Politics | Politics for Pros- moderated


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To: ig who wrote (482742)4/15/2012 6:13:34 AM
From: FUBHO   of 536206
 
He literally looks ten years or more younger in that video. This was less than three years ago. He looks almost 60 years old in some recent photos.

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From: LindyBill4/15/2012 6:51:18 AM
3 Recommendations   of 536206
 
What’s The Proper U.S. Middle East Policy? It’s Simple Though Not Easy
by Barry Rubin



Since there is so much bad policy on the Middle East to critique and since there’s no hope of the Obama Administration listening to alternative strategies, I often focus on the former. There is no great mystery, however, to what a good Middle East policy would be for the United States. You can apply this to any article I write as my constructive answer to the messes, crises, and dangers being faced.

The United States should take leadership. This is what its allies and dependents want and its enemies fear. The UN at times can be a useful instrument but why depend on an organization often dominated by anti-American dictators and totally indifferent to U.S. interests?

Identify the greatest threat today as revolutionary Islamism. Build a broad alliance with all those opposed to revolutionary Islamism. This list includes:

Canada; European allies; Israel; and the remaining relatively moderate Arab governments on international affairs: Morocco; Algeria; Saudi Arabia, Kuwait; Bahrain; Oman; the United Arab Emirates; Iraq, South Sudan, and Jordan. Add to that the oppositions in Lebanon, Iran, and Turkey, and the truly moderate elements in Syria. Work with the real moderates and the army in Egypt (though these two are at loggerheads) and Turkey (where it is being weakened near or beyond the point of no return).

Plug in also with India, Azerbaijan, Georgia, and a number of other governments in Asia and Africa, too that face radical external and internal threats . China’s interests should be appealed to based on its desire for stability, need for secure sources of energy and supply routes, and concerns over its own Muslim minority becoming radicalized.

The goal is to keep revolutionary Islamists out of power wherever possible, as was done with Communists in the Cold War. Revolutionary Islamist states and movements should be subverted and weakened. It should be comprehended that terrorism is a tactic used sometimes by some revolutionary Islamist groups and not a movement in itself.

The connections between what is today the mainstream interpretation of Islam and revolutionary Islamism should be honestly recognized and U.S. personnel should be given truthful training. The idea that apology, appeasement, or concessions will moderate Islamists should be abandoned. The idea that the West can somehow produce its own moderate brand of Islam or will be rescued by tiny groups of doctrinally moderate Muslims should be dropped.

The direct use of force should be limited to circumstances where it is unavoidable, and it is almost always avoidable, certainly at this point in time. Most of the time the United States can rely on local forces, which have their own interest in stopping revolutionary Islamism. But they must be the right local forces There is no purpose to be served by maintaining combat troops in Afghanistan, just as is true of Iraq. U.S. policy should use a full arsenal of aid to aligned forces along with economic instruments and covert operations.

Democracy is a nice idea but if it is merely a fig leaf allowing for the creation of new dictatorships what good is it either in strategic terms or even for the people who live in those countries? Pushing for elections no matter what the actual social and political conditions are isn’t a sensible policy, especially because the enemies of real functional democracy (rule of law; fair treatment of minorities, civil liberties) have caught on to the idea of using democratic forms to impose majority-backed dictatorships.

Have no illusion that there is going to be any serious progress on Arab-Israeli or Israel-Palestinian issues. You can keep up a pretense of diplomatic activity but don’t let that get in the way of real priorities. The Palestinian side’s leadership has rejected a two-state solution repeatedly and has no desire for a final end to the conflict.

Iran’s regime is not going to change course or stop seeking nuclear weapons. The answer is not to attack Iran militarily now but to prepare for the day when that might be made necessary by Iran’s own actions. A failure to counter Tehran credibly makes war more likely because that country will become overconfident and overreach. Containing Iran requires combatting the spread of its influence and power in every possible way. As with the USSR, the Iranian challenge goes far beyond the scenario of its launching a nuclear attack.

Recognize that a massive crisis is about to develop as Egypt becomes a radical anti-American, and probably revolutionary Islamist, state. Here, it is probably too late to put into effect a good policy. Instead, the United States must define the red lines that would trigger an aid cut-off or a tough response. In addition, U.S. policymakers should see the army as the principal–but quite inadequate–bulwark there and the Muslim Brotherhood as the problem an not the solution.

Most important of all do not empower America’s enemies. Not only al-Qaida but also the Muslim Brotherhood, Hamas, Hizballah, Iran, and Syria are foes. The Turkish regime is a more subtle and insidious enemy. Pakistan cannot be trusted and there is no sense pumping billions of dollars into that regime.

