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From: Glenn Petersen9/20/2017 6:11:23 AM
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Meanwhile, billionaire Son of SoftBank, a multinational telecommunications and Internet firm based in Japan, predicts superintelligent robots will surpass humans in both number and brain power by 2047.

Can Futurists Predict the Year of the Singularity?

By Peter Rejcek
Singularity Hub
Mar 31, 2017



The end of the world as we know it is near. And that’s a good thing, according to many of the futurists who are predicting the imminent arrival of what’s been called the technological singularity.

The technological singularity is the idea that technological progress, particularly in artificial intelligence, will reach a tipping point to where machines are exponentially smarter than humans. It has been a hot topic of late.

Well-known futurist and Google engineer Ray Kurzweil (co-founder and chancellor of Singularity University) reiterated his bold prediction at Austin’s South by Southwest (SXSW) festival this month that machines will match human intelligence by 2029 (and has said previously the Singularity itself will occur by 2045). That’s two years before SoftBank CEO Masayoshi Son’s prediction of 2047, made at the Mobile World Congress (MWC) earlier this year.

Author of the seminal book on the topic, The Singularity Is Near, Kurzweil said during the SXSW festival that “what’s actually happening is [machines] are powering all of us. …They’re making us smarter. They may not yet be inside our bodies, but by the 2030s, we will connect our neocortex, the part of our brain where we do our thinking, to the cloud.”

That merger of man and machine—sometimes referred to as transhumanism—is the same concept that Tesla and SpaceX CEO Elon Musk talks about when discussing development of a neural lace. For Musk, however, an interface between the human brain and computers is vital to keep our species from becoming obsolete when the singularity hits.

Musk is also the driving force behind Open AI, a billion-dollar nonprofit dedicated to ensuring the development of artificial general intelligence (AGI) is beneficial to humanity. AGI is another term for human-level intelligence. What most people refer to as AI today is weak or narrow artificial intelligence—a machine capable of “thinking” within a very narrow range of concepts or tasks.

Futurist Ben Goertzel, who among his many roles is chief scientist at financial prediction firm Aidyia Holdings and robotics company Hanson Robotics (and advisor to Singularity University), believes AGI is possible well within Kurzweil’s timeframe. The singularity is harder to predict, he says on his personal website, estimating the date anywhere between 2020 and 2100.

“Note that we might achieve human-level AGI, radical health-span extension and other cool stuff well before a singularity—especially if we choose to throttle AGI development rate for a while in order to increase the odds of a beneficial singularity,” he writes.

Meanwhile, billionaire Son of SoftBank, a multinational telecommunications and Internet firm based in Japan, predicts superintelligent robots will surpass humans in both number and brain power by 2047.

He is putting a lot of money toward making it happen. The investment arm of SoftBank, for instance, recently bankrolled $100 million in a startup called CloudMinds for cloud-connected robots, transplanting the “brain” from the machine to the cloud. Son is also creating the world’s biggest tech venture capitalist fund to the tune of $100 billion.

“I truly believe it’s coming, that’s why I’m in a hurry—to aggregate the cash, to invest,” he was quoted as saying at the MWC.

History of prediction

Kurzweil, Son, Goertzel and others are just the latest generation of futurists who have observed that humanity is accelerating toward a new paradigm of existence, largely due to technological innovation.

There were some hints that philosophers as early as the 19th century, during the upheavals of the Industrial Revolution, recognized that the human race was a species fast-tracked for a different sort of reality. It wasn’t until the 1950s, however, when the modern-day understanding of the singularity first took form.

Mathematician John von Neumann had noted that “the ever-accelerating progress of technology … gives the appearance of approaching some essential singularity in the history of the race beyond which human affairs, as we know them, could not continue.”

In the 1960s, following his work with Alan Turing to decrypt Nazi communications, British mathematician I.J. Goode invoked the singularity without naming it as such.

He wrote, “Let an ultra-intelligent machine be defined as a machine that can far surpass all the intellectual activities of any man however clever. Since the design of machines is one of these intellectual activities, an ultra-intelligent machine could design even better machines; there would then unquestionably be an ‘intelligence explosion,’ and the intelligence of man would be left far behind.”

Science fiction writer and retired mathematics and computer science professor Vernor Vinge is usually credited with coining the term “technological singularity.” His 1993 essay, The Coming Technological Singularity: How to Survive in the Post-Human Era predicted the moment of technological transcendence would come within 30 years.

