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To: Yogizuna who wrote (8628)9/23/2005 3:53:23 PM
From: Don Green   of 9603
 
Festus

The problem with T/A as with art, it is really about personal interpretation or the "eye of the beholder".

Put enough lines on any T/A chart and you can predict or prove almost anything.

70-20-10
Subject 18707

Don

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To: dvdw© who wrote (8634)9/23/2005 4:29:15 PM
From: Yogizuna   of 9603
 
You knew Ed Hart? lol

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To: Don Green who wrote (8637)9/23/2005 4:35:34 PM
From: Yogizuna   of 9603
 
Festus

The problem with T/A as with art, it is really about personal interpretation or the "eye of the beholder".

I agree with that to a certain extent, but as with art, there are certain "rules" for certain types of art, so it is not completely in the "eye of the beholder", if one is well trained and has much experience "painting the canvas"...

Put enough lines on any T/A chart and you can predict or prove almost anything.

Not if one's record has been successful and they take pride in their work... TA is all about lowering the odds of failure, not about guarantees or perfection.

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To: Yogizuna who wrote (8639)9/23/2005 4:39:37 PM
From: Don Green   of 9603
 
E Wave is the best example of eye of the beholder.

Ask 20 people what an EW chart means and you will likely get 20 different answers.

The more resources you use including Fundamental the more you are lowering the odds.

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To: Don Green who wrote (8640)9/23/2005 4:46:29 PM
From: Yogizuna   of 9603
 
I agree about "E Wave", and have seen more people fail at that than you can shake a stick at since 1990...

The only time I sort of use it is if I can clearly see 5 waves up or down in rising or falling wedges. Otherwise, I have little use for it.

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To: Yogizuna who wrote (8641)9/23/2005 6:23:49 PM
From: dvdw©   of 9603
 
Yogi prefers to use terms like Overbought and Oversold....

Why not Invite him to define his terms.

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To: dvdw© who wrote (8635)9/23/2005 6:46:01 PM
From: dvdw©   of 9603
 
Month to Date Volume Performance review;
Through todays close, the total volume for the month is now 13,035,272.

Which places average volume for the month at 814,704. According to yahoo data, This number is nearly 400,000 lower than the monthly average. This makes Sept the lowest volume month of the last two years, against a huge complex of inertia 12.7 million short or 17% of the float.....my my.

The Prevailing system has locked up CREE. Near 90% of its entire free float is short, short against declining daily volume. That CREE is disconnected from its own underlayment (Supply Metrics) is a given. The program continues to accrue costs, while hoping for news which would create sellers helping them out from under their out of balance position.


Here is the monthly volume from Yahoo remember that you must multiply the Avg daily vol column times 22 for the actual total run rate for a given month.(excluding Holidays)
finance.yahoo.com 

The prevailing System has kept shareholders locked to a state of inertia. It has discounted all favorable news, while providing affiliated parties the mechanism to capture long and short gains at the expense of everyone else.

The Programs Intent continues to be Price Suppression for the purpose of Accumulation. Without Accumulation the short position ages against declining supply, increasing the risk to the program exponentially while associated costs continue to mount.Sell side hedge funds routinely hide costs from their shareholders, its easy when your clients have more money than brains.

The question we need to ask is Who is the the Prevailing System here? Whose Intent is being manifest by these data? Anyone wish to venture an opinion, because that answer would aid all investors in understanding CREE. One suggestion would be to begin monitoring institutional Interest, somehow i believe the tactics of the end game will surface from the relationships between this complex and its relationship to a broker dealer fading its own customers. Funny that the markets taken this as a license, I've never seen them advertise this or disclose it in their advertising....hmmm

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To: dvdw© who wrote (8642)9/24/2005 12:11:57 AM
From: Yogizuna   of 9603
 
So you would prefer I use moderately high, high, and higher?
How about moderately low, low, and lower...
No difference.

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From: dvdw©9/24/2005 8:46:56 AM
   of 9603
 
Yogi, I would prefer you use terms that actually means something as it relates to the Charts your posting. What part of any chart you ever posted on CREE recognizes a conditional state of Supply?

Overbought is a word connected to Supply. Oversold is a word connected to Supply....yet there is nothing in any chart that relates to the Supply balance or imbalance which would allow any chartists to use these words contextually.

I've asked you a number of times to define these terms and you've always evaded an answer.

I truthfully dont need your definition because I already know, that as it relates to charts and moving averages, these words mean nothing, they have no predictive value or relation to your marks on paper work........unless you are willing to admit, that You have knowledge of a Systems application of an algorithm that is working an issue, for the purpose of managing a price range, creating a zone of safety for those who might also be aware of said algorithm, the words are but manifestations of the adaptation rule of systems in action, co-opted to provide plausible deny ability for its own actions.

As the above case is true, than you have my permission to use my definition for the markets action; which is;
Price is an artifact of prevailing systems Intent. Some system or systems is wholly responsible from stealing the market cap of CREE and assigning its potential to Latency.

Once a stock, like Cree, is disconnected from its Supply demand underlayment, Systems do control the price, because the prevailing intent of any systems actions are directly tied to the systems self preservation.

Inertia is the aging of this position, and predictive of an impending trend state change, dictated by the latent anergy so far applied.

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From: dvdw©9/24/2005 9:02:47 AM
   of 9603
 
Here are two sets of numbers the top series is the Short Interest of the previous 90 days it is the Only component driving the bottom series; the action is correlated to near 100% accuracy. Which fully makes the case that Price is an artifact of prevailing systems intent. Any chart is but an afterthought or report of this data.


Open Short Interest previous 90 days.

