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From: Bread Upon The Water5/24/2012 9:08:35 AM
of 224969
 
Marist--NBC Poll has Obama up in Ohio, Virginia, and Florida.

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To: epicure who wrote (189783)5/24/2012 9:12:50 AM
From: Wharf Rat of 224969
 
Republican grains of truth? Almost never.
An exception that proves the rule...



The epic takedown of Sean Hannity by Colin Powell
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To: Wharf Rat who wrote (189785)5/24/2012 9:14:48 AM
From: Wharf Rat of 224969
 







Chronicling Mitt's Mendacity, Vol. XVIII



By Steve Benen


-
Fri May 18, 2012 2:52 PM EDT






Getty Images


Back in February, Paul Krugman argued that Mitt Romney is "running a campaign of almost pathological dishonesty." Was this an intemperate analysis? Perhaps. Three months later, does it seem fair? Put it this way: take a look at the 18th installment of my weekly series, chronicling Mitt's mendacity.

1. Romney promised in a speech this week, "I will lead us out of this debt and spending inferno."

Given that his stated agenda would add trillions to the debt, and Romney refuses to say how he'd pay for his tax cuts and increased Defense spending, the claim seems pretty misleading.

2. Romney claimed in the same speech that Obama has "bailed out the public-sector."

I really wish that were true. It's not.

3. Romney also argued that Obama has "added almost as much debt as all the prior presidents combined."

That's not even close to being true.

4. Romney insisted that the national debt is responsible for "the most tepid recovery in modern history."

That's ridiculously false. If the debt were holding back the economy, we'd have high interest rates and high inflation. We have the opposite.

5. Romney also said the national debt is the reason "half of the kids graduating from college can't find a job that uses their skills."

There is no universe in which this is true (or really, even coherent).

6. On the Recovery Act, Romney said, "President Obama started out with a near trillion-dollar stimulus package -- the biggest, most careless one-time expenditure by the federal government in history. And remember this: the stimulus wasn't just wasted -- it was borrowed and wasted."

The Recovery Act rescued the economy. Romney doesn't have to like it, but he shouldn't lie about it.

7. Romney added, equating the debt with a prairie fire, Obama "fed the fire. He has spent more and borrowed more."

That's false, too.

8. Referencing the Affordable Care Act, Romney argued, "Then there was Obamacare. Even now nobody knows what it will actually cost."

"Nobody" except the Congressional Budget Office, the Office of Management and Budget, and every budget expert with access to a calculator.

9. Romney argued that the Affordable Care Act is a "massive, European-style entitlement."

No, it's not. Most of Europe has socialized or government-run health care systems. Obamacare doesn't resemble France; it resembles Massachusetts' Romneycare.

10. Romney also insisted Americans "can't afford" the health-care reform law.

Actually, the ACA lowers the deficit by hundreds of billions of dollars.

11. Romney argued, "When you add up his policies, this president has increased the national debt by five trillion dollars."

That's an obvious lie. It's not Obama's policies that are driving the debt.

12. Romney claimed that more of the economy is being "absorbed ... into government."

That's the opposite of the truth.

13. Romney argued, "Medicare and Social Security are also easy to demagogue, and I expect the president to continue doing that in this campaign."

Romney has said several hundred times that Obama cut $500 billion from Medicare and is the only president to ever cut Medicare benefits. Neither is true, but both are excellent examples of demagoguery.

14. On gay adoption, Romney said "all states but one allow gay adoption."

That's not even close to being true.

15. The Romney campaign said of Obama, "He promised he would cut the debt, and he has not done that."

Obama made no such promise. He promised to cut the deficit, not the debt -- presidential campaigns really should know the difference if it's going to talk about these issues -- and Obama has cut the deficit.

16. Romney said of his controversial private-sector background, "We were able to help create over 100,000 jobs."

This is one of the more important lies Romney will tell this year.

17. On the president's watch, about 100,000 jobs were lost in the auto industry and auto dealers and auto manufacturers, so he's hardly one to point a finger."

First, the comparison is absurd. Second, the claim about the auto industry is demonstrably ridiculous.

18. On GST Steel, Romney said of his critics, "They said, 'Oh, gosh, Governor Romney at Bain Capital closed down a steel factory.' But their problem, of course, is that the steel factory closed down two years after I left Bain Capital. I was no longer there, so that's hardly something which is on my watch."

Actually, Romney retained full, sole ownership of the firm at the time GST collapsed.

19. Romney's campaign said yesterday that it's "clear" that the Obama campaign "is running a campaign of character assassination."

Asked for an example of Obama engaging in character assassination, the Romney campaign so far hasn't come up with anything.

I continue to think about something Fox News' Brit Hume said a few months ago. Reflecting on Romney's flip-flops, said, "You're only allowed a certain number of flips before people begin to doubt your character."

I'm curious -- is Romney also allowed a certain number of falsehoods before people begin to doubt his character? And if so, what is that number?

Previous editions of Chronicling Mitt's Mendacity: Vol. I, II, III, IV, V, VI, VII, VIII, IX, X, XI, XII, XIII, XIV, XV, XVI, XVII

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From: Suma5/24/2012 9:17:59 AM
of 224969
 
This episode in our history always intrigued me. In fact if anyone has a book that goes into it in DETAIL as does this article I would be more interested to have the name.



Parry writes: "Forty years ago, burglars working for President Nixon planted bugs in the Democrats' Watergate headquarters. Then, a month later, a follow-up break-in went awry, touching off America's most notorious political scandal. But few understand what really happened."


Investigative journalists Carl Bernstein and Bob Woodward, 04/11/76. (photo: Betty Mimms/CORBIS SYGMA)






The Enduring Secrets of Watergate By Robert Parry, Consortium News

23 May 12



hree times in May 1972, burglars working for President Richard Nixon's reelection committee tried to enter the Watergate complex, an elegant new building situated along the Potomac River. Their target was the Democratic National Committee.

For the Watergate burglars, the third try was the charm. Armed with an array of burglary tools, two of the Cuban-Americans on the team - Virgilio Gonzalez and Frank Sturgis - entered the building through the B-2 garage level. They climbed the stairs and taped open the doors behind them. Reaching the sixth floor where the DNC offices were located, Gonzalez made quick work of the door lock and the burglars were finally inside.


The Watergate complex in Washington, D.C., where the Democratic National Committee had its headquarters in 1972.


"The horse is in the house," they reported over a walkie-talkie back to team leaders across Virginia Avenue at a Howard Johnson's hotel. The leaders included G. Gordon Liddy, a former FBI agent who had devised the spying plan called Gemstone, and E. Howard Hunt, an ex-CIA officer and part-time spy novel writer.

At word that the break-in had finally succeeded, Liddy and Hunt embraced. From a balcony at the Howard Johnson's, James McCord, another former CIA officer and the security chief for the Committee to Re-elect the President known as CREEP, could see the burglars' pencil flashlights darting around the darkened offices. [1]

McCord, an electronics specialist, made his way over to the Watergate and was let in by one of the Cuban burglars. Upon reaching the DNC offices, McCord placed one tap on the phone of a secretary of Democratic National Chairman Larry O'Brien and a second on the phone of R. Spencer Oliver, a 34-year-old Democratic operative who was executive director of the Association of State Democratic Chairmen.

While some of the burglars rifled through DNC files and photographed documents, McCord tested the bugs on the two phones. His little pocket receiver showed that they worked. [2]

The choice of the two phones has never been fully explained. O'Brien's might seem obvious since he was party chairman, while Oliver was a well-placed insider in Democratic politics, though little known to the general public.

