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To: gg cox who wrote (15578)3/5/2012 5:20:28 PM
From: Land Shark1 Recommendation   of 16501
 
A stunning year in climate science reveals that human civilization is on the precipice
By Joe Romm on Nov 15, 2010 at 12:56 pm


The first anniversary of ‘Climategate’: The media blows the story of the century This week marks the one-year anniversary of what the anti-science crowd successfully labeled ‘Climategate’. The media will be doing countless retrospectives, most of which will be wasted ink, like the Guardian‘s piece — focusing on climate scientists at the expense of climate science, which is precisely the kind of miscoverage that has been going on for the whole year!

I’ll save that my media critiques for Part 2, since I think that Climategate’s biggest impact was probably on the media, continuing their downward trend of focusing on style over substance, of missing the story of the century, if not the millennia.

The last year or so has seen more scientific papers and presentations that raise the genuine prospect of catastrophe (if we stay on our current emissions path) that I can recall seeing in any other year.

Perhaps the media would have ignored that science anyway, but Climategate appears to be a key reason “ less than 10 percent of the news articles written about last year’s climate summit in Copenhagen dealt primarily with the science of climate change, a study showed on Monday.”

But for those interested in the real climate science story of the past year, let’s review a couple dozen studies of the most important findings. Any one of these would be cause for action — and combined they vindicate the final sentence of Elizabeth Kolbert’s Field Notes from a Catastrophe: “It may seem impossible to imagine that a technologically advanced society could choose, in essence, to destroy itself, but that is what we are now in the process of doing.”

1. Nature: “Global warming blamed for 40% decline in the ocean’s phytoplankton”: “Microscopic life crucial to the marine food chain is dying out. The consequences could be catastrophic.”

If confirmed, it may represent the single most important finding of the year in climate science. Seth Borenstein of the AP explains, “plant plankton found in the world’s oceans are crucial to much of life on Earth. They are the foundation of the bountiful marine food web, produce half the world’s oxygen and suck up harmful carbon dioxide.” Boris Worm, a marine biologist and co-author of the study said, “We found that temperature had the best power to explain the changes.” He noted, “If this holds up, something really serious is underway and has been underway for decades. I’ve been trying to think of a biological change that’s bigger than this and I can’t think of one.”

2. Science: Vast East Siberian Arctic Shelf methane stores destabilizing and venting: NSF issues world a wake-up call: “Release of even a fraction of the methane stored in the shelf could trigger abrupt climate warming.”

Methane release from the not-so-perma-frost is the most dangerous amplifying feedback in the entire carbon cycle. This research finds a key “lid” on “the large sub-sea permafrost carbon reservoir” near Eastern Siberia “is clearly perforated, and sedimentary CH4 [methane] is escaping to the atmosphere.”

The permafrost permamelt contains a staggering “ 1.5 trillion tons of frozen carbon, about twice as much carbon as contained in the atmosphere,” much of which would be released as methane. Methane is is 25 times as potent a heat-trapping gas as CO2 over a 100 year time horizon, but 72 times as potent over 20 years!

The carbon is locked in a freezer in the part of the planet warming up the fastest (see “ Tundra 4: Permafrost loss linked to Arctic sea ice loss“). Half the land-based permafrost would vanish by mid-century on our current emissions path (see “ Tundra, Part 2: The point of no return” and below). No climate model currently incorporates the amplifying feedback from methane released by a defrosting tundra.

The NSF is normally a very staid organization. If they are worried, everybody should be.

It is increasingly clear that if the world strays significantly above 450 ppm atmospheric concentrations of carbon dioxide for any length of time, we will find it unimaginably difficult to stop short of 800 to 1000 ppm.

3. Must-read NCAR analysis warns we risk multiple, devastating global droughts even on moderate emissions path.

Dust-Bowlification may be the impact of human-caused climate change that hits the most people by mid-century, as the figure below suggests (“a reading of -4 or below is considered extreme drought”):



The PDSI in the Great Plains during the Dust Bowl apparently spiked very briefly to -6, but otherwise rarely exceeded -3 for the decade (see here). The National Center for Atmospheric Research notes “By the end of the century, many populated areas, including parts of the United States, could face readings in the range of -8 to -10, and much of the Mediterranean could fall to -15 to -20. Such readings would be almost unprecedented.”

