Technology Stocks | Advanced Micro Devices - Moderated (AMD)


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To: Elmer Phud who wrote (270054)5/22/2012 4:13:24 PM
From: rzborusa of 272312
 
Pretty much down so far in Q2. Wonder what he has done since firstQ.

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To: rzborusa who wrote (270055)5/22/2012 4:27:15 PM
From: Elmer Phud of 272312
 
AMD: FBR Cuts Target; $5 Possible Downside
By Tiernan Ray

Shares of Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) are up 28 cents, or 5%, at $6.29, despite a cautious report from FBR Capital‘s Craig Berger this morning, in which he reiterated an Outperform rating but cut his price target from $11 to $9, writing that the stock could see “more downside towards $5 this summer” before the shares are fully “washed out.”

The stock has been weighed down by a few different investor concerns, writes Berger, including weakness in Europe for PC sales, “a flight to quality” mentality that has driven investors out of AMD’s high-beta stock, and some breakdown in sales by PC original design manufacturers (ODM), who are holding off on building computers as they wait for expanded supply of Intel’s (INTC) “Ivy Bridge” microprocessors.

Still, Berger sees upside from the recent introduction of AMD’s own new processor, “Trinity“:

Regarding Trinity, early product reviews are generally positive but not ebullient, likely helping AMD close the performance gap at the low end of the value PC market and penetrate into some Ultrabook-type machines, perhaps with a small pricing boost. Trinity offers a CPU performance upgrade over Llano, better thermal specs, and enhanced graphics performance—but is not a game changer for AMD, in our view. Stepping back, we think AMD is improving its execution and product portfolio, though this transition will still take much time. We see potential upside from share gains in client (Llano/Trinity) and server (Interlagos), with mix and margin benefits possible, too.
blogs.barrons.com 

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To: Elmer Phud who wrote (270056)5/22/2012 6:05:48 PM
From: Mahmoud Mohammed of 272312
 
Elmer,

Re: "... writing that the stock (AMD) could see “more downside towards $5 this summer” before the shares are fully “washed out.” "

About the same time when Mr Borusa gets his "skivvies" washed out. lol

Mahmoud

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To: Mahmoud Mohammed who wrote (270057)5/22/2012 6:46:32 PM
From: Elmer Phud of 272312
 
About the same time when Mr Borusa gets his "skivvies" washed out. lol

Have you noticed that now that FPG has nothing to trash Intel about he has nothing to say...

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To: Elmer Phud who wrote (270058)5/22/2012 8:09:19 PM
From: rzborusa of 272312
 
You plan on rolling out your short puts? 6$ IIRC. What month?

I am thinking to close my short July 7 calls and reposition. Market getting fugly.

Either that or get a drum of spray n wash, MM.

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To: rzborusa who wrote (270059)5/22/2012 8:35:31 PM
From: Elmer Phud of 272312
 
You plan on rolling out your short puts? 6$ IIRC. What month?

The objective of writing Puts is for them to expire worthless. If AMD drops below $6, that doesn't automatically mean I'll roll them out immediately. Normally, no Put holder exercises a Put unless they can make more on it than they can by simply reselling the Put. So unless the market is really tanking, I'd hold off till closer to expiration. Another consideration is this: Right now, today, I could get $0.18 for rolling it out to July. My pricing model tells me that's a annualized rate of 32.91% for money at risk.

What would you do if you were in my shoes?

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To: rzborusa who wrote (270059)5/23/2012 11:17:01 AM
From: Mahmoud Mohammed of 272312
 
Mr Borusa,

Re: "... Market getting fugly. Either that or get a drum of spray n wash, MM."

You got this one right.

Mahmoud

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To: Elmer Phud who wrote (270060)5/23/2012 1:04:48 PM
From: rzborusa of 272312
 
> What would you do if you were in my shoes?


Think I'd buy em back and sell fives, by the look of the market today.


Jumpin Jesus, looks like they are throwing the Intelatubbies out with the bath water today.

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To: rzborusa who wrote (270062)5/23/2012 3:14:16 PM
From: Elmer Phud of 272312
 
Think I'd buy em back and sell fives, by the look of the market today.

Why would you do that? You'd be locking in a loss.

I hate to lose money.

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To: Elmer Phud who wrote (270063)5/23/2012 4:07:55 PM
From: rzborusa of 272312
 
I'm just saying 5$puts are safely OOTM for now. I don't sell puts. I am selling Calls against my long positions at times.

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