Some aficionados of the Watergate mystery have speculated that Oliver's phone was chosen because his father worked with Robert R. Mullen whose Washington-based public relations firm had employed Hunt. The firm also served as a CIA front in the 1960s and early 1970s, and did work for industrialist Howard Hughes, who, in turn, had questionable financial ties to Nixon's brother, Donald.

Because Oliver's father also represented Hughes, one theory held that Nixon's team wanted to know what derogatory information the Democrats might possess about money to Nixon's brother from Hughes, evidence that might be sprung during the fall campaign. [3]

After returning to the Howard Johnson's hotel from the Watergate, the burglary team's glow of success faded fast. The Gemstone team discovered that their receivers only could pick up conversations on one of the phones, the tap in Oliver's office. Though upset about the limited information that might flow from that single tap, the Gemstone team began transcribing the mix of personal and professional calls by Oliver and other members of his staff who used his phone when he wasn't there.

One of the Nixon operatives, Alfred Baldwin, said he transcribed about 200 calls, including some dealing with "political strategy," passing the transcripts on to McCord, who gave them to Liddy. The intercepts then went to Jeb Stuart Magruder, CREEP's deputy chairman who said he passed the material to reelection chairman and former Attorney General John Mitchell, who had left the Justice Department to run CREEP. [4]

Whatever other mysteries might surround the Watergate operation, one Gemstone goal was clear: to pick up intelligence on Democratic strategies as part of the larger plan to ensure that a weakened Democratic Party led by the least appealing candidate would face President Nixon in November 1972.

How useful the material turned out to be is another point in historical dispute. Since the intercepts violated strict federal wiretapping statutes, the contents were never fully disclosed and the recipients of the intercepts had both legal and political reasons to insist that they either hadn't seen the material or that it wasn't very useful.

Magruder said Mitchell personally chastised Liddy over the limited political value of the information. Some of the material was little more than gossip or personal details about the break-up of Oliver's marriage. "This stuff isn't worth the paper it's printed on," Mitchell told Liddy, according to Magruder. Mitchell, however, called Magruder's account "a palpable, damnable lie." [5]

What They Got

Oliver has his own theory about what insights the wiretap on his phone could have given the Republicans: a window into the end game of the Democratic nomination. As it turned out, Oliver was in the middle of the last-ditch effort by Democratic state chairmen to head off the nomination of liberal South Dakota Senator George McGovern.

"The California primary was the first week of June," Oliver recalled in an interview with me years later. "The state chairs were very concerned about the McGovern candidacy," foreseeing the likelihood of an electoral debacle.

So the state chairmen commissioned a hard count of delegates to see whether McGovern's nomination could be headed off, even if the anti-Vietnam War senator secured California's bounty of delegates with a victory in the state's winner-take-all primary.

Other Democratic campaigns had failed to catch fire or blew up in the early months. Secretly, Nixon's reelection team had targeted former front-runner, Maine Senator Edmund Muskie, with dirty tricks like stink bombs exploded at Muskie events, bogus pizza orders and fake mailings that spread dissension between Muskie and other Democrats.

In summer 1971, White House political aide Patrick Buchanan had written a memo identifying Muskie as "target A." Buchanan's memo said "Our specific goals are (a) to produce political problems for him, right now, (b) to hopefully help defeat him in one or more of the primaries (Florida looks now to be the best early bet, California, the best later bet), and (c) finally, to visit upon him some political wounds that would not only reduce his chances for nomination - but damage him as a candidate, should he be nominated." [6]

Though knocked from contention in the early primaries, Muskie still had a bloc of delegates in early June as did former Vice President Hubert Humphrey and Washington Senator Henry "Scoop" Jackson. Scores of other delegates were uncommitted or tied to favorite sons. Oliver hoped that his personal favorite, Duke University President Terry Sanford, might emerge from a deadlocked convention as a unity candidate.

"Muskie had some votes though he had been finished off early," Oliver said. "Hubert Humphrey and Scoop Jackson had a lot of votes. Terry had nearly 100 votes scattered over 22 states and including some influential delegates. McGovern was having a hard time getting a majority. The state chairmen wanted to know whether or not, if he won the California primary, he would have the nomination wrapped up or whether there was still a chance he could be stopped."

"The best way to find out was through the state chairmen because in those days not all primaries were binding and not all delegates were bound," Oliver said. "Don Fowler, the state chairman in South Carolina, took the lead in trying to use the state chairmen's network to get an accurate assessment. Most of the information was gathered by me and Margaret Bethea, a member of Fowler's staff.

"We called every state chairman or party executive director to find out where their uncommitted delegates would go. We were doing a real hard count. We knew better than anybody else how many delegates could be influenced, who were really anti-McGovern. We had the best count in the country and it was all coordinated through my telephone."

So, while Nixon's political espionage team listened in, Oliver and his little team canvassed state party leaders to figure out how the Democratic delegates planned to vote. "We determined on that phone that McGovern could still be stopped even if he won the California primary," Oliver said. "It would be very close whether he could ever get a majority."

The Texas Showdown

After McGovern did win the California primary, the stop-McGovern battle focused on Texas and its Democratic convention, scheduled for June 13, 1972. "The one place he could be stopped was at the Texas State Democratic Convention," Oliver said.

A Texan himself, Oliver knew the Democratic Party there to be a bitterly divided organization, with many conservative Democrats sympathetic to Nixon and hostile to McGovern and his anti-Vietnam War positions.

One of the best known Texas Democrats, former Governor John Connally, had joined the Nixon administration in 1970 as Treasury Secretary and was helping the Nixon campaign in 1972.

In The Haldeman Diaries, Nixon's chief of staff H.R. Haldeman describes Connally providing valuable insights about the inner workings of the Democratic Party. Nixon's team even broached the idea with Connally that he might replace Spiro Agnew as Nixon's vice presidential running mate, an offer Connally declined. [7]

Many other Texas Democrats were loyal to former President Lyndon Johnson who had battled anti-war activists before deciding against a reelection bid in 1968. "There had been a major fight in Texas between the Left and the Right, between the liberals and the conservatives," Oliver said. "They hated each other. It was one of these lifetime things."

Between the strength of the conservative Democratic machine and the history of hardball Texas politics, the Texas convention looked to Oliver like the perfect place to push through a solid anti-McGovern slate, even though nearly one-third of the state delegates listed McGovern as their first choice.

Since there was no requirement for proportional representation, whoever controlled a majority at the state convention could take all the presidential delegates or divide them up among other candidates, Oliver said.

At Sanford's suggestion, Oliver decided to fly to Texas. When he reached the Texas convention in San Antonio, Oliver said he was stunned by what he found. The Johnson-Connally wing of the party appeared uncharacteristically generous to the McGovern campaign. Also arriving from Washington was one of Connally's Democratic protégés, the party's national treasurer Bob Strauss.

"I'm in the hotel and I'm standing in the lobby the day before the convention," Oliver said. "The elevator opens and there's Bob Strauss. I was really surprised to see him and he makes a bee-line straight for me. He says, ‘Spencer, how you doing?' I say, ‘Bob, what are you doing here?' He says, ‘I'm a Texan, you're a Texan. Here we are. Who would miss one of these state conventions? Maybe we ought to have lunch.' He was never that friendly to me before."

Oliver was curious about Strauss's sudden appearance because Strauss had never been a major figure in Texas Democratic politics. "He was a Connally guy and had no background in politics except his personal ties to Connally," Oliver said. "He hadn't been active in state politics except as Connally's fund-raiser. He wasn't a delegate to the state convention."