4. Nature Geoscience study: Oceans are acidifying 10 times faster today than 55 million years ago when a mass extinction of marine species occurred and Geological Society: Acidifying oceans spell marine biological meltdown “by end of century” — Co-author: “Unless we curb carbon emissions we risk mass extinctions, degrading coastal waters and encouraging outbreaks of toxic jellyfish and algae.”

Marine life and all who depend on it, including humans are at grave risk from unrestricted emissions of greenhouse gases. This can’t be stopped with geo-engineering and there is no plausible strategy for undoing it.

Ocean acidification may well be the most under-reported of all the catastrophic climate impacts we are risking.

5. Sea levels may rise 3 times faster than IPCC estimated, could hit 6 feet by 2100 [see figure] and these related findings and studies:


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To: ponokee who wrote (15540)3/5/2012 7:12:12 PM
From: Land Shark   of 16501
 

Heartland Institute's Corporate Shilling is Nothing New (i.e. tobacco lobby)...

rollingstone.com 

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To: Land Shark who wrote (15580)3/5/2012 10:35:55 PM
From: ponokee1 Recommendation   of 16501
 
Climate Change: Facing-Off On The Future

I was sitting two rows back behind Al Gore at the TED conference this week as the debate over Climate Change took center stage.

I say debate – even though pretty much everyone who knows anything about science agrees there isn’t much to debate. As both a former Vice-President, and now the most powerful voice on the climate crisis, Gore deserves the credit for bringing the issue out of the labs and to center stage. His film, ‘An Inconvenient Truth’ brought the issue into stark focus and began the conversation in ernest. But it also created a problem. A problem that was evident on the TED stage this week.

Paul Gilding, an author and activist, began the conversation with his profoundly disturbing talk “The Earth is full.” Gilding argued that our focus on growth at any cost has put the planet in peril. He said technology drives efficiency and economic growth – and powers breakneck consumption that the planet cannot endure. He made a case for how our lust for the latest gadgets is distracting people from acting to stop global disasters like climate change.

“The world is full. It is full of us. It is full of our stuff, full of our waste, and full of our demands,” Gilding said. “We have created too much stuff. This is not a philosophical statement, this is just science. Our approach is simply unsustainable.” Mr. Gilding is the former director of Greenpeace International. “Thanks to those pesky laws of physics, it will stop. The system will break.”

It was a sobering talk in a room full of techno-optomists. One that I could only imagine Gore strongly agreed with in the hall with 1,500 leading thinkers and doers. “The Earth doesn’t care what we need,” said Gilding. “Mother Nature doesn’t negotiate; she just sets rules and administers consequences.”

Here’s the TED talk “Paul Gilding: The Earth is full”

[iframe style="POSITION: relative" class=dimensions_initialized height=643 src="http://steverosenbaum.magnify.net/video/Paul-Gilding-The-Earth-is-full/player?layout=&read_more=1" frameBorder=0 width=620 scrolling=no data-orig-width="420" data-orig-height="436"][/iframe]

Gilding’s talk was emotional – and powerful. “We’ve had 50 years of warnings and pretty much done nothing to change course,” as his eyes welled with tears.

Many in the audience stood to applaud, Gore among them.

Then, to provide a vision to counter Gilding’s doomsday vision – Peter Diamandis gave a TED talk with a decidedly techno-optomist point of view.

“I’m not saying that we don’t have our share of problems – climate change, species extinction, resource shortage – but ultimately we have the ability to see problems way in advance and knock them down,” said Diamandis. Diamandis heads Singularity University, and is the head of the nonprofit X Prize Foundation. “Scarcity is contextual and technology is a liberating force,” he said. For Diamandis, the issue comes down to one word – abundance. His recently published the book, “Abundance: The Future is Better Than You Think,” argues that we’ve got the brainpower to engineer ourselves out of world threatening issues like food shortages, water purity, and global warming.

Here’s the TED talk “Peter Diamandis: Abundance is our future.”

