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To: not_prudent who wrote (164404)2/23/2012 12:45:40 PM
From: The Reaper   of 178707
 
I don't know about that. Hallmark has a lot of cards. ;)

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To: Dale Baker who wrote (164406)2/23/2012 12:47:55 PM
From: elmatador5 Recommendations   of 178707
 
This is an oil thread.

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To: Sailing2 who wrote (164362)2/23/2012 12:54:21 PM
From: elmatador   of 178707
 
Punishment of Iran punishes Europeans.
Message 27967425

money.cnn.com 

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To: CommanderCricket who wrote (164402)2/23/2012 12:55:40 PM
From: The Reaper   of 178707
 
With option trading being an artform in many ways. It "feels" to me that the put options on CIE certainly haven't reflected the $3 drop in the common today on an adequate basis. I know that there are IV studies that will quantify this but I go with my gut a lot and this is speaking to me.

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To: The Reaper who wrote (164410)2/23/2012 1:10:52 PM
From: CommanderCricket   of 178707
 
Volatility has dropped substantially today for CIE.

The slaughter hasn't been all that bad for put sellers. Wouldn't write anything more until the share price finds a bottom.

It's interesting to note CIE is now trading where Morgan Stanley states is a "bear" case. The next couple of days is an opportunity to accumulate shares.

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To: CommanderCricket who wrote (164411)2/23/2012 1:21:27 PM
From: Triffin   of 178707
 
CC ..

I share your enthusiasm for CIE's potential ..

What's a realistic time frame for initial production ??
I assume we're talking "years" and the need for a
substantial jv partner ?? or can CIE go it alone ??

The long dated puts sure look tempting ..

Triff ..

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To: CommanderCricket who wrote (164411)2/23/2012 1:22:04 PM
From: The Reaper   of 178707
 
CIE has traded in a .05 range for the last half hour. Guess we know where the secondary is pricing at.


Edit: or not

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To: Triffin who wrote (164412)2/23/2012 1:24:20 PM
From: CommanderCricket   of 178707
 
Triff,

CIE is several years from production and in my opinion will be gobbled up by a major by then.

Keep it eye on the price action but wait to sellers are done. I'm freeing up cash to play it.

Michael

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To: CommanderCricket who wrote (164411)2/23/2012 1:26:06 PM
From: Salt'n'Peppa4 Recommendations   of 178707
 
The timeline for CIE is long.
I would wait for a general market correction and jump into CIE heavily at that time.

No need at all to rush with this one.
S&P

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To: Salt'n'Peppa who wrote (164415)2/23/2012 1:32:16 PM
From: CommanderCricket   of 178707
 
S&P,

"No need at all to rush with this one."

Agree with you.

I kinda lost interest when it was trading at $35 but between $25 - $30, it's going to be a lot of fun. The balloon has popped and the share price should settle down somewhere in the above range.

Once it does, write puts and/or accumulate shares.

CC

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