
   of 4331
 
Spain and Italy borrowing rates soar in latest auctions Updated: 12:09, Tuesday, 24 April 2012



Borrowing costs for both Spain and Italy rose today in their latest auction of government bonds.

Spain's borrowing rate nearly doubled in a short-term debt auction as investors fretted over the euro zone's determination to deal with its debts.

rte.ie 


And Italy raised nearly €3.5 billion in a short-term bond sale today but at sharply higher interest rates amid fresh concerns over the euro zone outlook, the Bank of Italy said.

The Spanish treasury said it raised €1.933 billion but the timing could hardly have been worse, with financial markets slumping on concern that Europeans are wavering in their commitment to austerity.

The sale of three-month and six-month bills came a day after Spain's central bank declared the country had plunged back into recession in the first quarter of 2012.

Markets were shaken after a first round of French presidential elections on Sunday put Socialist Francois Hollande, who wants the euro zone to focus on growth rather than austerity, ahead of incumbent Nicolas Sarkozy. The two contenders face off in a final vote May 6.

Further undermining stability, the Netherlands' government collapsed yesterday after failing to reach agreement over austerity measures, placing its AAA credit rating at risk. But Spain still managed to lure strong interest in the auction with overall demand outstripping supply by more than four-to-one.

The money raised was towards the top of its targeted range of €1-2 billion. But it had to pay a steep price. The borrowing rate leapt to 0.634% from 0.381% for three-month bills and to 1.58% from 0.836% for six month bills, when compared with the last similar auction on March 27.

Spain has promised to cut its public deficit - the annual shortfall of income compared to spending - to 5.3% of gross domestic product in 2012 and just 3% of GDP in 2013. Last year it had allowed the deficit to hit 8.5% of GDP - 2.5 percentage points over target.

Desperate to meet its targets, the government approved €27 billion in fiscal tightening in its 2012 budget, in addition to an earlier round of tax increases and spending cuts amounting to €15.2 billion.

But analysts say those targets will be harder to reach as tax income declines and welfare costs rise because Spain is back in recession just two years after emerging from the last downturn. Spanish GDP fell by an estimated 0.4% in the first quarter of 2012 after a 0.3% decline in the last three months of 2011, the Bank of Spain said yesterday.

Spain, whose unemployment rate at the end of 2011 was already the highest in the industrialised world at 22.85%, suffered a further 4% year-on-year drop in employment in the first quarter of 2012, the Bank of Spain said.

In addition to raising the cost of Spain's debt financing, worries about Spain's finances have sharply depressed the stock market. Madrid's IBEX-35 index of leading shares has dropped by nearly 19% since the beginning of the year, slipping below 7,000 points for the first time in more than three years.

Italy borrowing costs rise sharply

Italy raised nearly €3.5 billion in a short-term bond sale today but at sharply higher interest rates amid fresh concerns over the euro zone outlook, the Bank of Italy said.

Rome issued bonds worth a total of €3.44 billion today. The offer included €2.5 billion in bonds due in 2014 which were sold to give buyers a yield, or rate of return of 3.35%, up from 2.35% at a similar sale in March.

The government also sold €501m of inflation-indexed bonds due to mature in 2017 at 3.88%, up from 2.04%, and €441.5m in bonds due in 2019 at 4.32%, up from 3.06%.

Italy's borrowing costs had been falling in recent months after Prime Minister Mario Monti implemented a series of budget cuts and pension reforms as well as launching key reforms aimed at boosting growth.

Fresh concerns, however, over whether fellow eurozone struggler Spain can stabilise its public finances, coupled with nervousness over the French presidential elections and the political crisis in the Netherlands has turned sentiment for the worse again.

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To: teevee who wrote (3087)4/27/2012 12:50:43 AM
From: The Jack of Hearts   of 4331
 
Interesting comment on NG in the latest Coxe spiel..

Message 28108714

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From: russet4/27/2012 6:46:28 PM
   of 4331
 
Post says Scotiabank commodity index takes hit in March

2012-04-27 09:39 ET - In the News



The Financial Post reports in its Friday edition Scotiabank's commodity price index declined for the fourth straight month in March, despite gains in agriculture and forest products. The Post's Jonathan Ratner, writing in Trading Desk, says oil and gas led the way on the downside with a 9.1-per-cent dip, while metals and minerals fell 1 per cent. Oil and gas now has a huge impact on commodity price performance. They account for 39.9 per cent of Canada's net exports of all commodities and resource-based manufactured goods in 2010, according to Scotia's Patricia Mohr. She noted that while international benchmarks for oil (Brent and WTI) continued to gain ground in March, both Edmonton light sweet and Western Canadian Select heavy oil prices fell. "Unusually high price discounts on Western Canadian oil reflect over reliance on one key export market -- the U.S. Midwest -- and inadequate pipeline export capacity to tap the faster-growing markets of Asia-Pacific," Ms. Mohr said. "In coming years, various pipeline projects connecting Cushing to U.S. Gulf Coast refining centres will help to narrow the discount for WTI oil off Brent." She added natural gas prices below $2 (U.S.) are unsustainable in the medium term.