Vinge explains in his essay why he thinks the term “singularity”—in cosmology, the event where space-time collapses and a black hole forms—is apt: “It is a point where our models must be discarded and a new reality rules. As we move closer and closer to this point, it will loom vaster and vaster over human affairs till the notion becomes commonplace. Yet when it finally happens it may still be a great surprise and a greater unknown.”

Prediction an inexact scienceBut is predicting the singularity even possible?

A paper by Stuart Armstrong et al suggests such predictions are a best guess at most. A database compiled by the Machine Intelligence Research Institute (MIRI), a nonprofit dedicated to social issues related to AGI, found 257 AI predictions from the period 1950-2012 in the scientific literature. Of these, 95 contained predictions giving timelines for AI development.

“The AI predictions in the database seem little better than random guesses,” the authors write. For example, the researchers found that “there is no evidence that expert predictions differ from those of non-experts.” They also observed a strong pattern that showed most AI prognostications fell within a certain “sweet spot”—15 to 25 years from the moment of prediction.

Others have cast doubt that the singularity is achievable in the time frames put forth by Kurzweil and Son.

Paul Allen, co-founder of Microsoft and Institute of Artificial Intelligence, among other ventures, has written that such a technological leap forward is still far in the future.

“[I]f the singularity is to arrive by 2045, it will take unforeseeable and fundamentally unpredictable breakthroughs, and not because the Law of Accelerating Returns made it the inevitable result of a specific exponential rate of progress,” he writes, referring to the concept that past rates of progress can predict future rates as well.

Extinction or transcendence?

Futurist Nikola Danaylov, who manages the Singularity Weblog, says he believes a better question to ask is whether achieving the singularity is a good thing or a bad thing.

“Is that going to help us grow extinct like the dinosaurs or is it going to help us spread through the universe like Carl Sagan dreamed of?” he tells Singularity Hub. “Right now, it’s very unclear to me personally.”

Danaylov argues that the singularity orthodoxy of today largely ignores the societal upheavals already under way. The idea that “technology will save us” will not lift people out of poverty or extend human life if technological breakthroughs only benefit those with money, he says.

“I’m not convinced [the singularity is] going to happen in the way we think it’s going to happen,” he says. “I’m sure we’re missing the major implications, the major considerations.

“We have tremendous potential to make it a good thing,” he adds.

singularityhub.com

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From: Glenn Petersen9/22/2017 6:15:33 AM
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SoftBank’s $93 billion Vision Fund is the biggest of all time — and it’s not even close

Its size could also be a liability.

by Rani Molla @ranimolla
Recode
Sep 21, 2017, 2:00pm EDT




Photo by Kiyoshi Ota/Getty Images
___________________________________

SoftBank’s Vision Fund is a beast like no other. Backed by sovereign wealth funds and tech behemoths alike, it’s not just the largest tech fund ever — it’s the largest corporate venture capital fund ever, according to data from FactSet. It towers over what were formerly the biggest of these funds, raised by such names as Goldman Sachs and Blackstone.

And even more terrifying to Silicon Valley venture capital firms, SoftBank’s fund is focused on tech startups. Typical funds from Sand Hill firms barely register on the same scale as SoftBank’s $93 billion Vision Fund — VC funds usually top out in the millions or at most one-digit billions.

Here’s how it compares in size to the biggest funds historically, as well as to some major tech funds:



The size of SoftBank's fund has both intimidated and befuddled competing investors, who expect that the giant will have to cut massive, rapid deals in order to put the cash to work effectively, according to sources. Some worry that the pool will further inflate already overly high valuations of private tech companies. But other shareholders see it as an opportunity to sell their stakes earlier in companies that are taking longer and longer to deliver real cash.

But perhaps the relatively smaller size of Sand Hill’s venture capital funds is a blessing. SoftBank will have to allocate approximately $20 billion a year to dispense with its intended $100 billion fund in its five-year time frame. Smaller firms will likely have to be choosier about their investments.

For example, Benchmark’s fund that invested in Uber in 2011, when the company was worth only $60 million, raised $425 million for its entire fund — an amount smaller than single deals by SoftBank. Uber is now worth more than 1,000 times what it was during its series A funding. Funding later-stage investments or buyouts like SoftBank is doing is much more expensive, but won’t likely yield returns like that.

Theodore Schleifer contributed reporting.

recode.net

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From: Glenn Petersen9/22/2017 8:16:32 PM
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This would be a huge deal for Softbank. Its 80% interest in Sprint is currently worth $27.2 billion, equal to 30.6% of Softbank's $88.9 billion market cap.

