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To: Jane4IceCream who wrote (168853)5/22/2012 8:08:16 PM
From: CommanderCricket1 Recommendation   of 178719
 
What does that lawsuit have to do with SD?

Geee - I've been stupid, lost all my money holding SD stock and now want to sue someone?

Wonder what the PCX shareholders will do when they look at their accounts.

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To: Jane4IceCream who wrote (168853)5/22/2012 8:21:25 PM
From: tom pope   of 178719
 
That is quite amazing. Who was responsible for the over-concentrating?

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To: tom pope who wrote (168855)5/22/2012 8:32:39 PM
From: Bearcatbob   of 178719
 
Tom, I read that info earlier today over and over trying to figure out who was the supposed villain. I finally concluded it was the brokerage houses who implemented the over concentration and had nothing to do with SD.

Hence, I would look at this dip as an opportunity - one I have my fill of already.

Bob

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To: CommanderCricket who wrote (168854)5/22/2012 8:35:50 PM
From: Jane4IceCream   of 178719
 
I know.....right


People made their own choices.


Jane

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To: sm1th who wrote (168848)5/22/2012 8:37:24 PM
From: dvdw©   of 178719
 
DECLARES MAY CASH DISTRIBUTION

Dallas, Texas, May 18, 2012 – U.S. Trust, Bank of America Private Wealth Management, as Trustee

of the Hugoton Royalty Trust (NYSE – HGT), today declared a cash distribution to the holders of its

units of beneficial interest of $0.052539 per unit, payable on June 14, 2012, to unitholders of record on

May 31, 2012. The following table shows underlying gas sales and average prices attributable to the

net overriding royalty payments made by XTO Energy Inc. (XTO Energy) to the Trust for both the

current month and prior month distributions. Underlying gas sales volumes attributable to the current

month distribution were primarily produced in March.

Underlying Gas Sales

Volumes (Mcf) (a) Average Gas

Total Daily Price per Mcf

Current Month Distribution 1,644,000 53,000 $ 3.16

Prior Month Distribution 1,612,000 56,000 $ 3.30

(a) Sales volumes are recorded in the month the trust receives the related net profits income. Because

of this, sales volumes may fluctuate from month to month based on the timing of cash receipts.

XTO Energy has advised the trustee that it has deducted budgeted development costs of

$500,000, production expense of $2,090,000 and overhead of $900,000 in determining the royalty

payment to the Trust for the current month.

Other

As noted in the first quarter Form 10-Q filed on April 27, 2012, XTO Energy reached a tentative

settlement on the Fankhouser litigation for $37 million which requires court approval. The hearing for

formal court approval is scheduled for May 23, 2012. Assuming the court approves the settlement, a

fairness hearing will be scheduled at a later date. XTO Energy has advised the trustee that the terms of

the conveyances governing the Trust’s net profits interests require the Trust to bear its 80% interest in

the settlement, or approximately $29.6 million. Upon payment of the settlement, it is expected that

costs will exceed revenues on properties underlying the Oklahoma and Kansas net profits interest.

Based on recent revenue and expense levels, it is expected that costs will exceed revenues for

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To: tom pope who wrote (168855)5/22/2012 8:37:46 PM
From: Jane4IceCream   of 178719
 
Seems to be alot of news on the brokerage houses lately so I will go with that as the partie. The only ones making monie are the lawyers.


Jane

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To: 16bit who wrote (168850)5/22/2012 9:49:06 PM
From: sammie441 Recommendation   of 178719
 
>Can you please explain why you believe the market has priced each well at $3MM? I would really like to understand how you came up with that number. I've take a large position (for me) on Osage and I'd really like to understand the case against the company's valuation. From what I see, I can't believe there is any way these wells are “at about 3MM net”.>



3MM NPV x 33 net wells = 99MM. The fully diluted mkt cap is 92MM, + I assume the have drawn down some of the debt they put in place this qtr so EV = 33 net wells x 3MM NPV per well was my calculation.


