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To: slacker711 who wrote (111570)4/29/2012 7:37:50 PM
From: FUBHO5 Recommendations   of 117477
 
Try to look at this way. Once Windows 8 starts shipping, that is a built in market of 365 million units a year from PCs/laptops that can run Metro. Then you add the tablets and phones using Metro. That is too big to ignore for any software developer.

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To: FUBHO who wrote (111571)4/29/2012 8:32:59 PM
From: slacker711   of 117477
 
Try to look at this way. Once Windows 8 starts shipping, that is a built in market of 365 million units a year from PCs/laptops that can run Metro. Then you add the tablets and phones using Metro. That is too big to ignore for any software developer.

Ok, if I had to bet this is the way that I would go, but I dont think it is a slam dunk. Handsets are locked down so the app stores are the only easy way to download an app. PC's are a very different story.

Hmmm, I decided to look up the Mac store numbers. It seems that the Mac store now has around 10,000 apps and had 100 million downloads in the 1st year. The download number looks pretty good. I wonder whether there are any stories of developers successfully monetizing those downloads.

news.cnet.com 


Slacker

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From: mindy19684/29/2012 9:11:32 PM
   of 117477
 
Smartphones, Apple And Windows 8 Should Boost Qualcomm Stock

seekingalpha.com 

April 29, 2012 | 5 commentsby: Varun Bahl | about: QCOM Qualcomm (QCOM) released earnings last week (see transcript) and while the market focused on their downward EPS revision for next quarter, it ignored the upward earnings revision for the year, which I believe is the number to focus on. My thesis on QCOM has me believing that there is at least a 30% upside in QCOM over the next year.

Company Overview: QCOM designs, manufactures products and provides services based on CDMA (3G) and OFDMA (4G) technologies. In layman terms, every cell phone or tablet that connects to a 3G or 4G network adds to QCOM's revenues because it either has a modem chip manufactured by QCOM, or if the chip is manufactured by another company, the cell phone manufacturer owes QCOM a percentage of sales as royalty for using the intellectual property that QCOM has invented and patented.

Revenue Analysis: Breaking down QCOM's 2011 revenues, about 60% of its revenues are from sale of manufactured integrated circuits and system software and 36% of revenues came from licensing of intellectual property. The rest of their business contributed to a relatively insignificant 4% of revenue. Recent reports suggest that QCOM's customer base is a who's who of the cell phone manufacturing industry. 13% of QCOM's revenues come from Samsung, another 13% from HTC, 5.8% from Apple (AAPL) and the rest is spread across LG, RIM (RIMM), Nokia (NOK) and Sony Ericsson. This revenue breakup makes the point that QCOM's fortunes are tied to the growth of the smartphone and tablet market.

Growth Thesis

1) Smartphone sales seeing aggressive global growth: According to a recent industry report, annual smart phone sales are expected to more than double by 2015 (go from 470 million units in 2011 to 1,048 million in 2015). Given that all smartphones are at least 3G enabled if not 4G as well, QCOM will directly see this growth add to its top line number.

2) Apple growth adds to QCOM's top line: We have seen AAPL's stock go parabolic on solid sales numbers for the iPhone 4S and the iPad. A lesser known part of this story is that AAPL used to use Infineon (IFNNY.PK) chips in its iPhones and iPads up until last year and in October of 2011 for the first time decided to use QCOM chips in its iPhone 4S. It then reaffirmed its faith in QCOM by using QCOM chips in the new iPad in March 2012. Hence, QCOM went from buying no chips from QCOM to becoming responsible for 5.8% of QCOM's revenues in less than a year. I expect the AAPL growth story to be a huge positive for QCOM and fully expect AAPL to become a much greater contributor to QCOM's revenues.

3) Windows 8 based laptops and tablets almost double QCOM's addressable market: If 2011 saw 470 million smartphones being sold, it also saw 415 million PCs sold. Of those, tablets, netbooks and notebooks made up 302 million. Windows 8 is expected to come out by the 2012 holiday season, is a tablet focused OS, and has had smoking reviews. Hence, I fully expect a large number of Windows 8 laptops, netbooks and tablets to contain a 3G/4G modem (much like the iPad). Additionally, for the first time ever, Windows will be able to run on ARM based processors as well, which means QCOM will be able to provide the main processor for these tablets, replacing Intel or AMD based processors. In fact Samsung, Microsoft (MSFT) and Qualcomm have already partnered to build Windows 8 based tablet prototypes and showcased them at the 2011 Microsoft Build Conference. Hence, I expect Windows 8 to be a big positive for QCOM's revenues.

