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To: Stitch who wrote (8983)1/17/2001 8:44:14 AM
From: Sam   of 9256
 
Guess it's a sign of the total lack of interest in the drive segment that no one even bothers to report HTCH's quarter. Their release is below. One item of interest: They are shipping to Seagate now, in a desktop program, bad news for Innovex, I guess. They also generated positive cash flow in the quarter, though barely profitable. Note the CC webcast at the end of the release. They specifically say that both "individuals" and analysts may participate in the call. Nice touch.

Neff sounds like he has gone off the deep end. Why hasn't he arranged for more consolidation in the DD business? (<gg>)

Hutchinson Technology Reports First Quarter
Net Income of $.03 Per Share; Weaker Demand Prompts Workforce
Reduction and Expected Loss for Second Quarter

HUTCHINSON, Minn., Jan. 16 /PRNewswire/ --

Hutchinson Technology Incorporated (Nasdaq: HTCH - news) today reported net income of $715,000, or $.03 per
diluted share, on net sales of $118,914,000 for its fiscal 2001 first quarter ended December 24, 2000. In the comparable
fiscal 2000 period, the company reported a net loss of $39,169,000, or $1.58 per diluted share, on net sales of
$123,823,000. The company's results for the fiscal 2000 first quarter included a pre-tax charge to earnings of
$46,528,000, or $1.33 per diluted share, related to write-downs of certain assets and severance costs. In the fiscal 2000
fourth quarter, the company reported net income of $1,577,000, or $.06 per diluted share, on net sales of $116,149,000.

The company shipped approximately 125 million suspension assemblies during the fiscal 2001 first quarter, compared
to approximately 122 million in the fiscal 2000 fourth quarter and 133 million in the fiscal 2000 first quarter. The
company's TSA suspensions accounted for approximately 70 percent of shipments in both the fiscal 2001 first quarter
and the fiscal 2000 fourth quarter and 54 percent in the fiscal 2000 first quarter. Higher value TSA products
incorporating extended electrical leads (tailed TSAs) accounted for approximately 36 percent of fiscal 2001 first quarter
shipments, compared to 22 percent of fiscal 2000 fourth quarter shipments.

Wayne M. Fortun, Hutchinson Technology's president and chief executive officer, noted that the company's mix of
products shipped, net sales and gross margins were in line with its previously stated expectations for the quarter. ``We
achieved our net sales and gross margin targets for the quarter and continued to see wider acceptance of our higher value
tailed TSA products,'' said Fortun. ``These products, for which we have significant technological and production
advantages over our competitors, enable our customers to improve drive performance while reducing overall costs.''

Fortun said that in the company's current fiscal quarter demand for suspension assemblies has weakened from the levels
of the previous two quarters. ``A slowdown in computer sales has resulted in industry inventory levels that will need to
be worked down before demand recovers,'' said Fortun. ``In light of the weaker demand, we will be managing our costs
to adjust to the reduction in revenue, as we have done previously. We believe this reduction in demand is temporary and,
though we are taking actions to further reduce our costs, we are also confident we can respond quickly once demand
growth resumes,'' said Fortun.

The company is currently further reducing its workforce and implementing additional cost reduction efforts. It estimates
that up to 250 positions could be eliminated company wide. Employees whose positions are eliminated will be offered a
severance package.

Fortun said the company currently expects net sales for its fiscal second quarter to range from $95 to $110 million, and
that the company will have a net loss for the period. ``As a result of prior cost reductions and ongoing cost management,
we expect gross margins to be between 7 and 10 percent. This should enable us to contain our net loss for the period to
approximately $6 to $12 million, or $.23 to $.48 per share, not including severance charges,'' said Fortun. In the fiscal
2000 second quarter, the company reported a net loss of $13.1 million, or $.53 per diluted share, on net sales of $110.9
million.

At the end of the fiscal 2001 first quarter, the company's cash, cash equivalents and securities held for sale totaled $243.5
million compared to $244.4 million at the end of the comparable fiscal 2000 period.

