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Bill Wexler's Trading Cabana
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To:
Pravda
who wrote (
3205
)
1/8/2008 12:36:02 PM
From:
The Reaper
 
of 6212
Bloomberg reporting that CFC ready to go BK. So much for the CEO's comment about last quarter being their "earnings trough". He actually said that the 4th quarter would be profitable. How can anyone believe that tanned clown?
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To:
The Reaper
who wrote (
3206
)
1/8/2008 1:17:26 PM
From:
RockyBalboa
 
of 6212
LOL Remember your IMB post? And what followed...
Message 23861676
Bill Wexler's Trading Cabana | Stock Discussion Forums
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To:
Pravda
who wrote (
3205
)
1/8/2008 3:06:33 PM
From:
Bill Wexler
 
of 6212
Wexler bravely venturing where all others fear to tread...
Buying CFC below 6
Buying ETFC (again!) below 2.3 (though this time it just isn't for a trade...I'm holding this position as the stock is now looking like a call option).
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From:
Bill Wexler
1/8/2008 3:18:54 PM
 
of 6212
Interesting CFC options play...
CFC Jan. 09 12.5 put (OZFMS) now bidding 7.80.
With the stock currently at 5.60, short the put and you effectively pay 4.70 a share. If the stock does nothing for the year, you make 18%.
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From:
Bill Wexler
1/8/2008 4:48:58 PM
 
of 6212
GLD
moviewavs.com
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To:
Bill Wexler
who wrote (
3208
)
1/9/2008 2:25:27 AM
From:
RockyBalboa
 
of 6212
Good luck. While CFC is no AHeM, it is in a precarious situation too. I did buy some IMB earlier which promptly rose a few days only to give all back and go under 6 in sympathy with CFC...
Etrad...looks like it is being dismantled. The only difference to Refco which fell to 0 is that e trade had a name.
Given the current malaise and the coming fess up by many large banks ...about the size of their credit losses, I think that we have not seen the bottom yet. I rather look for more candidates with mortgage investments on their books to short.
Maybe, if the fed elects to cut 50bp in mid January I buy something. Until then I want to see what kind of maximum pain is imposed to the market.
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To:
Bill Wexler
who wrote (
3208
)
1/9/2008 12:26:28 PM
From:
Kevin Podsiadlik
 
of 6212
So, ALY's as-yet-unexplained plunge too scary even for you?
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To:
Bill Wexler
who wrote (
3208
)
1/9/2008 1:29:18 PM
From:
RockyBalboa
 
of 6212
Some kind of negativity... fitz bits:
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
There is absolutely nothing to like about Countrywide -- unless you are short the stock. Over the past couple of months, I've received countless emails from folks who were considering buying CFC because it had bottomed. Folks,
zero
is a bottom. Everything above that level is suspect. Why do you want to try to catch the bottom of a company run by a guy who lies around in a tanning bed every day? Just take your licking and keep on ticking ... somewhere else.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
E*Trade is just further along the same road that CFC is running. Don't fight this trend by being a hero. Buying now could turn out to be the trade of the century ... or not. (I suspect ... "not.")
biz.yahoo.com
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To:
The Reaper
who wrote (
3206
)
1/9/2008 1:48:33 PM
From:
RockyBalboa
 
of 6212
IMB is at 4. Unbelievable. I am wasting my money...
I am wondering whether the feds come in saving the day (or the month) or just let things fall to zero.
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To:
Kevin Podsiadlik
who wrote (
3212
)
1/9/2008 2:19:14 PM
From:
Bill Wexler
 
of 6212
Not really. Oilfield services are in the crapper, and may remain there for quite some time (I like HERO as well, and it's also been wilting). That's life. I think you just gotta bite the bullet, dollar cost average, and be very patient.
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