While the above three are my main thesis points, I think it is worth mentioning a few other secondary points that will provide tailwinds for QCOM stock:

1) Growth in Windows Phone devices: QCOM is the only chipset supplier for Windows Phone devices at the moment. Sure the Windows Phone has not done well thus far, but Nokia is betting big on Windows based Lumia phones and any uptick in the Windows Phone market share will help QCOM.

2) Stock Buyback and dividend increase: QCOM announced a stock buyback on March 6th worth $4 billion to replace its previous $3 Billion buyback program, of which only $948 million of repurchase authority remained. This reaffirms QCOM management's belief that its stock is cheap. QCOM also hiked its quarterly dividend by 16%.

3) Historical performance and sell side consensus: QCOM has beat consensus EPS estimates for the past 8 quarters. Also sell side consensus target price is $72.32, which is a 13% upside from Friday's close of $63.91.

Risks: Sure enough no investment comes without risks. QCOM runs the risk of suffering from lower royalties if cell phone prices collapse, given its royalties is based on percentage of sale price. QCOM also has significant FX risk because most of its clients are Asian companies based in Taiwan, Korea, China and Japan. It is also exposed to macro-economic risks. Another global recession could dry up the global demand for more expensive smartphones.

Disclosure: I am long QCOM, AAPL, MSFT.

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To: slacker711 who wrote (111572)4/29/2012 9:56:23 PM
From: BDAZZ   of 117477
 
>>It seems that the Mac store now has around 10,000 apps and had 100 million downloads in the 1st year. The download number looks pretty good. I wonder whether there are any stories of developers successfully monetizing those downloads.<<

Wow! And at .99 cents per app the consumer is not too picky about gambling on apps they might want. Apple is supposed to be pretty strict about reviewing submitted apps to prevent any trash. So if someone can hit just one percent of this market that would be a million downloads, developer keeps maybe 70%? That's $700,000.. In just one year.

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To: FUBHO who wrote (111567)4/30/2012 2:21:12 AM
From: pyslent1 Recommendation   of 117477
 
"Slacker radio comes installed..."



For that matter, don't forget that Windows Phone already comes with Zune built in! LOL.

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From: slacker7114/30/2012 7:49:13 AM
1 Recommendation   of 117477
 

MediaTek hikes smartphone chip shipment goal for 2012

digitimes.com 

MOPS, April 29; Adam Hwang, DIGITIMES [Monday 30 April 2012]
Taiwan-based IC design house MediaTek has upward adjusted its shipment goal for smartphone chips in 2012 by 50% from 50 million units originally to 75 million, company president Hsieh Ching-jiang has told an investors conference.

MediaTek shipped 10 million smartphone chips in the first quarter and expects to ship 18-20 million units in the second quarter, with the segment's proportion of total revenues to rise from 15-20% in the first quarter to 20-25% in the second, Hsieh indicated.

MediaTek expects its consolidated revenues to increase by 14-20% on quarter to NT$22.4-23.5 billion (US$759-797 million) with gross margin of 40-42% in second-quarter 2012.

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From: mindy19684/30/2012 8:06:01 AM
   of 117477
 

Worldwide Chip Sales May Grow at Faster Pace, IDC Says

By Mark Lee - Apr 30, 2012 4:58 AM ET
.
bloomberg.com 

Global semiconductor revenue is expected to rise at a faster pace this year, prompting bigger chipmakers to acquire smaller rivals to increase their market share, according to research company IDC.

Industrywide revenue may expand by between 6 percent and 7 percent this year, IDC said in a statement today. Global semiconductor sales rose 3.7 percent to $301 billion in 2011, as orders for chips used in wireless devices offset declining revenue for computing-related chips, IDC said.

Mergers and acquisitions among chipmakers will continue, after Qualcomm Inc. (QCOM) bought Atheros Communications Inc. and Texas Instruments Inc. (TXN) took over National Semiconductor Corp. last year, according to IDC. The industry consolidation may allow bigger chipmakers to offer products that are used in a wider range of applications, the researcher said.

“As large companies with strong cash balances vie for competitive positions, mergers and acquisitions will be a key theme,” IDC said. “There is a trend underway toward more integration.”

