Strategies & Market Trends | Greater China Junior Stocks


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To: Julius Wong who wrote (1953)5/7/2011 4:23:45 AM
From: GUSTAVE JAEGER1 Recommendation   of 1989
 
POP!!!

xe.com 

Told you so...(*) ECB Chairman J-Cl Trichet pricked the euro bubble on Thursday 5th... sending the USD through the roof, and triggering a selloff in commodities (gold, oil,...).

Eventually, Trichet had to admit that the eurozone's problem #1 was economic growth, that is, the lack thereof. Hence his decision to stop hiking ECB rates.

Gus

(*) Message 27300740

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From: Julius Wong5/13/2011 7:31:32 AM
   of 1989
 
Wind Energy in China: 10 Stocks You Need to Know
by: Martin Peter Roth
May 12, 2011
about: AMSC, APWR, CLPXF.PK, CWPWF.PK, CWS, MY, XJNGF.PK

seekingalpha.com 

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From: Glenn Petersen5/16/2011 3:08:25 PM
1 Recommendation   of 1989
 
GOING PUBLIC: Frothy Investors Weigh On Asian IPOs In US

By Lynn Cowan
of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES
Wall Street Journal
MAY 16, 2011, 12:51 P.M. ET

A combination of hype and hyper investors have caused a lot of misery for Chinese companies debuting in the U.S. this month

Five China-based stocks have launched initial public offerings on the Nasdaq or New York Stock Exchange so far in May, and all but one has lost ground since its first day of trading. By comparison, only one of the six non-China deals that debuted during that time is trading down.

Analysts and bankers say a rush of momentum investors seeking the next hot deal have been piling into Chinese stocks that are listing in the U.S., driving demand for shares higher ahead of their debuts, which then price within or above expectations. Whether the stocks start off with some gains or a decline, these eager buyers become quick sellers, and the resulting downturn has sparked a cascade of investors seeking exits. An additional damper has been increased broader market volatility in recent weeks.

"More investors are looking at these IPOs with expectations of participating in a hot deal. If the stocks turn down early on with those kinds of buyers, it gets exacerbated and becomes a significant selloff," says Nick Einhorn, research analyst at Greenwich, Conn.-based research firm Renaissance Capital.

Late last year, some Chinese stocks delivered very high first-day gains; Youku.com Inc. (YOKU) jumped 161% on its first day in December, ChinaCache International Holdings Ltd. (CCIH) rose 95% during its debut in October, and E-Commerce China Dangdang Inc. (DANG) gained 87% in December. After a slow start earlier this year, a second wave seemed possible after Qihoo 360 Technology Co. Ltd. (QIHU) jumped 134.5% in March.

But Qihoo 360 appears to have been an anomaly. Indications of investor demand were running high for shares of social networking site Renren Inc. (RENN) earlier this month, with investors vying for shares and some analysts expecting first-day percentage pops in the high double-digit percentages. The company's price range was raised and it then priced at the high end of that range, but rose 29%, a smaller gain than expected. Shares proceeded to tumble the very next day, and the company was recently changing hands at $12.90, below its $14-a-share IPO price.

While there's always an element of short-term trading among IPO buyers looking to make quick trading gains, investment banks generally try to place shares with some longer-term holders and aim to leave some demand unfulfilled among initial investors. In the ideal situation, there is a strong base of buyers who understand the company fundamentally and who believe over time it will build value.

"There's certainly a lot of game theory and psychology around any transaction, and the lines of market momentum will intersect with those of the company's fundamentals," says Dan Cummings, global head of equity capital markets at Bank of America-Merrill Lynch. "To the extent that people like something solely because it's oversubscribed doesn't portend well for understanding the company's intrinsic value. They may know the price but will not have conviction in the aftermarket if there's a sign of weakness in price."

Cummings places some of the blame for such froth on the media, saying journalists fuel the hype surrounding some deals.

"The media focus on IPOs has been binary. There is a media obsession now with brand names, but there are plenty of great companies, game changers with disruptive technologies, coming to market that get far less attention," he says.

Whatever the cause, this month there's been a disconnect between the pricings and the residual demand that is expected on the first day, with some Chinese deals rumored to be heavily oversubscribed, only to sink like stones later, as Renren did; or during their debuts, as was the case for NetQin Mobile Inc. (NQ), which lost 19% on its first day after pricing at the high end of its range. NetQin was recently changing hands at $7.78, well below its $11.50 IPO price.