Exclusive: T-Mobile, Sprint close to agreeing on deal terms - sources

Reuters
September 22, 2017 / 6:23 AM

(Reuters) - T-Mobile US Inc ( TMUS.O) is close to agreeing tentative terms on a deal to merge with Sprint Corp ( S.N), people familiar with the matter said on Friday, a major breakthrough in efforts to merge the third and fourth largest U.S. wireless carriers.

The transaction would significantly consolidate the U.S. telecommunications market and represent the first transformative U.S. merger with significant antitrust risk to be agreed since the inauguration of U.S. President Donald Trump in January.

The progress toward a deal also indicates that T-Mobile and Sprint believe that the U.S. antitrust enforcement environment has become more favorable since the companies abandoned their previous effort to combine in 2014 amid regulatory concerns.

The latest development in the talks between T-Mobile and Sprint comes as the telecommunications sector seeks ways to tackle investments in 5G technology that will greatly enhance wireless data transfer speeds.

Japan’s SoftBank Group Corp ( 9984.T), which controls Sprint, and other Sprint shareholders will own 40 to 50 percent of the combined company, while T-Mobile majority owner Deutsche Telekom ( DTEGn.DE) and the rest of T-Mobile shareholders will own the majority, the sources said.

SoftBank founder Masayoshi Son met with Trump late last year and said in February that the Japanese firm should benefit from Trump’s promised deregulation.

Once terms are finalized, due diligence by the two companies will follow and a deal is expected by the end of October, though talks may still fall through, the sources said.

A merger would create a business with more than 130 million subscribers, just behind Verizon Communications Inc ( VZ.N) and AT&T Inc ( T.N). Revenues would top $70 billion and analysts say there would be massive scope to cut costs.

Sprint shares were up 5 percent in afternoon trading in New York on Friday to $8.44, giving the company a market capitalization of close to $34 billion. T-Mobile shares were up 0.4 percent to $63.66, giving that company a market capitalization of around $53 billion.

The sources asked not to be identified because the negotiations are confidential. Sprint and Deutsche Telekom declined to comment. T-Mobile and SoftBank did not immediately respond to requests for comment.

SoftBank’s Son abandoned an earlier attempt to acquire T-Mobile for Sprint in 2014. Under that deal, SoftBank would have been in control of the merged company, with Deutsche Telekom becoming a minority shareholder.



Smartphones with the logos of T-Mobile and Sprint are seen in this illustration taken September 19, 2017. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration
________________________

Since then, T-Mobile has outperformed Sprint under Chief Executive John Legere, who the sources said would lead the combined company.

SON IN TRUMP TOWER

Earlier this month, Federal Communications Commission Chairman Ajit Pai gave a potential boost to a tie-up when he recommended that the FCC find for the first since 2009 that there is “effective competition in the marketplace for mobile wireless services.”

The FCC is set to vote on Tuesday on the proposed annual report on the state of the wireless competition market required by U.S. Congress.

T-Mobile and Sprint will likely tout planned investments in 5G and their network that would create jobs, though combining operations would also lead to layoffs, said Roger Entner, an analyst at Recon Analytics.

“They will argue that the track record of T-Mobile and Sprint shows they are vigorous competitors and that this will not cease to be the case after the deal,” said Entner.

Son made headlines in early December when he appeared in the marble lobby of Trump Tower in New York alongside the president-elect, dressed in a red vest and red tie nearly identical to that of the tycoon turned commander in chief.

He was among the first in a series of Asian billionaires and leaders to pay a congratulatory visit to Trump, who won office in November on a platform that focused on national security and protecting U.S. jobs.

Son’s pledge to Trump to invest $50 billion in the United States and create 50,000 jobs was light on details but spoke to the president’s election promise to boost economic growth by making deals with individual companies, rather than through complicated trade deals.

Last month, Sprint CEO Marcelo Claure said an announcement on merger talks should come in the “near future.”

Sprint had approached cable company Charter Communications Inc ( CHTR.O) about a potential merger earlier this year, but quickly abandoned that effort.

AT&T is in the process of getting its own transformative deal, its $85.4 billion acquisition of media conglomerate Time Warner Inc ( TWX.N) approved by U.S. regulators.