Intel Corp. (INTC), Samsung Electronics Co. (005930), Texas Instruments, Toshiba Corp. (6502) and Renesas Electronics Corp. were the world’s five biggest chipmakers last year, according to IDC.

Lower prices for computer memory chips caused revenue from personal-computer semiconductors to fall last year, according to IDC.

To contact the reporter on this story: Mark Lee in Hong Kong at wlee37@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Michael Tighe at mtighe4@bloomberg.net

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From: Bill Wolf4/30/2012 9:02:33 AM
1 Recommendation   of 117477
 
Barnes & Noble Surges After Microsoft Investment
By James Callan and David Welch - Apr 30, 2012

Barnes & Noble Inc. (BKS) surged in New York after saying that Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) will invest $300 million in a new subsidiary that combines the bookseller’s Nook digital reader and college businesses.

The shares almost doubled to $27.20 at 8:24 a.m. Barnes & Noble had declined 5.5 percent this year before today.

The investment will give Microsoft about 18 percent of the unit, which has yet to be named, New York-based Barnes & Noble said today in a statement. The bookseller will own the remainder of the business, which has a valuation of $1.7 billion.

Barnes & Noble is working to bolster its Nook unit to focus on the growing demand for digital books and compete with Apple Inc. (AAPL) and Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN), whose Kindle device is the best- selling e-reader in the U.S. The venture will develop a Nook application for Windows 8, the newest version of Microsoft’s operating system that’s scheduled for release this year, expanding Barnes & Noble’s digital bookstore to hundreds of millions of customers.

The partnership with Microsoft could give the Nook the kind of content and global expansion to make it a bigger player in the tablet business, said Michael Glickstein, chief investment officer with G Asset Management LLC, a Barnes & Noble investor who has pushed for the company to spin off units. That kind of partnership makes the Nook business more valuable, Glickstein said.
‘Beyond E-Reading’

“With the new Windows rollout, there are so many things you can do with the Nook beyond e-reading,” Glickstein, who is based in New York, said today in a telephone interview. “Now that Bill Gates and Microsoft are in on the tech side, it’s absolutely compelling.”

Barnes & Noble has also settled its patent litigation with Microsoft and the new unit will have a royalty-bearing license, according to the statement.

Barnes & Noble projects the Nook business, which was started in 2009, to generate $1.5 billion in sales in the fiscal year ending April 30, accounting for about 20 percent of its total revenue.

In the quarter that ended Jan. 28, revenue from the Nook unit rose 38 percent to $542 million, while total sales rose 2 percent at the company’s 690 retail stores. Barnes & Noble has about 30 percent of the U.S. e-book market, compared with Seattle-based Amazon’s 60 percent. Barnes & Noble posted a net loss of $70.6 million in the 12 months through January.

Liberty Investment

Barnes & Noble put itself up for sale in 2010 following pressure from investor Ron Burkle. The process ended with John Malone’s Liberty Media Corp. investing $204 million in the company in August 2011.

Last month, Barnes & Noble named former cable television executive Michael Huseby chief financial officer as part of the bookstore chain’s shift toward becoming more of a technology company.

Jana Partners LLC, a hedge fund that has pushed for companies to sell off assets, disclosed a 12 percent stake in Barnes & Noble earlier this month.

To contact the reporters on this story: James Callan in New York at jcallan2@bloomberg.net. David Welch in Detroit at dwelch12@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Robin Ajello at rajello@bloomberg.net


as reported by Dow -------------------------->>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>

Microsoft to Invest in Barnes & Noble's Nook

By GINA CHON And SHIRA OVIDE Microsoft Corp. is making a $300 million investment in Barnes & Noble Inc.'s Nook digital-book business and college-texts unit in a move that helps value the prized Nook business, the companies said.

Microsoft will have a 17.6% stake in a new subsidiary for the businesses in a transaction that values them at $1.7 billion, the companies said. That compares with Barnes & Noble's current market capitalization of about $791 million and could fuel the argument of some analysts and investors that the digital business should be separated from the retail division.

As part of the move, there will be a Nook application included in the new Windows 8, which is scheduled to have a release preview in early June. Later this year, computers and tablets with Microsoft's Windows 8 operating system are expected to go on sale.