A problem here is that recognizing the huge threats and dangers is more disconcerting to the domestic American audience than is pretending that everything is going pretty well, that Obama won the war on terror by getting Usama; that democracy is the answer; that Israel-Palestinian peace is just one Israeli concession away from realization; and that Middle East Muslims now love America because Obama showed that he loves them.

Remember the traditional rules of diplomacy. Strength produces credibility that does more to deter conflict against self-identified foes than does weakness and concessions. You cannot successfully apologize to those who want and need to hate you in order to further their own political agenda and to seize power. If you don’t support your allies you won’t have any.

Much of this is a traditional realpolitik and Realist approach to international affairs. Before the era in which counterproductive and even anti-American views took over U.S. academia, media, and elements of the government, such a strategy would have been taken for granted on a bipartisan basis.

There are many details to be developed in addressing this framework to specific issues but they should arise from these themes. But until there is some basis of reality underlying U.S. policy there is no sense giving detailed advice to those who are not merely mistaken but are headed in the diametrically opposite direction from where they should be going. It all depends on whether the next secretary of state is John Bolton or John Kerry.

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From: LindyBill4/15/2012 7:05:16 AM
3 Recommendations   of 536206
 
The Teachers-Unions hate this. We don't need as many teachers and bureaucrats.

Fairfax County considers creating virtual high school By Emma Brown and Michael Alison Chandler, Published: April 12 Fairfax County schools could become the first in the Washington region to create a virtual public high school that would allow students to take all their classes from a computer at home.

No sports teams. No pep rallies. No lockers, no hall passes. Instead, assignments delivered on-screen and after-school clubs that meet online.

It’s a reimagination of the American high school experience. And it’s a nod to the power of the school choice movement, which has given rise to the widespread expectation that parents should have a menu of options to customize their children’s education.

Several School Board members, who will hear a formal proposal for the online school at a meeting Monday, said they are excited by the prospect.

“It’s certainly something we need to be looking into .?.?. taking advantage of the new media and the new world,” said School Board member Sandy Evans (Mason).

Still, the idea of a virtual school is so new in Fairfax that there are many unanswered questions — including how much it would cost, how many teachers would be needed and how many students would enroll full time in a school where they would rarely see classmates in the flesh.

Superintendent Jack D. Dale said he doesn’t think many high-schoolers would attend full time, but he’s seen a growing demand among students who want to take some of their courses virtually.

“It’s hard to do marching band online,” Dale said. “Kids are going to pop in and out of the virtual school. They’ll just look at it as another method of taking a course, instead of face to face.”

Fairfax officials said that if they don’t create the opportunity, someone else will. A growing number of organizations — largely for-profit companies — are vying to provide taxpayer-supported virtual-school programs to Virginia students.

“We can either be behind the curve, on the curve or ahead of the curve,” said Peter Noonan, assistant superintendent for instructional services, who served on the task force that developed the online-learning proposal.

Dozens of younger students have left Fairfax schools for the public Virginia Virtual Academy, the first statewide full-time virtual program. Open to any Virginia student in kindergarten through eighth grade, it is run by a Herndon firm — K12 Inc., the nation’s largest operator of public virtual schools — and enrolls nearly 500 students.

If the Fairfax School Board backs the idea, the virtual school would be open to all county high school students. The task force’s goal is to launch it in September — which Dale called “beyond ambitious” given the number of details to be resolved.

Under the proposal, teachers would be Fairfax employees working from home offices, corresponding by phone and e-mail, and occasionally meeting students face to face for orientation sessions and exams. Students and teachers would gather online for lessons about one-fifth of the time; otherwise, students would be able to design their schedules, working on assignments at their convenience.

School Board member Megan McLaughlin (Braddock) said she remains skeptical about losing the daily in-person interactions between teachers and students.

“I really hope my colleagues agree that just because there’s one for-profit online high school in Virginia does not mean we have to suddenly jump on some bandwagon of the latest education fad,” she said.

Laws lay groundwork

Virginia is a relative newcomer to full-time online learning, but a series of laws pushed by Gov. Robert F. McDonnell (R) has created the groundwork for expansion.

In 2010, he successfully backed a bill letting school systems to contract with outside vendors to offer virtual programs. This year, he signed one law establishing licensure rules for online-only teachers and another mandating that high school students take at least one online course to graduate.

Online learning has expanded in recent years, and now about 250,000 students are enrolled in full-time virtual schools in 30 states and the District, according to Susan Patrick of the International Association for K-12 Online Learning, a trade association. Many of the largest operations are statewide charter schools run by for-profit companies, but some are run by school systems.