Fortun noted that Hutchinson Technology continues to strengthen its working relationships with its customers. At the
end of the fiscal 2001 first quarter, the company was shipping TSA suspensions to Seagate Technology LLC for
qualification in Seagate's first desktop program incorporating TSA products. During the fiscal 2001 first quarter, the
company signed an agreement establishing joint development activities for suspension assembly products with Maxtor
Corporation (Nasdaq: MXTR - news) for products in the Maxtor DiamondMax® hard drive line. Under the agreement,
Hutchinson Technology has been designated as Maxtor's primary vendor for suspension assemblies. The company also
has a joint development and supply agreement with Read-Rite Corporation (Nasdaq: RDRT - news) a leading
manufacturer of recording heads.

Hutchinson Technology is the leading worldwide supplier of suspension assemblies for disk drives.

In connection with the adoption of the new Securities and Exchange Commission rules governing fair disclosure
(Regulation FD), the company is adopting a policy of providing financial information and projections only through
means that are designed to provide broad distribution of the information to the public, and the company will continue to
refrain from making or updating projections or otherwise providing material non-public information through any other
means.

This announcement contains forward-looking statements regarding the company's cost reduction efforts, demand for its
suspension assemblies, industry inventories and financial performance. These statements involve risks and uncertainties.
The company's actual results could differ materially from those anticipated in these forward-looking statements as a
result of changes in market consumption of suspension assemblies, the company's ability to fully realize anticipated cost
reductions and other factors described from time to time in the company's reports filed with the Securities and Exchange
Commission.


The company will conduct a conference call and webcast for investors beginning at 4:00 p.m. Central Standard Time
(CST) on January 16. Individual investors and news media may participate in the conference call via the live webcast.
The webcast will be available through the Investor Relations page on Hutchinson Technology's web site at
htch.com  or at www.StreetFusion.com. The webcast will be available from 4:00 p.m. CST on January 16
through 8:00 p.m. on January 19. Webcast participants will need to complete a brief registration form and should allot
extra time before the webcast begins to register and, if necessary, download and install audio software. A replay of the
call will be available beginning at approximately 6:00 p.m. CST on January 16 until 8:00 p.m. CST on January 19. To
access the replay, dial 800-633-8284 or 858-812-6440 and enter 17288454 at the reservation number prompt.




Hutchinson Technology Incorporated
(Nasdaq/NMS: HTCH - news)

First Quarter Ended
Dec. 24, 2000 Dec. 26, 1999

Net sales $118,914,000 $123,823,000
Gross profit $ 19,895,000 $7,983,000
Income (loss) from operations $634,000 $(53,395,000)a
Net income (loss) $715,000 $(39,169,000)b

Net income (loss) per common share $.03 $(1.58)
Net income (loss) per common share --
Assuming dilution $.03 $(1.58)
Weighted average common and common equivalent
shares outstanding:
Common shares 24,849,000 24,745,000
Common shares -- assuming dilution 25,162,000 24,745,000

(a) Includes $46,528,000 for asset impairment and other charges.
(b) Includes (net of tax) $34,896,000 for asset impairment and other
charges.

At Dec. 24, 2000 At Dec. 26, 1999

Total assets $671,600,000 $727,400,000
Cash and cash equivalents $146,800,000 $84,600,000
Securities available for sale $96,700,000 $159,800,000
Total shareholders' investment $393,400,000 $425,800,000


HUTCHINSON TECHNOLOGY INCORPORATED
CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS - UNAUDITED
(Dollars in thousands)

December 24, September 24,
2000 2000
ASSETS
Current assets:
Cash and cash equivalents $146,826 $129,314
Securities available for sale 96,661 110,955
Trade receivables, net 63,164 60,637
Other receivables 3,641 4,071
Inventories 29,398 32,516
Prepaid taxes and other expenses 17,855 16,967
Total current assets 357,545 354,460
Property, plant and equipment, net 270,965 283,659
Other assets 43,048 45,814
$671,558 $683,933

LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS' INVESTMENT
Current liabilities:
Current portion of capital lease obligation $8,855 $8,538
Current maturities of long-term debt $19,277 $20,910
Accounts payable and accrued expenses 32,942 38,674
Accrued compensation 17,147 15,729
Total current liabilities 78,221 83,851
Capital lease obligation 7,857 9,718
Long-term debt, less current maturities 39,334 44,706
Convertible subordinated notes 150,000 150,000
Other long-term liabilities 2,699 3,169
Shareholders' investment:
Common stock, $.01 par value, 45,000,000 shares
authorized, 24,850,000 and 24,830,000 issued
and outstanding 249 248
Additional paid-in capital 364,782 364,540
Retained earnings 28,416 27,701
Total shareholders' investment 393,447 392,489
$671,558 $683,933