Over the past eight months, 36 Chinese companies have tapped the U.S. capital markets for the first time, with an average first-day pop of 21%, according to data tracker Ipreo. However, 30 days after their debuts, these deals traded an average of only 4% above their offer prices. In comparison, U.S.-based companies brought 147 initial offerings to market in the same period with an average one-day rise of 8% and an average 30-Day return of 22%, says Ipreo.

"If investors extend their recent wariness towards deals from China, this trend may continue. Amid a strong flow of 15 initial filings last week, only one, rice production company Grand Farm Inc., hailed from China," Ipreo predicted in a research note.

-By Lynn Cowan, Dow Jones Newswires; 301-270-0323; lynn.cowan@dowjones.com

tinyurl.com 

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From: Julius Wong5/20/2011 7:46:04 AM
   of 1989
 
Fuwei Films (Holdings) Co., Ltd., Static Chart (5/19/11 EOD)




Fuwei Films (Holdings) Co., Ltd., Dynamic Chart



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From: peter michaelson5/23/2011 12:55:55 PM
1 Recommendation   of 1989
 
My question... why does it take a report from a shortseller to motivate Deloitte to do a proper audit?




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To: peter michaelson who wrote (1958)5/23/2011 1:00:10 PM
From: peter michaelson   of 1989
 
My other question is.... what percentage of US listed China Junior stocks are doing this sort of thing? Not a trivial percentage, we know that now.

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To: peter michaelson who wrote (1959)5/24/2011 7:49:42 AM
From: Julius Wong   of 1989
 
>> what percentage of US listed China Junior stocks are doing this sort of thing? <<
I don't know the percentage.
Many US listed China junior stocks do not meeting Chinese stock exchange requirements.

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From: Julius Wong5/24/2011 8:12:27 AM
   of 1989
 
RPT-IPO VIEW-Risks mount from U.S. exchanges big China push
By Clare Baldwin and Alina Selyukh

NEW YORK, May 20 (Reuters) - U.S. stock exchanges make a lot of money from listing Chinese companies, but that business may come back to haunt them.

The revenue that these companies generate is so tempting that NYSE Euronext (NYX.N: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz) and Nasdaq OMX Group (NDAQ.O: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz) are scouring China for new companies to list.

But more listed Chinese companies are being accused of fraud, which could drag down the reputations of the stock exchanges that list them.

"The only thing the exchanges have, really, is their brand image," said James Angel, associate professor of finance at Georgetown University's McDonough School of Business. "If their brand image gets tarnished by fraudulent companies, it's going to make it really hard to attract listings."

Chinese listings have become more important to U.S. exchanges. They made up a quarter of U.S. initial public offerings last year, compared with 5 percent in 2006, according to University of Florida finance professor Jay Ritter.

When a company lists shares, the exchange gets steady fees, which can make a big difference to a market's profits. The major United States-based exchanges generate about one-fifth of their global net revenue from listings.

The exchanges might not have much direct legal liability when Chinese companies fail. Underwriters, lawyers and accounting firms, which do most of the due diligence on companies interested in listing in the United States, have a much bigger risk of getting sued.

But exchanges rely on their reputations to win new business. Companies want to list on the NYSE or Nasdaq because they believe there is prestige associated with such a listing.

"(NYSE and Nasdaq) have decided to sacrifice reputation for their short-term competition purposes, short-term listing revenue purposes," said John Hempton, chief investment officer at hedge fund Bronte Capital Management in Australia, which has shorted Chinese stocks.

The exchanges acknowledge the importance of their image, and stress that listing in the United States is not easy.

"Some companies are going to want to come to the U.S. markets for the global imprimatur that it brings to a Chinese company," Nasdaq head of listings Bob McCooey said at a China-focused investment conference in New York this month.

"The SEC sets standards, the exchanges set standards -- they're the highest listing standards in the world," he said.

Nasdaq said in a statement it has rigorous listing criteria. "That doesn't prevent situations from arising," it said, adding that this is true of companies from any jurisdiction.

NYSE's co-head of U.S. listings Scott Cutler acknowledged that fraudulent accounts can shake confidence in markets.