Plus, Strauss's chief mentor, Connally, was a member of Nixon's Cabinet and was planning to head up "Democrats for Nixon" in the fall campaign.

Known as a smooth-talking lawyer, Strauss had made his first major foray into politics as a principal fund-raiser for Connally's first gubernatorial race in 1962. Connally then put Strauss on the Democratic National Committee in 1968.

Two years later, Connally agreed to join the Nixon administration. "I wouldn't say that Connally and Strauss are close," one critic famously told The New York Times, "but when Connally eats watermelon, Strauss spits seeds." [8]

Other Connally guys held other key positions at the state convention, including state chairman Will Davis. So, presumably the liberal, anti-war McGovern would have looked to be in a tight spot, opposed not only by Davis but also by much of the conservative state Democratic leadership and organized labor.

"It was clear that 70 percent of the delegates were anti-McGovern, so they very easily could have coalesced, struck a deal and blocked McGovern," Oliver said. "That probably would have blocked him from the nomination."

Oliver told some political allies at the convention, including party activists R.C. "Bob" Slagle III and Dwayne Holman, about the plan that had been hatched in Washington to shut McGovern out of Texas delegates.

"They thought it might work and agreed to promote it with the state Democratic leadership," Oliver said. "Bob went to lay out this plan to stop McGovern and I waited for him. (After he emerged from the meeting,) we went around the corner, and he said, ‘It's not going to work.' He said, ‘Will Davis thinks we ought to give McGovern his share of the delegates.'

"I said, ‘What? Will Davis, John Connally's guy? Does he know that this will give McGovern the nomination?' He [Davis] said, ‘We shouldn't have a big fight. We should all agree that everyone gets the percentage they had in the preference. We'll just let it go.'"

Oliver said, "That was the most astonishing thing I had heard in all my years of Texas politics. There's never been any quarter given or any asked in this sort of thing. Seventy percent of the delegates were against McGovern. Why did those die-hard conservatives and organized labor want to give him 30 percent of the votes? I was stunned."

News articles at the time described a convention dominated by an unusual alliance between Democrats loyal to liberal George McGovern and others backing populist George Wallace, though the alliance nearly fell apart when Wallace delegates took to the floor with Confederate flags.

After a 17-hour final session, the convention gave 42 national delegates to Wallace and 34 to McGovern, with Hubert Humphrey getting 21 and 33 listed as uncommitted. According to The New York Times, the Texas results put McGovern about two-thirds of the way toward 1,509 needed for a first-round nomination. [9]

Although failing at his Texas mission, Oliver continued to pursue his strategy of promoting Terry Sanford as a compromise Democratic nominee. He proceeded to Mississippi where Hodding Carter, a rising star among moderate Mississippi Democrats, agreed to nominate Sanford at the national convention.

Oliver then returned to Washington, where he discussed the delegate situation by telephone with Fowler and other state chairmen before traveling to his father's summer home on the Outer Banks of North Carolina.

Watergate Burglars Caught

On June 14, back in Washington, the Gemstone team began planning a return to the DNC's Watergate office to install new eavesdropping equipment. Liddy, famous for his tough-guy reputation, was under pressure from higher-ups to get more information, Hunt said later.

When Hunt suggested to Liddy that targeting the Miami hotels to be used during the upcoming Democratic National Convention made more sense, Liddy checked with his "principals" and reported that they were adamant about sending the team back into the Watergate. [10]

One person in the White House who was demanding continued vigilance over the Democrats was Richard Nixon. Though it's never been established that Nixon had prior knowledge about the Watergate break-in, the President was continuing to demand that his political operatives keep collecting whatever information they could about the Democrats.

"That business of the McGovern watch, it just has to be - it has to be now around the clock," Nixon told presidential aide Charles Colson on June 13, according to a White House taped conversation. "You never know what you're going to find." [11]

Facing demands from the "principals," Hunt contacted the Cuban-Americans in Miami on June 14. The burglars reassembled in Washington two days later. For this entry, James McCord taped six or eight doors between the corridors and the stairwells on the upper floors and three more in the sub-basement. But McCord applied the tape horizontally instead of vertically, leaving pieces of tape showing when the doors were closed.

Around midnight, security guard Frank Wills came on duty. An African-American high school dropout, Wills was new to the job. About 45 minutes after starting work, he began his first round of checking the building. He discovered a piece of tape over a door latch at the garage level. Thinking that the tape was probably left behind by a building engineer earlier in the day, Wills removed it and went about his business.

A few minutes after Wills passed by, Gonzalez, one of the Cuban-American burglars, reached the now-locked door. He managed to open it by picking the lock. He then re-taped the latch so others could follow him in. The team then moved to the sixth floor, entered the DNC offices and got to work installing the additional equipment.

Shortly before 2 a.m., Wills was making his second round of checks at the building when he spotted the re-taped door. His suspicions aroused, the security man called the Washington Metropolitan Police. A dispatcher reached a nearby plainclothes unit, which pulled up in front of the Watergate.

After telling Wills to wait in the lobby, the police officers began a search of the building, starting with the eighth floor and working their way down to the sixth. The hapless burglars tried to hide behind desks in the DNC's office, but the police officers spotted them and called out, "Hold it!"

McCord and four other burglars surrendered. Hunt, Liddy and other members of the Gemstone crew - still across the street at the Howard Johnson's - hurriedly stashed their equipment and papers into suitcases and fled. [12]

Hearing the News

Oliver was at his father's cottage on North Carolina's Outer Banks when the news broke that five burglars had been caught inside the Democratic national headquarters in Washington.

"I heard about it on the television news," Oliver said. "I thought that was strange, why would anybody break into the Democratic National Committee? I mean we don't have any money; the convention's coming up and everybody's moved to Miami; the delegates have been picked and the primaries are over. So why would anybody be in there? I didn't think anything of it."

After returning to Washington, Oliver - like other Democratic staffers - was asked some routine questions by the police and the FBI, but the whole episode remained a mystery. "People were buzzing about it, talking about it, but people thought it was just crazy that anyone would have gone in there," Oliver recalled.

In July 1972, along with other Democratic officials, Oliver went to the national convention in Miami, where McGovern barely managed to secure a majority of delegates to win the nomination. After the victory, McGovern loyalists were installed at the DNC in the Watergate offices. Jean Westwood replaced Larry O'Brien as national chairman and focused on unifying the party, which remained deeply divided between the McGovernites and party regulars.

"One of the problems we had was how do you get the state party people to work with the McGovern people," said Oliver, who was one of the officials trying to mend the schism. At a meeting of the Democratic executive committee in early September at the Watergate, Oliver was to give a report about cooperation on voter registration between the McGovern campaign and state party organizations.

"Someone brought me a note that Larry O'Brien called and wants you to call him," Oliver said. "I put the note in my pocket. The meeting went on. They brought a second note and said, ‘Larry O'Brien wants you to call.' At the lunch break, I went upstairs to call O'Brien a little after 12 o'clock.

"I asked to speak to Larry. Stan Gregg, his deputy, came on the line: ‘Spencer, Larry's at lunch, but he wanted me to tell you that he's going to have a press conference at 2 o'clock and he's going to announce that the burglars that they caught in the Watergate were not in there for the first time. They had been in there before, in May.'

"I was saying to myself, ‘Why's he telling me all this?' He said, ‘and they put taps on at least two phones. One of the phones was Larry's and one was yours.' I said, ‘What?' And he said, ‘the tap on Larry's didn't work. He's going to announce all this at 2 o'clock.'"

