You obviously didn't study anything involving causal relations, maths, science or logic at school.
I cannot help but smile at how you continue to sink like a bespectacled hippo in quicksand. :)
It would be both humorous and terribly pitiful for me to to tell you just what my education is in and what the level is, and what I may have accomplished .... and so I won't. Just know that while you were and are busy getting your cocktail-party-talk inspired Wiki education, I was and am doing something more rigorous.
I offered you another way. Tell us all precisely how you did the estimation. One who ""does not know math, logic, etc etc" does not ask for probability measures and great detail. I ask, waiting patiently. We can go into any depth you choose with numbers and science. No more fuzzy "feel good" talk about waves and energy and upside down Planck's constants.
Keeping it simple: tell us in some detail how you arrived at your probability estimate and I'll show you a clown masquerading as a sinking-hippo-genius. :)
Joseph |