"This is not an issue of the reputation of the exchange. This is an issue that goes to the veracity of financial statements," Cutler said, adding that the exchanges rely on financial statements that have been certified by company management, auditors and lawyers. "If fraud is not rooted out it will create a larger problem for China."

"The whole system relies on trust," he added. "We're looking at (it) for China and for all other markets, quite frankly, because this goes to confidence in the entire system."


reuters.com 

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From: Glenn Petersen5/26/2011 10:02:43 PM
   of 1989
 
The Audacity of Chinese Frauds

By FLOYD NORRIS
New York Times
May 26, 2011

To pull off a fraud that humiliates the cream of the global financial elite, you need to have some friends. And where better to have them than at the local bank?

The fraud at Longtop Financial Technologies, a Chinese financial software company, was exposed this week in an amazing letter from its auditors, Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu. It appears to be a tale of corrupt bankers and their threats to auditors who had learned of the lies.

Deloitte, which had given clean audit opinions to Longtop for six consecutive years, apparently was well on its way to providing a seventh, for the fiscal year that ended March 31. But for some reason — Deloitte did not say why —the auditor went back to Longtop’s banks last week to again seek confirmation of cash balances.

It appears Deloitte sought confirmations from bank headquarters, rather than the local branches that had previously verified that Longtop’s cash really was on deposit. And that set off panic at the software firm.

“Within hours” of beginning the new round of confirmations on May 17, the confirmation process was stopped, Deloitte stated in its letter of resignation, the result of “intervention by the company’s officials including the chief operating officer, the confirmation process was stopped.”

The company told banks that Deloitte was not really the auditor. It seized documents, Deloitte wrote, and made “threats to stop our staff leaving the company premises unless they allowed the company to retain our audit files.”

Despite the company’s efforts, Deloitte learned that Longtop not have the cash it claimed and that there were “significant bank borrowings” not reflected in the company’s books.

A few days later, Deloitte said, Longtop’s chairman, Jia Xiao Gong, told a Deloitte partner that there was “fake cash recorded on the books” because there had been “fake revenue in the past.”

The stock has not traded since that confrontation. The final trade on the New York Stock Exchange was for $18.93, a price that valued the company at $1.1 billion. At its peak in November, it had a market capitalization of $2.4 billion.

It now seems likely that the stock is worthless. It is a real company, but its revenue and profits probably were a small fraction of the amounts reported. The existence of the “significant” debt means that whatever assets are left are likely to be owned by the banks, not the investors.

Deloitte may have decided to check the numbers again because it knew a growing group of bears on the stock had been challenging the Longtop story as too good to be true, questioning both its financial statements and the claims it made for its software. A month earlier, Deloitte resigned as the auditor of another Chinese company, China MediaExpress, in part because of questions about bank confirmations.

It is never good for an auditor to have certified a fraud, but Deloitte seems to have acted properly. It got bank confirmations, and it got them directly from the banks rather than relying on the company to provide them, as PricewaterhouseCoopers had done when it failed to notice a huge fraud at Satyam, an Indian technology company.

But the confirmations were lies.

“This means the Chinese banks were in on the fraud, at least at branch level,” says John Hempton, the chief investment officer of Bronte Capital, an Australian hedge fund. He was one of the bears who questioned Longtop’s claims and now stands to profit from the stock’s collapse.

“This is no longer a story about Longtop, and it is not a story about Deloitte,” he added. “Given the centrality of Chinese banks to the global economy, it’s a story much bigger than Deloitte or Longtop.”

The Securities and Exchange Commission has started an investigation, and no doubt more details will emerge, including the names of the banks involved. Just what, if anything, Chinese officials choose to do could provide an indication about whether defrauding foreign investors is deemed to be a serious crime in China.

Fraud in Chinese stocks is not new. But it had seemed that the worst problems were in small companies without Wall Street pedigrees. Many of the fraudulent companies went public in the United States by the reverse-merger shell route, a course long favored by shady stock promoters. That route allowed companies to start trading without going though a formal underwriting process or having its prospectus reviewed by the S.E.C. And many used tiny audit firms based in the United States that seemingly did little if any work.

What is stunning about Longtop and some other recent disasters is the list of smart people who were fooled.

Longtop did not go public through a reverse merger. Its initial public offering, in 2007, was underwritten by Goldman Sachs and Deutsche Bank. Morgan Stanley was a lead manager in a 2009 offering of more shares. Major owners of the stock included hedge funds run by people known as “tiger cubs” because they got their start at Julian Robertson’s Tiger Fund.