After digesting the news of the May break-in, Oliver called Gregg back, telling him, "‘Stan, take my name out of that press release. I don't know why they tapped my phone, but I don't want my name involved in it. Let Larry say, there were two taps involved and one was on his. But I don't want to become embroiled in this.' He said, ‘it's too late. The press releases have already gone out.'"

Oliver suddenly found himself at the center of a political maelstrom as the DNC moved to file a civil lawsuit accusing the Republicans of violating the federal wiretap statute.

"Immediately, I became the object of all sorts of speculation," Oliver recalled. "The worst thing about it was that other people on the national committee were jealous that my phone was tapped, not theirs. One of the worst was Strauss, who was reportedly saying things like ‘I don't know why they tapped his phone. He didn't mean anything. He was an unimportant guy. ' Everybody wanted to be the celebrity victim."

The wording of the wiretap statute, however, made Oliver a legally significant player, since only the bug on his phone worked and his conversations were the ones intercepted. "If somebody put a tap on your phone and if nobody listened to it, then you have no cause of action," said Oliver, a lawyer by profession. "You have to be able to prove interception and use. So I was crucial to the lawsuit."

The statute also created legal dangers for anyone who got information, even indirectly, from the wiretaps.

"I realized that anybody who received the contents of the intercepted telephone conversation and passed them on, in other words, the fruits of the criminal act, was also guilty of a felony," Oliver said.

"So that meant that if someone listened to my phone, wrote a memo like McCord had done and sent it to the White House or to CREEP, everybody who got those memos and either read them or passed them on was a felon. It was a strict statute. Wherever the chain led, anybody who got them, used them, discussed them, sent them on to someone else was guilty of a felony and subject to criminal as well as civil penalties."

After the Democratic lawsuit was filed, lawyers for CREEP immediately took Oliver's deposition. Some of the questions were trolling for any derogatory information that might be used against him, Oliver recalled. "CREEP asked if I was a member of the Communist Party, Weather Underground, ‘were you ever arrested?'" But some questions reflected facts that would have been contained in Gemstone memos, Oliver said, such as "Who is Terry Sanford?"

The FBI also launched a full field investigation of Oliver. "They tried to tie me to radical groups and asked questions of my neighbors and my friends about whether I had ever done anything wrong, whether I drank too much, whether I was an alcoholic, whether I had a broken marriage, whether I had had any affairs," Oliver said. "It was a very intrusive and obnoxious assault on my private life."

Initially, Nixon's Justice Department denied that the bug on Oliver's phone had been installed by the Watergate burglars, implying that the Democrats may have tampered with the crime scene by installing the wiretap themselves to create a bigger scandal.

In a television interview, Attorney General Richard Kleindienst said the device on Oliver's phone must have been put on after June 17 because FBI agents had found nothing during "a thorough sweep" of the office. "Somebody put something on that telephone since the FBI was there," declared Kleindienst. [13]

Also, in September 1972 - around the time the Democrats learned about the initial break-in and the bug on Oliver's phone - John Connally joined Nixon's inner circle in discussing what to do about the growing Watergate scandal.

Haldeman diary entry for September 13 noted that Nixon "had [former Attorney General John] Mitchell, [Committee to Re-elect the President chairman Clark] MacGregor, and Connally up for dinner and a general political planning session. Spent quite a little time on Watergate."

Soon, Democrats were encountering solid stonewalls when they tried to crack the Watergate mystery through discovery in the wiretap case. "Our guys couldn't get anybody's deposition; everybody was stalling," Oliver said. "It was clear to me that what's going on was that the Justice Department was fixed, the FBI was fixed, and the only way we were going to get to the bottom of this was to have an independent investigation."

In October 1972, Oliver wrote a memo to Senator Sam Ervin, a moderate Democrat from North Carolina, recommending an independent congressional investigation as the only way to get to the bottom of Watergate, a task Ervin couldn't undertake until the next year.

In the meantime, Nixon's Watergate cover-up held. The White House successfully tagged the incident as a "third-rate burglary" that didn't implicate the President or his top aides. On Election Day, Nixon rolled to a record victory over his preferred Democratic opponent, George McGovern, who only won one state, Massachusetts.

Covering Up Watergate

The McGovern debacle had immediate repercussions inside the Democratic National Committee, where the party regulars moved to purge McGovern's people in early December.

"Labor, conservatives, party establishment and others wanted to get rid of the McGovernites and they wanted Jean Westwood to resign," Oliver said. "We had a bruising battle for the chairmanship. It ended up being between George Mitchell [of Maine] and Bob Strauss."

The Strauss candidacy was strange to some Democrats, given his close ties to John Connally, who had led Nixon's drive to get Democrats to cross party lines and vote Republican. Two Texas labor leaders, Roy Evans and Roy Bullock, urged the DNC to reject Strauss because "his most consistent use of his talents has been to advance the political fortune and career of his life-long friend, John B. Connally." [14]

Another Texan, former Senator Ralph Yarborough, said anyone who thinks Strauss could act independently of Connally "ought to be bored for the hollow horn," a farm hand's expression for being crazy. [15]

For his part, Connally offered to do what he could to help his best friend Strauss. Connally said he would "endorse him or denounce him," whichever would help more. Strauss "displays in my judgment the reasonableness that the [Democratic] party has to have," Connally said. [16]

Behind the scenes at the White House, Nixon was already touting Connally as the next President, or as Haldeman noted, "he is the only one that any of us would want to see succeed the P. He's got to run as a Republican and he's got to make the move now" to formally switch parties. [17]

The fight to oust the McGovernites from the DNC leadership also brought to the fore a group of conservative Democrats, such as Michael Novak and Ben Wattenberg, who would support the Reagan-Bush campaign in 1980 and become known as neoconservatives.

"After a terribly hard-fought battle, Strauss won," Oliver recalled. "Strauss came to the national committee the next week."

Though supposedly on opposite sides of the political fence, Connally and Strauss stayed in touch, with Connally even upbraiding his former protégé for comments that Strauss made in December 1972 about the value of Democratic loyalty.

Connally "had called [Strauss] and told him his remarks were ill-advised," Haldeman recounted in his diary. Connally "said he was pretty tough and that Strauss was quite disturbed." [18]

Soon, it became clear that Strauss's chief priority was to give the Democratic Party new direction as it tried to traverse a political landscape reshaped by the Nixon landslide. Strauss's strategy called for putting the Watergate scandal into the past both by moving the DNC out of the Watergate complex and by trying to settle the Watergate civil lawsuit.

"Within a few days of his being there, I was called and told he wanted to see me," Oliver said. "He said, ‘Spencer, you know I want to work with the state party chairs, but now that I'm here there's something I want you to do. I want to get rid of this Watergate thing. I want you to drop that lawsuit.'

"I said, ‘What?' I didn't think he knew what he was talking about. I said, ‘But, Bob, you know that's the only avenue we have for discovery. Why would we want to get out of the lawsuit?'

"He replied, ‘I don't want that Watergate stuff anymore. I want you to drop that lawsuit.' I said, ‘Bob, without me, there is no lawsuit under the law.' He said, ‘I'm the chairman and I want you to do it.' I said, ‘Bob, I work for the state chairmen's association and I see no reason to do that.' It was very unpleasant at the end."

Oliver also found himself cut adrift by the DNC lawyers who said they had to follow Strauss's orders and back off the Watergate case, though privately they expressed hope that Oliver would find another lawyer and continue pursuing the case, Oliver recalled. "I said, ‘I can't afford that.'"

