Thoughts on the McChrystal Rolling Stone story...
I finally had a chance to read the Rolling Stone story on General Stan McCrystal this morning. One thing that many people may not be aware of, is it's not an interview, it's a "fly on the wall" profile story, with very few direct quotes from McChrystal.
The article is very insightful and every American regardless of their politics, or how they feel about the war, should read it.
Here's a link to the full story and a few key points, along with my comments.
rollingstone.com 
This is my biggest takeaway and while it's not a direct quote from McCrystal, he basically echoes the same point, as do many others.
"The entire COIN (counter insurgency) strategy is a fraud perpetuated on the American people. The idea that we are going to spend a trillion dollars to reshape the culture of the Islamic world is utter nonsense." Quote from retired Colonel Douglas Macgregor, a leading critic of counterinsurgency who attended West Point with McChrystal.
And here McChrystal's Chief of Staff expresses the same sentiment, along with a growing realization that the final outcome in Afghanistan is going to resemble Vietnam, more than Desert Storm, and that "victory," may not be the right word to describe the inevitable outcome...
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"Today, as McChrystal gears up for an offensive in southern Afghanistan, the prospects for any kind of success look bleak.
In June, the death toll for U.S. troops passed 1,000, and the number of IEDs has doubled. Spending hundreds of billions of dollars on the fifth-poorest country on earth has failed to win over the civilian population, whose attitude toward U.S. troops ranges from intensely wary to openly hostile.
The biggest military operation of the year – a ferocious offensive that began in February to retake the southern town of Marja – continues to drag on, prompting McChrystal himself to refer to it as a "bleeding ulcer."
In June, Afghanistan officially outpaced Vietnam as the longest war in American history – and Obama has quietly begun to back away from the deadline he set for withdrawing U.S. troops in July of next year. The president finds himself stuck in something even more insane than a quagmire: a quagmire he knowingly walked into, even though it's precisely the kind of gigantic, mind-numbing, multigenerational nation-building project he explicitly said he didn't want.
Even those who support McChrystal and his strategy of counterinsurgency know that whatever the general manages to accomplish in Afghanistan, it's going to look more like Vietnam than Desert Storm.
"It's not going to look like a win, smell like a win or taste like a win," says Maj. Gen. Bill Mayville, who serves as chief of operations for McChrystal. "This is going to end in an argument."
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An apparent flaw in our overall strategy appears to be a weakness on the diplomatic front, as there is no clear US diplomatic leader in charge of building new governmental structures in Afghanistan. Even with progress on the military front, the military cannot create governance reform. Obama must address this flaw in US diplomatic strategy and someone needs to be put in charge, instead of management by committee...
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"While McChrystal and his men are in indisputable command of all military aspects of the war, there is no equivalent position on the diplomatic or political side.
Instead, an assortment of administration players compete over the Afghan portfolio: U.S. Ambassador Karl Eikenberry, Special Representative to Afghanistan Richard Holbrooke, National Security Advisor Jim Jones and Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, not to mention 40 or so other coalition ambassadors and a host of talking heads who try to insert themselves into the mess, from John Kerry to John McCain.
This diplomatic incoherence has effectively allowed McChrystal's team to call the shots and hampered efforts to build a stable and credible government in Afghanistan.
"It jeopardizes the mission," says Stephen Biddle, a senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations who supports McChrystal. "The military cannot by itself create governance reform."
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In today's modern military, politics play an important part in determining how high you rise within the military hierarchy.
McChrystal like many Generals, "polished up his inside game," spending a year at Harvard's Kennedy School of Government, and also worked at the Council on Foreign Relations where he wrote a CFR policy paper on "humanitarian interventionism."
Sadly, it appears that in today's military, if you've haven't bought into the "one world - globalist view," and don't have the blessing of the CFR and/or the Trilateralists, your career isn't going anywhere fast.
The CFR has long had a virtual monopoly over US State Department appointments as documented by both Professor Carroll Quigley's "Tragedy & Hope," and Norman Dodd's work with the Reece Committee (see G.Edward Griffin's interview with Dodd by clicking here).
Today, it appears the CFR has as much influence within the military, as they do within the State Department. Somehow, someway, we need to change that. The first step would be to elect someone who knows the problem exists, and only Ron Paul has directly and publicly spoken to the influence of the CIA and the CFR on US foreign policy. JFK told us about the dangers of the CFR, the Trilateralists, and the Bilderberg group and their secret meetings which openly violate the Logan Act.
