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To: ahhaha who wrote (20752)4/12/2012 10:47:50 AM
From: sixty2nds of 23365
 
Yes sir. You are correct. It is a very dangerous game. More so now, than ever.

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To: sixty2nds who wrote (20751)4/12/2012 10:47:59 AM
From: ahhaha of 23365
 
The market didn't adequately correct to play the long side unless you intend to day trade.

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To: ahhaha who wrote (20754)4/12/2012 11:05:40 AM
From: sixty2nds of 23365
 
I agree. Well, maybe not day trade but ST oriented. Just scaled in for 7 total positions. Stop set on all.

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To: sixty2nds who wrote (20753)4/12/2012 11:07:42 AM
From: ahhaha of 23365
 
Well, I made money, but not like I make it when you have a true bull market. You see, I merely played the players. There is no other play in this environment. What did i make? Traders return. Diddly squat. Without a capitalist environment market moves are illusory.

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To: ahhaha who wrote (20756)4/12/2012 11:41:11 AM
From: sixty2nds of 23365
 
I have recently built 2 nice little winners....let 1 turn small loser.
The 3rd treaded water too long then instead of killing it...
I let air leak from the tires.
Net? Down 4% YTD.
That is always my problem with mental stops.
I let them run against me.
Thought maybe I'd outgrown it. No that was Ego. It must be a DNA problem.
It has impeded profitability since the flash crash.

Agreed. There is "no other play in this market"

Variance is part of the game.
Count on it.

60

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To: sixty2nds who wrote (20757)4/12/2012 2:31:27 PM
From: ahhaha of 23365
 
Look at daily and weekly charts of DOW trannies. What does that tell you?

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To: ahhaha who wrote (20758)4/12/2012 2:47:55 PM
From: sixty2nds of 23365
 
Proceed with extreme caution. eom

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To: sixty2nds who wrote (20759)4/12/2012 3:13:14 PM
From: ahhaha of 23365
 
The DOW trannies are laying out a distributive top that double double tops the cycle and decade. I rate this as extremely bearish. It is possible for it to negate the structure but it has to negate it by advancing slowly through 5400 and then 5700. Meanwhile, what is it doing? On rallies it moves up unconvincingly to put in declining tops, in Feb, Mar, and maybe now. Given the ease of rise and the fact that the previous five days sell-off literally ripped away much of what was gained over the last 3 months, I'd say you have a situation of no conviction based on growing invisibility of earnings.

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To: ahhaha who wrote (20760)4/12/2012 3:23:11 PM
From: sixty2nds of 23365
 
All true, but INTC is making multi year highs again. Nobody believes in nuttn.

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To: ahhaha who wrote (20760)4/12/2012 3:29:48 PM
From: ahhaha of 23365
 
So far today the DOW has rallied up to its 50MA on putrid volume also in their presumed cover, the ETFs.

I notice all the pies, especially the Chinese ones, are flying high but their ET flows suck. Both the DOW and the pies aren't rising so much from short covering as they are from Lil Guy speculation. How do I know? I watch the direct flow(!) and monitor ET flow in real time, plus I've been doing this for ...Is it time to go short? No. The market is so weak that it can easily rise. Won't break without news.

Some guy is preaching the virtue of the banks on CNBC. ET flow doesn't agree. I held GS because flow was good but it reversed and I sold at the top. Thought it would merely correct but now it looks like a much more serious downside move is developing. Hard to believe from a visible fundamental perspective, but how much is invisible?

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