[iframe style="POSITION: relative" class=dimensions_initialized height=643 src="http://steverosenbaum.magnify.net/video/Peter-Diamandis-Abundance-is-ou/player?layout=&read_more=1" frameBorder=0 width=620 scrolling=no data-orig-width="420" data-orig-height="436"][/iframe]

After the two presentations, TED Curator Chris Anderson asked to audience to vote on which view was more compelling. Diamandis’ optimistic view won 55% of the vote, while Gilding got just 45% of the vote. Clearly the result must have been disappointing for Gore – who’s been working tirelessly to make Climate Change issue #1 among the worlds’ thinkers, and more broadly anyone concerned about the future of the planet.

So, what’s happening here? Well, there’s a school of thought that says Gore’s leadership on the issue has been a mixed blessing. Given Gore’s liberal democratic pedigree, his leadership has, by its nature, been political. There may be some truth to this, but it probably doesn’t matter. It’s hard to get any constituency to take a long term view on any issue, given the short term needs and political expediency of those needs. Big systemic change in how we build cars, consume energy, or grow our food isn’t going to come without political leadership and a sustainable call for change. So even as the evidence grows, and mid-winter days become balmy and warm – Gore’s clarion call seems to fade into the background. Diane Sawyer, reporting on ABC World News, now proclaims the nightly weather disasters she reports as ‘wacky’ or ‘unusual’ or ‘bizarre’, as if the parade of hurricanes, tsunamis, floods, and avalanches are all unrelated instances of mother natures mercurial mood. This could be no farther from the truth.

To wrap up the TED conversation, Chris Anderson brought both Diamandis and Gilding on stage. Diamandis express his confidence we’d sort things out. But Gilding ended with the ominous concern that it all comes down to timing - and we’d better hope all this innovation shows up in time. Indeed.

forbes.com 

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To: ponokee who wrote (15581)3/6/2012 1:11:50 PM
From: 7 Years1 Recommendation   of 16501
 
God, grant me the serenity to accept the things I cannot change,
Courage to change the things I can,
And wisdom to know the difference

It is apparent that Mr. Gilding has not grasped this concept, and it is apparent he was not able to make the change that he felt was needed. I would say that from reading about this gentleman, he did not make it to the table where he could possibly have made a difference. What is needed is a strategy much like MADD, where inroads made were small but lasting. There was not a continued confrontation, but a coordinated effort, primarily by women, to have the system changed. Mr. Gilding wants to effect change, he has to pick away at specific issues, the "earth" is too big a concept.

I agree that we have been on a rampage that has contributed to whatever is happening to our planet, but we are not the main culprit. Our time on earth is but a nano second on the timeline.

What is the general populace willing to do without to assist Mr. Gilding, I submit not much if anything at all.

Just MHO. Cheers

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From: 7 Years3/6/2012 5:22:39 PM
   of 16501
 
Dalton McGuinty: the rest of Canada is the reason for my province's problems. Lower the loonie compared to other currencies. A great political leader this man, no vision on how to take his province from the brink.

Some reading for you:

theglobeandmail.com 

theglobeandmail.com 

theglobeandmail.com 

theglobeandmail.com 

More reading as you go through.

Cheers

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To: 7 Years who wrote (15583)3/6/2012 5:30:03 PM
From: kidl   of 16501
 
But, but, but ... he has a vision. It's windmills and more windmills ...

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From: ponokee3/6/2012 5:38:51 PM
   of 16501
 
If the killer gets anything less than the crime he committed we don't have a justice system.

Tori was a dear little girl: Christie Blatchford

Jurors warned about the horrors of evidence to come

By Christie Blatchford, Postmedia News - March 6, 2012



Mike Faille-Postmedia N Michael Thomas Rafferty is on trial for the murder of Tori Stafford, who disappeared on April 8, 2009.

At the heart of the case is the brutal death of the dear little girl a whole country came to know in the spring and summer of 2009, Victoria (Tori) Stafford.

It was on April 8 of that year when the sunny eight-year-old first went missing, improbably disappearing on a three-block walk to her home in the town of Woodstock, about 40 km east of London.