Aug. 15, 2005 12,715,754 1,965,206 6.47
Jul. 15, 2005 12,342,049 1,157,987 10.66
Jun. 15, 2005 13,112,416 1,927,628 6.80






PRICES

Date Open High Low Close Volume Adj Close*
23-Sep-05 23.89 24.50 23.81 24.24 864,700 24.24
22-Sep-05 23.52 24.09 23.32 23.86 705,800 23.86
21-Sep-05 24.05 24.09 23.51 23.57 1,230,300 23.57
20-Sep-05 24.17 24.57 24.05 24.08 959,300 24.08
19-Sep-05 25.04 25.15 24.10 24.20 1,055,700 24.20
16-Sep-05 24.90 24.98 24.63 24.84 1,075,200 24.84
15-Sep-05 24.99 25.45 24.84 24.85 1,979,100 24.85
14-Sep-05 25.53 25.53 24.90 25.00 983,100 25.00
13-Sep-05 25.25 25.45 25.11 25.14 744,400 25.14
12-Sep-05 25.31 25.53 25.22 25.41 746,700 25.41
9-Sep-05 25.85 26.17 25.20 25.31 1,050,000 25.31
8-Sep-05 25.65 26.09 25.49 25.83 679,500 25.83
7-Sep-05 25.65 25.73 25.46 25.57 754,800 25.57
6-Sep-05 25.52 25.85 25.50 25.65 577,500 25.65
2-Sep-05 25.50 25.98 25.48 25.58 807,100 25.58
1-Sep-05 25.75 25.98 25.42 25.47 805,200 25.47
31-Aug-05 25.14 25.74 24.98 25.64 1,398,000 25.64
30-Aug-05 25.11 25.23 24.79 25.01 1,168,100 25.01
29-Aug-05 24.89 25.34 24.77 25.20 787,800 25.20
26-Aug-05 25.25 25.39 24.80 24.96 1,446,300 24.96
25-Aug-05 24.72 25.25 24.72 25.25 1,268,200 25.25
24-Aug-05 24.47 24.87 24.20 24.60 1,291,400 24.60
23-Aug-05 24.60 24.74 24.35 24.38 1,128,000 24.38
22-Aug-05 24.70 24.80 24.26 24.54 1,046,100 24.54
19-Aug-05 24.92 24.99 24.38 24.46 1,526,300 24.46
18-Aug-05 24.15 25.00 23.95 24.92 2,052,600 24.92
17-Aug-05 24.16 24.23 23.90 24.12 1,042,600 24.12
16-Aug-05 24.10 24.20 23.78 24.09 1,164,800 24.09
15-Aug-05 23.84 24.48 23.63 24.14 2,916,200 24.14
12-Aug-05 25.59 25.60 23.54 23.70 9,745,800 23.70
11-Aug-05 26.90 27.34 26.77 27.34 1,906,700 27.34
10-Aug-05 27.35 27.55 26.76 26.89 945,700 26.89
9-Aug-05 27.52 27.80 27.16 27.26 1,258,100 27.26
8-Aug-05 28.76 28.86 27.18 27.19 1,874,700 27.19
5-Aug-05 28.30 29.03 28.08 28.44 1,479,600 28.44
4-Aug-05 28.58 28.76 28.08 28.24 1,444,200 28.24
3-Aug-05 29.64 29.70 28.96 29.08 1,979,200 29.08
2-Aug-05 30.02 30.25 29.35 29.79 2,447,900 29.79
1-Aug-05 29.73 30.98 29.50 30.56 1,945,000 30.56
29-Jul-05 29.33 29.80 29.01 29.65 869,000 29.65
28-Jul-05 29.79 29.80 29.24 29.51 1,092,000 29.51
27-Jul-05 29.35 29.82 28.91 29.56 1,912,300 29.56
26-Jul-05 28.23 29.51 28.10 29.22 2,848,900 29.22
25-Jul-05 27.45 28.00 27.31 27.75 1,519,400 27.75
22-Jul-05 27.16 27.70 27.12 27.38 613,800 27.38
21-Jul-05 27.50 27.55 27.01 27.15 778,300 27.15
20-Jul-05 27.12 27.70 26.76 27.49 1,175,800 27.49
19-Jul-05 27.21 27.75 26.98 27.57 1,101,300 27.57
18-Jul-05 27.23 27.25 26.99 27.13 688,500 27.13
15-Jul-05 26.82 27.10 26.64 27.05 731,000 27.05
14-Jul-05 27.24 27.50 26.59 26.85 1,328,300 26.85
13-Jul-05 27.22 27.45 26.86 27.13 840,800 27.13
12-Jul-05 26.97 27.46 26.81 27.26 1,024,800 27.26
11-Jul-05 26.98 27.24 26.71 27.01 1,060,700 27.01
8-Jul-05 25.70 27.00 25.65 26.88 1,368,100 26.88
7-Jul-05 25.61 25.99 25.50 25.56 982,200 25.56
6-Jul-05 25.65 26.09 25.60 26.00 945,400 26.00
5-Jul-05 25.31 25.85 25.19 25.65 842,800 25.65
1-Jul-05 25.65 25.65 24.96 25.31 904,600 25.31
30-Jun-05 25.45 25.75 25.27 25.47 1,295,000 25.47
29-Jun-05 26.95 26.97 25.11 25.49 2,945,700 25.49
28-Jun-05 25.93 26.23 25.85 26.10 1,010,100 26.10
27-Jun-05 26.53 26.63 25.78 25.82 981,100 25.82
24-Jun-05 27.42 27.45 26.51 26.57 942,400 26.57
23-Jun-05 26.92 28.07 26.92 27.32 1,197,000 27.32
22-Jun-05 27.33 27.70 26.82 26.89 1,022,100 26.89
* Close price adjusted for dividends and splits.

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