Oliver was then studying for the bar, supporting three children and working two jobs (for the state chairmen and for the American Council of Young Political Leaders). Plus, his marriage was on the rocks.

Oliver began a search for a new attorney willing to take on the powerful White House. He faced a string of rejections from other lawyers partly because so many Watergate figures had already hired attorneys at major firms that it created conflicts of interests for other law partners. Finally, at a dinner party in Potomac, Maryland, a personal injury lawyer named Joe Koonz offered to take the case on a contingency basis.

"They can't do anything to me," Koonz said, according to Oliver. "I'm a plaintiff's lawyer, a personal injury lawyer. You won't have to pay a thing. If we win, I'll get one-third and you'll get two-thirds, and I guarantee you if I get this thing before a jury, we'll win."

Oliver's success in keeping the civil suit alive represented a direct challenge to Strauss, who continued to seek an end to the DNC's legal challenge to the Republicans over Watergate. While Oliver didn't directly work for Strauss, the national chairman could force Oliver off the payroll.

"He couldn't fire me as executive director of the state chairmen's association, but he could cut off my pay, which he did after a big, nasty, ugly fight," Oliver said. "The state chairmen then paid my salary out of their own funds."

Strauss also moved the DNC out of Watergate, despite the favorable terms on the rent and the building's usefulness as a reminder of Republican wrongdoing. "Strauss said, ‘I don't care what it costs to move. I want to get this Watergate thing behind us,'" Oliver said. "It was ridiculous. They moved the office across the city to a worse location for less space at more cost. Plus, they lost the symbol of Watergate."

A Rising Bush

While Democratic leaders were debating whether to fold their hand on Watergate, Nixon was reshuffling his personnel deck for a second term. George H.W. Bush's credentials as a Nixon loyalist made him a top candidate for several senior administration jobs.

"A total Nixon man - first," Nixon said in a discussion of Bush's future. "Doubt if you can do better than Bush." In one denigrating compliment, Nixon told Bush that he was high on the job lists because the administration needed "not brains but loyalty." [19]

Nixon concluded that Bush would fit best as chairman of the Republican National Committee, replacing Senator Bob Dole, whom Nixon considered too independent and acerbic.

"Bush was perfect for the RNC," wrote Bush's biographer Herbert S. Parmet, "whistle-clean, a tonic for the GOP's public image, a nice guy to everyone, but tough. How else could he have built a career in oil and politics? A great combination: respectability and strength, able to firm up the administration's lines of control. He could be handy at the money-raising, too." [20]

With more Watergate troubles looming in federal criminal court (over the five burglars) and in Congress (with Ervin's plans for public hearings), Nixon told Bush, "The place I really need you is over at the National Committee running things." Bush accepted though he was less than thrilled with the new job. [21]

Bush's genial demeanor helped in negotiations with Strauss, a fellow Texan whom Bush also counted as a friend. By mid-April 1973, Strauss appeared on the verge of achieving his goal of putting the Watergate civil lawsuit into the past.

"I'm driving into work one day and I hear that Strauss and George Bush were holding a press conference at the National Press Club to announce that they were settling the Watergate case, putting it behind them," Oliver said. "I said he can't settle that suit without me. The Republicans were holding out $1 million to settle that suit, but they couldn't settle it without me."

On April 17, 1973, Strauss disclosed that CREEP had offered $525,000 to settle the case. "There has been some serious discussion for many months" between Democratic and CREEP lawyers, Strauss said. "It has become intense in the past several weeks." Strauss explained his interest in a settlement partly because the Democratic Party was saddled with a $3.5 million debt and could not afford to devote enough legal resources to the case. [22]

But two days later, Strauss backed off the settlement talks because Oliver and Common Cause, another organization involved in the civil case, balked. "We haven't the slightest intention of settling short of what we set out to get," said Common Cause chairman John Gardner. "I think that the Democratic National Committee suit and ours are the two that are least susceptible to control." [23]

At a press conference, Oliver declared, "I am appalled at the idea of ending the civil suit in the Watergate case through a secretly negotiated settlement and thereby destroying what may be an important forum through which the truth about those responsible may become known. I do not know what motivated Robert Strauss to even contemplate such a step."

For his part, Strauss said he had discussed a settlement with former Attorney General Mitchell "with the knowledge and approval of the Democratic leadership on the Hill after talking to a number of Democratic governors and with eight or 10 members of the Democratic National Committee." Asked if he was compromising the interests of the Democratic Party, Strauss responded, "If I was doing so, I was doing so with a lot of company." [24]

Though in retrospect, the idea of leading Democrats shying away from the Watergate scandal may seem odd, the major breaks in the cover-up had yet to occur. At the time, the prospect that the scandal might lead to Nixon's removal from office appeared remote. (As late as April 1974, Strauss would chastise Democratic governors for calling for Nixon's resignation. [25])

The pattern of prominent Democrats seeking to avoid confrontation with Republicans is also one that would recur in subsequent scandals that threatened the political survival of senior Republicans.

After the public flare-up over the aborted Watergate settlement, the strained relationship between Oliver and Strauss grew even worse. Oliver said, "Strauss started calling around to state chairs, saying ‘Did you see what that little SOB said about me? He's accusing me of being a crook.' He really launched a campaign against me."

Meanwhile, inside the Nixon administration, Connally took a more vocal role on Watergate, meeting with RNC chief Bush and urging the President to take some forceful action to get ahead of the expanding scandal. "Bush says that Connally wants something done drastically, that someone has to walk the plank and some heads have to roll," Haldeman recounted in his diary.

Haldeman discussed Watergate directly with Connally, who urged the White House to go on the offensive against the Senate committee. "We should be outraged at their demagoguery," Connally advised Haldeman, according to the diary entry. "Take them head-on in open session and grandstand it."

Haldeman wrote that Connally wanted senior White House officials to "go up and really put on an act, take the Committee on, try to nail them, that they'd been on a witch-hunt. You need some phrases. You need to be coached and rehearsed, each one of you. You might, by that, screw the Committee in people's minds and destroy it, or at least pull its teeth." [26]

As the scandal continued to grow - and the cover-up created new legal dangers - Nixon even considered appointing Connally as Attorney General. Haldeman doubted Connally would take the job, drawing a response from Nixon that "Connally says he'll do anything he has to do." [27]

Putting the Pieces Together

Oliver said it was not until spring 1973 that he began putting the pieces of the Watergate mystery together, leading him to believe that the events around the Texas convention were not simply coincidental but rather the consequence of Republican eavesdropping on his telephone.

If that were true, Oliver suspected, Strauss may have been collaborating with his old mentor Connally both in arranging a Texas outcome that would ensure McGovern's nomination and later in trying to head off the Watergate civil lawsuit. That would not mean that Connally and Strauss necessarily knew about the bugging of the DNC, only that they had been used by Republicans who had access to the information from the Gemstone wiretappers, Oliver said.

"In my opinion, they were listening to me on that phone do a vote count and they're listening to us start a project to block McGovern's nomination," Oliver said. "They were scared to death that it would be Scoop Jackson or Terry Sanford" emerging as the Democratic nominee.

"This strategy is about to work and we're about to stop McGovern. Now, how do you block that? Well, the man who Nixon admired the most in the world, who he wanted to be his Vice President was John Connally. And who could block it in Texas? John Connally. Who was the state party chairman? Who controlled the machinery? John Connally's people. No Republican could have done it. Only Connally. They had to go directly to him because he's the only one who could fix it.