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From: russet4/30/2012 12:07:50 AM
   of 4331
 
Global food prices on the rise again-World Bank

Wed Apr 25, 2012 11:24am EDT


* Global food costs up 8 pct December through March

* Production outlook strong, could check price rise

* African domestic food prices especiallly high (Recasts, adds details, comment from World Bank official)

WASHINGTON, April 25 (Reuters) - Global food prices are rising again, pushed higher by costlier oil, strong demand from Asia and bad weather in parts of Europe, South America and the United States, the World Bank said on Wed nesday.

reuters.com 

The latest World Bank food price index showed the cost of food rose 8 percent between December and March. In the previous four months, prices had declined. Even after the latest rise, food prices remain 1 percent below a year ago and 6 percent below the February 2011 historical peak, the World Bank said.

"After four months of consecutive price declines, food prices are on the rise again, threatening the food security of millions of people," Otaviano Canuto, World Bank vice president for poverty reduction and economic management, said in a statement.

"The price indices of grains, fats and oils, and other foods all increased in each month since January 2012," the World Bank said.

The international rice price declined, however, due to abundant supplies of the grain and strong competition among exporters, the poverty-fighting institution said.

If current food production forecast for 2012/2013 do not materialize, global food prices could reach higher levels and required close monitoring, the World Bank cautioned.

Developing economies were hit by a food and energy price crisis in 2008/09, sparking social unrest and food export bans in some countries. Further price increases in 2010 and early 2011 led to increased production of major crops, the bank added.

It said production outlooks remain "strong" with price pressures influenced by a decline in the use of maize for ethanol production in the United States and weaker global demand due to the euro zone debt crisis.

Domestic food prices remain high especially in Africa due to a combination of large food imports and factors such as regional trade restrictions, hoarding, civil unrest and bad weather.

The World Bank said it was hard to predict whether the surge in prices this year would lead to a new global food crisis since there is no mechanism to identify the onset of a global food crisis.

The bank said it was working on developing a system to define, identify and monitor food price increases at global and national levels

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From: russet4/30/2012 12:11:15 AM
   of 4331
 
China’s property boom has peaked, forever


By Ambrose Evans-Pritchard EconomicsLast updated: April 26th, 2012

blogs.telegraph.co.uk 


Here is some food for thought, if you are a China "take-over-the-world" bull.

I have just been listening to a talk on the Chinese housing market by Xianfang Ren, Beijing analyst for IHS Global Insight.

Land sales make up 30pc of total tax revenue for the central government and 70pc for local government. (For those of us who watched the Irish state balloon on the back of property taxes – when they had a fat budget surplus – this has a familiar ring.)

Construction makes up 10pc of total jobs, and a further 20pc indirectly in cement, steel, metallurgy etc. The government is building 36m homes for the poor, but that will start to run down in two years or so.

Residential investment typically peaks at 8pc to 9pc of GDP for emerging nations during their catch-up growth spurts. It is already 12pc in China.

Japan’s ratio peaked in 1973, long before the property price bubble burst. China has almost certainly peaked too on this crucial measure.

The minimum down-payment rate on mortgages is 30pc, so leverage is in theory low. (How this can be the case when the IMF says that the house price to incomes ratio is 16 to 18 times in the Eastern cities of Beijing, Tinajing, Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Guangzhou has long been a mystery).

"At first sight China looks fine. Unfortunately, there is a big problem of misclassification of loans. The financial system has much larger exposure to real estate than appears, and the weak links are the real estate trusts and non-bank lending. The smaller developers are cash-flow constrained and will find it hard to roll over debts. Any defaults will have to be recognised immediately."

This may be happening already, since housing sales slumped 25pc in the first quarter.

Meanwhile, the demographic crunch hit last year. China’s dependency ratio – ie children plus elderly in proportion to those of working age – touched bottom at 28pc and has now begun a relentless climb that will get worse every year for decades. (The ageing crisis is not yet as bad as Japan at the onset of the Lost Decade in the early 1990s. The old-age dependency ratio is 11pc compared to 18pc in Japan in the early 1990s).