Of note, McChrystal survived two events that would have stopped most officers dead in their career tracks. He was involved with a prisoner abuse scandal at Camp Nama in Iraq, and was involved with signing off on the cover up of Pat Tilman's death by friendly fire.
McChrystal would never have survived those scandals unless he had strong political support. It's not unfair to say that he's where he is today, because he has the CFR's blessing.
And regarding the CFR , here's a possible political angle that McChrystal may be playing...
In the article McChrystal blasts virtually the entire Obama administration with one exception - Hillary Clinton.
My take? The CFR is unhappy with Obama and is positioning Hillary for a 2012 run and McChrystal may have just taken one for the team.
The article also touches on a very sensitive issue, a clear Vietnam-esque, growing level of demoralization among the troops. To his credit, McChrystal encourages and welcomes open and honest dialogue from his soldiers. Here's an excerpt from a meeting McChrystal held with his ground forces...
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"One soldier shows me the list of new regulations the platoon was given. "Patrol only in areas that you are reasonably certain that you will not have to defend yourselves with lethal force," the laminated card reads.
For a soldier who has traveled halfway around the world to fight, that's like telling a cop he should only patrol in areas where he knows he won't have to make arrests.
"Does that make any fucking sense?" asks Pfc. Jared Pautsch. "We should just drop a fucking bomb on this place. You sit and ask yourself: What are we doing here?"
The rules handed out here are not what McChrystal intended – they've been distorted as they passed through the chain of command – but knowing that does nothing to lessen the anger of troops on the ground. "Fuck, when I came over here and heard that McChrystal was in charge, I thought we would get our fucking gun on," says Hicks, who has served three tours of combat. "I get COIN. I get all that. McChrystal comes here, explains it, it makes sense. But then he goes away on his bird, and by the time his directives get passed down to us through Big Army, they're all fucked up – either because somebody is trying to cover their ass, or because they just don't understand it themselves. But we're fucking losing this thing."
The session ends with no clapping, and no real resolution.
McChrystal may have sold President Obama on counterinsurgency, but many of his own men aren't buying it.
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Sadly, when the troops "no longer buy in," the end isn't too far away. And the problem may lie within the counter- insurgency strategy itself, and the imbalance, and lack of coordination between military and diplomatic strategies mentioned earlier.
From the article...
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"When it comes to Afghanistan, history is not on McChrystal's side. The only foreign invader to have any success here was Genghis Khan – and he wasn't hampered by things like human rights, economic development and press scrutiny. The COIN doctrine, bizarrely, draws inspiration from some of the biggest Western military embarrassments in recent memory:
France's nasty war in Algeria (lost in 1962) and the American misadventure in Vietnam (lost in 1975). McChrystal, like other advocates of COIN, readily acknowledges that counterinsurgency campaigns are inherently messy, expensive and easy to lose.
"Even Afghans are confused by Afghanistan," he says. But even if he somehow manages to succeed, after years of bloody fighting with Afghan kids who pose no threat to the U.S. homeland, the war will do little to shut down Al Qaeda, which has shifted its operations to Pakistan.
SOTB note: This quote says it all...
"Dispatching 150,000 troops to build new schools, roads, mosques and water-treatment facilities around Kandahar is like trying to stop the drug war in Mexico by occupying Arkansas and building Baptist churches in Little Rock." "It's all very cynical, politically," says Marc Sageman, a former CIA case officer who has extensive experience in the region. "Afghanistan is not in our vital interest – there's nothing for us there."
Celeste Ward, a senior defense analyst at the RAND Corporation who served as a political adviser to U.S. commanders in Iraq in 2006. "That's the game we're in right now. What we need, for strategic purposes, is to create the perception that we didn't get run off."
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3-tour trooper: "...by the time his (McChrystal's) directives get passed down to us through Big Army, they're all fucked up – either because somebody is trying to cover their ass, or because they just don't understand it themselves. But we're fucking losing this thing."
CIA Case Officer: "There's nothing for us there."
Rand Corp Strategist: "...we need to create the perception we didn't get run off."
Professional soldiers sign up to fight whatever war is handed to them by our politicians. Sadly, they're often given impossible tasks.
It's beginning to sound a lot like Vietnam isn't it?
SOTB |