In a perfect world oil wells don't decline. That isn't reality. The well production and cash flow will decline by 60-70% in the first year.


NPV = net present value. Is discount the cost spent to drill the well and the cash received over the life of the well discounted at the cost if capital. It accounts for declines, cost inflation (if any), taxes, etc. OEDV cost of capital is out of this world based on the last financing so I am simpy using 10-15% (1/2 or or less of their recent debt deals).


I hate to be this direct, but you honestly shouldn't be investing in this industry if you even remotely believe any of your cash flow numbers.


I think oil is going lower...to the low to mid 80s and staying there. Run the NPV on a lower price deck and the numbers get worse. I can send you a well NPV model to play around with, send me a pm with an email. I just don't think you understand discounting, nor the fact that all rock is not created equal. If OEDV has found a sweet spot, I will be 100% wrong and admit as much. If not, unless significant downspacing occurs, I don't understand how this is now wildly overvalued, i.e 50% or more. I am more than open to hear a reasonable, mathematical, geological argument why I am wrong, but if you think the ML is that good with no decline, but the f out of SD and retire handsomely in a few years.

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From: Bearcatbob5/22/2012 10:20:17 PM
4 Recommendations   of 178719
 
Late today some ex Greek PM says that Greece is considering leaving the Euro and the market tanks. Did any sane person not think they were considering that? Again, how can such a small country call so much trouble? How could anyone have loaned them so much?

Bob

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To: CommanderCricket who wrote (168844)5/23/2012 12:13:40 AM
From: Salt'n'Peppa1 Recommendation   of 178719
 
IOC may sell all of E/A???
I don't think this article has it right, but it makes for interesting reading and does address a key change in the IOC heirarchy, as they released a private "consulting firm" (100% owned by the CEO) and put an actual Board of Directors in its place to steer company affairs.



postcourier.com.pg 

Royal Dutch Shell closes in on gas reserves

OIL major Royal Dutch Shell is edging closer to achieving its long-held ambition to capture an advantageous gas reserves position in Papua New Guinea, after the latest twist in the tale of InterOil's planned liquefied natural gas project here.
A recent move by the PNG department of petroleum to terminate a late-2009 government accord with InterOil for the project has shaken the US listed company’s plans to the core.

InterOil is challenging the department's right to do away with the project agreement, a crucial framework for the development of its planned venture, which would tap its Elk and Antelope gas fields. It reckons it can find a way of dealing with the government’s concerns, which centre on the fragmented nature of the project, including both onshore and floating LNG plants.
InterOil’s advisers, UBS, Morgan Stanley and Macquarie Capital, have for some months been seeking a major LNG operator to partner on the project. But now they are understood to be indicating to interested parties that all of InterOil’s holding in the gas fields is on offer, not just a partner stake.

That would no doubt suit Shell, which may be reluctant to take a minority role alongside InterOil.
Talk in the market is that the termination letter was the last straw for InterOil's board, which has lost patience with the sale process being run by the CEO, Phil Mulacek, and handed control of it to a board committee chaired by the CFO.

But the message from the InterOil camp is that the board – chaired by Mulacek – is already closely involved in the partnering process, which is heading towards a resolution in the coming weeks in a manner that will satisfy the government’s concerns.
The InterOil camp is sticking with the line that the deal with a partner will involve “an interest” in the gas fields.
Meanwhile, when the Post- Courier forwarded a copy of this information to InterOil and Shell for comments and confirmation respectively, neither responded.

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To: teevee who wrote (168852)5/23/2012 12:49:54 AM
From: selivanov2 Recommendations   of 178719
 
Look everyone, teevee thinks Scamerica is a free country. LOL.LOL.LOL.

Unless you happen to be an unseen money master, you nor anyone like you has any means to achieve your goal. (S)elections are a smoke and mirror show for the sheeple. Votes are all computer bits now and the people who pay the system programmers decide the "winners".

As long as Obama remains a good little puppet, he'll stay right where his money masters need him to do their bidding

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