Strategies & Market Trends | Technical Analysis With Charts


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From: MACD X8/19/2007 11:01:32 PM
   of 6865
 



The above chart is showing the nazdaq bullish percentage on the top and the Nazdaq on the bottom

The vertical red lines are time cycle lines that are coming at 8 1/2 month time frames,

The next line is scheduled for Dec. 7 2007.

Notice on the bullish percentage chart at the top that in mid cycle there is a reversal or at about 4 months and one week.

the question on the chart is has the mid cycle reversal happened or is it getting ready to happen?

This is a test post to see if the imformation that Return to Sender has given will work for me as I am trying to create better posting.

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To: MACD X who wrote (5464)8/20/2007 12:25:59 AM
From: stock bull   of 6865
 
Here's the new Leavitt Bros. video:

screencast.com 

Worth viewing.

Stock Bull

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From: MACD X8/20/2007 12:30:37 AM
   of 6865
 
stockbull great post and video, but Ron posted it on post 5465, It is worth a second look none the less, thanks.

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From: MACD X8/20/2007 12:52:40 AM
   of 6865
 
Want additional leverage try dirxion funds 250%

direxionfunds.com 

When will it end, the percentages of leverage continue to go up.

Just think if you margined at 50% you could have leverage of 500% of a market move on some of your money,

Thats scarey.

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To: Cisco who wrote (5463)8/20/2007 12:56:24 AM
From: jaker   of 6865
 
I may not have made myself clear, and I agree with you as far as oscillators and indicators go... Actually I use none... because they are lagging, other than divergence... I am foreword looking on almost everything I do... So, I should narrow it down. Pitchforks, Elliott Waves, Fibonacci, and fibonacci extentions. and regression channels. as well as critical R&S levels. Volume,Gann and RSL above covers it.

When I get overlapping match points on several studies, I feel more confident about where the markets have the best odds of moving.

Simple may be better and should work just fine... I just can not stop learning... And I have such a TA addiction I just can not help it.

I probably have a B personality, over analysis is not always a good thing... and you are correct being good at TA does not make one a good trader.

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To: JPKtrader who wrote (5469)8/20/2007 1:17:24 AM
From: jaker   of 6865
 
I noticed the volume was down on Friday ... That suggests to me that it was mostly a short covering rally with little buyer conviction... we will see if the buying picks up Monday.

I am still trying to figure out how cutting the the discount rate can help anyone... It is just what banks charge each other, if one comes up a little short overnight. How can that help the guy that can not make his mortgage payment?...

I guess with all the excitement it generated, it is mostly phychological?

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To: jaker who wrote (5478)8/20/2007 4:04:50 AM
From: pcyhuang   of 6865
 
>I am still trying to figure out how cutting the the discount rate can help anyone

The Fed now will accept all kinds of collateral, including mortgage-backed securiteis, for cash loans up to 30 days at the discount window. This has changed liquidity position in the mortgage markets dramatically, market is no longer with offers locked on the bids...

Message 23806155

Message 23806276

pcyhuang

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To: jaker who wrote (5478)8/20/2007 8:21:18 AM
From: MACD X   of 6865
 
Trying to figure out how the discount rate can help anyone

Dropping the discount rate at unexpected time, unscheduled, is a sign to me that the feds realize there is a problem,

The market reacted positively on the news, today though they may realize that although the rate hike is good news the problem still exists.

That the beauty of T.A., forget about why, it doesnt matter, it wont make any sense anyway, the market will do the exact opposite of what you think it should do under most situations,

I would rather know where the RSI is that what the fed does to interest rates,

Just my thoughts,

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From: MACD X8/20/2007 8:30:47 AM
   of 6865
 
Pychaung do you have a contrarian pick at this time in the housing sector and do you think the house sector may have bottomed?

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From: MACD X8/20/2007 8:45:53 AM
   of 6865
 
Stolen from Pychuang

internetnews.com 

I stole the link above from Pychuangs site contrarian investor but I am sure he wont mind as it is a very good article.

Which brings me to the reason I posted it. I may be wrong but if I remember correctly a trend is not considered to be reversed until a 90% plus day has taken place,

Or the likely hood of a reversal happens with the 90% day occurrs,

Someone may want to clearify the exact meaning of it as I am sure it is a well known saying.

The other thing that I would like to bring up is that on the charts on the link above it is very obvious that we are testing the neckline of the head and shoulders patterns, this is a likely area for a top and must be taken out if any bullish advance is to take place now,

I believe it was Ron who brought this to our attention a few posts ago

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