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From: JohnG7/24/2008 9:10:53 AM
   of 117521
 
Discussed "Defensive Value of Patents Nok assigned to QCOM"

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To: JohnG who wrote (79038)7/24/2008 9:13:52 AM
From: slacker711   of 117521
 

Discussed "Defensive Value of Patents Nok assigned to QCOM"

I immediately thought of GPRS/EDGE patents against Broadcom!

Slacker

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To: slacker711 who wrote (79036)7/24/2008 9:13:55 AM
From: Randall Knight1 Recommendation   of 117521
 
A Broadcom settlement would likely decrease legal fees by another $150 million or so. Hopefully, they can get this done.

I suspect we'll see a BRCM license much sooner rather than later. BRCM is the big loser here. As it stands, BRCM is on the outside looking in. Having said that, the impact of a BRCM license/settlement would be more psychology for the market rather than financial. BRCM is an annoying gnat.

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From: Humble7/24/2008 9:21:03 AM
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NOK: up 95c in pre-market. Q up 9.42. Markets tell the weighting difference in this win-win deal. Q should touch $60 today...

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From: JGoren7/24/2008 9:24:22 AM
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Analyst Reports

Goldman Sachs, 2.49 2009 estimate; maintains $56 price target and on conviction buy list

Lehman Bros, major milestone, raising target from %56 to $63, est 2009 $2.38; expects deal to put major pressure on TXN and Broadcom--OUtperform

Merrill Lynch: seems to assume higher royalty rate than there may be, 2009 estimate 2.66 but only has 55 price target at 19PE; As part of the agreement, Nokia will have rights to use Qualcomm’s technology including Mediaflo and OFDM (a key component for LTE), for 15 years.

[I wonder if NOK will now support MediaFlo in Europe?]


JP MORGAN: "The War Is Over! Judge Leo Strine for President!"
believes the new effective royalty rate is roughly 2% given the Nokia commentary that the rate was “beneficial” to it and therefore less than it had been accruing, less than a cumulative rate of 3% across all patent holders Nokia had been paying. (Got that? That’s 4 degrees of reduction from 3% . . . .)

• FY'09 EPS estimate ex. stock comp of $2.45 should increase substantially as we calculate Nokia royalties could add roughly $0.25 to ’09 earnings at a 2% royalty rate although this could be netted down lower if QCOM is required to offer similar terms to other licensees.

Adding in another $0.10 of legal savings could add $0.35 to our ’09 est.

• We believe the inclusion of 4G technologies is a win for QCOM as Nokia’s recognition of QCOM’s 4G IPR could allow QCOM to pursue 4G royalties from other handset and equipment vendors.
• No chipset deal for now. The new royalty agreement does not include a chip supply agreement but could pave the way for one down the road.

UBS: 12 month price target raised from 54 to $63

Citigroup: added Qcom to Top Picks Live and removed TXN; price target $61; "While not explicitly stated, we think this sets the stage for Nokia to source Qualcomm for chipsets. We estimate such a relationship could add $680M-$690M in revenues, translating to $0.09 in EPS. Noting that it takes significant time to design, qualify, and design-in such chips, we view this as a 2010+ benefit of the relationship. While distant, we expect this to create some overhang to Nokia 3G incumbents Texas Instruments and ST Micro.

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From: qbull7/24/2008 9:29:30 AM
2 Recommendations   of 117521
 
09:20 QCOM Qualcomm: Conference Call Summary (44.82 ) -Update-

During the call, mgmt states that for FY08, the new Nokia (NOK) agreement will add $0.07-$0.13/share in earnings, which includes a portion of a "substantial" up front payment, which will be amortized back to when NOK stopped making payments. For FY09, QCOM estimates that the new agreement will contribute $0.20-$0.28/share. The agreement is for 15 years and includes all patents for mobile devices and includes an agreement in which NOK cannot assert patent litigation against QCOM. QCOM comments that this will open up new possibilities for the co's to work together, and could increase competitive pressures for other companies in the industry. QCOM does not believe this agreement will affect any other outstanding licensing agreements. In terms of the mobile device market, mgmt states that worldwide demand for 3G continues to be strong with an estimated 670 mln subscribers. The company states that trends continue to support a 43% replacement rate for CDMA phones. ASPs increased 7.5% due to a product mix towards higher end devices. Inventory levels are towards the high end, at 15-20 weeks, but company believes this will decrease in the coming qtr. Regarding the Chinese market, QCOM says it is looking forward to 3G licensing there, but remains cautious for when this wil occur and is excluding growth in China in its guidance. However, QCOM views China as a growth opportunity and expects to ramp shipments there when licensing becomes possible there.

briefing.com

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To: Humble who wrote (79041)7/24/2008 9:50:13 AM
From: goingbroke1 Recommendation   of 117521
 
Keep dreamin!