It was, prosecutor Kevin Gowdey said Monday in his opening address to the jurors, "the very first day she was allowed to leave school and walk home by herself.

"It was also the last day of her life." Tori's badly decomposed remains weren't discovered, under a rock pile deep in the lush countryside of this part of southwestern Ontario, for 103 days, until July 19.

By then, her face was familiar through pictures released by police, missing posters and her parents' increasingly desperate pleas for her safe return.

Gowdey painted a spooky picture of the ordinary end-of-day scene, so familiar to parents everywhere, at Oliver Stephens Public School that Wednesday afternoon in April.

It was just before 3: 30 p.m. As the chattering youngsters spilled out of the school, some were met by family or friends, or hopped a bus, or made their way home uneventfully on their own.

But two people, the prosecutor said, were waiting for Tori and they intended only to do her harm.

The pair were Terri-Lynne McClin-tic, who in a separate proceeding two years ago pleaded guilty to and was convicted of first-degree murder for her part in the kidnapping and killing of the girl, and Michael Rafferty, the 31-year-old now on trial.

McClintic, now 21, will be the star witness, where her former boyfriend, broad-crested and seemingly serene in the prisoner's dock, is pleading not guilty to first-degree murder, kidnap-ping and sexual assault.

According to Gowdey, the harm the two did the little blond was unimaginable: An autopsy showed Tori died from repeated hammer blows to the head, but that other injuries she suffered - blunt force trauma sufficient to lacerate her liver and fracture many of her ribs - would have been fatal.

She was discovered wearing only her Hannah Montana T-shirt and the butterfly earrings she had borrowed that morning from her mother, Tara McDonald, because she was going to christen her new bedroom in her mom's new house by playing host to a movie night for some friends.

"Excited by this prospect," Gowdey said, "Tori dressed up for school that day" and to make the outfit complete, McDonald allowed her to borrow the earrings.

McDonald will be among the first witnesses to testify, a task Gowdey described as a hard one for her and a hard one for the jurors to hear, but necessary.

While it seemed at first Tori vanished into thin air, police quickly seized surveillance video from a nearby high school, which showed the girl walking with a young woman dressed in a white winter coat and with her dark hair in a ponytail.

Parents waiting for their kids saw the two chatting, but, as Gowdey said, "They thought nothing of it at the time. They assumed Tori was with family or a friend.

"After all," the prosecutor said, invoking the audacity of the crime with six simple words, "it was broad daylight."

The mystery woman was McClintic, and she led Tori to a nearby parking lot, Gowdey said, where Rafferty "sat in his Honda Civic, waiting."

The car was caught on video near the school three times that day.

The pair, with their stolen girl cargo, then hit the 401 Highway and headed east on a bizarre trip - first to Guelph, Ont., where Rafferty allegedly stopped to buy some Percocet pills from a friend and then went to an ATM, and McClintic bought a hammer and green garbage bags at a Home Depot, then into Wellington County and the countryside.

The video cameras ubiquitous in the modern world, Gowdey said, caught Rafferty at the ATM, and McClintic at the Home Depot.

Tori wasn't seen on any of the video, but she was indisputably in the car: Her DNA was later found in blood detected on the rear passenger door of the Civic.

In one spot, on a gym bag found in the car, Tori's blood was mixed with Rafferty's.

The trial began with some uniquely Canadian touches, a mysterious and unexpected delay to a proceeding already almost three years in the making: warnings galore to the jurors about the horrors of the evidence to come, and courtly euphemisms.

For instance, the jurors were told by Ontario Superior Court Judge Thomas Heeney while Rafferty may be occasionally referred to as "the accused," they were to take no negative inference from the term because "it is simply a label to describe one of the participants in a trial."

That is surely a most delicate take: The accused is merely a participant, like the lawyers and the judge? Really?

Gowdey told the jurors that after they hear from McClintic, "you will unquestionably be disturbed by the choices she made with Michael Rafferty to bring this all about."

McClintic is now a convicted killer. Surely the jurors will be more troubled by the results of her "choices" than by her decisions.