HUTCHINSON TECHNOLOGY INCORPORATED
CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF OPERATIONS - UNAUDITED
(In thousands, except per share data)

Thirteen Weeks Ended
December 24, December 26,
2000 1999
Net sales $118,914 $123,823
Cost of sales 99,020 115,840
Gross profit 19,894 7,983
Selling, general and administrative expenses 12,752 11,309
Research and development expenses 6,508 5,541
Asset impairment and other 0 46,528
Income (loss) from operations 634 (55,395)
Interest expense (3,973) (2,999)
Other income, net 4,133 3,227
Income (loss) before income taxes 794 (55,167)
Provision (benefit) for income taxes 79 (15,998)
Net income (loss) 715 ($39,169)

Basic earnings (loss) per share $0.03 ($1.58)
Diluted earnings (loss) per share $0.03 ($1.58)

Weighted average common shares outstanding 24,849 24,745

Weighted average common and diluted shares
outstanding 25,162 24,745


HUTCHINSON TECHNOLOGY INCORPORATED
CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS - UNAUDITED
(Dollars in thousands)

Thirteen Weeks Ended
December 24, December 26,
2000 1999
Operating activities:
Net income (loss) $715 ($39,169)
Adjustments to reconcile net income (loss) to
cash provided by (used for) operating
activities:
Asset impairment and other 0 46,528
Depreciation and amortization 22,429 24,056
Deferred taxes 965 (19,163)
Change in operating assets and liabilities (2,887) 19,981
Cash provided by operating activities 21,222 32,233

Investing activities:
Proceeds from the sale of property, plant
and equipment 304 0
Capital expenditures (10,002) (26,059)
Sales of marketable securities 39,688 11,461
Purchases of marketable securities (25,394) (31,880)
Cash used for investing activities 4,596 (46,478)

Financing activities:
Repayments of long-term debt (1,544) (21)
(7,005) 0
Net proceeds from issuance of common stock 243 30
Cash provided by (used for) financing
activities (8,306) 9

Net increase (decrease) in cash and cash
equivalents 17,512 (14,236)

Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of
period 129,314 98,820

Cash and cash equivalents at end of period $146,826 $84,584

SOURCE: Hutchinson Technology

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To: Stitch who wrote (8983)1/17/2001 9:05:49 AM
From: Sarmad Y. Hermiz   of 9256
 
>> I am not sure what you are seeing but Seagate has five very large authorized distributors in the US including
<<

I am looking at on-line retail distributers.

I was specifically addressing the point that Seagate might be carrying on an aggressive price war to possibly bankrupt WDC. The reason I bring these examples is to show that Seagate prices are not lower than others (in fact they are higher), that they are not flooding the channel (in fact seagate products are very scarce at retail shops. They are not available at CompUSA. So the point is Seagate is exercising restraint in production and pricing.

The further point is that DD makers used to make large profits on half or a third of the current unit volume. Then they somehow fell into an idiotic price competition which destroyed their profits. So the next conclusion is that increased volume does not lead to profits. And so there is no need for hand wringing about reduced PC shipments inevitably leading to losses at DD companies.

As you point out the key is inventory turns. If the drive companies can produce 13 or 14 turns per Q, then the channel will have only a couple weeks of inventory. And even though technology moves fast, inventory does not become obsolete in two weeks. It is that obsolesence that causes losses. When warehouses full of product have to be dumped at steep losses. Remove that factor, and profits are assured.

----------------------------
Here's what insight has: There used to be many more models a year ago. Now only two.

