Strategies & Market Trends | Trend Setters and Range Riders


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To: Susan G who wrote (24025)1/9/2003 2:12:02 PM
From: Dan Duchardt   of 26743
 
NDX 1123 and COMP 1435

Looks right for COMP, but I have NDX 200 SMA on daily around 1064. Am I looking at the wrong timeframe?

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To: Susan G who wrote (24025)1/9/2003 3:33:13 PM
From: mph   of 26743
 
FWIW, my guess on the Nazwag today was 1435.

My magic 8 ball said that was the ticket:-)

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To: Susan G who wrote (24025)1/9/2003 3:51:34 PM
From: Connor26   of 26743
 
thanks Susan - are you trading your futures at all? - i would assume with type of calls you're raking in the bucks <vbg> - did you ever go skiing? - how was it? - can this rally continue tomorrow or the next couple days?

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To: mph who wrote (24027)1/9/2003 9:16:30 PM
From: Susan G   of 26743
 
Is your magic eight ball available for rent? <g>

Pretty awesome call!

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To: Connor26 who wrote (24028)1/9/2003 9:24:20 PM
From: Susan G   of 26743
 
lol, as my son just said to me on the phone, what is this twenty questions? <g>

yes, skiing was awesome. The outdoor hot tub during a huge blizzard was even better <ggg> We've had so much sonow here lately, it's been a daily event. And last weekend when I was in upstate NY they had 3 feet on the ground.

Watch the 200 MA on the NDX and COMP, it means everything. After such an important move, although it barely closed above and cannot really be considered a breakout is a big deal. So a move below will cause selling, and a hold above it - especially a 2nd close above is bullish and buyers will step in on that TA detail alone.

That's all you have to watch. And next week, if we go higher, the same event may occur on the SPX and INDU. That's where the REAL test is IMO, the nasdaq is just momo run, but if the S&P breaks and holds its 200 day moving average, that would be pretty damn positive.

Gotta hold it though, or all hell could break lose if it fails.

Watch the dollar too. It's in deep shit.

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To: Susan G who wrote (24030)1/9/2003 9:27:21 PM
From: Jorj X Mckie   of 26743
 
thought I would share this little chart with you
stockcharts.com 

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To: Jorj X Mckie who wrote (24031)1/9/2003 9:28:05 PM
From: Jorj X Mckie   of 26743
 
And this one
stockcharts.com 

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To: Susan G who wrote (24029)1/9/2003 9:32:44 PM
From: mph   of 26743
 
it can be a bit fickle:-)

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To: Jorj X Mckie who wrote (24031)1/10/2003 1:45:11 AM
From: Susan G   of 26743
 
Thank you sir, you know how I love repetitive patterns : )

I find it interesting how it's lagging the nas so much, as far as the attack on the 200 MA...

I think it may make a run for it though, especially if this is a bullflag forming on the daily chart.

stockcharts.com 

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To: Connor26 who wrote (24028)1/10/2003 1:56:46 AM
From: Susan G   of 26743
 
the beast...On of the most beautiful cup and handle breakouts I've seen in ages - and it's on the weekly chart. Took ages to form (as they should), and it's just starting to breakout. Could easily fail, but a cup and handle is a continuation pattern, meaning if it goes, it could be a good move. And this chart is a beautiful example of the pattern!

I know you don't want to see this chart since you missed "the" bottom, but if it might be going higher, based on a longer term time frame you may be able to profit from a part of the move.

It filled a long term gap too.

So now we have to watch for more of a breakout, on rising volume, or a good rally - to go long a scalp or the less riskier swing trade would be to buy the pullback to the breakout line - if it holds on a retest. If the breakout was successful, (and the nas doesn't tank) it could easily test that 20 resistance area. Strong resistance there from trapped longs, the last top and the backside of the descending triangle that broke down.

stockcharts.com 

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