The urbanisation rate has just passed the "inflection point" of 50pc when growth in developing economies starts to slow sharply.

A week ago I heard a talk at the ChunQiu Institute in London by Nobel laureate Edmund Phelps (one of the truly great Nobel economists who first debunked "Keynesian" misuse of the growth/unemployment trade-off or Phillips Curve and has devoted the last part of his academic life to trying to understand China).

His view is that China has already reached the point where it can no longer offset soaring wage costs with productivity gains imported through Western technology. It has hit the time-honoured wall. Diminishing returns are setting in, and there lies the "middle-income trap" that ensnares most challengers.

He expects productivity growth to converge with US levels within ten years, but at a much lower per capita. Whether China has the free-thinking, inventive culture to grasp the prize in the next historical phase is far from clear.

Be that as it may, Xianfang Ren said China has the means to bail out the banking system and property market in this cycle, and will use them if need be. "Housing is way too important to allow a hard landing."

These include deposits (170pc of GDP), government revenues (30pc), the assets of state behemoths (75pc), foreign reserves (50pc) of GDP – I don’t agree on this last point since the FX reserves cannot be repatriated without a big currency rise and a shock for exporters. It would amount to monetary tightening.

This could all go wrong if there is a "perfect storm", if China is hit by an external shock and at the same time makes big policy errors like Japan at the end of its bubble when it raised interest rates 400 basis points and imposed a land tax at the wrong moment.

"We don’t think there will necessarily be a housing bust but the chance of another boom is very low." Indeed.

Much China debate in the West is hijacked by ultra-bulls or ultra-bears. Xianfang Ren actually knows what she is talking about so I pass on her thoughts.

There again, after the Bo Xilai saga, can anybody really say they know what China’s political landscape will look like in 10 years?

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From: russet4/30/2012 12:12:23 AM
   of 4331
 
S&P Cuts Spain's Long-Term Credit Rating 2 Notches By THE ASSOCIATED PRESS Published: April 26, 2012 at 7:14 PM ET
S&P reduced Spain's long-term sovereign credit rating to "BBB+" from "A." The agency also lowered Spain's short-term rating and assigned a negative outlook, which suggests the possibility of another downgrade in the near future.

nytimes.com 


Spain's credit rating is still in investment grade, three notches above junk status. Nonetheless, the lower rating could increase the nation's borrowing costs because investors will likely demand higher interest rates to compensate for the greater risk implied by the downgrade.

But it is nowhere near Greece, which was downgraded to default by the three major rating agencies after its private creditors were forced to take the biggest debt writedown in history. The agencies — S&P, Moody's and Fitch — are expected to raise Greece's rating after it completed this week a huge bond exchange designed to more than halve its privately held debt.

S&P's downgrade of Spain, announced after the close of markets in the U.S., was not a total surprise. Moody's, cut the country's rating two notches in February due to the country's difficult fiscal outlook.

S&P cited the risk that Spain's government debt will expand as the contracting economy exacerbates the nation's budget woes. The Spanish central bank confirmed this week that Spain is in recession for the second time in three years. A jobless rate of nearly 23 percent is expected to rise.

The ratings agency also noted the "increasing likelihood" that the Spanish government will need to provide further help for the banking sector.

To go along with the credit downgrade, S&P lowered its forecast for Spain's economic outlook. The agency said it expects the economy to contract by 1.5 percent this year and 0.5 percent in 2013. Its previous outlook had growth of 0.3 percent in 2012 and 1 percent in 2013.

Spain's new conservative government has forecast that the economy will contract 1.7 percent this year.

The drags on economic growth include declining disposable incomes, reduction in private borrowing, implementation of the government's fiscal plan, and uncertain demand in key trading partners, S&P said.

The agency said Spain's economy is "rebalancing," and the government's moves should help.

The government of Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy has pushed through deficit-reduction steps including labor market and financial sector measures.

S&P praised the government's labor-market reforms, which it said would slow the pace of job-cutting and eventually help improve the employment picture. But it warned that the measures won't create net new jobs in the near term.

"As a consequence, the already high unemployment rate — especially among the young — will likely worsen until a sustainable recovery sets in," S&P said.

Spain is digging out from the 2008 collapse of a property bubble that had fueled nearly a decade of growth.