Barracuda. ATA II ST330630A
SEAGATE 30.6GB EIDE 7200RPM BARRACUDA
Search similar products
5451 In Stock. $ 159.99

Cheetah X15 18.4
18.4GB ULTRA 160 SCSI 15K RPM INT CHEETAH 68PIN 3.5LP
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76 In Stock. $ 489.99

SEAGATE 20.4GB EIDE ULTRAII ATA/66 7200RPM
Search similar products
Ordered upon request. $ 122.99
---------------------------

and CDW

Seagate Barracuda ATA II 30.6GB EIDE Hard Drive
30.6GB, 7200 rpm, EIDE Ultra ATA/66 internal hard drive 214231

Add to Cart Same Day $149.77

Seagate Barracuda ATA II 20.4GB EIDE hard drive
20.4GB, 7200 rpm, EIDE 3.5" internal hard drive for PCs 222354

Add to Cart Same Day $129.72
----------------

I am very interested to know the opposing argument.

Regards,
Sarmad

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To: Sarmad Y. Hermiz who wrote (8985)1/17/2001 12:32:29 PM
From: Stitch   of 9256
 
Sarmad,
<<The further point is that DD makers used to make large profits on half or a third of the current unit volume. Then they somehow fell into an idiotic price competition which destroyed their profits. So the next conclusion is that increased volume does not lead to profits. And so there is no need for hand wringing about reduced PC shipments inevitably leading to losses at DD companies.>>

<<I am very interested to know the opposing argument.>>

If you are inviting arguments against the statement above you will not hear it from me. I agree 100% If you are shipping dollars with each unit you are inherently better off when the market for units declines. Its a novel strategy, one that I had not considered before.

Best,
Stitch

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To: Sam who wrote (8984)1/17/2001 12:38:07 PM
From: Stitch   of 9256
 
Sam,
<<Guess it's a sign of the total lack of interest in the drive segment that no one even bothers to report HTCH's quarter. >>
I saw a summary of the conference call. Clearly the waning average number of heads per drive is having a toll on the component guys. I can't understand why they are still spending 10 million per quarter on cap ex.

best,
Stitch

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To: Stitch who wrote (8987)1/17/2001 1:36:31 PM
From: Sam   of 9256
 
Adaptec reportedly has dug a hole for itself by selling puts at the wrong time: Message 15194801

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To: Stitch who wrote (8986)1/17/2001 8:53:17 PM
From: Sarmad Y. Hermiz   of 9256
 
>> I agree 100% If you are shipping dollars with each unit you are inherently better off when the market for units declines. Its a novel strategy, one that I had not considered before.
<<

That wasn't exactly what I meant. I mean to say that gross margin on units sold is the important number, not just the units shipped. So higher (positive) profits are possible even if PC makers are not growing. Because it seems DD gross margins will be higher than last Q. Retail DD prices have stayed higher throughout the Dec Q. Anyway, the reports will be released very soon. I'm expecting Maxtor to make close to +10c, and WDC to lose about -10c. I've heard WDC shipments were above 5.5 million. Do you have any idea ?

Regards,
Sarmad

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To: Sarmad Y. Hermiz who wrote (8989)1/17/2001 9:08:35 PM
From: Stitch   of 9256
 
Sarmad,
<<I mean to say that gross margin on units sold is the important number, not just the units shipped. So higher (positive) profits are possible even if PC makers are not growing. >>
Agreed, and to show an example from Quantum's earnings release:

``Despite the revenue shortfall, we are pleased to have significantly reduced our net loss sequentially,'' said John Gannon, president of Quantum's Hard Disk Drive Group. ``Our improved financial performance was driven by gross margins that improved sequentially to 14.7 percent, as a result of a favorable shift in product mix within the desktop and high-end lines."

<<I've heard WDC shipments were above 5.5 million. Do you have any idea?>>

I have a forecast for WDC at 5.7M units for the Q.

Best,
Stitch

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To: Stitch who wrote (8990)1/17/2001 10:25:44 PM
From: Sarmad Y. Hermiz   of 9256
 
Stitch, thanks for the post re Quantum's earnings. I didn't know they'd reported already. That was really amazing they had positive operating results with $172 million lower revenue.

"The company reported revenue of $708 million, lower than last year's same-quarter $880 million. "




Thanks for the info,
Sarmad

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To: Stitch who wrote (8982)1/18/2001 2:17:37 AM
From: Gus   of 9256
 
I think Neff has slipped a widget. It must be that being so terribly wrong has caught him up about 2 cans short of a six pack.