Reporting by Greg Roumeliotis in New York and Arno Schuetze in Frankfurt; Additional reporting by Pamela Barbaglia in London, Douglas Busvine in Frankfurt, David Shepardson in Washington; Writing by Douglas Busvine; Editing by Bernadette Baum and Meredith Mazzilli

http://www.reuters.com/article/us-sprint-m-a-tmobile-exclusive/exclusive-t-mobile-sprint-close-to-agreeing-on-deal-terms-sources-idUSKCN1BX1EK

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From: Glenn Petersen9/24/2017 4:06:37 PM
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SoftBank's Masayoshi Son breaks the mold of conservative Japanese investors
  • SoftBank has invested billions into tech companies in recent years
  • Its founder, Masayoshi Son, is placing bets on the future by investing in companies that are doing work in areas of Internet of Things, artificial intelligence and robotics
  • The Japanese tech titan is also invested in top players in proven industries such as e-commerce and ride-sharing

Saheli Roy Choudhury | @sahelirc
Published 3:02 AM ET Mon, 21 Aug 2017 Updated 12:29 AM ET Tue, 22 Aug 2017 CNBC.com

SoftBank founder Masayoshi Son is not just the wealthiest man in Japan. He's not just a tech titan boasting billions of dollars worth of investments in some of the most important companies of our age.

Son is his country's lone mold-breaking entrepreneur.



Alessandro Di Ciommo | NurPhoto | Getty Images
SoftBank Group Corp. founder, Chairman and CEO Masayoshi Son.
______________________________

Decision-makers in Japan are usually fiscally conservative, whereas under Son, SoftBank appears to be making regular multi-million dollar, or in some cases multi-billion dollar, investments into various companies — some of which are not directly related to SoftBank's core money-making businesses.

"He's doing something that is incredibly unique from the Japanese perspective," said Jesper Koll, head of Japan at WisdomTree. "It's sad to watch that he's the only Japanese entrepreneur who is creating the new frontier (in tech)."

While new technological advances have become a constant source of disruption for established corporations, smart companies are keeping up by either plowing money into research and development or into investments and acquisitions. SoftBank, with Son at the helm, is doing both.

Betting on the top players

SoftBank's core businesses are telecommunications — within Japan and through its controlling stake in Sprint — but it also draws in revenue from other technology businesses.

The Japanese tech giant has made a number of prominent investments recently, including last year's acquisition of U.K.-based chip maker ARM for $32 billion, a $4 billion stake in U.S. chip maker Nvidia this year, and a newly announced $2.5 billion boost to Indian e-commerce player Flipkart.

That last stake comes from the massive SoftBank-led Vision Fund while existing investments in Nvidia and ARM are expected to also be offered to the fund.

The Vision Fund includes capital from SoftBank, Saudi Arabia's sovereign wealth fund and tech firms Apple, Foxconn, Qualcomm and Sharp. In May, the fund announced it had closed $93 billion in capital and that it hopes to raise $100 billion by the end of the year.

Even beyond that, SoftBank also has many investments separate from the Vision Fund. For example, it acquired a controlling stake in U.S. telecommunications firm Sprint for about $36 billion between 2012 and 2013. Son was also an early investor in Yahoo and Alibaba, when the latter's valuation was below $100 million according to investors.

Dealogic data, which includes investments by the Vision Fund, showed that between 2012 and August of this year SoftBank announced 383 deals worth approximately $125.76 billion.

All those deals fall into one of two categories: cutting-edge technologies or tech companies that are already number one or number two in their category.

"They know if they consistently invest in capital leaders in a disruptive category, the upside is humongous," Hans Tung, managing partner at GGV Capital, told CNBC. He explained, "They're good at investing in ideas that're proven in a developed market, but they want to invest in local competitors that are number one in emerging markets."

For example, in the ride-hailing market, SoftBank is already invested in southeast Asia's top player, Grab, and India's leading local player, Ola. Recently, SoftBank said it would be interested in putting money into either Uber or Lyft, the leading ride-hailing players in the U.S.

Occasionally SoftBank invests in the number two company in a specific industry and then aims for a merger with the top player, said Tung. That was the case in China's leading ride-hailing player Didi Chuxing. The company formed from a merger between Didi Dache and SoftBank-backed Kuaidi Dache.

While telecommunications — both domestic and the Sprint business in the U.S. — constitutes a sizable portion of SoftBank's revenue, analysts say the company doesn't see itself as a telecom business.

"SoftBank does not consider themselves to be a telecom business but they like the cash flow and see it as a tool to advance their tech ambitions," Kirk Boodry, a Singapore-based analyst at New Street Research, told CNBC. He added that if SoftBank thinks wireless values are high, it might even sell the Sprint business.

"We think SoftBank wants to be represented across the value chain," said Boodry.

Planning ahead

Son, who founded SoftBank in the 1980s, has grand visions of what technological advancements the future holds. And he prefers to chart his course with mid-to-long term plans to achieve certain targets. At 19, the story goes, he created a 50-year life plan for his entrepreneurial ambition, setting himself targets for each decade to build up SoftBank into the tech giant that it is today. He also created a 300-year plan for it to continue growing as a corporation.

