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To: slacker711 who wrote (93408)7/21/2010 7:11:15 PM
From: JeffreyHF   of 117858
 
Could this be related to Sanjay's dangling 2 GHz processor "by the end of the year"?

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To: ggamer who wrote (93409)7/21/2010 7:14:02 PM
From: slacker7112 Recommendations   of 117858
 

Apple announces and three months later you are able to touch it. I wonder how many products is Apple working on that we do not know.


I dont know how many times I have to say that Apple is not an appropriate comparison for Qualcomm. The two businesses arent even remotely comparable.

There is a long lead time with respect to chipsets and keeping them secret from your customers makes no sense.

Slacker

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To: JeffreyHF who wrote (93410)7/21/2010 7:15:28 PM
From: slacker711   of 117858
 
Could this be related to Sanjay's dangling 2 GHz processor "by the end of the year"?

I doubt it. I think that this will be a new version of Scorpion and will be more of a long range announcement.

Just my opinion, but I think that Sanjay was misquoted.

Slacker

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To: slacker711 who wrote (93397)7/21/2010 7:18:16 PM
From: waitwatchwander2 Recommendations   of 117858
 
Im not surprised by sliding QTL margins. I suspect, they have had to put in place extensive audit infrastructure to keep everyone honest. Five years ago they just trusted everyone. They now know better. Another cost on the QTL front is the offsetting amortization of the Nokia and Samsung 4G patents over their fair life. $3.5B (Nokia $2.3B, Samsung $1.2 ???) over 15 years would generate a quarterly straight line QTL expense of ~$60M. It's probable not a straight line amortization.

The only R&D costs that should be accruing to QTL would be the costs of patent filing. I always thought "corporate" R&D was being expensed quarterly but it's unclear to me which division is getting charged. Most R&D (Snapdragon, Mirasol, 4G chipsets) should be going against QCT. The only thing in the area of QLT would be items like ezone, new 4G standards, femtocell innovations, and wireless medicine (PANs). You are right that shouldn't be much.

I've yet to review the numbers nor listen to the call but a 79.5% QTL margins would be a drop of 3.5%. That is roughly a $35M expense. A good chunk of that could be amortization of the "streamer" patent acquisition costs. Sometime in the near future, I hope an analyst asks them how their promise to monetize those costs is coming along, especially the GSM patents.

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To: waitwatchwander who wrote (93413)7/21/2010 7:30:01 PM
From: sag   of 117858
 
The only thing in the area of QLT would be items like ezone, 4G standards innovations, femtocells and wireless medicine. You are right that shouldn't be much.

What about R&D associated with product development with a new licensee etc?

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From: Bill Wolf7/21/2010 7:38:46 PM
2 Recommendations   of 117858
 
Smartphone Shift Lifts Qualcomm's Net
By DON CLARK

Qualcomm Inc. reported a 4.1% increase in quarterly profits on a 2% decline in revenues, results that were better than the company had projected and eased fears of a slide in cellphone prices.

The San Diego-based chip maker also raised its guidance for revenue and earnings growth for its current fiscal year, based in large part on a continuing shift to third-generation cellular networks that use Qualcomm technology.

Qualcomm gets much of its profit from royalties that are based on a percentage of cellphone prices. The company's stock has come under pressure lately as prices have declined, partly reflecting the growing proportion of cellphones sold in markets like India where low-priced handsets are most popular.

The company, which each quarter records revenue from cellphone sales made in the prior period, on Wednesday put average selling prices for handsets in the quarter ended in March at $183 to $189 per unit. That is higher than the price it reported in April for the period ended in December, according to William Keitel, Qualcomm's chief financial officer.

A shift to higher-priced smartphones appears to be helping. Paul Jacobs, Qualcomm's chief executive officer, told analysts on a conference call the company is seeing gains as its high-end Snapdragon chip has been selected for new smartphones, including HTC Corp.'s Incredible and EVO models.

One disappointment for Qualcomm has been the performance of a unit called FLO TV that operates a wireless network to broadcast video programming to cellphones. Mr. Jacobs said the company is "considering alternatives" for the operation, and is in discussions with a number of partners, but gave no further details.

Qualcomm reported profit for the period ended June 27 of $767 million, or 47 cents a share, compared with profit in the year-earlier period of $737 million, or 44 cents. Revenue declined to $2.71 billion from $2.75 billion a year ago.