LOL. If that double shot at his favorite analyst doesn't bring Laurence Kam back from the sun-drenched world of hedge funds then I don't know what will.

In all seriousness, I think PC companies have a much better chance of reinventing themselves then do disk drive companies

I agree. I have the 32-bit to 64-bit transition and wireless as two major drivers of massive PC upgrades during the next 5 years. Timing, though, remains hazy due to the delays in the Wintel roadmap and other supply chain issues. The relative maturity of the rich North American consumer market (~60%) and the continued decoupling of the server and storage decision in the corporate market (fueled by the way EMC is elevating storage processing to par with data processing) are two major cross-currents that will create some really funky flat periods for the industry, IMO. There is also no shortage of cub reporters eager to proclaim the death of the PC so the noise level is going to be fairly high. And without being too cynical about it, the damn bonus pool for this year is starting to look mighty shallow even with the bonanza created by energy deregulation, California-style!!!!!!!!<g>

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To: Sarmad Y. Hermiz who wrote (8991)1/18/2001 5:43:52 AM
From: Stitch   of 9256
 
Some Notes From the Quantum CC:

Quantum HDD reported a loss of $.04 per share. Analysts were expecting an EPS loss of $0.11

Shipped 6.8 million HDDs in FQ3

OEMs represented 55% of total revenue; Distribution represented 45%

Major customers: Compaq (13% of revenues), Dell (11%), Ingram Micro (10%)

Results included a $6.4 million charge relating to the proposed merger with Maxtor; without that charge, net income would have been $3.1 million ($0.04 per share, diluted)

A shortage of a certain component impacted production of 20GB/platter desktop programs including the Fireball lct20 & Fireball Plus AS HDDs; This resulted in lower than expected revenues & unit shipments; The supply problem has been resolved via alternative sourcing; The shortage did not affect the enterprise level segment; The component was an electronic component, not a semiconductor component

Better gross margins because of a "favorable shift in product mix within the desktop and high-end lines"

Shipped a record 704,000 high end HDDs; This is up 9% compared to the previous quarter & 48% year-over-year; Revenue of $191 million was generated by Quantum's high end HDD segment (up 14% sequentially & 42% year-over-year)

36GB & 73GB Atlas HDDs made up over a fifth of overall high end HDD shipments; 27% gross margins; Over the last 14 months Quantum has shipped over 3 million Atlas HDDs which operates 10,000 RPMs

Will continue momentum in the high end segment with the introduction of the Quantum Atlas 10K III product -- volume shipment in CQ2; 18GB/platter & 10,000 RPM speed; This HDD will offer the highest per platter capacity & fastest seek time of any 10K drive; Acoustics will be comparable to 7,200 RPM HDDs

Saw record desktop level HDD revenues of $518 million on shipment of 6.1 million HDDs; Lower unit volumes "were offset by an average unit price that increased 8% sequentially"; Higher average unit price because of "the successful volume ramp up of new, higher-capacity models, coupled with a less aggressive pricing environment"; Desktop gross margins improved sequentially to 10% compared to 3% in the previous quarter

There Fireball lct20 represented 50+% of shipments during the quarter; Shipping these HDDs to 7 out of the 8 leading PC OEMs.
Began shipping the 7,200 RPM Fireball Plus AS HDDs; Shipping these HDDs to 5 out of the 8 leading PC OEMs in volume; This is their first 7,200 RPM designed specifically for the performance desktop market segment; The performance desktop market segment has increased to about 25% of the entire desktop segment; 7,200 RPM HDDs made up about 25% of total shipments by Quantum

Gained 2 major customers for the consumer electronics QuickView HDDs -- 1 in Europe and 1 in Japan; Shipments have began; For the year, shipped about 800,000 to 1,000,000 of these HDDs

Expects merger with Maxtor to be completed by late March or April; Does not expect to report results for FQ4 because of merger

Inventory levels in the channel are about 5 weeks; This is considered normal

No component shortages affecting shipments at this time

Cash Position = $430.2 million (31-Dec-00) vs. $611.6 million (31-Mar-00)

Inventory Position = $159.6 million (31-Dec-00) vs. $122.3 million (31-Mar-00)

Best,
Stitch

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