Strategies & Market Trends | Calls and Puts for Income


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To: Ira Player who wrote (3938)9/28/2009 2:40:23 PM
From: Jeffry K. Smith   of 5710
 
Thanks to both Ira & Bridge Player for their answers. >eom<

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To: ETF Strangler who wrote (3937)9/30/2009 3:07:58 PM
From: ETF Strangler   of 5710
 
Sold USO Oct 37 calls for .99 to complete 33/37 short strangle.

Now have 2.00 premium total for the short strangle.

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To: ETF Strangler who wrote (3940)10/1/2009 10:02:43 AM
From: ETF Strangler   of 5710
 
I have BTC my USO Oct 33 Puts and STO USO Oct 35 Puts and netted a .50 gain. Now my short strangle is 35/37 with a total premium of 2.50. Might be getting into a trap here or not.

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From: Jerome10/6/2009 8:21:39 AM
1 Recommendation   of 5710
 
Option strategies have been the focus of recent postings. And for that I thank those that have kept the thread going.

I hope that other thread viewers are looking for stock selection in conjunction with option strategy.

For myself Its covered calls and some plain vanilla option purchases.

My viewpoint would be that the market is oversold, and that stocks will rally on earnings that have been low balled by most companies.

The two sectors I'm concentrating on are technology and financials. Call options sold should be at least one strike out of the money. Options purchased should be slightly in the money in order to reclaim some cash if things go poorly after earnings are announced.

Name brand companies (Like the DOW 30) are the best choices for my portfolio.

My favorite tech stocks are CSCO, INTC, AKAM, MSFT, STX, ORCL, and AAPL.

My favorite financials are BAC, WFC, UYG, FAS, C, and MS.


Historically October has been difficult month for portfolios to digest without heartburn. But there have been exceptions and I expect this year to be one of them.

Good fortune to all...keep the thread informed of your selections for whatever strategy you choose to employ.

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To: Jerome who wrote (3942)10/6/2009 2:53:23 PM
From: Jeffry K. Smith   of 5710
 
I am concerned not that the market is oversold, but is overbought.

I can't shake the feeling that this economy is in VERY bad shape and that stocks are not reflecting it. I feel the next shoe to drop will be commercial loan defaults.

The "stimulus" (along with socialist BS) is not going to get us out of where we are. For this reason and others, both people and companies are both hard-pressed and having a hard time planning.

RMBS, CREE and WFR are my only stocks of interest right now.

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To: Jeffry K. Smith who wrote (3943)10/6/2009 5:07:33 PM
From: Jerome   of 5710
 
Hi Jeffery...the economy is in bad shape as you posted. In the tech area many companies have postponed upgrading infrastructure, and hardware. So its my viewpoint that no matter how prolonged the recovery is, companies will still upgrade hardware and software. They cannot lag too far behind on the technology curve. All these lay offs that have been announced this past year have freed up considerable cash for upgrading everything.

Has the stock market been a leading indicator of economic recovery?

Others may wish to jump in this discussion.

Any opinion posted here is just as valid as any opinion by some cable journalist.

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To: Jerome who wrote (3944)10/6/2009 9:03:21 PM
From: Gottfried1 Recommendation   of 5710
 
Jerome and Jeffry, look at ww chip sales with semi equipment bookings: bookings are still below 14 year lows - even though chip sales are taking off. At some point more equipment will be needed






More charts here
Message 25994689

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To: Gottfried who wrote (3945)10/6/2009 11:30:04 PM
From: Jeffry K. Smith   of 5710
 
Good chart!

A question or two: 1) how can additional chips be sold, but not the equipment to go with it, and 2) if, as you say, equipment is to be sold, what stocks would you suggest investigating/investing in to take advantage of such a circumstance?

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To: Jeffry K. Smith who wrote (3946)10/7/2009 9:18:08 AM
From: Gottfried   of 5710
 
Jeffry, re >how can additional chips be sold, but not the equipment to go with it< consolidation and higher equipment utilization. I own AMAT, but bigger gains in stock prices may be had from smaller equipment makers. Don has many tables comparing them

Message 25974959

I suggest following his thread

PS: I see you're already following it

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To: Jerome who wrote (3942)10/7/2009 9:42:22 PM
From: xrussia   of 5710
 
Hi Jerome,
I don't think that the market is oversold at this level. However, S&P 1150 and DOW 11000 are realistic targets for Jan 2010. I've sold INTC Oct 16 puts back in July along with AAPL Oct 135 puts. So far so good. I also sold AAPL Oct 180 and AAPL Jan 190 put last week when it dipped briefly below $179. I also sold BRCD Oct and Nov $8 puts and bought Nov 9 call. I also belive that GS will be around $200 at the end of the year: the $185 put is a relatively "safe" bet. The same is true for AAPL.

As you can see, all the bets are bullish. At the same time, selling the risk is much safer than buying calls. It works for me.

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