Teens who take all their classes online tend to need more flexibility, Patrick said. They include performing artists, Olympic athletes, homebound or profoundly gifted students, teens on the autism spectrum and victims of bullying.

Their numbers are growing steadily, even amid questions about whether full-time virtual schools are effective for students or a good use of tax dollars.

There is not enough research on virtual schools to say with certainty how elementary and secondary students perform in full-time online environments compared with traditional classrooms, according to a 2009 analysis by the U.S. Education Department.

Critics have raised concerns about some virtual schools’ poor performance on measures commonly used to judge all public schools, such as state test scores and graduation rates.

Fairfax officials say they believe they can do better. Instead of buying courses from a vendor, the task force recommends that the county develop its own. The county would hire teachers, and instead of class sizes of 50 students or more — as is common in virtual schools — Fairfax proposes to maintain student-teacher ratios that mirror those in its brick-and-mortar classrooms, which are about 25 to 1.

Online already

The county won’t be starting from scratch. Fairfax, like most of the D.C. area’s districts, offers online courses that students take a la carte to catch up, get ahead or resolve schedule conflicts.

More than 1,000 students during the year — and more than 2,000 in the summer — sign up for online courses. Starting this fall, high school students will be allowed to opt out of their first- or last-period courses and replace them with online classes.

Creating a full-time online school is a natural next step, said School Board Chairman Jane K. Strauss (Dranesville). “I think it’s an excellent idea,” she said.

Fairfax offers about 50 online courses, a number that would need to more than double. And officials still need to figure out how to provide virtual college and career counseling and special education services.

They also must find a way to put Internet-connected computers into the hands of students who can’t afford them. Fairfax has been exploring creating a computer lending library or brokering hardware deals with local businesses — but there is no solution yet.

Lolita Mancheno-Smoak, an activist with The Coalition of The Silence, a Fairfax group that advocates for poor and minority kids, called the proposal “a proactive and innovative move” to prepare students for a working world that demands proficiency online. “However,” she said, “it will create an even greater digital divide.”

Grace Chung Becker, president of the Fairfax County Association for the Gifted, called the idea “intriguing.” But parents will want assurances, she said, that online courses are as rigorous as the face-to-face variety and that developing a virtual school doesn’t come at the expense of other pressing needs, especially reducing class sizes.

Although many students in this Facebook age would probably agree that education could use a technological revolution, it’s not clear how many would discard their brick-and-mortar schools. Eye contact with teachers, for example, has its upsides. Not to mention prom and lunchtime.

“For the most part, students do like going to school — spending time with friends and the social aspect of school,” said Eugene J. Coleman III, a senior at Mount Vernon High who serves as the School Board’s student representative. “I think students would not want to miss out on that.”

© The Washington Post Company

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From: LindyBill4/15/2012 7:22:55 AM
4 Recommendations   of 536206
 
With new heart, Dick Cheney returns
by Scott Johnson
POWERLINEAnd it’s good to have him back. The AP reports:

Former Vice President Dick Cheney walked onstage without any assistance and spoke for an hour and 15 minutes without seeming to tire in his first public engagement since he underwent a heart transplant three weeks ago.

He sat in a plush chair throughout the long chat with daughter Liz Cheney and looked decidedly healthier than recent appearances where he has been gaunt and used a cane.

Cheney even threw in a couple of political plugs amid much reminiscing at the Wyoming Republican Party state convention in Cheyenne on Saturday.

He said the presumptive Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney is going to do a “whale of a job.” He said it’s never been more important than now to defeat a sitting president and the Republican Party should unite behind Romney.

“He has been an unmitigated disaster to the country,” Cheney said of President Barack Obama.

I’m sure it was not only that comment that brought those in attendance to their feet for a long standing ovation.

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To: LindyBill who wrote (482746)4/15/2012 7:24:04 AM
From: LindyBill6 Recommendations   of 536206
 
Thanks to SI for this automatic adding of a border around indented paragraphs!

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From: LindyBill4/15/2012 7:26:41 AM
1 Recommendation   of 536206
 
Egypt tries to stave off Sharia rule, bars Muslim Brotherhood and Salafi presidential candidates, along with Mubarak spy chief
from Jihad Watch by Robert



"There is an attempt by the old Mubarak regime to hijack the last stage of this transitional period and reproduce the old system of governance." But this will certainly not be the end of the matter, for Ghorab is certainly correct that a "major crisis" is looming.