The alliance comes after the companies openly feuded over the Nook. Microsoft last year sued Barnes & Noble and the manufacturers of the Nook, charging the device infringed on its patents. Barnes & Noble said Microsoft was trying to "bully" smaller companies that used versions of Google Inc.'s Android operating system, as Barnes & Noble does for the Nook.

As part of the Microsoft investment, the two parties have settled their patent litigation, and in the future, Barnes & Noble and the new subsidiary will have a royalty-bearing license under Microsoft's patents for the Nook, the companies said.

Barnes & Noble in January said it was exploring a spinoff of the Nook business. Monday it said it is still exploring how a separation of the new subsidiary may occur but cautioned such a move may not happen.

For the bookseller, the investment will mean access to more international markets, since Windows 8 is used across the globe. Currently, besides the Nook device, the Nook book-buying application is available only on the iPad and Android devices.

"Microsoft's investment in [the new subsidiary], and our exciting collaboration to bring world-class digital reading technologies and content to the Windows platform … will allow us to significantly expand the business," Barnes & Noble Chief Executive William Lynch said in a statement.

New York-based Barnes & Noble has had to invest heavily in the digital-books business to compete with Amazon.com Inc. and Apple Inc. Barnes & Noble in February said that for its fiscal third-quarter, its digital business reported a loss, before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization, of $93.7 million, widening from a loss of $50.5 million a year earlier.

The company attributed the wider losses to continued investment, including its aggressive holiday advertising campaign that it said helped boost Nook sales at third-party retailers including Target Corp. and Wal-Mart Stores Inc.

Still, strong growth in sales of devices and digital content meant Barnes&Noble.com's total sales rose 32% to $420 million.

The stakes are high for Microsoft, after it allowed Apple's iPad a two-year head start to snag attention and sales from consumer- and business-computer users.

The Windows 8 operating system is the most dramatic reworking of Microsoft's key franchise in at least 17 years, and it is the Redmond, Wash., company's first significant effort to grab a foothold in the fast-growing tablet-computer market.

Microsoft also is prepping a Windows 8 digital storefront for applications, which have become an increasingly important selling point for tablet computers and other mobile gadgets.

Microsoft in February released a test version of Windows 8 to the public, along with a storefront that had roughly 100 apps. By contrast, there are more than 585,000 apps available for Apple's operating system for the iPhone and iPad. The February preview of Microsoft Windows 8 app store featured Amazon's Kindle app for reading electronic books.

Microsoft has plenty of financial resources for a Barnes & Noble investment. The company had about $59.5 billion in cash, cash equivalents and short-term securities as of March 31, according to securities filings.

—Jeffrey A. Trachtenberg contributed to this article. Write to Gina Chon at gina.chon@wsj.com and Shira Ovide at shira.ovide@wsj.com





Copyright 2012 Dow Jones & Company,

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From: Bill Wolf4/30/2012 9:49:32 AM
1 Recommendation   of 117477
 
Microsoft's Nook Deal: Pushing Windows 8 Into New Realms?

Look: A Nook.

One of the intriguing possibilities suggested by Microsoft‘s announcement this morning that it plans to invest $300 million for a 17.6% stake in Barnes & Noble‘s Nook business is that the company is going to push Windows 8 into some places where previous versions of the company’s flagship OS previously failed to tread.

The announcement this morning said that there will be a version of the Nook reader software for Windows 8, but the more intriguing possibility is that future Nooks run on Windows 8 rather than Google‘s Android, which is the underlying OS on current versions of the e-book reader. Microsoft is emphasizing the touch-screen capabilities of Windows 8, and expects the software to be used on a variety of tablets. Providing an extra boost to that possibility, the company is offering a version of Windows that will run on ARM-based processors, which are commonly used for tablets, smartphones and other non-PC devices.

The deal actually ratchets up the competitive heat on two fronts: the company in not only coming after Android head on in some new markets, it’s also now coming after cross-town rival Amazon in the increasingly lucrative e-reader segment.

A fascinating deal, which certainly has the market’s attention Monday morning: the deal give the Barnes & Noble Nook business a post-money valuation of $1.7 billion; the total valuation for Barnes & Nobile as of Friday’s close was a little shy of $800 million.


forbes.com 

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To: pyslent who wrote (111575)4/30/2012 11:52:51 AM
From: FUBHO6 Recommendations   of 117477
 
I've never used Zune software, but I have to agree with the Woz that the user interface is superior to iPhone and Android...

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