Strategies & Market Trends | Day Trading the Russell Emini Futures


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To: wilywilly who wrote (4622)4/25/2012 2:50:24 PM
From: Ron   of 4860
 
Tell them you are on a heavily visited thread of pro traders and if they let you test it for a couple of weeks
you will pass along an endorsement >>>>GGGGG

Here's one I've been trying out from the HFT alert folks. I can't say it is terribly helpful. My own
chart indicators generally do the job with no extra cost. I think they charge 50 bucks a month for this particular
indicator.
According to this, big traders have been fading the Q's for about 90 minutes as of now


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To: Ron who wrote (4623)4/25/2012 5:20:06 PM
From: Ron   of 4860
 
That indicator finally turned back up around 3:20 (purple crossed up over blue) but for most of the afternoon, it was obviously wrong.
This is why I like to test these services out as a trial before I start paying them, only to find it was a waste.

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From: otherbrotherdarrel4/26/2012 10:57:59 AM
   of 4860
 
Another tidbit I discovered a while back......... If you remember learning fractions back when........ numerators and denominators and such........ Well, for whatever reason, this has some relavance in what we do. Put up the same chart, say in 5 minutes and 8 minutes. And look for an obvious trend event initiation. Once found, it is incredibly likely that that you will find that event initiated when the two chart durations have properties united using the numerator/denominator concept....... nearly always.

Today on the ES 5 and 8 minute chart at 3:50 AM Eastern I took a short. I seldom take a trade befor 4:00 AM but because it happened where the print began at the same exact time on both charts, I did. I think of these events as insurance in the trend direction.

Many chart durations will synch up and most synchronizations will afford a trend event. Oddly, it is when the print is synchronized on the open or close a trend event begins. The greater the duration difference, the more relativity in the overall chart will become a factor in size of trend.

I use 5 and 8 minute charts a lot. Try using a combination where their synchronization is not terribly common...... not like 2 and 3 or 3 and 5. Look for these events and build an intimacy with them. If you really wanted to..... you could build a spreadsheet that determines those times of day when synchronization occurs. I believe you will find it beneficial.

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To: otherbrotherdarrel who wrote (4619)4/26/2012 11:06:41 AM
From: Ron   of 4860
 
Not seeing anything in that indicator combination that does anything for me in the NQs. One long from the open this morning and one short just closed a few min ago.
NQs heavily influenced by AAPL which has too much weight, but that's the way the cookie crumbles.

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To: Ron who wrote (4626)4/26/2012 12:08:05 PM
From: otherbrotherdarrel   of 4860
 
No offense, Ron. I do not believe the NQ has enough poop in its pants to shoo two flies at once. I can scalp it pretty good but finding reliable meaningful trends, I mean 15 points and more, are difficult for me. I have tuned my brain to zippidy do-dahs I can find far more easily and frequently in the ES.

I know. I'm screwed up. Old people drive Buicks and Hondas. But I drive Vettes and Big Dogs and push them. Maybe I ain't old yet. I did have an '85 Regal I liked once upon a time though.

You know what I am saying. We develop an eye and use it.

I'll look for an NQ example, if one exists. I seldom look at it.

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To: Ron who wrote (4626)4/26/2012 12:15:53 PM
From: otherbrotherdarrel   of 4860
 
The aim of this tool is to find the greater of trends (concerning relativity for the chart durations). At the same exact time as my ES short is a NQ short where 15 points were the result....... The greatest move of the day!

I look for home runs (usually). This is THE home run of the day.

And remember relativity. A 15 point move in a 15 point day is significant. At the same time it finds two or three 8 point moves in a 10 point spread day.

But the NQ is not a good one to use a 200 cci extreme. It does not have enough strength to move the study far enough. But the tool works in locating the greatest elsewhere where volume is present and when NQ can muster enough fortitude to stand up and be seen.

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To: otherbrotherdarrel who wrote (4627)4/26/2012 1:52:32 PM
From: Ron   of 4860
 
No offense taken. NQ is a great money maker for me. All depends on the system one uses.
Just closed out final trade of the day. Took 9 points on 3 contracts.
A good day.

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To: otherbrotherdarrel who wrote (4628)4/26/2012 4:32:08 PM
From: tiga909   of 4860
 
Looking at the charts was there a long on the ES at around 7:55AM? This looks very promising for spotting a 15 point gain on the day.

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To: tiga909 who wrote (4630)4/27/2012 9:14:55 AM
From: otherbrotherdarrel   of 4860
 
I am Eastern time so I assume your mention was Central. And yes, I had a secondary long signal then but I was already long from about 4 AM Eastern.

From time to time I will post a trade. Their objective depends on where in the trend I think it is, time of day, the time I have and what template is working good. But when i try creating a new idea 90% of the time I am looking for home runs and how to ride them out. Once an idea proves it can pinch more than 3 points I will use a small collection of technique on it to 5 points, then graduate to another collection to manage that position. It seems every idea has some form of slippage or potential error. So risk/reward are always considered along the way. If I have 3 points on the scorecard do I risk 2 of it to reach 4 (because I know one technique has properties allowing a retrace that could promote a 2 point retreat)?. Finding a trend in most any duration or goal is relatively easy. Managing it and staying a winner day after day is where the tire hits the road. Everyone knows this but it seems few incorporate it religiously into their game. I went broke two times before I surrendered to it. Our mind can be the enemy.

What I mean by home run is the greatest trend of the day. Some days the ES will have a range of 6 points and other days will have a 26 point range. I want its infancy and as much of the meat of it as possible. Getting all of it would be nice but is not realistic. We deal with unknowns all day long. I would put post-its on my monitors reminding me of it all the time....... Take what the chart gives you, leave the rest alone........ If you don't know, you don't know...... etc. We know this stuff, we just don't think of it sometimes when we try executing through the day. For a while I thought about getting a tattoo on my forhead saying DUMBASS to remind me every morning but never got drunk enough.

I figure we are kinda like AA. We need to hear others trials and misery so we can be reminded of what can happen.

Just my 2 cents.

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To: otherbrotherdarrel who wrote (4631)4/28/2012 2:44:05 PM
From: tiga909   of 4860
 
Yes I meant central. Being able to identify a longer term trend is always interesting. I notice that these signals happen during early hours of the day. Maybe I need to follow this more carefully. Thank you for sharing your ideas.

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