"Egypt disqualifies top Islamists, Mubarak VP from vote," by Tom Perry and Dina Zayed for Reuters, April 14:

CAIRO (Reuters) - The race for the Egyptian presidency took a dramatic turn on Saturday when the authorities disqualified front-runners including Hosni Mubarak's spy chief, a Muslim Brotherhood candidate and a Salafi cleric whose lawyer warned that "a major crisis" was looming. The presidential election is the climax of a transition to civilian rule being led by the military council that assumed power from Mubarak on February 11, 2011 at the height of the uprising against his three decades in power.

The generals are due to hand power to the elected president on July 1.

The disqualifications add to the drama of a transition punctuated by spasms of violence and which is now mired in bitter political rivalries between once-banned Islamists, secular-minded reformists and remnants of the Mubarak order.

Farouk Sultan, head of the presidential election commission, told Reuters that a total of 10 of the 23 candidates had been disqualified from the race.

Hazem Salah Abu Ismail, the Salafi, was disqualified because his mother held U.S. citizenship, the state news agency reported, confirming previous reports fiercely denied by the Islamist cleric who says he the victim of a plot.

Abu Ismail's lawyer, Nizar Ghorab, told Reuters he expected "a major crisis" in the next few hours.

The Muslim Brotherhood's Khairat al-Shater was among those disqualified on Saturday. His spokesman said he would make use of a 48-hour window to challenge the decision.

Omar Suleiman, Mubarak's intelligence chief and vice president in his last days in power, would also appeal, his spokesman said.

The elimination of three of the top candidates in what is being billed as Egypt's first real presidential vote would redraw the electoral map just a few weeks before the vote gets under way in May. The election is expected to go to a June run-off between the top two candidates.

On Friday, Abu Ismail's supporters besieged the headquarters of the election commission, forcing it to evacuate the premises and suspend its work. The building was guarded by security forces with riot shields.

"A MAJOR CRISIS" IS COMING

Abu Ismail is a preacher and lawyer who has galvanized an enthusiastic support base with a message that mixes revolutionary zeal with hardline Islamism.

"The presidential committee has violated all the rules of law," Abu Ismail said in remarks published on his Facebook page. "If the official decision is to violate the constitution, they should be able to deal with the consequences," he said.

His candidacy had been in doubt since the election commission said it had received notification from U.S. authorities that his late mother had an American passport, a status that would disqualify him from the race.

Abu Ismail followers have hit the streets in protests to warn against any move to disqualify him. He denies his mother ever held dual nationality.

As for the Brotherhood's Shater, his candidacy had been in doubt due to past criminal convictions widely seen as trumped up by the authorities due to political activities.

The Brotherhood, founded in 1928, has moved to the heart of public life since Mubarak was toppled. Anticipating Shater's disqualification, the Brotherhood had nominated Mohamed Mursi, head of its political party, as a reserve candidate.

"We will not give up our right to enter the presidential race," said Murad Muhammed Ali, Shater's campaign manager.

"There is an attempt by the old Mubarak regime to hijack the last stage of this transitional period and reproduce the old system of governance."

Shater had described Suleiman's last minute decision to enter the race as an insult to the Egyptians who rose up against Mubarak. Suleiman says he is running to prevent Egypt turning into a religious state....


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From: LindyBill4/15/2012 7:29:28 AM
3 Recommendations   of 536206
 
Harbinger of things to come: Islamic supremacists win Jordan teachers' union election
from Jihad Watch by Robert



"These were historic elections that have taken place in a democratic atmosphere." As we have seen again and again, "democracy" in Muslim countries paves the way for Sharia. "Islamists win Jordan teachers' union election," from AFP, April 14:

AMMAN — Jordan's powerful Islamists and their allies won a landslide victory in leadership elections for the country's first teachers' union, results showed on Saturday. Independent Mustafa Rawashdeh was elected president with 259 of the 283 votes cast, but the Islamist "Unionist Teacher" bloc won all the remaining 14 council seats.

"These were historic elections that have taken place in a democratic atmosphere," Rawashdeh told AFP.

"Now, we will focus on work to help enhance education in the country and improve the conditions of teachers."

There are around 120,000 teachers in Jordan, providing education to 1.6 million children in 5,000 state and private schools.

Last year, parliament passed a law allowing the formation of the country's first teachers' union, following several street protests led by Rawashdeh.

The government has been reluctant to license the union fearing it would be politicised.


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To: LindyBill who wrote (482749)4/15/2012 7:46:54 AM
From: FUBHO7 Recommendations   of 536206
 
Was watching a TV program yesterday where they showed a street in Cairo in 1974, not a veil in sight. All the women looked like they would have in New York City. Their culture is moving backwards and apparently by choice.

