Technology Stocks | AONE: A123 Systems


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From: Glenn Petersen5/16/2010 11:19:37 PM
   of 44
 
AONE closed at $11.46 on Friday.

Battery recharges debate about U.S. manufacturing

By Don Lee, Tribune Washington Bureau
Chicago Tribune
May 16, 2010

BOSTON — Yet-Ming Chiang relishes his 20-mile drive to work. His hybrid car gets more than 100 miles per gallon, recharges by plugging into a regular wall outlet and is powered by a breakthrough battery he invented.

Safer and more long-lasting than conventional lithium-ion car batteries, the Massachusetts Institute of Technology professor's invention packs 600 cells into a case the size of an airplane carry-on bag. His technology has already transformed the batteries used in many cordless power tools.

So why are Chiang and his company, A123 Systems, having trouble moving to full-scale commercial production? The answer is a story of both the obstacles to a rebirth of U.S. manufacturing and of the tantalizing possibilities if such a rebirth could be achieved.

The obstacles are rooted in the sad history of manufacturing's decline in the United States: Despite the promise of Chiang's batteries, many in Wall Street and Silicon Valley were incredulous when he and other leaders at A123 asked for capital to build factories in America: Asia, yes, but Michigan, why would you want to?

Even more daunting, virtually all of the world's battery-manufacturing industry is in Asia, where plants can be built faster and supplies and equipment are much easier to get than in the United States. These days, it's hard to find Americans who even know how to build a battery factory.

That's why A123 had to give in and build its first plants in China, where the company could move into production quickly to show auto industry customers that it could deliver on future contracts.

"Without question, we would rather have done it all in the U.S.," said Chiang, 52, who left Taiwan as a 6-year-old with his family, earned degrees at MIT and has been a materials science professor there since the mid-1980s. "I'm an American citizen," he added. "We're an American company. It's an American-born technology."

Despite the obstacles, A123 and a handful of other advanced battery producers are building plants in Michigan and other states, thanks to massive government support that has offset Wall Street's skepticism. A123 alone is getting $250 million in aid from President Barack Obama's stimulus program as well as tax incentives from Michigan.

A123's first U.S. plant opens in June, in an abandoned brick building near Detroit that once made VHS tapes for Disney.

"Too often we've done the innovation, and we've outsourced the manufacturing," said Matt Rogers, a senior adviser to Secretary of Energy Steven Chu. "That's where A123 becomes important."

Such talk challenges the long-held view that the U.S. economy could continue to prosper even when manufacturing moved overseas, so long as Americans churned out the best research and ideas for high-value products. Recent experience has suggested that big manufacturing complexes devoted to a single industry, like those in China, act as magnets for research and development facilities too.

Chiang, who wears big, silver-rimmed glasses and smiles easily, won an initial $100,000 grant from the Energy Department in late 2001. The grant helped pay graduate students who, working in an MIT lab in 2002, suddenly shouted the battery developer's equivalent of eureka: "Higher power!"

The team was testing nanoscale phosphate materials as a substitute for the cobalt that's used in conventional lithium-ion batteries. The results surprised even Chiang.

"Keep going, keep going," he told his students as they logged discharge rates five to 10 times those of other high-powered lithium-ion batteries. The idea of applying the battery to electric vehicles wasn't far from Chiang's mind; achieving rapid acceleration from a reasonable-size battery was critical for hybrids.

Yet going from lab results to commercial products and mass production looked daunting. After all, rechargeable lithium-ion battery technologies were pioneered in the United States in the early 1990s, but their most lucrative application, for laptops and cell phones, gave Asian companies a huge advantage because virtually all electronics design and manufacturing had shifted to that part of the world.

Japanese firms such as Sony and Panasonic led early commercial developments in the field. Then South Koreans and China built up such scale and low-cost production capabilities that large American battery-makers such as Duracell and Eveready couldn't compete.