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To: slacker711 who wrote (79039)7/24/2008 9:58:48 AM
From: slacker711   of 117521
 
China Telecom Applies for 800MHz Frequency

tradingmarkets.com 

Thursday, July 24, 2008; Posted: 06:43 AM
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SHENZHEN, Jul 24, 2008 (SinoCast via COMTEX) -- CHU | Quote | Chart | News | PowerRating -- After China Telecom took over the CDMA network from China Unicom, Wei Leping, chief engineer of China Telecom, hoped the telecom carrier can get access to 800MHz frequency.

Some reports say that China Telecom has applied to the Ministry of Industry and Information for usage of 800MHz CDMA network frequency.

Most CDMA cell phones has merely single mode of 800MHz, if China Telecom cannot get access to 800MHz, the single-mode CDMA cell phones will not be available for use.

An analyst close to China Telecom says that China Telecom will be sure to get 800MHz frequency because related authorities will not let that situation happen.

As per international roaming, CMDA networks of foreign telecom carriers are running at 800MHz frequency, so it will be fair and reasonable for China Telecom to use it too. China Unicom will officially deliver the CDMA network to China Telecom from September 30.

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From: DanD7/24/2008 10:09:57 AM
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Nokia Eyes American Advantage After Qualcomm Deal
Lionel Laurent, 07.24.08, 9:00 AM ET

forbes.com 

LONDON -

Finnish handset-maker Nokia and American chip manufacturer Qualcomm have made the surprise decision to kiss and make up, throwing their court cases out of the window in favor of a new agreement over royalties. With Nokia struggling to dominate the American cellphone market, this could be just the shot in the arm that the Finnish company needs.

"The agreement will help to overcome some of the issues Nokia has got in North America, where they've struggled to make headway," said Ben Wood, analyst with research firm CCS Insight. He told Forbes.com that the settlement with Qualcomm could lead to better relationships and negotiations with American network operators, such as Sprint Nextel and Verizon.

Shares in Nokia gained 1.7%, to 17.24 euros ($27.03), during morning trading in Helsinki on Thursday. Qualcomm shares, meanwhile, soared 18.7%, in pre-market trading in New York, a sign that the stakes were high for the company given Nokia's dominant position in the global handset market.

Nokia said Thursday that it had hammered out a new, 15-year agreement with Qualcomm, covering various technologies including third-generation (3G) wireless standards and--significantly--"future generation technologies." This means that as the mobile industry approaches faster data transmission speeds, there is a chance this agreement will help keep divergence in standards to a minimum.

The financial details of the agreement were not disclosed, but Nokia said it would include an up-front payment and ongoing royalties payable to Qualcomm. However, the Finnish handset-maker said that payments per phone would fall, a piece of news that might spur rivals like Motorola or Samsung to re-negotiate their own royalty agreements.

Spokespeople for Qualcomm and Nokia were unavailable for comment on Thursday. The litigation war had seen rulings in favor of Nokia begin to mount up, as judges ruled that Qualcomm's patents had not been infringed.

Although the new agreement has ended all outstanding cases between the two companies, there was no mention of how an ongoing European Commission complaint against Qualcomm would turn out. In 2005, six companies including Nokia, Broadcom, Ericsson and Texas Instruments claimed that Qualcomm was behaving in an anti-competitive way when licensing mobile patents. (See "Qualcomm Licked In Legal Battle")

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To: JGoren who wrote (79000)7/24/2008 10:11:11 AM
From: Dash of Reality3 Recommendations   of 117521
 
"We are happy to have a rate structure that will not slow down growth and innovation in the industry,” said Nokia Chief Financial Officer Rick Simonson. “We're not going to disclose the rate structure, but I will say 'mission accomplished.' ”

Simonson said the legal combat since the license deal between the companies expired in April 2007 paid off for Nokia.

“We got a deal that was financially beneficial to Nokia,” he said. “It was worth it.”


If you have to tell people, "it was worth" and "mission accomplished" to justify your actions, then chances are, it wasn't worth it.

DoR

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