"But Connally wasn't somebody who could be called by just anybody. So I believe what happened was that they went to Connally - Haldeman or Nixon, maybe Mitchell or [Charles] Colson - but it had to be one of them. They must have briefed him on what they knew, and what they knew is what they got off the interception of my telephone.

"Nixon wanted Connally to be his successor, but this is in jeopardy if Nixon doesn't get reelected. So Connally may have contacted Will Davis and may have sent Strauss to Texas."

McGovern got his share of the Texas delegates after a marathon session that ended at 3:31 a.m. on June 14, 1972. That same day, according to Hunt, Liddy was told by his "principals" that the burglars needed to return to the Democratic offices at the Watergate to install more eavesdropping equipment. Three days later, the Watergate burglars were arrested.

"Once they were caught, they [Nixon and his men] had to cut off our avenue of discovery, which of course was the civil suit," Oliver said. "I think Strauss may have run for national chairman for that purpose. Strauss wanted to kill the Wategate thing because he may have been part of this conspiracy to help nominate McGovern, part of the conspiracy to cover up the Watergate matter and put it behind us.

"In desperate fear of exposure later on, he tried to crush me. Somebody told me about a conversation with Strauss when someone said, ‘Spencer's never going to give in on the Watergate thing,' and Strauss said, ‘When he doesn't have any more income, he'll be a lot more reasonable.'"

Over the next quarter century, Strauss would come to epitomize the national Democratic leader who cultivated friendly relations with Republicans. His friendship with Bush confidante James Baker III was cemented when Strauss headed President Jimmy Carter's failed reelection bid in 1980, while Baker held a top job in the Reagan-Bush campaign.

After Carter's loss in 1980, the defeated Democratic President joked to his staff that "Bob is a very loyal friend - he waited a whole week after the election before he had dinner with Ronald Reagan."

Strauss also counted himself one of George H.W. Bush's closest friends, accepting an appointment as Bush's ambassador to Moscow in 1991. A senior Bush administration official explained the appointment to The New York Times by saying, "The President wants to send one of his best friends" to Moscow.

Strauss did not respond to my requests for an interview regarding his Watergate role.

The End Game

During Bush's times as Republican national chairman, the most pressing issue before him was managing the fallout from the seemingly endless string of Watergate explosions, as one investigative bomb after another rocked Washington.

The scandal took a dangerous turn for Nixon when the Senate Watergate Committee discovered that the President had installed a taping system to record his conversations. Through torturous maneuvering in the early months of 1974, Nixon tried to keep control of the tape recordings while offering limited transcripts to investigators.

As Democratic demands for Nixon's resignation mounted, Democratic National Chairman Strauss was one of the party's dissenters. At a meeting of Democratic governors in Chicago on April 22, 1974, Strauss called for toning down the rhetoric to avoid future retribution from Nixon and the Republicans.

"I ask you what horrors await this nation if he is able to portray himself as a resigned martyr," Strauss declared. [28]

The DNC also agreed to settle the Watergate lawsuit in 1974. Though the precise terms were sealed, Strauss said publicly that the Democrats were willing to accept about $1.25 million. (Oliver eventually settled separately with the Republicans, with those terms also under court seal.) [29]

However, by 1974, the Watergate scandal had gathered an unstoppable momentum. The U.S. Supreme Court compelled Nixon to surrender the White House tapes, which established beyond doubt that Nixon had participated in a criminal conspiracy to obstruct investigations into the Watergate scandal.

On August 5, 1974, the White House released a tape from June 23, 1972 - six days after the Watergate arrests - showing that Nixon had ordered the FBI investigation stopped for political reasons. On August 9, Nixon resigned, handing the presidency to Gerald Ford (who had replaced Agnew after his resignation in a corruption scandal).

The Nixon resignation in 1974 was not only a watershed historical event, but it was a low water mark for the Republican/conservative movement in the United States. But the Republican Party and the Right learned crucial lessons from the debacle.

Within a few years, they began building up their own media infrastructure, they invested in think tanks that would assure more loyalty in Washington, and they financed attack groups to go after adversaries, including troublesome reporters.

Meanwhile, the Democrats and the Left grew complacent, assuming that the painful lessons of Watergate and the various reforms enacted in the 1970s would protect the country from similar crimes of states in the future. The belief was that Washington's checks and balances would continue working as they had to stop Nixon.

But the Democrats and the Left underestimated the toughness and determination of the Republicans and the Right. By the 1980s, the protections were in place to prevent any meaningful accountability against Ronald Reagan over the Iran-Contra Affair and related scandals, such as Reagan's covert "Iraq-gate" support for Saddam Hussein and cocaine trafficking by Reagan's beloved Nicaraguan contra rebels.

In those later scandals, the pattern of accommodating Democrats seeking to tamp down discord and avoid head-to-head confrontations also recurred.

Looking back at the Watergate scandal from the perspective of the early 1990s, Spencer Oliver noted the ironic turning of tables in the two decades after the burglars first snuck into the Democratic offices and planted the bug on his phone.

"Watergate was the most devastating blow that any political party has suffered in modern history," Oliver told me in an interview in 1992 when he was serving as chief counsel for the House Foreign Affairs Committee. "The President was driven out of office. The Republicans were repudiated at the polls. They took enormous losses in Congress.

"What they learned from Watergate was not ‘don't do it,' but ‘cover it up more effectively.' They have learned that they have to frustrate congressional oversight and press scrutiny in a way that will avoid another major scandal."

It was that lesson - how top Republicans could make themselves unaccountable, often with the help of key Democrats - which may have been the most important historical change that emerged from Watergate.


Robert Parry broke many of the Iran-Contra stories in the 1980s for the Associated Press and Newsweek. His latest book, "Neck Deep: The Disastrous Presidency of George W. Bush," was written with two of his sons, Sam and Nat, and can be ordered at neckdeepbook.com. His two previous books, "Secrecy & Privilege: The Rise of the Bush Dynasty from Watergate to Iraq" and "Lost History: Contras, Cocaine, the Press & 'Project Truth'" are also available there.


1 Lukas, Nightmare, p. 199
2 Ibid., p. 38
3 See Jim Hougan, Secret Agenda (New York: Random House, 1984), pp. 107-115
4 Lukas, Nightmare, pp. 201-202
5 Ibid., p. 202
6 Ibid., p. 151
7 H.R. Haldeman, The Haldeman Diaries (Entry for June 12, 1972)
8 The New York Times (December 12, 1972)
9 The New York Times (June 15, 1972)
10 Lukas, Nightmare, p. 203
11 Kutler, Abuse of Power, p. 40
12 Lukas, Nightmare, pp. 206-209
13 The New York Times (September 22, 1972)
14 The New York Times (December 7, 1972)
15 The New York Times (December 11, 1972)
16 The New York Times (December 7, 1972)
17 Haldeman, The Haldeman Diaries (Entry for December 1, 1972)
18 Ibid. (See Entry for December 10, 1972)
19 Parmet, George Bush, p. 157
20 Ibid., p. 158
21 "Bush with Gold," Looking Forward, pp. 120-121
22 The New York Times (April 18,1973)
23 The New York Times (April 20, 1973)
24 Ibid.
25 The New York Times (April 23, 1974)
26 Haldeman, The Haldeman Diaries (Entry for April 5, 1973)
27 Ibid. (Entry for April 26, 1973)
28 The New York Times (April 23, 1974)
29 The New York Times (January 31, 1974)

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To: Bread Upon The Water who wrote (189784)5/24/2012 9:27:16 AM
From: epicure of 224969
 
Excellent news. But the election is just too far away. The polls won't really mean anything until September.