American manufacturing in the last three decades is replete with similar stories. That came across when David Vieau, A123's chief executive, made the rounds seeking capital in Silicon Valley and on Route 128, Boston's version of California's high-tech hub.

"A majority of the people liked the idea of letting someone else make things," said Vieau, sitting in his small noncorner office at A123's headquarters in Watertown, a Boston suburb.

A123 did attract some early private investors, including Qualcomm and Motorola. But with limited funds, the company felt compelled to launch its manufacturing in Asia. It went to South Korea, home to perhaps today's most advanced lithium-ion manufacturing, and to China, which is moving up the technology ladder fast, thanks in large part to foreign companies.

Now, A123 has five plants in China. Bart Riley, an A123 co-founder and chief technology officer, figures it took about nine months to get a Chinese factory up and running, one-third the time typical for the U.S.

The quicker launch helped A123 make a name for itself through Black & Decker, which in early 2006 began putting A123 batteries in its Dewalt power tools. Since then, A123 has been supplying batteries and battery systems for New York City buses built by Daimler, among other customers, and the company has agreements to develop products for Chrysler, Navistar and American green-car maker Fisker Automotive.

But in ramping up production in China, A123 paid an immeasurable price, Riley said: Loss of its intellectual property, the ideas and engineering that made its products better.

The company did what it could to slow the technology transfer by breaking down the manufacturing process into steps, Riley said, but "we ended up having to teach these guys how to make our state-of-the-art, world-class batteries. … And some of them are (now) competing with us directly."

To stay ahead of such competition, Riley and his R&D staff of 100, made up of young MIT graduates and former scientists at Bell Labs, Polaroid and Duracell, are pushing hard to devise innovations and to drive down costs.

In Michigan, the company is racing to open its first production plant in Livonia, 20 miles west of Detroit. By the end of next year, it expects to have two plants in the area with a work force of 400, with plans to go up to 2,000, and initial capacity to produce some 30,000 battery systems.

The company's sales reached $91 million last year, and it has about 1,700 employees, two-thirds in Asia.

If experts are right, sales of hybrid and electric cars will begin to take off next year, putting at least a million such vehicles on American roads by 2015. First out among U.S. carmakers, General Motors' Chevrolet Volt is slated for release later this year.

After looking at A123, GM went with LG Chem, a South Korean battery-maker that is building plants in Michigan but for the short term will be shipping cells made in Korea for the American-made Volt.

The White House, which bailed out the struggling automaker, wasn't happy that GM settled on a foreign battery supplier, but A123 officials candidly admit that LG Chem was further along in manufacturing readiness.

Even so, U.S. officials see in electric vehicles the opportunity to revive American auto manufacturing. In addition to backing battery-makers, Obama's stimulus package awarded millions of dollars to build domestic factories supplying separators and other critical parts for lithium-ion cells.

For battery-makers, the need to be close to car-producing customers, hefty shipping costs and the high degree of automation also argue for substantial domestic production over the long haul.

Labor, though a small part of overall costs, still figures into the equation. Average wages for production workers at major suppliers to carmakers run about $13.50 an hour in Michigan and will go up for companies that unionize, as A123 and others operating in the state likely will.

By comparison, workers in Changzhou earn about $2.80 an hour, according to the local government figures.


Chiang is betting that America's superior technological capabilities will not only help close cost gaps but force foreign rivals to keep chasing American innovations.

Apart from government policies, he thinks that may be the only way to ensure his company and green-car manufacturing in the United States flourishes.

"It's going to be a fight," he said.

dlee2@tribune.com

Copyright © 2010, Chicago Tribune

chicagotribune.com 

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To: Glenn Petersen who wrote (10)5/16/2010 11:45:10 PM
From: Cheeky Kid   of 44
 
Might be a good short:

9/24/2009
Message 25969688

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To: Cheeky Kid who wrote (11)5/17/2010 12:03:47 AM
From: Glenn Petersen   of 44
 
I agree. They booked $25 million in sales during the first quarter and have a market cap of $1.2 billion. Profitability is distant. On the plus side, they do have $410 million in the bank.