Mr. Jacobs projected that unit sales of cellphones based on its technology—known as code division multiple access—will rise 23% in 2010. The company forecast a revenue range for the fiscal year ending in September with a midpoint of $10.85 billion, up from an earlier forecast with a $10.7 billion midpoint. It projected earnings per share excluding results from the investment unit at $2.33 to $2.37 for the year, up from $2.21 to $2.32.

"The results reinforce our belief that the company will be a primary beneficiary of the shift to smartphones," said Bill Kreher, an analyst at Edward Jones.

Write to Don Clark at don.clark@wsj.com

Copyright 2009 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved

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To: slacker711 who wrote (93408)7/21/2010 7:41:41 PM
From: Jim Mullens   of 117858
 
Slacker, re: Most intriguing comment....a next generation micro-architecture is in the pipeline. I assume that it is a new custom ARM core.

Could it be moving to 28nm geometry?

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To: slacker711 who wrote (93411)7/21/2010 7:42:00 PM
From: ggamer   of 117858
 
Got it, I knew the answer but I wanted to get your opinion.

Should QCOM provide more lead time and beat expectation if they are able to produce the product sooner.

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To: planetsurf who wrote (93401)7/21/2010 8:06:23 PM
From: Jim Mullens   of 117858
 
Planetsurf, re: Paul / mid-teens growth rate

Paul said "We want to be cautious BUT ... we're looking for mid-teens growth rate over the medium term ... new device types .. new geographies."

Much appreciated comment- formally / publically stated for the record.

IMO, the most significant disclosure during the CC.

As previously posted, a Morgan Stanley report revealed that BK stated > 15% LT grow was achievable -- during a presentation to employees earlier this year in response to a question re: consensus estimates projecting same.

In order to reflect a growth stock multiple, a company must exhibit revenue / EPS growth rates at least in the mid-teens.

Now on the record, Paul must execute the plans to make it happen beginning with FY11 guidance.

>>>>>Edit- add DJ story >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>

07/21 17:55 =DJ Qualcomm CEO Sees Return To Mid-Teen Revenue Growth Rate

By Roger Cheng
Of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES

NEW YORK (Dow Jones)--Qualcomm Inc. (QCOM) Chief Executive Paul Jacobs said he expects the company to return to its long-term revenue growth rate in the mid- teen range.

Jacobs told analysts he was confident in the growth rate, which he expects will be driven by a higher percentage of sales of smartphones and their more expensive chips. He also believes the move to next-generation networks in key markets such as China and India will drive results.

"This business is extremely well positioned to capture the industry trends," Jacobs said.

Chief Financial Officer Bill Keitel said the company is already benefiting from the move to "richer devices" with more capabilities. The phones require a more advanced processor, as well as wireless chip, which benefits Qualcomm.

Steve Mollenkopf, president of Qualcomm's CDMA Technologies unit, said there haven't been any shortages of its Snapdragon microprocessor. Two of the phones that use the chip, the Droid Incredible and EVO 4G, have suffered from shortages, with analysts pointing to the screen as the major bottleneck.
Qualcomm is working on improving the speed of the chip, including testing a dual-core chip and a 1.5 gigahertz processor, above the current 1 gigahertz processor.

"We feel we have a leadership position," Mollenkopf said.
He added there remains a premium applied to the chips because the phones tend to be high profile. But Mollenkopf said the company would lower the price as needed.

On Qualcomm's mobile-television business, Jacobs said the company is exploring alternatives for its FLO TV operations and is in talks with partners over its ultimate fate. The company had been investing on FLO TV as a potential new business.

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To: ggamer who wrote (93417)7/21/2010 8:23:33 PM
From: Rich Bloem2 Recommendations   of 117858
 
Gamer,there is a lot more involved than Qualcomm producing a product. Once that product is sampled then the OEM's take a few months to decided to develop a device around it. Once that decision is done, then the actual OEM design process starts and that can take another 6 months. Once the OEM device is done then it has to undergo various testing by potential customers. Once the testing is done, a customer (carrier) releases an order which then allows the OEM to start production. Another 3 months goes by while the OEM fills up the pipeline and ships products to the carriers. Then the carriers start advertising and guess what?? You might sell some some day.

Slacker is right, there is no comparison between Apple and Qualcomm. For Qualcomm not to announce their roadmap plan would be suicide.

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