Tori Stafford's battered body was found inside garbage bags of the same colour and size as the brand McClintic bought that day at the Home Depot. One bad choice, one appalling result.

http://www.vancouversun.com/news/Tori+dear+little+girl+Christie+Blatchford/6256354/story.html#ixzz1oNYuiCFu

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To: kidl who wrote (15584)3/6/2012 9:49:48 PM
From: 7 Years   of 16501
 
A very nice sunday evening laugh, thank you. I applaud him for his vision on green energy; however, Nova Scotia, Alberta, BC already have more windpower generation than that slow albatross of a province. If he's hanging his hat on this one, what's that saying "this dog don't hunt", but the electorate of Ontario keeps voting Liberal, or is it just the Toronto area. Regardless, there aren't very many visionaries coming to the pulpit in Ontario, and besides, who wants to be told what medicine is really needed to bring Ontario out of its doldrums.

"The doldrums gave rise to a place called The Doldrums in the Phantom Tollbooth inhabited by the Lethargarians who do nothing all day, a place where "nothing ever happens and nothing ever changes" - Juster, Norton. The Phantom Tollbooth. 1961. Chapter 2 (I love wikipedia).

Cheers

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From: kidl3/11/2012 10:22:31 AM
   of 16501
 
If factual, should Canada allow a foreign company to control nearly 50% of our grain handling capacity?
bloomberg.com 

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From: Monkey Man3/11/2012 12:53:26 PM
   of 16501
 
Depiction of Quebecers as beer-drinking smokers on dole riles nationalists

Photo 1/3
Les Jeunes patriotes du Québec satirically line-up a ‘traditional Quebec diet’ outside a dépanneur in Verdun on Saturday, March...more

Photo 2/3
Paolo Zampito and son Raffaele attend a protest by the Jeunes patriotes du Québec outside a dépanneur in Verdun on Saturday, March 10, 2012....more

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Guillaume Labelle weaves a patriotes-style sash as he and other Jeunes patriotes du Québec protested outside a depanneur in Verdun on Saturday,...more
A+
BY ALLISON LAMPERT, POSTMEDIA NEWS MARCH 10, 2012
MONTREAL — Jean-Pierre Savage wouldn't shop at the Depanneur de l’Eglise even before an anti-Quebecois tirade by one of the convenience store’s employees sparked a Saturday protest by nationalists.

The 67-year-old Verdun resident, crippled by arthritis, would rather hobble to a convenience store four blocks away than patronize a store where he says he never gets served in French.

“That store won’t survive,” he said.

On Thursday, a Depanneur de L’Eglise employee would only speak in English when phoned by a local French-language radio producer pretending to be a customer. She reminded the employee about Bill 101, the Quebec language law that gives customers the right to be served in French.

Businesses that contravene the law are liable to a fine from $1,500 to $20,000.

Irritated, the employee snapped back against French Quebecers.

“What is your contribution to Quebec?” he asked. “You stay home, you drink beer, you smoke cigarettes, you take welfare. I am an immigrant here. I have a business, I take care of you people.”

The incident prompted angry calls and comments in the French-language media, along with a Saturday afternoon protest by the nationalist Jeunes patriotes du Quebec.

About 30 protesters waved flags while drinking beer and eating chips in front of the closed convenience store.

“This is the case of a person who doesn’t want to integrate,” said Jean Philippe Decarie-Mathieu, a spokesperson for the Jeunes patriotes.

Decarie-Mathieu could not say specifically whether the incident was isolated, but noted that complaints to Quebec’s French language watchdog — the Office quebecois de la langue francaise — were on the rise.

In the quiet Verdun neighbourhood now undergoing gentrification, few store owners or residents were aware of the depanneur incident. On the street, French and English-speaking customers were being served by Chinese, Vietanamese and Greek shopkeepers.

“You have to respect your customers,” said Mario Fragiadakas, who serves his clients in accented English and French at the diner he’s owned for 32 years.

For Savage, the best form of protest is to buy his wine at a nearby depanneur owned by a Chinese Canadian. The owner, who works about 100 hours a week, has never had the time to take formal language classes.

He speaks heavily accented English and enough broken French to serve his customers. If he needs help, he asks his daughters who go to a French school.

Montreal Gazette

alampert@montrealgazette.com

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