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To: Glenn Petersen who wrote (12)5/17/2010 1:01:58 AM
From: George81 Recommendation   of 44
 
Depending on its burn rate, $410 mm may not be much with heavy capital outlay and marketing expenses...

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To: Glenn Petersen who wrote (12)4/6/2011 8:01:52 PM
From: John Vosilla   of 44
 
Anyone still here? Stock price way down and enterprise value is now down to near projected revenues for next year which is stunning. Will they bleed money and eventually go under or this going to be a turnaround fast growth story in one of our most exciting new age sectors?

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To: John Vosilla who wrote (14)4/6/2011 8:58:38 PM
From: deeno   of 44
 
bleed

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To: deeno who wrote (15)4/14/2011 4:26:29 PM
From: John Vosilla   of 44
 
NEW YORK, NY--(Marketwire - 04/13/11) - Following President Obama's pledge of getting one million electric cars on the road by 2015, electric powered vehicle production is expected to grow significantly in the coming years. Lithium ion batteries are considered the most significant factor for the success of modern electric vehicles. Lithium ion batteries use various materials depending on the purpose, with cobalt, nickel, manganese and lithium typically being the primary elements. The Bedford Report examines the outlook for companies in the Industrial Electrical Equipment Industry and provides research reports on A123 Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ:AONE - News) and Advanced Battery Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ:ABAT - News). Access to the full company reports can be found at:


Despite losing its bid to produce batteries for the Chevrolet "Volt" last year, A123 Systems remains one of the most recognizable names in lithium-ion battery design. A123 recently announced a production contract with an unnamed, "major North American automaker" to provide batteries for an electric car debuting in 2013.

The Bedford Report releases regular market updates on the Industrial Electrical Equipment Industry so investors can stay ahead of the crowd and make the best investment decisions to maximize their returns. Take a few minutes to register with us free at www.bedfordreport.com and get exclusive access to our numerous analyst reports and industry newsletters.

Advanced Battery Technologies is a leading manufacturer and distributor of rechargeable polymer lithium-ion batteries. The company is also involved in the development and manufacturing of electric bikes, scooters and sports utility vehicles. The company is operational in the United States, Asia and Europe.

Last month Advanced Battery Technologies reported total 2010 revenues of $97.1 million -- a 53 percent year on year improvement. The company attributes the increase in revenues to the contribution of sales from the electric vehicle business, which ABAT acquired in 2009. Sales of electric vehicles for 2010 were $49.2 million as compared to $20.3 million for 2009.

finance.yahoo.com 

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To: John Vosilla who wrote (16)4/14/2011 11:31:57 PM
From: waitwatchwander   of 44
 
There was another positive piece recently out of a Deutshe Bank analyst too. It looks like the underwriters are trying to generate interest and get the price back to the level of the secondary offering.

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To: waitwatchwander who wrote (17)4/15/2011 9:47:31 PM
From: John Vosilla   of 44
 
I am going to go out on a limb. This seems like another Amazon type story around 2001-02 that will either be going cash flow positive and never looking back on skyrocketing revenues in a very fast growing market or they will never make a dollar and the common will be worthless.. That no one on SI pays attention makes me think... 'be the contrarian on this beat up gem/dog'<g>

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To: John Vosilla who wrote (18)4/15/2011 10:33:47 PM
From: waitwatchwander   of 44
 
If they don't make it, it will be solely of their own doing. The stars appear to be aligning in their favour but it is always so much easier to take the money and run.

For sure, something to be watched, carefully. Lack of progress within the next six to nine months would be most telling. Pricing and "industry" costs appear to be the biggest challenge. Many of their industry "colleagues" appear frothy - becoming amazonian won't be the common industry outcome.

Quiet is good.

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