Strategies & Market Trends | Strictly Buy and Sell Set Ups


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To: sixty2nds who wrote (10880)1/22/2007 7:00:26 PM
From: chowder   of 13449
 
Re: KKD ... In looking at a weekly chart for KKD, I see that price is in the price resistance zone. Last May price approached this $12 price range and then pulled back.

The thing that concerns me about another test of that price range is that the buying volume was much more intense last February through May than it has been during this past October through January. I'm concerned that the lack of buying interest this time around may indicate KKD is due for another correction, or at least another round of consolidation.

If I had a position in KKD and it was showing a decent profit, I might consider selling part of the position and lock those profits in, keeping part of the position to benefit just in case KKD does decide to continue higher. This way I'd be able to manage risk against a pull back yet still benefit if price continues higher.

I would consider buying back or taking a position if price breaks out to a new high on above average volume, or wait until a correction takes price back to the supporting moving averages.


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To: chowder who wrote (10882)1/22/2007 10:25:30 PM
From: sixty2nds   of 13449
 
Thank you for the input dabum3. I went long KKD 12/22 @ 10.75 using Price as the primary indicator. On a daily it was the 3rd up WRB days of 4. I looked at the weekly chart. LT XMA's were bullish. I agree with your price/volume/resistance comments. I checked the daily to map the trade. ST XMAs were bullish with 2 positive tests of the 50 XMA. Volume on the daily chart seemed to tell a different tale than on the weekly chart. Maybe knowing short interest was/is +/- 35% tipped the scales to buy. Combining that knowledge with Positive MoneyStream divergences in multiple time frames(weekly,3,2,daily) made KKD a buy for me. A little practice at buying on strength didn't hurt either. IMO KKD has price spike potential in the $14-17 range. Initial stop was $9.32 Well within trade portfolio risk parameters we've discussed. 1/16 moved the stop to $9.61 1/19 I moved it $9.95. I will not let the profit turn loss. It's been a long day. I'll reset the stop early in the morning when I'm fresh. Don't forget those workouts. It's not long till pitchers and catchers report for Spring Training.

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To: Bucky Katt who wrote (10881)1/22/2007 10:28:31 PM
From: Sober   of 13449
 
Thank you, I will look at the thread..

Sober

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From: chowder1/23/2007 2:35:12 AM
   of 13449
 
Re: ILMN ... Buy Set Up .................................

ILMN seems to setting up nicely for an intermediate to long term trade.

First a look at the weekly chart.

Back in October, ILMN saw a high volume, wide range bar form as price broke out to a 52 week high. That was a clear indication of professional money supporting price movement.

The last 3 months is showing a price consolidation on lower volume. The low selling volume is an indication that ILMN is merely correcting on normal profit taking. Professional money is holding on and supporting the price at this time. Note how price has consolidated along a rising 20 week moving average. This is a very bullish chart pattern that suggests ILMN may be ready for the next leg up.




As we step down to the daily chart, note the very bullish high volume, wide range bar that formed yesterday as price broke above the 50 day moving average. ILMN trades an average of 738K shares per day. Yesterday it traded 1.7 million shares, up 135% above the daily average. This is the type of volume you want to see when price breaks above resistance. This normally signals the next move up. The daily chart is confirming the weekly chart.




Entry target should be just above yesterday's high of the day. Entry $40.60. Profit targets $4.50 - $15.00. Stop should set at $36.50.

dabum

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To: Sober who wrote (10884)1/23/2007 2:38:29 AM
From: chowder   of 13449
 
Speaking of NLX, up 93% yesterday. Poo yie! Congratulations Sober. A terrific call on your part. Good job.





dabum

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To: hubris33 who wrote (10874)1/23/2007 2:53:58 AM
From: chowder   of 13449
 
Re: TRI ... This issue showed up in one of your scans this weekend. In looking at a weekly chart, for a longer term hold, I see a very bullish pattern developing.

Back in October the price pulled back on significant selling volume. People wanted out and didn't care at what price as the high volume, bearish wide range bar is indicating.

In the following weeks, the buying volume bars are greater than the selling volume bars indicating a transfer of volume from weak hands to stronger hands. Price has consolidated the last several weeks after hitting the $43.00 price range. Last week shows another high volume, bullish wide range bar and suggests that TRI is a buy once price trades above the near term price resistance of $43.00.






Entry $43.15. Profit target $4.00 - $12.00. Stop $39.00.

dabum

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From: chowder1/23/2007 3:07:09 AM
   of 13449
 
Re: OBCHX ... I brought the attention of this China fund to the board last year. What a beast.


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To: chowder who wrote (10882)1/23/2007 10:59:57 AM
From: sixty2nds   of 13449
 
dabum3 First let me say that ILMN setup is a beauty. KKD - I am not ready to slay the trading demon the keeps me from split positions. I may not get there. After evaluating the first 45 minutes of KKD action this AM I moved the stop up to $11.44 locking a 6% profit on the full position. My trade journal revealed a hole that nice gains fell into. It was feeding on trades which peaked in the + 6 - 10% range. Using the next 3-6 months of trading I will strive to consistantly wring 5-6% from the situations I accepted + 2%. Then I will hunt another hole to fill.

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To: chowder who wrote (10870)1/23/2007 11:53:41 AM
From: hubris33   of 13449
 
Played CSH as a ST reversal yesterday, nearing target. We'll see....

<edit> Sold CSH at target 43! +1.50 on trade.

H3

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To: chowder who wrote (10886)1/23/2007 2:03:18 PM
From: Sober   of 13449
 
Thanks for noticing my mention of NLX.

Next stock of interest to me is NVEC after getting killed for only making 23cents instead of 25. Of course, the total story is not that simple, but overall this looks like a good set up to go higher rather than much lower.

I will try to put together a rationale for this stock as soon as I can find some time. I am long at this point.

And my long term favorite growth stock that could become a big winner if they continue to execute their plans is NMKT.

And finally, SSL.

Sober

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