Technology Stocks | Lucent Technologies (LU)


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To: Softechie who wrote (19260)3/12/2002 1:49:12 PM
From: sylvester80   of 21876
 
Something tells me Softie that even at $5 you still won't buy cause at $5, you'll think that 4s are coming. So since you are not in the stock, I don't see the purpose of your bashing here. Why are you here? Why not Nortel? After all you wanted to buy Nortel more than Lucent anyway. So go ahead... or are you waiting for 3s in Nortel?

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To: sylvester80 who wrote (19259)3/12/2002 1:50:47 PM
From: GVTucker   of 21876
 
So yes, wall street had Lucent's numbers even below today's guidance.

So how do you explain every analyst outside the Soundview analyst cutting his numbers today?

The Soundview analyst was playing an old game. Put your numbers as low as possible so that when the company comes out with a report, you can tell everyone that the quarter was better than expected no matter how the quarter went. It's an old game and it doesn't work, but for some reason analysts still play it. The funny thing is that he can't even move his numbers up this time because the quarter was so bad.

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To: Softechie who wrote (19260)3/12/2002 1:55:24 PM
From: Sabrejet   of 21876
 
Would you cut it out?! ST, where do you see LU going? I sure don't see $40 anytime in the near future! To me, it all depends on the execution of business and the turning of the economy.

I believe many telcos will have to spend. It's the nature of the beast. This is not like upgrading your office computer. The need for faster services is still increasing.

Sabre!

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To: GVTucker who wrote (19266)3/12/2002 1:58:22 PM
From: sylvester80   of 21876
 
Then how do you explain that Lucent was not even close to "every analyst" target price? And please provide link to your "every analyst".

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To: sylvester80 who wrote (19268)3/12/2002 2:06:21 PM
From: GVTucker   of 21876
 
Then how do you explain that Lucent was not even close to "every analyst" target price?

I have no idea what anyone's target price for LU is. That is an irrelevant piece of data for me, and it also has nothing to do with whether an analyst has lowered his numbers today or not.

And please provide link to your "every analyst".

I gave you five firms that lowered their numbers on LU today in my previous post. I have no idea if any of these anaylsts have put out a publicly available report.

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To: Softechie who wrote (19260)3/12/2002 2:07:33 PM
From: Brasco One   of 21876
 
what a pos lu is.

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To: GVTucker who wrote (19266)3/12/2002 2:08:10 PM
From: Sabrejet   of 21876
 
GVT, you don't know squat about the quarter. You make it sound like the Q was a complete disaster. Heck, the CEO gave new guidance and what did you do, ignore it?

You know, sometimes, no matter how good one can be at analysis, they still don't know.

BTW, I bet you knew all about ENE before it went under with all the billions that institutions lost. How do you see all this before everyone else?

Some things are just not predictable.

Tell me, what gives you any more insight to LU than anyone else? I state my position on what I research, read and discuss through numerous forms. I talk to investor relations, I talk to investor relations of numerous companies, I talk to brokers and I read as much as I can regarding financial statements and other filings. How do you develop your angle?

Sabre!

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To: Brasco One who wrote (19270)3/12/2002 2:08:44 PM
From: Softechie   of 21876
 
May be you can elaborate why LU is POS? TIA.

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To: Sabrejet who wrote (19267)3/12/2002 2:11:08 PM
From: sylvester80   of 21876
 
=DJ Lucent CEO-2: Co Continues To Deliver On Many Projections

datekdj.newsalert.com 

+DJ Lucent CEO: Co Confirming Rev Growth While Other Cos Fall
(MORE) DOW JONES NEWS 03-12-02
11:56 AM
*DJ Lucent CEO: Talk Of Additional Large Layoffs 'Premature'
(MORE) DOW JONES NEWS 03-12-02
11:56 AM
*DJ Lucent CEO: First Two Months 'Tracked Well' In Sales
(MORE) DOW JONES NEWS 03-12-02
11:57 AM

=DJ Lucent CEO-2: Co Continues To Deliver On Many Projections

By Johnathan Burns
Of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES

NEW YORK (Dow Jones)--Lucent Technologies Inc. (LU) Chief Executive Patricia Russo said Tuesday investors should remember the company reaffirmed it will increase revenue sequentially in the ongoing fiscal second quarter while its competitors anticipate declining sales over the same period.

In an interview with Dow Jones Newswires, Russo said Lucent continues to deliver on several parts of its guidance, even though it lowered sequential sales growth projections to modest to 10% from the previous 10% to 15% over the first quarter's $3.58 billion.

"I think it's important to remember we reaffirmed top-line growth, available margins still in the 20% (range) and bottom-line improvement," she said.

Before the market opened, Lucent said its sales will not grow as robustly as expected and the company will not reach a profitable point until 2003. In addition, Lucent will likely not meet financial measurements allowing it to spin its remaining stake in Agere Systems Inc. (AGRA) until the calendar third quarter.

Chief Financial Officer Frank D'Amelio said the company has already gotten an indication from the Internal Revenue Service that it would allow a tax-free spin of the remainder of Agere after the initial June 30 deadline.

Russo said the revision to revenue growth estimates came as a result of a recent sales funnel review. About three weeks ago, Russo and other officials had said they remained confident that sales would grow 10% to 15% sequentially.

"Let me be very clear," she said. "We had 10% to 15% out there because that's what we saw and we had good visibility. We were tracking pretty well in the first two months of the year. When (our review) convinced us that we could not be at the high end of the range, we (felt it appropriate to) modify our revenue view."

Russo blamed the revision on further constrictions on capital spending by North American wireline communications carriers. The wireless market continues to be a source of sales growth.

While Lucent has said it will make changes necessary to its business to keep it inline with the market, Russo said it is too early to discuss further large job cuts.

"I think that's very premature," she said. "What we've said is in the normal course of business, we will make the appropriate adjustments to our business. What we also said it given that we are in a dynamic industry, it is important that we stay close to the market. We are taking a look at what, if any, additional actions are necessary to align our business" with the market.

Lucent also announced that it would take a six-cent per share loss in the second quarter due to a recently passed law relating to an extension of operating loss carrybacks.

D'Amelio said the cash benefit to Lucent for taking the charge in the company's second quarter will "generate a significant cash benefit to Lucent."

"The net is, if you look at the cash piece, it is significantly better than the six cents (per share charge)," he said.


D'Amelio said the company has not yet determined in which quarters the cash benefit will fall.

Meanwhile, Lucent Chairman Henry Schacht said the fact that the company still sees improving revenue during a tough quarter should give the company some credibility.

"The fact that we're seeing an up quarter and the fact that we've made quarter-to-quarter progress for five straight quarters is a tribute to everyone here," he said.


-Johnathan Burns, Dow Jones Newswires; 201-938-2020; johnathan.burns@dowjones.com



(END) DOW JONES NEWS 03-12-02

12:58 PM

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To: GVTucker who wrote (19269)3/12/2002 2:15:30 PM
From: Sabrejet   of 21876
 
re: "I gave you five firms that lowered their numbers on LU today in my previous post. I have no idea if any of these anaylsts have put out a publicly available report."

We have a winner! Someone who has all the info before anyone else!

Show some humility and drop the guard! Join in on the fact finding missions and stop acting like your something special. This isn't about who is right or wrong but making money.

I have no idea how you are supposedly getting your info and if you are implying you are getting "inside" info, I would be careful! That could be dangerous!

Sabre!

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