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To: Dale Baker who wrote (164336)2/23/2012 12:43:18 PM
From: elmatador   of 178622
 
Euro denominated oil hits record, surpassing the peak touched in the 2008 price spike and posing a fresh problem for eurozone economies already struggling under the weight of the region’s debt crisis.


OOPS! Better be friendly to those Iranians...

The surge in prices comes on the back of rising tensions between the west and Iran, the world’s third-largest oil exporter. Under the burden of sanctions by Europe and the US, the country is facing growing difficulty selling its oil internationally, forcing other producers such as Saudi Arabia to step in and squeezing spare capacity – the global oil industry’s ability to respond to shocks.

Euro denominated oil hits record

By Jack Farchy, Emiko Terazono and Javier Blas

Oil prices soared to a record high in euro terms, surpassing the peak touched in the 2008 price spike and posing a fresh problem for eurozone economies already struggling under the weight of the region’s debt crisis.

The euro-denominated price of Brent crude, the global benchmark North Sea crude, rose to a peak of €93.63 a barrel on Thursday, surpassing the previous high hit on July 3, 2008. The new euro record comes just a day after Brent hit a record in sterling terms.


The rally in the price of crude denominated in the two major European currencies is likely to push up the imported cost of oil. It may undermine growth as well as demand for refined oil products, analysts said.
“This is a regional oil shock,” said Amrita Sen, commodities analyst at Barclays Capital in London.

The surge in prices comes on the back of rising tensions between the west and Iran, the world’s third-largest oil exporter. Under the burden of sanctions by Europe and the US, the country is facing growing difficulty selling its oil internationally, forcing other producers such as Saudi Arabia to step in and squeezing spare capacity – the global oil industry’s ability to respond to shocks.

In dollar terms, oil prices also surged more than 1 per cent higher, touching a fresh nine-month peak of $124.48 a barrel, though they remain well below their 2008 record of $147 a barrel.

Vitol, the world’s top oil trading company, this week told the Financial Times that oil prices could reach a fresh record in dollar terms above $150 a barrel this year. Ian Taylor, chief executive of the trading house, said that oil prices would probably remain around $120 but “geopolitical risk, especially in the Middle East, creates potential material risk to the upside”.


As tensions rise between the west and Iran, other oil producing countries have been forced to step in with extra supplies, putting pressure on global spare capacity


High oil prices are becoming a more pressing political issue. Olivier Jakob, head of Petromatrix, a Switzerland-based oil consultancy, forecast that high oil prices would become a dominant feature of political debate on both sides of the Atlantic. “The oil price is only starting to move into the political debates but that will increase further,” he said. “In the eurozone, the weighted average prices of gasoline and diesel at the pump are printing new record highs.”

European refiners have already cut their imports from the country ahead of an embargo due to come into force at the start of July, while other major buyers of Iranian oil such as Japan, South Korea, and China are also reducing their purchases under pressure from the US.

However, disruptions to oil supply in other smaller, but significant, producers such as Sudan, Syria and Yemen have also supported prices.

In a note to clients on Thursday, David Greely, oil analyst at Goldman Sachs, forecast that oil could rally to $127.50 within a year. But, adding a more bullish note, he said: “We see the risks to our forecast as skewed to the upside as world oil inventories have not been building despite Saudi Arabia pumping at its highest levels in 30 years and Libyan supplies returning to the market.”


Copyright The Financial Times Limited 2012. You may share using our article tools.

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To: elmatador who wrote (164405)2/23/2012 12:45:14 PM
From: Dale Baker   of 178622
 
So the price of oil in euro terms has something to do with global warming debates, and you went back 60 posts just to make that obscure link and respond to my post? Huh?

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To: not_prudent who wrote (164404)2/23/2012 12:45:40 PM
From: The Reaper   of 178622
 
I don't know about that. Hallmark has a lot of cards. ;)

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To: Dale Baker who wrote (164406)2/23/2012 12:47:55 PM
From: elmatador5 Recommendations   of 178622
 
This is an oil thread.

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To: Sailing2 who wrote (164362)2/23/2012 12:54:21 PM
From: elmatador   of 178622
 
Punishment of Iran punishes Europeans.
Message 27967425

money.cnn.com 

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To: CommanderCricket who wrote (164402)2/23/2012 12:55:40 PM
From: The Reaper   of 178622
 
With option trading being an artform in many ways. It "feels" to me that the put options on CIE certainly haven't reflected the $3 drop in the common today on an adequate basis. I know that there are IV studies that will quantify this but I go with my gut a lot and this is speaking to me.

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To: The Reaper who wrote (164410)2/23/2012 1:10:52 PM
From: CommanderCricket   of 178622
 
Volatility has dropped substantially today for CIE.

The slaughter hasn't been all that bad for put sellers. Wouldn't write anything more until the share price finds a bottom.

It's interesting to note CIE is now trading where Morgan Stanley states is a "bear" case. The next couple of days is an opportunity to accumulate shares.

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To: CommanderCricket who wrote (164411)2/23/2012 1:21:27 PM
From: Triffin   of 178622
 
CC ..

I share your enthusiasm for CIE's potential ..

What's a realistic time frame for initial production ??
I assume we're talking "years" and the need for a
substantial jv partner ?? or can CIE go it alone ??

The long dated puts sure look tempting ..

Triff ..

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To: CommanderCricket who wrote (164411)2/23/2012 1:22:04 PM
From: The Reaper   of 178622
 
CIE has traded in a .05 range for the last half hour. Guess we know where the secondary is pricing at.


Edit: or not

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To: Triffin who wrote (164412)2/23/2012 1:24:20 PM
From: CommanderCricket   of 178622
 
Triff,

CIE is several years from production and in my opinion will be gobbled up by a major by then.

Keep it eye on the price action but wait to sellers are done. I'm freeing up cash to play it.

Michael

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