Strategies & Market Trends | Technical Analysis With Charts


Previous 10 
To: MACD X who wrote (6859)4/16/2009 7:07:24 AM
From: Gary H   of 6865
 

Can you tell me why you set the Fibonacci zero line where you did, just below the date rather then the low price in Nov?

Share Recommend | Keep | Reply | Mark as Last Read | Read Replies (1)

To: Gary H who wrote (6861)4/22/2009 11:03:08 PM
From: MACD X   of 6865
 
Gary, thanks for your question, it tells me that you have studied the chart in detail and a lengthy explaination is in order.

The key to the chart is the orphan candle stick and the two congestion centers.

The center of the entire pattern is somewhere between the two congestion center and very likely near the center of the orphan candlestick.

In fact exactly in the middle of the orphan candlestick would be the likely spot.

This comes to your question, by placing the 50% area in the center of the orphan candlestick to the zero part of the fib tool will tell you were the likely bottom should be, this is why the zero% in under the dates, it is because the 50% was in the center of the orphan candlestick and between the two congestion centers.

If you notice closely the 50% area is not is the exact center of the orphan candlestick, I moved it down slightly because of the gap. Gaps throw off projection by about the amount of the gap.

If it plays out the bottom should be close to where I have placed the zero line.

Notice on the chart also the 13 and 34 moving averages notice how price reversed off of them, we may see the market start a down move for a few weeks from here.

It will be interesting to see how the chart plays out during the year, look back on it from time to time, it is a up dating chart,

Share Recommend | Keep | Reply | Mark as Last Read | Read Replies (1)

To: MACD X who wrote (6862)4/23/2009 12:24:07 AM
From: Gary H   of 6865
 
Well I should say that it is a nice piece of work even though it is somewhat unconventional to my understanding of Fibinacci ratio use.

Your placement of the 50% line is right on when one measures from the intermediate high of 2300+, down to the first low of just under 1500. Note this is a straight downturn with no corrections. When this is done, your 50% point is 0.382 below 2300 and your 0.382 point is equal to 0.618 below 2300.

Not too hip on the fundamental of the market but with the view thing will go to hell in a hand basket, your zero line will be something to watch for, maybe not as a bottom, but an intermediate point on the way down.

Share Recommend | Keep | Reply | Mark as Last Read

From: whenitgoesup5/12/2009 2:53:03 PM
   of 6865
 
MO broke out on the charts today...next stop $19-20?

Share Recommend | Keep | Reply | Mark as Last Read

From: chartseer5/26/2011 2:39:49 PM
   of 6865
 
Bought TBT because of what I see in the tbt and tlt charts. I am only fishing and still not sure i know how. Follow at your own risk. Actually if you do the reverse of what I did in the past you would have made money. Follow me and you are bound to loss money.

TBT 33.46




chartseer

Share Recommend | Keep | Reply | Mark as Last Read
Previous 10 

Copyright © 1995-2013 Knight Sac Media. All rights reserved.