In 2010, Son presented a 30-year plan for the company, where the key theme was "Information Revolution" and the emphasis was on using new technologies to push the boundaries of science in areas like telepathic communications and increasing life expectancy to 200 years.

While those goals may still be far off from being realized, SoftBank's subsidiaries, as well as companies in which it's invested, are pushing the frontiers of technology in areas such as the "Internet of Things," artificial intelligence and deep learning.



Everett Rosenfeld | CNBC
____________________________________________

For example, SoftBank Robotics created Pepper — a robot capable of reading emotions and interacting with human beings — and teamed up with Alibaba and Foxconn to bring it to global markets.

In July, SoftBank was part of a group of companies that invested $159 million into U.S. car technology start-up Nauto. The Palo Alto, California-based company makes cameras that can track driver behavior in real time and know if they are distracted.

Meanwhile, SoftBank also holds a stake in Chinese ride-hailing company Didi Chuxing, which is looking at artificial intelligence in security and intelligent driving technologies in a new research lab in Silicon Valley.

Given how rapidly technology is shaking up the industry, no one knows what the next business model is going to be — something, Son is trying to discover, Koll said.

That said, Son's ambition nearly came to an abrupt end during the dotcom bust in the early 2000s. A CNN report said he lost $70 billion in one day and admitted that 99 percent of his net worth was wiped out in 2000.

Funding its vision for the future

The massive Vision Fund, which was first announced in 2016, in part aims to realize Son's vision of the future. It makes long-term investments in companies operating in technology such as the "Internet of Things," artificial intelligence, robotics, mobile applications, consumer internet businesses and more. SoftBank has committed to invest $28 billion into the fund through a combination of equity in ARM and cash on hand.



SoftBank's Masa Son: Interested in Lyft or Uber 11:57 AM ET Mon, 7 Aug 2017 | 01:55
_________________________________

"Creation of the Vision Fund should be positive for SoftBank shareholders. It separates some of the risk from the investment program into a separate non-recourse entity," said Boodry.

But some investors have questioned whether SoftBank might be fueling a new valuation bubble in tech.

"In general, Son-san has a good investing track record so he should be do well," said Boodry.

cnbc.com

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From: Glenn Petersen9/25/2017 3:57:12 PM
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The Link Between SoftBank, Alzheimer's and Data

By Giles Turner and Jared S Hopkins
Bloomberg
September 25, 2017

Hi, it’s Giles from Europe, and Jared from our U.S. health team. We’re going to talk about SoftBank.

We know, We know. Enough already with SoftBank. But bear with us. Because this time it’s not about Uber or WeWork —it’s about how Alzheimer’s and data mining might give us an insight into SoftBank’s investment strategy.

At first glance, it seems as if the Japanese company doesn’t have an investment strategy for its $93 billion megafund. Its bets range from ride-hailing apps to robotics companies to instant messaging tools. This scattergun approach was underscored in late August when SoftBank led a $1.1 billion investment into pharmaceutical group Roivant Sciences Ltd. —one of the biggest-ever biotech investments.

Roivant, founded by ex-hedge-fund partner Vivek Ramaswamy, 32, analyzes data to hunt out unwanted and unapproved drug candidates, which it develops through a range of subsidiaries such as Axovant, which focuses on neurology, Myovant (women’s health and endocrine diseases), Enzyvant (rare diseases), and Urovant ( yep, urology).

It’s crunch time for Axovant right now. Investors and the medical community are waiting to see late-stage results for its experimental Alzheimer’s treatment intepirdine, due in late September.

No drug has yet proven to significantly slow Alzheimer’s and related dementia, which affect about 45 million people in the world. In the past year, experimental drugs from Merck & Co. and Eli Lilly & Co. have joined the dozens of failures aimed at blocking the disease or slowing its progress.

Axovant is currently trading at around $25 a share. If the trial is successful, analysts at Jefferies see the stock reaching $40 to $100 a share, potentially turning a $2.7 billion clinical-stage startup into a $10 billion company.

Not everyone agrees. The trial might fail, or work modestly, and not in a way that will be a commercial or clinical boon, according to Gbola Amusa, an analyst at Chardan Capital Markets who recommends selling the shares. Amusa said in an interview that he’s discouraged partly because similar drugs were unsuccessful and intepirdine’s mid-stage data showed modest benefit.

Wait. It gets more confusing.

The investment into Roivant was led by Akshay Naheta, managing director of SoftBank Group International. Naheta was previously a hedge-fund manager and value investor —meaning he looked for companies that traded for less than their intrinsic value.