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To: LindyBill who wrote (482661)4/15/2012 8:24:47 AM
From: TideGlider   of 536206
 
4 feet of hail in Texas? Reports, photos cause quite a storm




Devin Singleton / KAMR


Meltwater rushes past hail several feet thick on Wednesday off Highway 287 north of Amarillo, Texas.



By Miguel Llanos, msnbc.com
Sure, everything's bigger in Texas. But 4 feet of hail from one storm? That's what the National Weather Service, the Texas Department of Transportation, a local sheriff and others say happened Wednesday in an area north of Amarillo when hail piled up in drifts so wide they cut off a major highway.


The National Weather Service office in Amarillo even posted a photo on its Facebook page, but that wasn't enough to convince skeptics.
"Serious do not think this is 100% hail!!!" commented one person.

"It's a lite dusting of hail on some damn rocks," said another person, referring to the image of a firefighter standing next to what could be taken for boulders.


Potter County Fire Department via NWS


The National Weather Service's office in Amarillo, Texas, posted this photo Wednesday night of a firefighter standing next to deep hail.











"I can assure you we do not have big rocks like that in West Texas," Krissy Scotten, a spokeswoman for the weather service office in Amarillo, told msnbc.com.

"That was 4 feet of ice" that was compacted by rain and floodwater across a wide area, she added.

"It was actually the rain/water that caused the drifts," Scotten said. "Anytime you have hail accumulate 2 to 4 feet high and get over three inches of rain, no matter how it occurs, it's pretty incredible."

As for the darkish color, "we're very dusty around here" due to drought so the hail quickly darkened, Scotten said.

The image, she added, was sent by the Potter County Fire Department and the firefighter seen in it is standing where meltwater had cut through the hail.

The Texas Department of Transportation confirms it was deep hail dumped by a storm that dropped visibility to near-zero at times.


Texas Department of Transportation


This highway webcam image was taken at 4:10 p.m. local time Wednesday and shows hail on Highway 287.



"Heavy rain and up to 4 ft of hail has US 287 blocked north of Amarillo," it tweeted Wednesday afternoon.

The local sheriff concurred as well.

"You're looking at four foot deep" hail in one stretch, NBC affiliate KAMR-TV quoted Brian Thomas, sheriff of Potter County, as saying. "This was just one of those weird storms that just sat here and came down extremely heavy in this one area."

Amarillo TV station Pronews 7 even shot video of flash flooding triggered by the pea-sized hail and several inches of rain.


[iframe height=315 src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/Nr8AvdkKHO0" frameBorder=0 width=420 allowfullscreen=""][/iframe]
"It looked like soap suds," said Pronews 7 meteorologist Steve Kersh. "The storm was moving really slow and a combination of the pea-sized hail and four to six inches of rain created those conditions."

KAMR-TV reported that snow plows were called out to clear roads. Highway 287 was shut down for hours after the storm due to the cleanup.

Several vehicles got stuck in the flash flooding, and two feet of water also swamped a stretch of Highway 136, the weather service reported. One Chevy Tahoe, a large SUV, got stuck in hail up to its hood, Scotten said.


Krissy Scotten / National Weather Service


Covered in dust, this hail drift measured six feet high on April 12 and was still intact a day after it formed near Dumas, Texas, the National Weather Service said.



The pea-sized hailstones weren't big enough to set any size records, and Scotten said the service doesn't keep records for most hail in a given period.

But Jose Garcia, chief forecaster at the weather service in Amarillo, told msnbc.com it probably wasn't the most hail the region has seen.

"Five to 6 feet deep hail" fell in nearby Dalhart, Texas, in 1993 during a very similar storm, he said. It took almost a month for some roads to reopen as the compact ice melted slowly. "It was almost like huge snow drifts," he said.

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From: simplicity4/15/2012 8:51:18 AM
11 Recommendations   of 536206
 
It is estimated that up to 1,500 pro-Palestinian activists from a dozen countries are planning to land at Israel’s Ben-Gurion International Airport today in a campaign called ‘Welcome to Palestine’. Those who organized this protest are accusing Israel of ‘apartheid and ethnic cleansing’ of Palestinians.



Benjamin Netanyahu has asked that the letter below -- which will be written in several languages -- be distributed to all of the Flightilla protestors. I believe the letter could have been worded much more strongly, and could have contained facts and figures that would curl the readers' hair, but I trust Netanyahu to know better than I. It will, of course, have no effect on the Flightilla participants' beliefs or their propaganda, but every word of it is true ... and then some.


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