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From: Alex1/19/2012 6:07:04 PM
2 Recommendations   of 100885
 
222 Years of Long Term Interest Rates.....................................................................................................


ritholtz.com 

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To: Alex who wrote (100383)1/19/2012 8:03:31 PM
From: IngotWeTrust   of 100885
 
Superb, Alex.

Thanks!

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From: Tommaso1/21/2012 10:17:58 AM
2 Recommendations   of 100885
 
Don Coxe has a lot to say about gold this week:

bellwebcasting.ca 

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To: Tommaso who wrote (100385)1/21/2012 10:38:45 AM
From: carranza2   of 100885
 
GMO makes a very good case for the proposition that emerging market demand is responsible for the rise in the past few years, though negative interest rates IMO also contribute.

To read, go to www.gmo.com, then register, a very simple process. A free yet indispensable resource.

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To: carranza2 who wrote (100386)1/21/2012 11:19:15 AM
From: Tommaso   of 100885
 
As usual, anything you suggest is a good idea.

The two strangest economic facts of my lifetime are the persistence of low inflation (at least for many items) and the incredibly low interest rates. I suppose we do have world-wide production of everything from corn to flat screen TVs in amounts sufficient to keep prices down. In the United States, a stroll through any shopping mall or large grocery store shows an abundance of things far beyond the minimum necessary for a comfortable life, let alone mere survival. This capacity for increased production is something Milton Friedman and other monetarists never anticipated.

Nevertheless, as a great many of us agree, the limitless expansion of credit and fiat money must at some point reduce the value of all, or almost all, world currencies, and at that point (as we all know, or many of us reading this thread know) gold becomes the most convenient store of monetary value.

I don't want to worship a golden calf, but whether it's a mantra, a creed, a slogan, a pledge of allegiance, a loyalty oath, or a salute, I will go on repeating, "Hail Gold!" I would not have done that 14 years ago, and I used to quarrel with people who did. But then came Greenspan and Bernanke.

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From: Tommaso1/24/2012 6:26:29 PM
   of 100885
 
Oh joy! Gold is up ten cents.

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To: Tommaso who wrote (100388)1/25/2012 1:17:29 PM
From: IngotWeTrust   of 100885
 
Look again.

Up $30 on my screen 10:16AM PST.

Like that better?

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From: Julius Wong1/25/2012 8:36:22 PM
1 Recommendation   of 100885
 
Gold Proves Safest as Goldman Forecasts Record: Riskless Return
By Debarati Roy - Jan 25, 2012

Gold provided the best returns of all commodities in the past five years when adjusted for volatility, and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. says the rally will continue as options traders signal no change in the metal’s relatively low risk.

The BLOOMBERG RISKLESS RETURN RANKING shows the Standard & Poor’s GSCI Gold Total Return Index produced a 6.5 percent risk-adjusted return in the five years ended yesterday, the highest among 24 commodities tracked by S&P, data compiled by Bloomberg show. Silver, the next-best performer, yielded a risk-adjusted gain of 3.1 percent, while a total-return index for all raw materials slipped 0.2 percent.

Bullion, which has seen 11 years of gains as investors sought a haven amid two bear markets in stocks and a sovereign debt crisis, also posted the safest return in the past 12 months, even as it fell from a record high to a five-month low in the second half of last year and gold investors led by John Paulson suffered losses. Goldman Sachs forecasts gold will reach a record this year, and a gauge of future price swings is near a five-month low.

“Economic problems increased globally, and gold emerged as a safe-haven investment,” Walter ‘Bucky’ Hellwig, who helps manage $17 billion of assets at BB&T Wealth Management in Birmingham, Alabama. “Monetary easing by China and quantitative easing in Europe and the U.S. will help it remain a store of value.”

The risk-adjusted return is calculated by dividing total return by volatility, or the degree of daily price-swing variation, giving a measure of income per unit of risk. The returns are not annualized.

bloomberg.com 

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From: Tommaso1/26/2012 3:57:14 PM
   of 100885
 
Gold gets goosed . . .


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From: Alex1/27/2012 2:34:07 PM
   of 100885
 
"This chart is actually dated, these CB own these markets, use thin capital bases, and are going to be handed the losses on the fictitious capital they hold. Tattoo this on your forehead, CBs hold well over 15 trillion in securities and loans to banks of various and often dubious quality, an immense gamble. These are all ultimately the responsibility of the sponsoring country, and represents a monster contingent liability. That will be the end game."


wallstreetexaminer.com 






Barry Ritholz has each CB chart.




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