So we have former fund manager who is an expert in value investing, not pharma, leading a $1 billion bet on pharma holding group —which may or may not have a lucrative subsidiary in a few weeks’ time.

Still, there’s one piece of the puzzle missing. SoftBank sees its investment into Roivant not as a bet on Axovant, but an investment into data mining within the pharma industry. On Wednesday, Roivant announced the formal launch of its latest subsidiary Datavant, which is using AI to sift through datasets to help get drugs through the clinical trial process. Datavant has already compiled data from 85 different datasets comprising more than 20 million patient visits.

Data is SoftBank’s current dreamboat. It has invested in companies such as graphics chipmaker Nvidia and bought U.K. chipmaker ARM Holdings to tap into the growing need of companies to manage an ever-increasing flow of data.

This is what SoftBank’s investment into Roivant is really about. Not only is there the potential of some immediate short turn upside with Axovant, but if that goes wrong SoftBank is betting that Datavant will keep feeding potential drugs for its other subsidiaries to push through the clinical trial process. It’s a sort of hedge. Like investing in a range of ride sharing apps to either pick the winner or perhaps one day merge them all, or investing in semiconductor companies that in the short term are a cash cow but perhaps later on will be essential to AI.

Yes, it still seems a bit nuts, and there is plenty of intelligent skeptisicm into Roivant’s strategy, but regardless of the industry, where there is data, you may find SoftBank.


bloomberg.com

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From: Glenn Petersen9/27/2017 5:30:45 PM
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Uber-SoftBank Deal Is Said to Ensure Limits on Kalanick’s Power


By Eric Newcomer, Caroline Hyde, and Giles Turner
September 27, 2017

-- SoftBank to block any plan to make Kalanick CEO or chairman

-- Uber backer Benchmark wants guaranteed check on former CEO

SoftBank Group Corp. has overcome a major obstacle to its planned multi billion-dollar investment in Uber Technologies Inc. The Japanese firm agreed to block any attempts to elevate Travis Kalanick, Uber’s controversial former leader, back to the company’s top ranks, according to people familiar with the discussions.

Venture capital firm Benchmark, which led Kalanick’s ouster in June, has sought a guarantee in writing from SoftBank that it would reject reappointing Kalanick as chief executive officer and block his appointment as chairman of the board or head of one of its subcommittees, said the people.

There have been no public proposals like this so far, but Kalanick has privately expressed interest in helping the company in some capacity, said the people, who asked not to be identified because private negotiations are ongoing. Kalanick still retains some power over Uber through his control of three board seats, though two of those remain unfilled.

The SoftBank-led investment in Uber could be the largest private stock sale in history – or it may collapse amid continued infighting. One prospective investor in the deal, Chinese ride-hailing company Didi Chuxing, has walked away, according to people familiar with the matter.

SoftBank and private equity firms General Atlantic and Dragoneer Investment Group are still in active talks with Uber. Together, the firms expect to invest at least $1 billion in Uber at a $69 billion valuation, while buying as much as $9 billion in shares from existing investors. The valuation of those shares will be determined by an auction process that’s expected to start at about $45 billion, the people said.

SoftBank has considered asking for two board seats as part of the deal, and has mulled one of its executives, Rajeev Misra, and Sprint Corp. Chief Executive Officer Marcelo Claure as candidates, the people said. (SoftBank owns most of Sprint.) Another proposal being discussed would give SoftBank one board seat and a board observer seat. Under either proposal, it’s unclear whether Uber would create new directors or shuffle its existing eleven board seats.

A legal dispute between Benchmark, Uber’s largest venture capital backer, and Kalanick has hung over investment discussions. But Benchmark doesn’t plan to block a deal as long as the final contract guarantees not to revive Kalanick’s power and provides other governance reforms, the people said. If those conditions are met, Benchmark would sell some of its shares at the direction of Uber’s new CEO Dara Khosrowshahi, the people added.

Spokespeople for Uber, SoftBank, Benchmark and Kalanick declined to comment.

Benchmark was approached by SoftBank in June about a potential investment and met with founder Masayoshi Son in July in the Bay Area, a person familiar with the situation said. But the VC firm stalled the process once it began tangling with Kalanick. After leading his ouster, Benchmark sued Kalanick, claiming he defrauded investors to create three board seats that solidified his power. The suit is now in private arbitration.

The board is looking to appoint an independent chairman, a proposal all directors, including Kalanick and Khosrowshahi, support. That was one of a series of recommendations from Eric Holder, a former U.S. attorney general who consulted for Uber after a series of scandals.