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From: Wharf Rat5/24/2012 9:42:16 AM
of 224969
 
U.S.: CITIZENS GROUP CHALLENGES CORPORATE SUPPORT FOR GLOBAL WARMING DENIERS



May 23, 2012


By Matthew Cardinale
Global Information Network
ATLANTA, Georgia, May 23, 2012 (IPS/GIN) - A coalition of advocacy groups is denouncing corporate support for the right-wing Heartland Institute after the organization put up a controversial billboard in Chicago that links the belief in global warming with serial killing and mass murder. On Tuesday, the coalition protested outside the Heartland Institute'sSeventh International Conference on Climate Change, a conference for climate change deniers being held at the Hilton hotel in Chicago. The offending billboard featured a picture of Ted Kaczinski, the mass murderer known as the Unabomber, with the text, "I still believe in Global Warming. Do you?" Heartland Institute ran the billboard on May 3 but removed the ad a day later. The coalition includes such organizations as 350.org, Forecast the Facts, Greenpeace, the League of Conservation Voters, Sierra Club, and Sum of Us. Over the last two months, the coalition has been successful in convincing some eleven companies to withdraw their support for Heartland Institute, including Allied World Assurance, the Association of Bermuda Insurers and Reinsurers, BB&T, Diageo, Eli Lilly, General Motors, PepsiCo, RenaissanceRe, State Farm, USAA and XL Group. "The main thing we're upset by is the corporate sponsorship of the Heartland Institute's extreme climate denial. The billboards are just the latest example of the Heartland Institute's attacks on science and the science of climate change and people who believe in reality," Brad Johnson, campaign manager for Forecast the Facts, told IPS. "That's why...corporations like Pfizer and Comcast need to cut their ties with the group," Johnson said. The Heartland Institute did not immediately return inquiries from IPS seeking comment. However, Joseph Bast, president of the Heartland Institute, said in a press release on Tuesday, "Whether knowingly or not, these protesters are trying to stifle academic freedom and free speech." "That would be laughable if the science of climate change wasn't so serious," Johnson said in response to the statement. "That's what they do, they demonise scientists, they attack, their entire argument is the entire global scientific community is entirely a communist conspiracy."

"Of course, not all global warming alarmists are murderers or tyrants," the Heartland Institute said in a press release from May 3. "The people who still believe in man-made global warming are mostly on the radical fringe of society. This is why the most prominent advocates of global warming aren't scientists. They are murderers, tyrants, and madmen." In reality, though, the international scientific consensus is that climate change is real, it is anthropogenic, or man-made, and it is problematic. Not a single peer-reviewed, academic scientific study questions the existence of manmade nature of climate change. The coalition plans to continue targeting corporations such as Comcast, Microsoft and Pfizer, which continue to support the Heartland Institute. Their campaign is only the latest in recent efforts lobbying corporations to withdraw their support for right-wing think tanks. Taking on ALEC The last couple of months have also seen a successful campaign to challenge corporate support for another right-wing group, the American Legislative Exchange Council (ALEC), a group of legislative and corporate members that creates model legislation for passage in state legislatures across the United States. ALEC's legislative priorities include regressive taxation policies and anti-immigration policies. In May 2011, IPS was one of the first news organizations to cover ALEC's role in anti-immigration policies at the state level. Lately, however, the group has come under scrutiny for a variety of legislative initiatives ranging from voter ID laws, which make both registering to vote and voting more difficult, to the so-called Stand Your Ground law. Stand Your Ground is an ALEC-supported law in Florida that allows individuals who feel that they are physically threatened by another person to use deadly force against them, ultimately allowing them to shoot first and ask questions later. The law has risen in prominence due to the recent controversial shooting of an unarmed black teenager, Trayvon Martin, by a neighbourhood watch volunteer, George Zimmerman, in Florida. Voter ID laws and Stand Your Ground were a tipping point at which a group called ColorOfChange decided to organize a campaign to target corporate sponsorship for ALEC. The speed at which people became aware of ALEC and decided to take action was surprising to those who have been watching ALEC or years. "When we saw these cookie cutter pieces (of legislation) coming through (the Georgia legislature), it was obvious for years that ALEC was big trouble for representative government," Larry Pellegrini, executive director of the Georgia Rural Urban Summit, told IPS.

"It was almost like a bully coming in with all the strings tied and the edges wrapped up and their people who were gonna muscle it through, like agents," Pellegrini said. In the state house and senate, legislators would appear organized and informed, Pelligrini said. In reality, though, "legislators that would go to ALEC meetings were basically taking a trip to be spoon-fed this stuff, it wasn't something they'd go to having done any homework, or having any ideas in their head of having model legislation," he added. Garnering public interest Johnson of Forecast the Facts said there was a renewed interest in corporate ties to right-wing think tanks. "The American public really recognise(s) that corporations are playing a major role in influencing our political system and therefore have a responsibility to act as responsible citizens. If, as Mitt Romney says, corporations are people, then they need to act ethically," Johnson said. According to the ColorOfChange website, corporations that have withdrawn their support from ALEC include American Traffic Solutions, Arizona Public Service, Blue Cross Blue Shield Association, Coca- Cola, Intuit, Kaplan, Kraft Foods, Mars Inc., McDonald's, PepsiCo, Procter & Gamble, Reed Elsevier, Wendy's and Yum! Brands. The Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation and National Board for Professional Teaching Standards have also left ALEC. In an apparent retreat, ALEC wrote in a statement dated April 17, "We are eliminating the ALEC Public Safety and Elections task force that dealt with non-economic issues, and reinvesting these resources in the task forces that focus on the economy." However, instead of declaring victory, ColorOfChange criticised the move as a public relations stunt. With or without the special tax force, ALEC will continue its work on election and gun issues, the organization claimed. Opponents of ALEC and similarly focused right-wing groups are not giving up, however. As Pelligrini noted, "There should be more exposing of things that bother us that haven't gotten on the radar screen. Maybe we can get some more things changed or make things better by shining more light."

insurancenewsnet.com 

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To: epicure who wrote (189788)5/24/2012 10:05:30 AM
From: Dale Baker of 224969
 
Another poll yesterday had Romney up in Florida but they are moving around a lot.

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To: Dale Baker who wrote (189790)5/24/2012 10:11:33 AM
From: Sam of 224969
 
Euro Zone Crisis Boils as Leaders Fail to Signal New Steps
By NICHOLAS KULISH and PAUL GEITNER
nytimes.com 


BERLIN — With Greece’s membership in the euro zone teetering, fears of bank insolvency rising and Europe’s leaders bickering about what to do, the euro crisis is once again intensifying and threatening to undermine fragile growth globally.

At a summit meeting in Brussels on Wednesday, regional leaders failed to signal any significant new steps to stimulate the sputtering regional economy or resolve the competing agendas of President François Hollande of France, who favors stronger action to spur growth, and his German counterpart, Chancellor Angela Merkel, who has opposed aggressive moves to ease the pressure on Europe’s weakest economies.

Yet, the urgency for a solution to the region’s debt crisis, now in its third year, may never have been greater.

With international economic monitors warning that the Continent could slide back into recession, Spain has watched its borrowing costs climb to unsustainable levels, as concerns rise about the country’s weakened banking sector. Fears continue to grow that it will be difficult to avoid a messy divorce between Greece and the euro zone, with still unpredictable consequences for markets and other struggling European economies, including Spain and Italy.

