Technology Stocks | ICGX - Intelcom Group


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To: big guy who wrote (21)10/14/1997 9:08:00 PM
From: Colin Perry   of 335
 
ICG & Netcom
Does anyone have any thoughts on how this is going to work out?
Colin Perry
P.S. Lets join our thoughts
Subject 17564

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To: Colin Perry who wrote (22)10/14/1997 9:54:00 PM
From: Oeconomicus   of 335
 
Colin, fancy meeting you here. Did you see Shelby Bryan on CNBC this morning? (see the reviews over on NETC thread)

Jacob, just so you know, no one is expecting any earnings for ICGX until 1999 at least, though Bryan said this morning he expects to be cash flow positive (presumably EBITDA) some time in the latter half of 1998. His comments also seemed to confirm anti-dilutive effect of this purchase.

See the link below for some excerpts from a Goldman report on ICGX.
techstocks.com 

Personally, I was not impressed by Bryan's TV performance, but the Squawk Box guys didn't make it easy for him. Jacob, I hope you are right about upside in ICGX.

Bob

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To: Colin Perry who wrote (22)10/14/1997 11:15:00 PM
From: Oeconomicus   of 335
 
Colin, why start a new thread? ICGX thread only had 20 replies before today. (perhaps the name is reason. what is "Intelcom"?)

Anyway, book value is negative. ICGX equity is -$208 million while NETC's is $126. No matter how they account for the deal, it's negative. They do have more than $400 million combined cash though (assuming they didn't burn too much 3rd qtr). The more important questions are revenue growth, cost synergies, when they are expected to be EBITDA positive and EPS positive, price to sales ratio, and (most importantly?) the value of ICGX's fiber and the combined customers to another, bigger player.

This is confusing with so many threads. Can we combine this with the other ICGX thread? Then I will only have to follow two; I'm rather lazy you see.

Bob.

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To: Colin Perry who wrote (22)10/15/1997 5:20:00 PM
From: big guy   of 335
 
Lots of talk today about the tcom business b/c of GTE bid for MCI. Everything they said would be attractive in a company, seems to be attributes of the new ICGX. Guest on CNBC Brady Branch D&T said ..biggest expansion for telecom companies is in internet data traffic and internet synergies with phone companies.. amoung other stuff. Sounds like what we have here.

tcom area seems real hot right now with MCI bidding war amoung things.
jake

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To: Bill Wolf who wrote ()10/30/1997 11:31:00 PM
From: Oeconomicus   of 335
 
Hey, maybe ya'll didn't hear. ICGX reported this morning. For some reason though Yahoo Finance (the news link on SI) doesn't have the release. I saw it through Quote.com via E*Trade. Check it out.

Bob

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To: Oeconomicus who wrote (26)11/3/1997 11:22:00 PM
From: bronco   of 335
 
to all: Anyone care to guestimate what type of price ICG can fetch in a buyout scenario?

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To: bronco who wrote (27)11/4/1997 10:38:00 PM
From: Richard Makowiec   of 335
 
During a "Hot" sector (like now)...$30-32 is tops in my book.
During a "Mild" sector (like 4 months ago)...$22-25
During a "Cold" sector (like last April)...$15-17

Nice thing is the sector is hot and a bonus is ICGX could trade $28-30 without being bought...it would only take a rumor/news of a competitor being taken out to send it up.

Have a nice night,
Rich

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To: Richard Makowiec who wrote (28)11/26/1997 10:01:00 PM
From: Toby L. Toth   of 335
 
Stephen Leeb, editor of "Personal Finance" in the most recent issue says "buy up to 28." He is expecting revenues to grow at a rate similar to that of the third quarter for the "rest of the century." He warns "with no earnings likely until early in the next century, IGC isn't for the faint of heart."

Toby

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To: Bill Wolf who wrote ()12/1/1997 10:21:00 AM
From: Oeconomicus   of 335
 
ICGX: Major Broker increased estimate for fiscal year ending 12/98 from $-8.18 to $-6.71 on 11/26/97

From Zack's. Probably revised to reflect positive effects of NETC acquisition, but that's just a guess. If anyone has more info on this "major broker", please share.

Bob

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To: Oeconomicus who wrote (30)12/11/1997 4:12:00 PM
From: Roader   of 335
 
Any one around. Todays action suggests someone knows something we dont.

Roader

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