S&P had harsh words for Europe's handling of the debt crisis, which it said "continues to lack effectiveness." It said that Spain's situation could deteriorate further unless Europe takes steps to bolster investor confidence and stabilize capital flows with the rest of the world. It suggested more pooling of resources and obligations and policies to better coordinate wages among European countries.

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From: russet4/30/2012 12:13:29 AM
   of 4331
 
Foreclosure Activity Returns in Majority of US Markets

By: Diana Olick
CNBC Real Estate Reporter

Published: Thursday, 26 Apr 2012 | 11:39 AM ET

Big jumps in foreclosure activity in cities like Pittsburgh, Indianapolis, New York and Raleigh pushed the national numbers higher in the first three months of this year, according to a new report from RealtyTrac, an online foreclosure sales and data company.

A majority of U.S. housing markets posted a quarterly increase in foreclosure activity, although the numbers are still down from a year ago.

cnbc.com 

“First quarter metro foreclosure trends were a mixed bag,” said Brandon Moore, chief executive officer of RealtyTrac, adding that the increase in the number of cities seeing a quarterly jump is, “an early sign that long-dormant foreclosures are coming out of hibernation in many local markets.”

Tracking foreclosure activity is a tricky business right now, as the system has been roiled with problems left over from the so-called “robo-signing” foreclosure paperwork scandal.

The five largest banks signed a $25 billion settlement agreement earlier this year, requiring them to do more modifications and write down principal on some troubled loans. While some expected foreclosure numbers to surge, as states that require a judge in the foreclosure process finally start pushing the documents through again, but more recent data has shown the opposite. As banks work on saving more loans or doing foreclosure alternatives, like short sales, deeds in lieu of foreclosure, or deeds for rent programs, the final foreclosure numbers are falling. New mortgage delinquencies are also falling, thanks to a slowly improving jobs picture.



Still, inventories of properties in the foreclosure process are still abnormally high, and some of the usual markets are the culprits. Stockton and Modesto, California still have the highest foreclosure rates in the nation, while Las Vegas dropped to the eighth spot, with foreclosure activity down 61 percent from a year ago. The Phoenix market is also improving, although still in the top ten list of foreclosure rates.

Just over 7 percent of U.S. loans were in some stage of delinquency in March, and 4.14 percent were in the foreclosure process, according to a new report from Lender Processing Services. The delinquency number is down almost 9 percent from a year ago, but the foreclosure inventory is fairly flat, down 1.6 percent from a year ago, but up slightly from the previous month. 5.6 million properties are still in some stage of delinquency or foreclosure. These numbers, negative home equity, and still-tight credit are the largest impediments to a robust recovery in the housing market.

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From: russet4/30/2012 12:17:03 AM
   of 4331
 
Chasing Fees, Banks Court Low-Income Customers

By JESSICA SILVER-GREENBERG and BEN PROTESS
April 25, 2012

When David Wegner went looking for a checking account in January, he was peppered with offers for low-end financial products, including a prepaid debit card with numerous fees, a short-term emergency loan with steep charges, money wire services and check-cashing options.

nytimes.com 

“I may as well have gone to a payday lender,” said Mr. Wegner, a 36-year-old nursing assistant in Minneapolis, who ended up choosing a local branch of U.S. Bank and avoided the payday lenders, pawnshops and check cashers lining his neighborhood.

Along with a checking account, he selected a $1,000 short-term loan to help pay for his cystic fibrosis medications. The loan cost him $100 in fees, and that will escalate if it goes unpaid.

An increasing number of the nation’s large banks — U.S. Bank, Regions Financial and Wells Fargo among them — are aggressively courting low-income customers like Mr. Wegner with alternative products that can carry high fees. They are rapidly expanding these offerings partly because the products were largely untouched by recent financial regulations, and also to recoup the billions in lost income from recent limits on debit and credit card fees.

Banks say that they are offering a valuable service for customers who might not otherwise have access to traditional banking and that they can offer these products at competitive prices. The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, a new federal agency, said it was examining whether banks ran afoul of consumer protection laws in the marketing of these products.

In the push for these customers, banks often have an advantage over payday loan companies and other storefront lenders because, even though banks are regulated, they typically are not subject to interest rate limits on payday loans and other alternative products.

Some federal regulators and consumer advocates are concerned that banks may also be steering people at the lowest end of the economic ladder into relatively expensive products when lower-cost options exist at the banks or elsewhere.

“It is a disquieting development for poor customers,” said Mark T. Williams, a former Federal Reserve Bank examiner. “They are getting pushed into high-fee options.”