Kalanick has told acquaintances he has no intention of trying to return as CEO, but he may someday seek a position as a strategic or operational partner to Khosrowshahi, said people who have spoken with the co-founder.

Khosrowshahi has privately indicated support for a deal with SoftBank at the right price, according to one of the people. His other priorities include allowing employees to sell stock more easily at a fair price, resolving the fight between Kalanick and Benchmark, and leveling the playing field between shareholders with super-voting stock and those without.

Benchmark, which holds stock with outsize voting power, also supports a one-shareholder-one-vote policy. The VC firm and other investors worried that SoftBank could help Kalanick retake the reins through the purchase of super-voting shares, the people said.

bloomberg.com



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From: Glenn Petersen9/27/2017 9:13:46 PM
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From: Glenn Petersen9/27/2017 9:22:52 PM
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More background on Masayoshi Son:

As the dot.com bubble burst, he reportedly lost $70 billion in one day. He admits that 99% of his net worth was wiped out in 2000

The 'crazy' Japanese billionaire who met Donald Trump has a 300-year plan

by Sherisse Pham @Sherisse
CNN Money
December 7, 2016: 10:52 AM ET

Masayoshi Son is not a household name in America. Yet. But the billionaire founder and CEO of Japan's SoftBank ( SFTBF) loves to make a splash and is rapidly gaining a global profile thanks to a series of big deals.

He met with Donald Trump in New York on Tuesday, after which the president-elect tweeted that "Masa" had agreed to invest $50 billion in the U.S. Son said he would pump the money into startups.

Son is obsessed with the future. During an earnings call last month, he said he wanted to be tech's Warren Buffett, and he has a 300-year plan for SoftBank ( SFTBF). Yes, 300 years.

He wants his company to help break down language barriers and allow people to communicate telepathically.

It may seem odd that a billionaire who wants to make silent communication a reality, just met with a billionaire known for loudly expressing his views at massive rallies. But not for Son.

He has a track record of meeting directly with world leaders to talk business. Last week, he chatted with Prime Minister Narendra Modi about SoftBank's $10 billion investment in India's technology sector.

In September, he called on President Park Geun-hye to talk about investing in South Korea.

Despite his ability to open doors, he hasn't always had things easy in the U.S. SoftBank paid more than $20 billion to take control of Sprint ( S) in 2012, but regulators blocked his attempt to merge the struggling mobile carrier with T-Mobile ( TMUS) in 2014.

After Tuesday's meeting, Son said he decided to back American startups because Trump had made deregulation part of his platform.


Son invented a pocket translator when he was 20. He sold it to Sharp Corporation for $1 million.

Tuesday's announcement wasn't the first deal Son has struck after a huge political shift. SoftBank bought Britain's ARM Holdings in a record $32 billion deal less than a month after the U.K. voted to leave the European Union.

" Brexit did not effect my decision," Son told reporters at the time. "I was waiting to have the cash on hand."

Early investor in Yahoo and Alibaba

But the timing of the deal meant Softbank bought a prized asset on the cheap, when the pound was down more than 27% against the yen.

SoftBank has invested in some highly-valued tech startups across the world. Among them: personal finance firm SoFi and Uber competitors Ola in India, Grab in southeast Asia and Didi Chuxing in China, according to PitchBook.

Son was one of the earliest investors in Yahoo ( YHOO, Tech30), from which he made a fortune. He also got in early on Chinese e-commerce giant Alibaba ( BABA, Tech30), taking a 32% stake in the company.

Dot.com bust nearly wiped him out

SoftBank recently took a hit from its Sprint acquisition. But Son has lost big before. As the dot.com bubble burst, he reportedly lost $70 billion in one day. He admits that 99% of his net worth was wiped out in 2000.

His latest big venture is a $100 billion fund launched by SoftBank and the government of Saudi Arabia in October. "Life's too short" to do anything small, Son said recently in India.

An avid Tweeter

Like Trump, Son has a huge following on Twitter, and has used it to post thought provoking questions.

In 2010, Son asked his Twitter followers: "What would be the saddest thing in your life?" The most common answers were death, loneliness and despair, according to SoftBank.

In response, the company added a lofty goal to its corporate philosophy: ensuring no one is left alone. SoftBank partnered with Foxconn to make Pepper, a robot pal that learns to love people.

Son also wants to build computers that invent machines to help raise life expectancy to 200 years.

Ethnically Korean, Son was born in Kyusu, Japan. He went to college in the U.S., graduating from the University of California at Berkeley in 1980 with a degree in economics. When he was 20, he invented a pocket translator he sold to Sharp Corporation for $1 million.

