Biotech / Medical | Biotech Valuation


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To: Biomaven who wrote (38114)4/14/2012 10:28:45 PM
From: ariadough   of 40233
 
Key Highlights from travels with management include:
l Tivozanib has a best-in-class profile, may reach market in mid-2013. Positive Phase III data in front-line renal cell carcinoma (RCC)
sets up regulatory filings in the United States and Europe in the back half of 2012. Moreover, we believe that the combination of target
half-life, selectivity, potency, as well as efficacy and tolerability demonstrated to date with tivozanib look compelling relative to
currently approved drugs in the class.
l Ficlatuzumab Phase II trial results and additional pipeline visibility expected. Beyond ASCO, which should provide insight into
details of the Phase III trial of tivozanib and other drugs in the class, we expect Phase II results from ficlatuzumab in non-small cell lung
cancer, as well as initiation of a large combination study of tivozanib in breast cancer and initiation of a Phase I trial of AV-201 in
patients with solid tumors.
AVEO ended the year with $275 million in cash and is expected to end 2012 with $120 million. We believe current share prices offer investors
an attractive entry point to own a well-run company with a positive commercial outlook and underlying drug discovery platform.

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To: ariadough who wrote (38118)4/15/2012 12:19:47 PM
From: Miljenko Zuanic   of 40233
 
An interesting play for ASCO and beyond.

Was there any OS benefit in RCC (regardless of cross over)? Any prediction for biomarker trial outcome?

PS: By no means, at 1.5 mg ...it is the most potent (and broad) VEGF inhibitor. I am cautious that there is no off-target toxicity???

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From: Arthur Radley4/15/2012 2:20:42 PM
   of 40233
 
ft.com 

Samsung could be changing the entire playing field for future drugs. Will be interesting to see what other drug companies joins their effort.

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To: Arthur Radley who wrote (38120)4/15/2012 3:09:11 PM
From: Robert C. Jonson   of 40233
 
Will be interesting to see what other drug companies joins their effort.

With everyone going generic/biosimilar, who will be left to develop new drugs?

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To: Miljenko Zuanic who wrote (38119)4/15/2012 6:13:05 PM
From: ariadough   of 40233
 
miljenko i really never have followed aveo at all. i was just looking at few others biotechs this weekend that are at 52 week lows are that have really corrected. aveo popped up. does look interesting as longterm play. but the rcc space is pretty crowed but they do seem to have best in class. hopeing biomaven may way in.


dough

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To: Robert C. Jonson who wrote (38121)4/15/2012 8:20:35 PM
From: Arthur Radley   of 40233
 
In our recent discussion about (DNDN) you mentioned something that I've thought about several times in the interim. You mentioned that when a patient underwent the process of extracting the patient's blood cells there would be normal degradation during the storing process. Okay for those that were actually getting the complete process for reinfusion, but what about the trial patients that were in the placebo group? Was (DNDN) being ethical with those in the trial program? If a man suffering from prostate cancer and samples were being taken, placed only in cold storage...thus having some degradation before being infused---wouldn't this enhance the potential for his disease growing and distorting the full trial results? Surely I'm missing something in this equation! Who in their right mind would volunteer with the chance of being only a placebo patient?

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To: Arthur Radley who wrote (38120)4/16/2012 1:57:24 AM
From: tuck   of 40233
 
Fluff. If they do that with FOBs that are interchangeable with the branded versions, they're onto something, but this feature is not mentioned in the article and is conspicuous by its absence. They're a player, sure, along with all the generic companies with such initiatives. Only Momenta/Baxter have made noise about going for interchangeability.

Cheers, Tuck

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To: tuck who wrote (38124)4/16/2012 11:00:25 AM
From: DewDiligence_on_SI   of 40233
 
(Samsung FoB's)—Your post is consistent with what I posted on iHub. Talk is cheap!

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From: Arthur Radley4/16/2012 7:09:32 PM
   of 40233
 
bloomberg.com 

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To: Miljenko Zuanic who wrote (38119)4/16/2012 7:41:12 PM
From: Biomaven   of 40233
 
>Aveo

>Was there any OS benefit in RCC?

Not yet disclosed.

> I am cautious that there is no off-target toxicity?

Seems to be a very targeted molecule. Hypertension is a class-effect and is quite predictive of efficacy.

Other side effects were markedly lower than any others in the class.

Seems cheap to me for the long term. Mostly the skepticism surrounds why Nexavar did so well, suggesting that these were "easy" patients somehow. The company says Nexavar results are not inconsistent with other trials. They also suggested at one point that there was some effect from the trial rules - patients couldn't cross over from Nexavar until there had been a centrally confirmed progression.

Peter

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