On May 4, only a couple of weeks before the fateful struggle at Longtop offices, an analyst for Morgan Stanley, Carol Wang, wrote:

“Longtop’s stock price has been very volatile in recent days amid fraud allegations that management has denied. Our analysis of margins and cash flow gives us confidence in its accounting methods. We believe market misconceptions provide a good entry point for long-term investors.”

By then, Longtop officials had begun to scramble. According to its last audited balance sheet, cash accounted for more than half of Longtop’s $606 million in assets. Bears were asking why the company needed all that cash and were questioning whether it existed.

In mid-March, just after the fraud at China MediaExpress was exposed, Longtop announced plans to put some of the cash to use by spending up to $50 million to repurchase its own shares. On April 28, the company tried to assure analysts that the fraud claims were bogus. Derek Palaschuk, a Canadian accountant who served as the company’s chief financial officer, wrapped himself in Deloitte’s prestige, saying that those who questioned Longtop were “criticizing the integrity of one of the top accounting firms in the world.”

“For me,” he said, “the most important relations I have other than with my family, my C.E.O., and then the next on the list is Deloitte as our auditor, because their trust and support is extremely important.”

Mr. Palaschuk had an explanation for why the company had not repurchased any shares. It had some very good news that it had not yet released, and “we were advised by our securities counsel that we should not be in the market purchasing our own shares in the event that this would be considered insider trading.”

Longtop is not the only Chinese fraud that caught prominent Americans. Starr International, an investment company run by Hank Greenberg, the former chairman of American International Group, invested $43.5 million in China MediaExpress and had a representative on the company’s board. Starr has filed suit in Delaware against the company and Deloitte.

Goldman Sachs was not the underwriter of ShengdaTech, a Chinese chemical company traded on Nasdaq, but its investment arm, Goldman Sachs Investment Management, had accumulated a 7.6 percent stake in the company before its auditor, KPMG, refused to sign off on the company’s 2010 annual report and then resigned in late April. KPMG cited “serious discrepancies” regarding bank balances and “discrepancies between KPMG’s direct calls to customers and confirmations returned by mail.” Just as at Longtop, it appeared that auditors had been given false confirmation letters.

In each of those three cases — Longtop, China MediaExpress and ShengdaTech — the auditors discovered discrepancies, but only after signing off on financial statements. That was not the case in this year’s other — and perhaps most embarrassing — resignation by a Big Four auditing firm.

In December, KPMG was retained by China Integrated Energy, which claimed to be a leader in the production of biodiesel. Just hiring a Big Four auditor enabled it to raise $24 million from institutional investors in the United States. Three months later, KPMG certified the financials.

Six weeks after that, KPMG repudiated the report and resigned. By then, China Integrated Energy executives had refused to cooperate with a board investigation into claims that the company was a complete fraud.

The Chinese audit firms, while they are affiliated with major international audit networks, have never been inspected by the Public Company Accounting Oversight Board in the United States. The Sarbanes-Oxley Act requires those inspections for accounting firms that audit companies whose securities trade in the United States, but China has refused to allow inspections.

In a speech at a Baruch College conference earlier this month, James R. Doty, chairman of the accounting oversight board, called on the major firms to “improve preventative global quality controls,” but said that actual inspections were needed.

Two weeks ago, Chinese and American officials meeting in Washington said they would try to reach agreement “on the oversight of accounting firms providing audit services for public companies in the two countries, so as to enhance mutual trust.”

Frauds and audit failures can, and do, happen in many countries, including in the United States. But the audacity of these frauds, as well as the efforts to intimidate auditors, stand out. If investors such as Goldman Sachs and Hank Greenberg cannot fend for themselves, something more needs to be done if Chinese companies are to continue to trade in American markets.

nytimes.com 

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From: Julius Wong6/3/2011 8:23:44 AM
1 Recommendation   of 1989
 
Auditors Not Licensed to do Fieldwork in China?
posted by The Traveller on Friday, June 03, 2011

A stunning Form 8-K, filed last night by currently halted Chinese food company HQ Sustainable Maritime Industries (HQS), suggests that most U.S.-based auditors of Chinese companies are not even allowed to perform the necessary fieldwork, if they are not officially licensed to conduct auditing services in China.


china.fixyou.co.uk 

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