Son founded SoftBank in Japan in 1981 with two part-time workers and a small office. Today, he's worth $18.7 billion, according to Forbes.

When the 59-year-old dies -- a few years from now or when he's 200 -- he has said he wants to be remembered as "a crazy guy who bet on the future."

CNNMoney (Hong Kong) First published December 7, 2016: 8:03 AM ET

money.cnn.com




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From: ProThinker9/29/2017 6:46:48 AM
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Are analysts too bullish in Softbank? Already slightly overvalued based on PE, Price to Sales and Dividend Yield.











Source: www.ProThinker.com

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From: Glenn Petersen9/29/2017 11:23:49 PM
   of 5731
 
SoftBank Plots Deals to Build $300 Billion Asset-Management Arm

By Giles Turner Caroline Hyde, and Peter Elstrom
Bloomberg
September 29, 2017

-- Unit aims to grow to that size over next four to five years

-- Firm already has $93 billion tech fund, plus Fortress assets

SoftBank Group Corp. founder Masayoshi Son has made a name for himself building a telecommunications and technology empire. He’s now planning an expansion in asset management.

The Japanese firm is eyeing further acquisitions in the financial sector in order to potentially create a $300 billion asset management arm that would also house its $93 billion Vision Fund for technology investments, according to people familiar with the matter.

SoftBank agreed to acquire alternative-asset manager Fortress Investment Group LLC for $3.3 billion in February. Since then, SoftBank executives have discussed various investments in the financial sector, from acquiring traditional investment firms to more surprising moves including stakes in major private equity shops such as KKR & Co., said the people, who declined to comment because the plans are private.

The scale of the plans reveals how the Vision Fund will be just one arm of SoftBank’s push into asset management. SoftBank -- which had no assets under management 12 months ago, and has never before managed third-party assets -- is targeting more than $300 billion across its businesses over the next four to five years, one of the people said.

SoftBank may end up with much less or much more money in the asset management business depending on market opportunities, a different person said.

Besides the tech fund, SoftBank’s assets under management also include $40 billion with Fortress, following the U.S. firm’s sale of fixed-income arm Logan Circle Partners.

Considering TargetsIn comparison Blackstone Group LP, the world’s largest alternative-asset manager, has taken 32 years to grow to $371.1 billion under management, as of June 30.

SoftBank is considering a range of targets. A small group of senior executives informally discussed taking a stake in KKR this year, the people said. It is not known how far these discussions went.

A spokeswoman for New York-based KKR, which has a market value of about $16.4 billion, declined to comment. The investment manager oversaw $148.5 billion in private equity holdings, credit assets, real estate and hedge funds as of June 30, up 13 percent from a year earlier.

SoftBank spokesman Matthew Nicholson declined to comment.

The asset management industry is in a state of flux, with smaller players struggling due to growing pressure on fees and the continuing shift to passive strategies. Natixis SA and BNP Paribas SA are among firms exploring a deal with Axa SA’s European asset-management unit, people with knowledge of the matter have said, while Standard Life Plc has combined with Aberdeen Asset Management Plc to form the U.K’s largest active money manager.

Alternative Investments

SoftBank’s acquisition of Fortress was a departure for the company, which previously focused on deals in telecommunications, internet startups and e-commerce. However, Son and his senior executive team are keen to expand SoftBank’s ability to manage alternative investments, as well as manage the company’s ever-growing portfolio, the people said.

The giant tech-focused Vision Fund, backed by Saudi Arabia, Abu Dhabi, as well as Apple Inc. and Qualcomm Inc., has already become the world’s biggest private equity fund.

Major deals involving the Vision Fund include the $32 billion acquisition of ARM Holdings Plc, the chip designer Son believes will play a key role in the Internet of Things, and billion-dollar investments in Didi, the biggest ride-hailing service in China, and southeast Asian operator Grab.

SoftBank has been assembling an array of former bankers with strong networks in the financial sector. Colin Fan, the former equity derivatives trader and co-head of Deutsche Bank AG’s investment banking and trading unit, joined SoftBank this year, while Rajeev Misra, a former senior banker at Deutsche Bank and UBS Group AG, is the Japanese company’s head of strategic finance and a member of the fund’s investment committee.

The Vision Fund has also been staffing up with investment professionals, hiring 70 people in the front and back office over the past seven months.

The fund, headquartered in London but with offices in Tokyo and Silicon Valley, plans to finish fundraising at $100 billion in the next two months, two of the people said.

— With assistance by Devin Banerjee, Dinesh Nair, Manuel Baigorri, Ruth David, and Pavel Alpeyev

bloomberg.com

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