Non-Tech | Bill Wexler's Trading Cabana


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To: Pravda who wrote (3205)1/8/2008 12:36:02 PM
From: The Reaper   of 6212
 
Bloomberg reporting that CFC ready to go BK. So much for the CEO's comment about last quarter being their "earnings trough". He actually said that the 4th quarter would be profitable. How can anyone believe that tanned clown?

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To: The Reaper who wrote (3206)1/8/2008 1:17:26 PM
From: RockyBalboa   of 6212
 
LOL Remember your IMB post? And what followed...

Message 23861676

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To: Pravda who wrote (3205)1/8/2008 3:06:33 PM
From: Bill Wexler   of 6212
 
Wexler bravely venturing where all others fear to tread...

Buying CFC below 6

Buying ETFC (again!) below 2.3 (though this time it just isn't for a trade...I'm holding this position as the stock is now looking like a call option).

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From: Bill Wexler1/8/2008 3:18:54 PM
   of 6212
 
Interesting CFC options play...

CFC Jan. 09 12.5 put (OZFMS) now bidding 7.80.

With the stock currently at 5.60, short the put and you effectively pay 4.70 a share. If the stock does nothing for the year, you make 18%.

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From: Bill Wexler1/8/2008 4:48:58 PM
   of 6212
 
GLD moviewavs.com 

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To: Bill Wexler who wrote (3208)1/9/2008 2:25:27 AM
From: RockyBalboa   of 6212
 
Good luck. While CFC is no AHeM, it is in a precarious situation too. I did buy some IMB earlier which promptly rose a few days only to give all back and go under 6 in sympathy with CFC...

Etrad...looks like it is being dismantled. The only difference to Refco which fell to 0 is that e trade had a name.

Given the current malaise and the coming fess up by many large banks ...about the size of their credit losses, I think that we have not seen the bottom yet. I rather look for more candidates with mortgage investments on their books to short.

Maybe, if the fed elects to cut 50bp in mid January I buy something. Until then I want to see what kind of maximum pain is imposed to the market.

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To: Bill Wexler who wrote (3208)1/9/2008 12:26:28 PM
From: Kevin Podsiadlik   of 6212
 
So, ALY's as-yet-unexplained plunge too scary even for you?

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To: Bill Wexler who wrote (3208)1/9/2008 1:29:18 PM
From: RockyBalboa   of 6212
 
Some kind of negativity... fitz bits:

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There is absolutely nothing to like about Countrywide -- unless you are short the stock. Over the past couple of months, I've received countless emails from folks who were considering buying CFC because it had bottomed. Folks, zero is a bottom. Everything above that level is suspect. Why do you want to try to catch the bottom of a company run by a guy who lies around in a tanning bed every day? Just take your licking and keep on ticking ... somewhere else.



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E*Trade is just further along the same road that CFC is running. Don't fight this trend by being a hero. Buying now could turn out to be the trade of the century ... or not. (I suspect ... "not.")

biz.yahoo.com 

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To: The Reaper who wrote (3206)1/9/2008 1:48:33 PM
From: RockyBalboa   of 6212
 
IMB is at 4. Unbelievable. I am wasting my money...

I am wondering whether the feds come in saving the day (or the month) or just let things fall to zero.

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To: Kevin Podsiadlik who wrote (3212)1/9/2008 2:19:14 PM
From: Bill Wexler   of 6212
 
Not really. Oilfield services are in the crapper, and may remain there for quite some time (I like HERO as well, and it's also been wilting). That's life. I think you just gotta bite the bullet, dollar cost average, and be very patient.

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