Technology Stocks | Loral Space & Communications


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To: Valueman who wrote (4936)12/1/1998 12:37:00 PM
From: Mr. Adrenaline   of 10851
 
Re: "Bottom line is another dead HS601" WWWeeeellllllll, you are probably right. But they have some time to trouble shoot and possibly come up with a fix to their BCC unit. I've learned never to underestimate ingenuity when ones back is up against a wall. You can sometimes fix a lot of things with software patches, for example.

But if they can't the batteries to charge, they are in trouble.

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To: Valueman who wrote (4934)12/1/1998 1:16:00 PM
From: Bernard Levy   of 10851
 
Hi Valueman:

The Pioneer study is slightly misleading because it
uses the number of subscribers as its metric. Keep
in mind that more than half of the telecom dollars
spent in the US is spent by businesses (probably
more if one lumps datacom and telecom). Cable is unlikely
to make much of a dent in the business market. For
large office buildings, fiber will ultimately dominate.
For mid-size buildings, we are likely to see a mix of
terrestrial wireless and FTTC/VDSL usage. Satellites
have a long, long way to go in the business market.
By the time broadband data by satellites becomes
available, the business market may be well covered.

So the numbers may be right for the residential market,
but this market tells less than half of the story.

Best regards,

Bernard Levy

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To: Bernard Levy who wrote (4938)12/1/1998 1:43:00 PM
From: Bernard Levy   of 10851
 
A brief article on Cyberstar:

techweb.com 

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To: Bernard Levy who wrote (4939)12/1/1998 2:48:00 PM
From: Rocket Scientist   of 10851
 
Interesting piece, though grossly inaccurate as to using LEO satellites; hope the estimate of 500 user sites within next month is not similarly incorrect.

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To: Rocket Scientist who wrote (4940)12/1/1998 8:57:00 PM
From: Valueman   of 10851
 
wired.com 

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To: Valueman who wrote (4941)12/1/1998 11:55:00 PM
From: Joe Brown   of 10851
 
Valueman: Many thanks for posting the Wired News article. If I'm not mistaken, Globalstar needs a couple of launches before access to the high yield debt market (for the purpose of financing the shortfall created by the Zenit disaster) can become a reality. At the rate cash is being burned, and the time required to put up two launches, it would appear an alternative financing will be required; will Loral pony up the cash from its hoard, and how will that sit with Loral holders? Any comments?

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To: Joe Brown who wrote (4942)12/2/1998 12:31:00 AM
From: Valueman   of 10851
 
Jack:

As I said before, I did not want to own G* again until issues with the Soyuz launch and financing were cleared up. The stock went to 22 without these issues being addressed. Here we sit in December without any information on the next launch because our beloved State Department won't give us the go ahead. Without that, financing is an unknown. Would Loral cough up the cash? If they had to, I am sure they would. That would not go over well with shareholders regardless of the spin put on it. It would be easier to swallow if a number of the partners kicked in cash to be repaid when service started. That would show a commitment from Airtouch, Vodaphone, Alcatel, France Telecom, etc. that they were indeed interested in G*'s future. This is a moot point though if we can't launch. If the State Department drags their feet for months, we are screwed.

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To: Valueman who wrote (4943)12/2/1998 1:11:00 AM
From: Valueman   of 10851
 
Just so that the "Chinagate" dead horse gets one more proper flogging, watch 20/20 Wednesday night and see a story about US aerospace firms and the improvements they have made to the Chinese missile program.

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To: Valueman who wrote (4943)12/2/1998 9:05:00 AM
From: Don Limb   of 10851
 
V-Man....it seems like the State Dept. is playing "paybacks are H___" with Bernie. I wouldn't doubt that a bit, knowing how those folk are burnt up about the China deal. I did jump in to get more LOR and G* at their recent lows (I couldn't stand the temptation to lower my cost average). So now that the prices are up a bit with those two, what in the world has happened to VSAT?

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To: Don Limb who wrote (4945)12/2/1998 9:36:00 AM
From: Valueman   of 10851
 
Don:

The State Department may be playing politics with Schwartz, but they are also set to remove hundreds of millions from investors' pockets in the process. The financial effects of a serious delay would be massive. It puts an investor in a sticky situation. If delayed significantly, the stock crumbles---makes youwant to be short or own puts. If the government gives it the go ahead, launch goes up, stock pops--makes one want to be real long or own calls. Is a straddle thus the answer? That's the question of the day.

VSAT remains a case of benign neglect. No news, no contracts, no partnerships, no stock movement. One will follow the other.

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