Strategies & Market Trends | Waiting for the big Kahuna


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To: sandeep who wrote (93607)2/28/2012 2:23:58 PM
From: GROUND ZERO™   of 94011
 
TO ALL POSTERS: BECOME A MARKET GURU, BE THE ENVY OF YOUR FRIENDS AND HAVE SOME FUN TOO, A NEW CONTEST FOR MARCH BEGINS TOMORROW EVENING AFTER THE MARKETS CLOSE, TRY YOUR LUCK AND TEST YOUR GURU SKILLS... YOU'LL HAVE SOME LAUGHS AND A TON OF FUN, JOIN IN... WE EVEN HAVE A BOOBY PRIZE FOR THOSE WHO KNOW THEY'LL LOSE... LOL!!!

CHECK OUT THE CONTEST RULES AND SEE THE RECENT WINNERS AT THE BOTTOM OF THE THREAD HEADER:

subject.aspx?subjectid=58033

Posted on this thread with advance permission from the thread host...

GZ

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To: William H Huebl who wrote (93606)2/28/2012 7:21:55 PM
From: Vitas   of 94011
 
RSI now at 45.05

stockcharts.com 

McClellan oscillator has been negative the last week as the market inched out new highs

stockcharts.com 

We shall see if that actually means something.

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To: Vitas who wrote (93611)2/28/2012 10:14:26 PM
From: William H Huebl   of 94011
 
Well maybe some of these not-so-positive indicators show that the markets are near a resting place if not a pull-back.

I guess it's the wall of worry thing.

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To: William H Huebl who wrote (93612)3/4/2012 12:57:13 PM
From: Vitas   of 94011
 
RUT breaking down finally, back to January levels:

stockcharts.com 

DJIA At Higher Highs with Negative McClellan Oscillator

The McClellan Oscillator went below zero back on Feb. 14, and has remained negative ever since. But that has not stopped the major averages from moving up to new multi-year highs.

Having the Oscillator drop below zero can sometimes be seen as a "sell signal", but it depends on what else is happening in the market. It is certainly not a positive factor to have higher price highs appear while the Oscillator refuses to confirm that strength.

You can see in this week's chart that some of the instances of a higher price high with a negative Oscillator reading have marked really important tops. Other times, though, these instances have not stopped the market's advance. So like the Hindenburg Omen, this occurrence serves as a warning of trouble, but not a guarantee that a top is in.

mcoscillator.com 

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To: Vitas who wrote (93613)3/7/2012 6:03:34 AM
From: William H Huebl   of 94011
 
Unless we get military action in the mid-east or some calamity.... I don't see much in the way of downside. But you were right on this pull-back... congrats!

Some of my longer term indicators (3-6 mos) are, however, indicating lower prices coming... whether that is predicting military or economic problems is uncertain.

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To: William H Huebl who wrote (93614)3/7/2012 9:39:55 PM
From: Vitas   of 94011
 
This pullback has taken much longer to develop than I expected. I am still on an intermediate sell. Can't rule out a partial retrace rally. But I expect lower prices to come.

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To: cycleupcycledown who wrote (93573)3/8/2012 7:41:56 AM
From: cycleupcycledown   of 94011
 
full moon today, SnP is very overbought.........Should be a lead cinch short now......Try sum SPXU ( 3x SnP short)

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To: Vitas who wrote (93615)3/8/2012 7:00:26 PM
From: William H Huebl   of 94011
 
I am probably wrong but I think you are at least a month too early, maybe longer.

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To: William H Huebl who wrote (93617)3/8/2012 8:54:36 PM
From: Vitas   of 94011
 
So far we are following the basic pattern, the initial drop, then sometimes a partial retracement, which can be about .618 depending on whether it is SPX or NYA, which should be followed by another drop. We shall see.

I see an interesting intersection of trendlines from both above and below that occur at around SPX 1322 next Wednesday. We shall see.

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To: Vitas who wrote (93618)3/8/2012 11:08:12 PM
From: William H Huebl   of 94011
 
Of course, you know that Gann theory says that for that big a retracement, that the original direction - up in this case - will continue, IMHO.

But as you say, we shall see...

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