“We look at alternative financial products offered by both banks and nonbanks through the same lens — what is the risk posed to consumers?” said Richard Cordray, director of the bureau. “Practices that make it hard for consumers to anticipate and avoid costly fees would be cause for concern.”

Analysts in the banking industry say that lending to low-income customers, especially those with tarnished credit, is tricky and that banks sometimes have to charge higher rates to offset their risk. Still, in an April survey of prepaid cards, Consumers Union found that some banks’ prepaid cards come with lower fees than nonbank competitors.

While banks have offered short-term loans and some check-cashing services in the past, they are introducing new products and expanding some existing ones. Last month, Wells Fargo introduced a reloadable prepaid card, while Regions Financial in Birmingham, Ala., unveiled its “Now Banking” suite of products that includes bill pay, check cashing, money transfers and a prepaid card.

The Regions package is meant to attract the “growing pay-as-you-go consumer,” said John Owen, the bank’s senior executive vice president for consumer services.

The packages are the latest twist on “cross-selling,” in which lenders compete to win a larger share of customer business with deals on checking, savings accounts and mortgages.

Reaching the so-called unbanked or underbanked population — people who use few, if any, bank services — could be lucrative, industry consultants said. Kimberly Gartner, vice president for advisory services at the Center for Financial Services Innovation, said that such borrowers were a $45 billion untapped market.

The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation estimates that about nine million households in the country do not have a traditional bank account, while 21 million, or 18 percent, of Americans are underbanked.

Mr. Wegner, the U.S. Bank customer, said that once he mentioned that he needed a bank account, an employee started selling him prepaid cards, check cashing and short-term loan options. Mr. Wegner, who makes about $1,200 a month, said that he felt like a second-tier customer.

“It was clear that I was not getting the same pitches that wealthy clients would,” he said. Since that initial visit, Mr. Wegner said he avoided the branch so he was not approached with offers. “I go through the drive-through now,” he said.

Bank payday loans, which are offered as advances on direct-deposit paychecks, are a particularly vexing part of the new pitch from lenders, consumer advocates said. The short-term, high-fee loans, like the one Mr. Wegner received, are offered by a handful of banks, including Wells Fargo. In May, Regions introduced its “Ready Advance” loan after determining that some of its customers were heading to storefront payday lenders.

The loans can get expensive. When the loan comes due, the bank automatically withdraws from the customer’s checking account the amount of the loan and the origination fee — typically $10 for every $100 borrowed — regardless of whether there is enough money in the account. That can lead to overdraft and other fees that translate into an annual interest rate of more than 300 percent, according to the Center for Responsible Lending.

The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, which oversees the nation’s largest banks, said in June that the loans raised “operational and credit risks and supervisory concerns.” Last summer, federal bank regulators ordered MetaBank, which is based in Iowa, to return $4.8 million to customers who took out high-interest loans.

Lenders are also joining the prepaid card market. In 2009, consumers held about $29 billion in prepaid cards, according to the Mercator Advisory Group, a payments industry research group. By the end of 2013, the market is expected to reach $90 billion. A big lure for banks is that prepaid cards are not restricted by Dodd-Frank financial regulation law. That exemption means that banks are able to charge high fees when a consumer swipes a prepaid card.

The companies distributing the cards have drawn criticism for not clearly disclosing fees that can include a charge to activate the card, load money on it and even to call customer service. Customers with a “convenient cash” prepaid card from U.S. Bank, for example, pay a $3 fee to enroll, a $3 monthly maintenance fee, $3 to visit a bank teller and $15 dollars to replace a lost card.

Capital One charges prepaid card users $1.95 for using an A.T.M. more than once a month, while Wells Fargo charges $1 to speak to a customer service agent more than twice a month.

Some smaller banks even offer prepaid cards with credit lines, which carry steep interest charges.

“This is a two-tiered, separate and unequal system and it is worsening,” said Sarah Ludwig, a lawyer who started the Neighborhood Economic Development Advocacy Project.

Some lenders are even styling their offices to look like check-cashing stores. In June, Redstone Federal Credit Union, the largest credit union in Alabama, will open two stores that are designed to look exactly like check cashers.

One of the stores, in Decatur, Ala., is part of a run-down strip mall and includes a sign that says “Right Choice, Money Services.” An adjacent store, not affiliated with Redstone, advertises loans for people who “need money fast.”

“It looks like a check casher, but once you get inside you get the best of both worlds,” Peter Alvarez, Redstone’s emerging markets manager. The stores will offer traditional checking and savings accounts alongside prepaid cards, money transfer and bill paying. “We wanted to attract people who wouldn’t naturally come to a bank.”

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