In a conference call held on Monday, finance ministry officials from the euro zone countries were urged to make sure contingency plans were in place for all eventualities, including a Greek exit, one European official involved said.

“You have a debt crisis, a banking crisis and a political crisis. Those are the three crises that are occurring simultaneously,” said Thomas Cooley, economics professor at the New York University Stern School of Business. “Anything that undermines confidence in the financial system is bad, not just for the European financial system but the U.S. financial system as well.”

Problems in Europe pose a threat to President Obama’s re-election plans as well, because a deeper slump there could drag down the United States economy, as happened a year ago. In a recent report, the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development cited Europe’s potential slump as the leading threat to global growth.

Some European leaders had tried to play down expectations for Wednesday’s meeting, one they said was only a prelude to a formal meeting scheduled for the end of June. “Each of us spoke and put forward our position,” said Ms. Merkel, addressing the discussion of jointly issued debt, known as euro bonds, after the meeting. “François Hollande spoke as he said he would. It was a very differentiated discussion.”

But in an indication of developing fissures, Mr. Hollande, who has been vocal in supporting euro bonds, said before the meeting that “the euro zone must show that it can support Greece.” Rather than suggesting a decisive new approach or finding common solutions, the leaders appear to be increasingly at odds.

In many ways their most important mission may be to quell their own infighting. The demand from France and others for bonds jointly issued by the 17 members of the euro currency union, to pool the borrowing risk, has grown louder, even as the opposition in Germany has grown more rancorous.

German officials said that Ms. Merkel, after arriving, met briefly with Greece’s caretaker prime minister, Panagiotis Pikrammenos. They said Ms. Merkel had told him Germany would do what it could to help Greece, but added as she has many times before that Athens would have to abide by the agreements it made with its lenders.

On June 17, Greece will hold a second round of elections that is being treated as a referendum on the loan agreement, and the date is evolving into a deadline for European leaders to offer some sort of hope to the Greek people. But it is not clear what form that might take.

The German central bank, the Bundesbank, warned in its monthly report Wednesday that the Greek situation was “extremely worrying,” but that easing Greece’s bailout terms “would damage confidence in all euro-area agreements and treaties and strongly weaken incentives for national reform and consolidation measures.”

Instead of euro bonds, less controversial measures, like increased financing for the European Investment Bank, the repurposing of existing European structural funds and even “project bonds” jointly issued for specific undertakings, are likely to be pursued. Spain’s prime minister, Mariano Rajoy, has called for more aggressive action by the European Central Bank.

Mr. Hollande has promised to find a way to generate economic growth not only in France but also for reeling economies like Greece. He has proposed that euro member nations pool their resources to make project bonds available for initiatives intended to promote growth. In the process, he has set himself as an opponent of Ms. Merkel and the austerity policies associated with her stance for fiscal rectitude.

Although the German and French finance ministers praised each other and spoke of their friendly and cooperative relations after their preliminary meeting in Berlin on Monday, the level of frustration in the German capital over Mr. Hollande’s vocal demand for euro bonds has become increasingly evident.

Many economists believe that euro bonds offer the surest way to end the sovereign debt crisis and for European states to restore growth. But in Berlin, many policy makers view them with skepticism, as a way for other countries to tap the creditworthiness of Germany rather than facing up to difficult but necessary economic reforms. “It is clear who wants what from whom,” said Thomas Steffen, a deputy finance minister, in an address on fiscal policy on Wednesday. “A lot of people want something from us.”

While talk has focused on how isolated Ms. Merkel has become in her stance against euro bonds and in favor of pressing deficit cuts, she is far from alone. Many Eastern European countries, which suffered through their own austerity programs to gain entry to the euro zone and are still poorer than Greece, have little sympathy for Athens. And the Austrians, Finns and Dutch have thus far hewed to Ms. Merkel’s line.

“We did not expect a decision tonight,” Mr. Hollande said after the meeting. “There was no conflict, no confrontation between the various countries and some were even more against euro bonds than Ms. Merkel.”

Ms. Merkel said Wednesday that the German Constitution and the European treaties forbade countries from assuming one another’s debts. “Aside from that, I don’t believe that they would make any contribution to boosting growth in the euro zone,” she said.

Mr. Cooley, of New York University, said: “I don’t think we’ll get all the way to the unraveling of the euro system. The way they are approaching solutions to it is the one that’s going to cause the most possible pain and damage to the countries on the periphery.”


Nicholas Kulish reported from Berlin, and Paul Geitner from Brussels. Melissa Eddy contributed reporting from Berlin, David Jolly from Paris, and James Kanter from Brussels.





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From: Wharf Rat5/24/2012 10:18:59 AM
of 224969
 
The Recovery Is an Illusion: John Williams Source: JT Long of The Gold Report (5/18/12)

John Williams, author of the ShadowStats.com newsletter, shines light on his interpretations of the GDP, CPI, unemployment and other government statistics in this exclusive Gold Report interview from the recent Recovery Reality Check conference. Highlights include what the money supply measures tell him and why QE3 will be a hard sell.

theaureport.com 


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To: Bread Upon The Water who wrote (189780)5/24/2012 11:01:22 AM
From: JohnM of 224969
 
Greetings. But you've made the big mistake that book reviewers often make, of insisting the author write a different book. Sen isn't writing to correct the Greek economic issue; rather he's arguing that the process by which the European Union and the European Central Bank arrives at its policies undermines the democratic process in serious and severe ways. It's much less about economics and far more about the repression of democracy.

Just to make this clear, I'm quoting from the conclusion of the piece. It's a longish quote but is the point of Sen's essay. Who is far more a political economist than Krugman.

I happen also to agree with the portion of the argument which says the way in which these decisions were reached increases the probability of serious popular reaction, at least as bad as that in Greece if not worse. Sen is working from the argument that we are in the early stages of all this. And the latter stages will be a crisis of governing, created by the way the elites handled the financial crisis.
Perhaps the most troubling aspect of Europe’s current malaise is the replacement of democratic commitments by financial dictates — from leaders of the European Union and the European Central Bank, and indirectly from credit-rating agencies, whose judgments have been notoriously unsound. Participatory public discussion — the “government by discussion” expounded by democratic theorists like John Stuart Mill and Walter Bagehot — could have identified appropriate reforms over a reasonable span of time, without threatening the foundations of Europe’s system of social justice. In contrast, drastic cuts in public services with very little general discussion of their necessity, efficacy or balance have been revolting to a large section of the European population and have played into the hands of extremists on both ends of the political spectrum.

Europe cannot revive itself without addressing two areas of political legitimacy. First, Europe cannot hand itself over to the unilateral views — or good intentions — of experts without public reasoning and informed consent of its citizens. Given the transparent disdain for the public, it is no surprise that in election after election the public has shown its dissatisfaction by voting out incumbents.

Second, both democracy and the chance of creating good policy are undermined when ineffective and blatantly unjust policies are dictated by leaders. The obvious failure of the austerity mandates imposed so far has undermined not only public participation — a value in itself — but also the possibility of arriving at a sensible, and sensibly timed, solution. This is a surely a far cry from the “united democratic Europe” that the pioneers of European unity sought.
So you might wish to write your essay on the Greek "cultural tradition" (though that's a bit of hyperbole, since that tradition is much more than cheating on tax revenues) and on their psychology (I've never understood the whole venture of national psychologies).

But that's not Sen's essay. Different topics for different folk.

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